Houston weather: Rain chances before Mother's Day

追加: 2026-05-13

[00:00:00]All right, let's go outside live where things are looking pretty nice. Just a little bit of traffic though. A live look from photographer Matt Williams driving back into town on I-45. You see a lot of clouds, no rain yet, but that could be changing. We have meteorologist Remisha Shade here to tell us what we can expect [music] and maybe running into Mother's Day weekend. Yes, well, all all of those clouds out there really keeping the threat for storms in check. It's actually lowered a little bit. Still a brief strong and severe storm possible, but I think the worst of it stays off to our northeast. Thank Well, that's good news there. We're looking at the bright side.

[00:00:34]>> Yes, and Mother's Day. Rain chances a little lower, but we could have some bumpy weather before we get to Mother's Day. So, a lot to talk about. First, let's check out the severe weather threat. We've got a cold front basically stretching across our area all the way through the southeast into the northeastern US. So, causing problems for millions of people across several states and producing a big significant risk for severe weather over towards Jackson, Mississippi, Montgomery, Alabama. They were recently under a tornado warning. So, dangerous weather there. We're on the edge of this, kind of the tail end of it. A very low one out of five possible risk for a brief strong and severe storm for us.

[00:01:15]Although, I'm thinking the worst of it, the majority of it is going to be off to our northeast. You see this tornado watch that does include a few counties north of Beaumont, Texas, parts of Louisiana and it moves over into parts of Mississippi and central and southern Alabama. Birmingham, Montgomery included and there is that storm that produced the tornado warning for Montgomery, Alabama over the last several minutes.

[00:01:40]So, rough weather to our northeast, but here is mainly just been a lot of clouds, soupy out there, very humid and some showers. You could see some downpours trying to pop up near the Woodlands, but as quickly as these showers pulse up, they kind of fall apart because we haven't been able to get a ton of sunshine today. We've had a lot of thick clouds. So, the atmosphere is not as unstable as it needs to be for these storms to become severe. Farther south, near Needville, just south of Wharton, notice these showers that we had, they've kind of fizzled out over the last 30 minutes as well. So, we're left with thick cloud cover out there.

[00:02:15]It is warm. It is steamy. 85° in Houston. Dew points in the middle 70s.

[00:02:20]And there's still a decent breeze out of the south. With the cold front sitting just to our north, notice the huge temperature gap, temperature difference.

[00:02:29]86 in Houston, but 63 in Dallas. And how about 50s, jacket weather in Amarillo.

[00:02:34]So, a lot of cool air behind this front.

[00:02:36]We'll get a taste of that tomorrow before the temps start to jump again.

[00:02:39]So, what will happen with our showers and storms? Our high-resolution model between Houston and Baytown, League City, Sugar Land, showing maybe a few strong storms still popping up over the next couple of hours. By 9:00, the risk is down towards Alvin and League City.

[00:02:54]And by 11:00 p.m., it's just some showers right along the coast. However, that's not it. We've got several more rounds of rain over the coming days. Fox weather model by 3:00 p.m. tomorrow showing some spotty showers. It's cloudy. It's a little bit cooler. Temps in the 70s. But look at this. Boom! Huge round of rain could roll in Friday morning just in time for the rush hour.

[00:03:17]And that could lead to some flooding issues. And then Saturday afternoon and evening, Fox weather model showing multiple waves of heavy rain. So, we've got a 60 to 70% chance for showers and storms Friday and Saturday. Fortunately, we get rid of most of that rain for Mother's Day. We drop the rain chances down to 30%, but we heat the temps up close to 90.