Tuesday PM 4/21 our weekly Long Range forecasting segment. Lets break it all down for you.

Added: 2026-05-05

[00:00:00]Good Tuesday afternoon, everyone.

[00:00:02]Meteorologist Eddie, I hope your Tuesday is going fantastic. Every Tuesday we do our long-range segment. We didn't get to actually last week because we had so much severe weather, but we do have more severe weather which is coming. So, let's go ahead and break it down.

[00:00:16]Bridgewater Weathering Weather Center takes care of you one roof at a time.

[00:00:20]And the Tampa radar picking up on some showers, some thunderstorms down through southern Oklahoma, and then into northeastern parts of Texas. Severe threat returns 2 days away. So, here's Thursday, level two threat out of five in the yellow, and then a level one threat across parts of Oklahoma into Missouri. Midwest storm shelters. And then it shifts south Friday. We may be right on that northern fringe, but look at this. Saturday, we're still in that northern fringe, but a threat out there.

[00:00:52]Sunday, pretty much the exact same spot.

[00:00:54]So, a lot to watch as we get into later this week, and then heading toward the weekend. Here's the reason why our cape or storm energy is climbing. Look at this. Central Oklahoma, central Kansas, Thursday afternoon. By Friday, look at this. We're right on the northern edge.

[00:01:12]Saturday gets a little dispersed. Again, we're kind of on that northern edge. And then Sunday, it starts to zoom back in.

[00:01:18]So, just I mean, a whole bunch to watch as we go through the next uh few days, and then it shifts east on Monday, and then we get to see a nice little break across the region, but a lot that we just want to keep our eyes on. It does kind of flare back up late next week.

[00:01:33]So, we'll see a break, and then now we're into May, and I think about May 4th or 5th, we're going to see storm systems back in, and we should have two or three shots from about May 5th through about May 12th, and then a little bit of a lull, and then it spikes again at the end of May. We'll go through all that.

[00:01:55]All right. Here's our upper-level energy. Of course, all the cold air up into Canada. So, here's our storm system. It kicks out Thursday into Friday, but notice we have this big upper-level low. So, another system swings back around on the southern side giving us those chances for strong to severe storms Sunday, Monday. And then as we go into Tuesday, Wednesday, nice little ridge, nice little break. Here comes another system late next week. So, that's April 30th. We're almost into May, which is crazy.

[00:02:25]A little bit cooler to kick off May, and then we'll start to watch these systems lining up across the Pacific Northwest, and they will start to eject out especially after May 5th getting in here to 6th, 7th. And here's another one dropping in. So, yes, we're going to have these active stretches, but at least we get these little breaks uh kind of like what we saw this past weekend, and really most of this week. Futurecast powered by Paschal Air Plumbing and Electric. Here's Thursday evening.

[00:02:53]Thunderstorms trying to erupt as we get into the evening hours, and then driving in late evening into the overnight. And again, these will have the potential to be strong, possibly severe. So, we want to keep our eyes on that. And then here's Friday. Remember, we're kind of on that northern fringe, so it's pro- probably going to be our southern counties that have the better threat to get strong to severe thunderstorms. And then we got to keep our eyes on Saturday as well. In fact, I'll change this up a little bit. We'll go to a more of a uh longer-range model. So, we look at all these storm systems moving through Saturday. Uh our energy popping back up again. Let's look at Sunday. Strong to severe threat across the region. Monday, our storm system ejects east. We get a break.

[00:03:42]And then by about next Thursday, we're going to have that storm energy returning, meaning strong, possibly some severe thunderstorms. That system works out. Another break.

[00:03:54]And then once we get to about May 5th, that's when things start to pop up again. So, May 5th-ish, we'll have a storm system, and then remember all that energy reloads back toward the west once we get to about May 7th and May 8th. I can't believe we're already talking about May, which is crazy. Maple Leaf Furniture rain totals over the next about 17 days. A lot of us are going to pick up four, maybe five inches. Your Downstream Casino 7-day forecast. And we're going to look at the Global Predictor here in a second. Your Downstream Casino 7-day forecast look at all those chances for rain, showers, thunderstorms Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. All right.

[00:04:39]The Global Predictor. I have it plugged in here for Joplin. Uh you can see the rest of April. Look at our rain chances.

[00:04:46]Uh Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and then again, next Thursday. Let's go into May.

[00:04:51]Temperatures the first week and a half, uh we're kind of sitting oh kind of those temps near average, maybe a little bit below, and then it really heats up a lot of 80s the second half of the month. Again, that system around the 4th or 5th, I do think a system's going to come in 7th, 8th, 9th.

[00:05:12]And then we have another active stretch the 18th through the 21st, and then again right around the 26th. So, I guess Memorial Day this year would be the 25th if I am correct. Let's go into June.

[00:05:26]June, the first half of the month above average. Second half of the month a little bit below average.

[00:05:32]But most of the storm systems come in when we have those below average temps.

[00:05:37]Kind of week three into week four. Let's go into July. Temps mainly into the 90s, pretty close to where we should be for that time of the year. You can see a couple cool days, and that's upper 80s. And if you want to know temps in August, mainly 90s and triple digits. Of course, heating up that Usually July, August are two hottest months of the year. All right, guys. Keep you up to date.