Let's pray together | Episode 15 |14.04.26—market review, BTC structure, SP500, Gold, key setups.

Added: 2026-05-05

[00:00:09]The esteemed Padre EXCAVO warmly  welcomes you here today. And as is our usual custom, we shall now begin  this gathering with a solemn prayer.

[00:00:23]As you may have guessed, that was a joke. Today, not only did I start with a prayer, but I  also decided to record this video standing up.

[00:00:36]So, with that in mind, let's begin our session  today. If you recall from our last time together, I talked quite a bit about the specific fact that  this one we basically did it from this liquidity, but we haven't yet reached those levels  that exist, which is around 84,000.

[00:00:55]It's possible that we won't reach that level  at all and we'll turn around right now. But if we take a closer look, we can see how  well these levels have been working out.

[00:01:10]Even this one and we're moving up step  by step higher and higher. And of course, all of this is liquidity. All of these  situations will be taken out. If we get here, then most likely we'll come here like an  avalanche. And honestly, I'm even expecting it to go down here to 49. Yes, right now I can  clearly see that the broader market and various market participants are already collectively  saying not to short anything. At this moment, I personally don't have any short positions  open at all. And basically, I am just sitting here patiently waiting for my specific limit  orders to be successfully filled by the exchange.

[00:01:52]Nothing has really changed for me. We still  have quite a lot of time until September.

[00:02:00]Well, if we look at it, it's 74. But actually,  the real starting point is starting from 84.

[00:02:07]Looking at the current market setup, I would  already be very tempted to try and take my first short position right there. Honestly,  the price level is just far too attractive to ignore. And probably I might even wait for it to  go a little higher than that just to be much more precise with the entry. Actually, let's be very  precise here. Let's choose to do it exactly this way to maximize the potential. So, I am looking  to take a short position from right around here, even starting from this level at 83  and setting a stop-loss up at 85.

[00:02:41]That would be quite interesting to me. If that  specific scenario happens, I will definitely try it. That would be my very first short trade  for a potential pullback. That one from that liquidity. I think we'll try. We'll give it a  shot in general because yes, there really are quite a few short sellers in the market here.  It's minus40. Taking everything into account, I believe that this would be a solid scenario.  And that is essentially the core of my plan.

[00:03:10]If we don't reach this level, it's unlikely  I'll start shorting. And actually lately, this is already the second video like this.  That's how I'm recording it. The sound is already this is about Bitcoin, meaning that's the  basic scenario there. So in the near future, well, you can argue whether it will go up  or down. Honestly, if it reaches that level, I'll short. If it doesn't, I'll be buying  here. That's basically it for this part.

[00:03:40]Let's move on to all the most relevant  instruments. Let's start with gold.

[00:03:48]Okay, it's loading now. It took out all this  liquidity here as I mentioned earlier. So, it was a good spot to go long from. Honestly, I  didn't take it. Maybe we'll test something here again. and give it another try. And from  here I might take a long position because and then we'll see how things actually play out.  For now, for now, I'm not even touching it. But what I am touching is what I I was actually  trading on the Bit Unix exchange at the time.

[00:04:19]So the whole story behind it is that nowadays  crude oil is being traded 24 hours a day, 7 days a week without any breaks at all. And I'm incredibly  happy about that because my favorite instrument is oil. It's clear to me I've had my biggest profits  with it. And you might ask, so why is oil being traded on weekends? Well, that is primarily  because right now the actual price formation happens specifically on the hyperlquid platform  and that is exactly where all of the trading action is currently taking place. So if we take  a moment to go back to this particular point then basically from zone to zone to another zone  to another zone. I'm actually waiting for a pullback. Here's the reaction from here or maybe  even from here. Well at least from 84 and further on maybe we'll see something like this. Some  kind of move like that. Now if we talk globally then as I said from this very channel I think  we should break out somewhere upwards. At the bottom we buy at the top we sell. And  I think you've seen the latest posts on Trading View regarding oil. Basically everything  is clearly shown here where all the levels are.

[00:05:54]And look, this is how it works here,  here, and here. And basically, we're aiming for this area. It's possible we might  dip down, maybe even reach here, but honestly, it's nothing to worry about. In other words,  the instrument shows how this works. We also have volume checkpoints here, the largest ones  like this. And this also acts as a magnet.

[00:06:18]I think we're finished with our discussion on  the oil market. So, let's move on to the next topic. Turning to the S&P 500 index, the S&P has  successfully updated its all-time high record.

[00:06:33]Basically, I have talked about this quite a bit  before uh and it is no surprise to me at all, but after this euphoria right here, as I said,  that's exactly when we'll start to tumble, to fall down, let's see how it all plays out.  Because historically speaking, if you take a close look at the charts, every single time we  have experienced this specific kind of rapid V-shaped recovery immediately after breaking the  previous all-time high co and this current market correction, as you can clearly see, is happening  right here, right here, and even right over here.

