Weather forecasting involves predicting precipitation patterns, temperature trends, and severe weather potential across different regions, with flood risk assessment requiring consideration of soil saturation, rainfall intensity, and drainage capacity to issue appropriate warnings and safety advisories.
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Widespread storm chances continue, Flood Watches re-issued for Ruidoso and parts of Southern New ...Added:
ALL RIGHT.
QUARTER AFTER FIVE HERE MAKING OUR WAY TOWARDS THAT 553 MORNING SUNRISE, ANOTHER ACTIVE DAY OF RAIN AND STORMS, THEN LESS ACTIVE, BUT NOT ALL THE WAY DRY AS WE MARCH TOWARDS THE WEEKEND, TEMPERATURES ARE GOING TO DO A GRADUAL CREEP UP ON US.
SOME SUMMERLIKE HEAT IN THAT FORECAST TODAY THOUGH WE’LL KEEP IT IN THE 70S AND 80S.
AND NOTE AFTER A LITTLE BIT OF RAIN WORKS OUT OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO THIS MORNING, SKIES REFIRE THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND THEN INTO THE EASTERN PART OF THE STATE FOR THE MIDDLE AND LATER AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE EAST AND SOUTH.
LOOK AT THE BIG STORMS FIRING OUT THERE.
WELL, AFTER DINNERTIME, BACK UNDER A FLOOD WATCH AROUND RIO RUIDOSO NORTHERN HALF OF THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS, WE HAD SOME MORE THAN ONE INCH RAINFALL TOTALS HERE IN THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS YESTERDAY, SO THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED.
OF COURSE, WE’VE GOT THOSE WILDFIRE BURN SCARS.
YOUR FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO IS PRIMARILY DUE TO SOME OVERNIGHT RAINS, AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME HEAVY STREAM AND ARROYO FLOWS THIS MORNING, AND MAYBE SOME WATER COVERED ROADWAYS THAT YOU COULD ENCOUNTER.
AGAIN, THAT’S NEVER A GOOD IDEA.
STAY OUT OF THAT STANDING WATER.
NOW LOOK AT THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY EXCEPT FOR NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND FARMINGTON.
WE ALL ARE IN ON THE THREAT.
IT’S AT ITS HIGHEST THERE IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
A LITTLE BIT OF SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL AS WELL FOR AREAS SOUTH OF ALAMOGORDO, AROUND LAS CRUCES, THAT WILL NEED TO MONITOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING, WRAPPING UP THROUGH CENTRAL AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
BUT THERE COULD BE SOME BIG OVERNIGHT STORMS THAT SHOULD SETTLE BY MORNING.
BUT IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, ONCE AGAIN, THOSE STORMS COULD HIT WELL AFTER SUNSET AND TOWARDS THE MIDNIGHT HOUR, CREATING ANOTHER POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION, MUCH LESS ACTIVE FOR THURSDAY.
BUT NOTE AROUND SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO, THOSE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STILL FIRE.
JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE HERE THROUGH SANTA FE AND ALBUQUERQUE, SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO, THOUGH, INCLUDING RUIDOSO STILL INCLUDED ON THE HEAVY RAIN OUTLOOK AS OF FRIDAY.
SOMEWHAT OF A.
SIMILAR TO THE SCENARIO TO THURSDAY, EXCEPT I THINK THERE’S A LITTLE LESS COVERAGE OF THOSE STORMS IN SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO, BUT THOSE ARE THE SPOTS MOST FAVORED WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE HERE AROUND ALBUQUERQUE AND SANTA FE, AND NO RUIDOSO AND FURTHER INTO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
FRIDAY WILL BE YET ANOTHER DAY WHERE WE’VE GOT THAT HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL FOR YOU IN SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.
THAT WILL MAKE IT THE FOURTH DAY IN A ROW THAT YOU’VE BEEN RIDING OUT THAT THREAT.
FOUR CORNERS FORECAST.
YEAH.
WE CAN’T BRING THE RAIN UP TOWARDS FARMINGTON, PERHAPS AROUND CUBA AND GRANT’S CONTINENTAL DIVIDE, AND THEN POINTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST.
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 80S TODAY AND ITS LOWER 90S FOR SEVERAL DAY STRETCH.
AND THEN HIGHS RIGHT AROUND 90 FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
HERE’S SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO.
AND TODAY WILL BE MORE ACTIVE THAN YESTERDAY.
STORMS MORE WIDESPREAD AND MUCH BETTER RAIN CHANCE FOR YOU IN SILVER CITY.
IT’S WEATHER IMPACT DAY 83 SILVER CITY ABOUT 90 OFF THE MOUNTAINS.
STILL A CHANCE OF SCATTERED STORMS TOMORROW.
A LOWER RAIN CHANCES FRIDAY YOUR WEEKEND PROBABLY DRY NEXT WEEK.
WE’VE GOT THOSE HIGHS IN SILVER CITY UP NEAR 90.
HERE’S SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.
AND YES, SKIES ARE RIPE FOR STORMS AGAIN, BUT IT’S PROBABLY A LATER START THAN YESTERDAY WITH THOSE STORMS CARRYING ON WELL INTO THE EVENING HOURS IN SPOTS.
IT’S ONLY HIGHS IN THE 80S TODAY.
STILL A CHANCE OF RAIN TOMORROW, BUT LOWER THAN TODAY.
FRIDAY, SATURDAY.
JUST SLIGHT CHANCES THAT STORMS HERE AROUND ROSWELL.
MAINLY DRY IN THE AREA.
RUIDOSO THAT WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES GOING RIGHT ON INTO THE WEEKEND.
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO WEATHER IMPACT AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS STORMS BECOME LIKELY.
HIGHS ONLY IN THE 70S.
WE CAN’T REALLY TAKE THE RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST TOMORROW.
FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE A MUCH LESS ACTIVE DAY, BUT MAYBE NOT ALL THE WAY DRY.
AND THEN SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE A DAY WHERE STORM COVERAGE WILL INCREASE AGAIN BEFORE SUNDAY DRIES OUT.
HERE’S NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO IN THE 70S AND LOWER 80S IN THE ESPANOLA VALLEY.
PRETTY GOOD CHANCE OF SEEING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CARRY ON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
VERY LOW RAIN CHANCE STAYS HERE THURSDAY, FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE SATURDAY AND THEN SUNDAY.
MONDAY DRYING OUT, MAYBE MORE RAIN AND STORMS ON TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK FOR THE ALBUQUERQUE METRO.
HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 80S TODAY AND OUR STORM CHANCE THIS AFTERNOON IS IN THE 40% RANGE.
IT IS EXPECTED TO BE MORE ACTIVE THAN YESTERDAY.
A BETTER RAIN CHANCE ROYALE DA DOWN TO JUST THESE 10%.
THURSDAY, FRIDAY, SATURDAY.
AND IT LOOKS LIKE SUNDAY.
MONDAY WILL BE DRY.
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