Treasury Yield – PnF Analysis

Ajouté : 2026-06-04

[00:00:01][music] >> These are yields through yesterday.

[00:00:09]30-year yields, you can see on this point figure, I drew a yellow shaded area at the resistance zone, which is 5.1% and you can see that it turned back underneath. Uh this, I think it's somewhat related to circumstances in the Middle East and um the uh potential that, you know, uh lower oil prices could actually uh take some of the pressure off of the Treasury.

[00:00:36]And we said this when we did look at interest rates a week or two ago that uh this resistance would very well hold here and this would be a good thing. And so, I'd love to see uh this uh 5% 5.1% area not exceeded. It's a wish on my part, but somewhat related to what we're seeing in the charts, too.

[00:00:59]And it makes sense that it would maybe pause here, back up, you know, maybe it can even reverse, but I'd be shocked if it did. And then underneath is just a two-year note. And you can just see there that it's also pushed up to its resistance area. It's attempting to hold uh that 4.1% yield zone. It's right around 4% right now.

[00:01:23]And there's very important resistance uh right above and it went up and kissed it, touched it.

[00:01:30]And uh so, as long as it can stay below that, that's a good thing. Just pointing out how well point figure works on these yields. Do it all the time. It's just a great tool. We may only be counting part of it. And I said this before, but we may have a much bigger count than this and let's just hope it doesn't go through that.

[00:01:52]But if the economy gets stronger into the end of the year, uh don't be surprised if they if yields want to go up with a strong economy and with inflation pressures.

[00:02:06]>> [music]