[00:07:15]And that is exactly why I'm expecting something very much  like that. At the very least, that is the most likely scenario. Maybe  not necessarily with a brand new low, but we are already getting quite close to  the peak. Honestly, I really don't know what exactly will cause this correction to happen.  I truly have no idea. But at least in my view, that's how I see it unfolding. Honestly, I'm not  going long or short right now. I'm just sitting back and watching what happens. And naturally  this level acts as a powerful magnet. We have it would at least look nice if we start this  kind of flat movement, this kind of sideways range where we have small highs and it starts to  look like this like it did before. Well, looking at the charts with an exceptionally high degree of  statistical probability, we can clearly understand that this movement is already representing  a phase of market distribution or perhaps a strategic accumulation of some sort occurring  right now. And after that, we can already slowly start heading towards a specific sort of  deep and dark bottom. So it seems like well it is something very much along those lines. In  any case, it is worth noting that before any major market drop or significant downward trend,  we first see these specific types of technical indicators and patterns. So we are seeing  that exact same thing happening here as well.

[00:08:53]We also have a noticeable slowdown, a gradual  rounding off of the trend. I would say that is exactly why we must keep watching closely,  keep observing, but I feel there is more to see.

[00:09:09]Think that this is roughly how such  a correction will happen. But I could be wrong. So that's why this isn't my  favorite instrument. So something like that. Let's then move on to um so  uh there's a question about silver.

[00:09:38]Well, silver doesn't look like it's about  to make a new high to be honest. So, I think we'll even be taking out  this liquidity and maybe even only after that. Maybe that's why.  But it doesn't look very good.

[00:09:58]It doesn't look very good. That is we it continues  to make lower lows right here as well. So we can already say that a trend is forming. So a  break below this level is quite possible.

[00:10:17]Next question. What is your opinion on Bitcoin and  the S&P index in the coming weeks until October, November? How pessimistic is the sentiment and  are people expecting a major correction this summer? Others believe that Trump needs a high  stock market level for the midterm elections.

[00:10:37]What is your opinion? Well, I don't really know  what Trump actually needs or anything like that.

[00:10:45]We should keep in mind that Trump definitely isn't  the one actually clicking the buy and sell buttons himself, but I believe he regularly discusses his  plans and what he wants to do with his business partners and professional advisers. So honestly, I  don't even think in those terms about what's going on there, whether it's Trump or not Trump. I just  look at the market. I see the structure that could develop. And to be honest, I've always been pretty  indifferent to what others think will happen.

[00:11:18]All right, next question. My  question for the next video is, what are your updated price levels  and entry points for us? Dax.

[00:11:44]Basically, it's the same as with the S&P 500.  So this kind of correction at the very least to here and at most to here well and after  that I'm not entirely certain what it might be related to. I could be mistaken but that  is just my personal opinion. So yes indeed you perform the action exactly like the holy pope  would. I bless you with all my heart and soul.

[00:12:19]Yes, I guess I'm already a priest.

[00:12:23]Thank you very much. Exavu really likes  the weekly updates. If you like it, give it a thumbs up, leave  comments, and ask questions.

[00:12:34]Next question. Could you please  tell me what the absolute minimum price of shares of Cointo is?  Cointock, I want to thank you so much for all of your hard work. I  truly appreciate everything you do.

[00:12:49]Coinbase, Coinbase Global, I completely understand the situation we find  ourselves in here and it is quite clear that it's not a simple one at all, I would say. So  look, if you look closely here, we have it.

[00:13:11]this kind of support you could say and this  is the very liquidity that we need to take out and most likely with a high degree of  probability we will go there right here even I think this recovery well it definitely exists  however I honestly expect that things won't be very good for the crypto market in the near  future. So I believe it will stay somewhere around here or maybe just a little bit higher than  this current level. I believe that it's better like this. So if we look at the big picture, if  you set aside all these indicators, look, this is what it is the standard story. To be completely  honest with you, throughout my entire professional career, I have witnessed very few instances  where technical formations exactly like this one actually ended up moving in an upwards direction  because here we are forming this kind of liquidity zone which well with a high degree of probability  we kind of take it out. It was the same situation here. First we took out this liquidity and after  that this liquidity right here and here we are forming it and we've been forming it for a long  time already and most likely it will even go lower than this one and that's why the price moves like  this and only after that we might eventually see some kind of recovery in the market but it is not  going to be a rapid process at all and it won't be quick even if for example we apply some technical  Fibonacci retracement levels there by the Okay, I remember now. That's what the issue was.  This way everything is much more interesting actually. So, well, that's how it is. And only  after this recovery will we see a recovery.

[00:15:20]The crypto market altcoin looks like a regular  altcoin. That's why That's the situation. Look, if they're at 100, but if it's below 100, then  that's it. That's a gift. You probably need to buy it, though. I'm not sure. So, thank you in  Spanish. I understand better in Spanish. So, how do you assess the situation? The 500 indices,  will there be a correlation between them? And do you expect any targets, a crash in the long-term  perspective? I've already answered that.

[00:16:00]That's interesting, too. Well, that's  how I already answered. So, so my son, I bless you as well. Thank you for your  comment. So, could you tell me more about Ton? I personally believe that this coin will  climb all the way up to $100 by the end of 2023.

[00:16:29]As for Tone, let's take a look at the details.

[00:16:38]Look, Ton is a very interesting  project. We all use Telegram daily, but do we actually pay for it? We do. We pay a  little for certain features. Right now they have a massive amount of development happening there  which means it has become a fully functioning and robust project with a lot going on with Ton  itself as the token. I still haven't figured out what could happen there, but we're either  working on it or around it. And honestly, that's actually a good point for  for uh let's say accumulation, but I'm sure that we won't see an immediate  breakout right now, a new all-time high even because I remember this market maker who's working  with Taon. Well, all of this has been dragging on for two long years, patiently waiting just  so that in some way something could finally shoot up rapidly by by 400%. So, regarding  $100, well, I would be very happy for you if you manage to hold on until it reaches $100 for  starters. Well, you know, maybe, maybe, maybe, but I'm not really making any big bets on that.  I understand that there needs to be some kind of prolonged accumulation and after that possibly  possibly an upward breakout. So, that's how it is.

[00:18:10]So, what else do we have on the list? Let's  take a moment to talk about Ethereum as well.

[00:18:15]We also have the Ethereum network  to consider which is also quite significant. I don't like these  kinds of recoveries. Honestly, to be honest, this looks it doesn't look very strong.

[00:18:35]There should be some impulsive  candles. I understand that in this range that is there is  still accumulation here. But over here here I'm ready to buy  right now. I'm not ready. If it goes to 10,000 or something  fine maybe and all that and I Maybe I believe that from this range at least  we will break out upwards to 10,000. Well, okay. Maybe maybe you can also take some  here. Conditionally speaking five times of well for now at this very moment I honestly don't  see it. Like looking at my entry points I just don't see them clearly yet. what I see or rather  what I don't see whether I personally believe in the move or not. I simply trade the market as it  is and it's actually going pretty well so far.

[00:19:47]And by the way, while we are speaking of trading,  I have recently created a special tournament. I made a formal agreement with the Betunix exchange  and I really thought it would be something quite interesting for my audience to participate in so  that we could have real communication so that we could share things there some information so that  everyone would be interested. Furthermore, if you want to grow and develop in this professional  field, you need to work together as a team.

[00:20:20]To summarize the current situation, we  literally have a mere 6 days remaining until the final deadline arrives.  And yet, we haven't even reached the very first target level for our trading  volume. In terms of overall trading volume, Excavo is currently holding the top  position, earning an impressive 208%.

[00:20:45]The team is moving along well. That  is, here are our lower boundaries.

[00:20:49]That's about 50 to 70% but there are only  10 profitable participants and in total 20 people are participating in the volume. So  out of out of such a massive and incredibly huge community only a mere 20 people actually  decided to support this important initiative.

[00:21:10]Honestly I am deeply and truly disappointed.  disappointed in every single one of the people who even bothered to join the team chat in the  first place because there are currently 55 people in the chat and only 20 of them actually opened  positions. The other 35 just watched, observed, and did nothing. So naturally, I am now going  to take some time to draw several important conclusions about all of the different  things we have been discussing here today.

[00:21:42]I understand that maybe my ideas are interesting  to people. Maybe they value my opinion, but still I'm just sharing my personal trades  and my overall perspective in the VIP channel.

[00:21:56]I will definitely continue to do that and  I will also keep on recording these daily videos exactly like I'm doing right now.  But we'll see how things go. We'll see.

[00:22:05]Honestly, I'm feeling quite disappointed,  deeply disappointed in people because, well, maybe, just maybe, it's simply  that things aren't what they seem.

[00:22:17]Perhaps this isn't what they need. Maybe  it's something I felt that I needed. Yes, I needed at least to try to see it for myself  and to experience it. And now I realize that very few people are actually interested in growth.  Look, I think you should just listen to what I have to say, especially if you truly have no  desire to cooperate or work together as a team.

[00:22:46]On that note, I think we'll wrap up since  there are no more questions. To be honest, I don't even know what else to tell you right now.  If you happen to have any additional thoughts or specific questions, please just feel free to  ask me. I truly understand my own strengths and exactly what I do. And honestly, there's  really not that much time left today. So, I think that's all for now. Goodbye  everyone. I hope you all have a truly great mood and I look forward to seeing  you again in a week. Bye-bye for now.