German: Marcos should have spoken sooner on Senate chaos | Political Beat

追加: 2026-06-01

[00:00:00]Our guest described the reputation of the Senate as bearing catastrophic damage. But that was last week. That was before the walk out, before all this talk of the definition of force majour. But he himself is a superior force himself. And when we talk of crisis, it is where crisis where our guest thrives. Alan Herman, political strategist. Thank you very much for visiting us, sir.

[00:00:30]>> Thank you, Lord. Pleasure to be here.

[00:00:32]And uh good evening to all of our viewers. And yes, we dance when the bullets are flying. And thank you for that nice tidbit about Halo Halo having Japanese origins. I did not know this.

[00:00:42]>> Mhm.

[00:00:42]>> You are a wellspring of useful information.

[00:00:45]>> It's not haro.

[00:00:47]Okay. Sorry, that's okay. If the Senate were a client, >> Yes.

[00:00:53]>> Okay.

[00:00:55]to if the Senate hired you to fix its image.

[00:00:58]>> Yes.

[00:00:59]>> What would be your first or three steps to counter that bad reputation, quote unquote?

[00:01:06]>> Wow. Throwing me into the fire immediately, Lord. Um, so is there such a thing as irreparable damage of reputation in the Philippines?

[00:01:16]>> Um, yes, catastrophic damage can occur.

[00:01:20]Uh, irreparable even. Uh but that's only when PR public relations perception reality performance and recognition recognition performance then whatever you can't well it's a terrible saying but you really can't put lipstick on a pig. Uh, an awful saying, I know, but >> but what if we constantly control the narrative?

[00:01:44]>> And Filipinos with their notoriously short memories, uh, we do have that um, collective amnesia when it comes to um, scandal and moments of, uh, uh, moments of seeming chaos, are quickly forgotten, and we're we're headline chasers essentially. So I mean um just doubling doubling back to your first question if the Senate were a client as a collective body I would impose strict bunker mode uh times two plus two rule I don't want to get into the technology press conference Facebook live and I know that's terrible for for media to hear no but um sometimes uh Never never disturb your opponents when they're making a mistake. So when they are consistently doing things that do not appeal to the general public, the first thing to do is plug the leak.

[00:02:40]>> And one of the things I think um overwhelmingly if you look at keywords, if you look at sentimental drama is a very heavy word term to use.

[00:02:59]The inauthenticity of it Pokemon cards almost 1 million colleged 800,000 pesos Pokemon card A nice hobby. Okay.

[00:03:30]>> God ordained hobby. Excuse me.

[00:03:35]Which group, party, individual has if seizing the moment right now currently overwhelmingly and we do this is not a survey again.

[00:03:55]Professor Lonnie Holmes s Professor Gidu Davidid etc etc uh and SWS this is not a survey by any stretch of the imagination what we do is we do a quick read what we call a QSS or a quick sentiment scan >> uh we take a basket of sites credible news sites such as yours uh and we look at the authentic comments there's a filter for that and then we measure that uh net neutral net positive or net negative so right now uh long-winded answer to your question, but right now so that's the that's the side led by current Senate President Alan Peter key driver the key event was really that take everything out of that equation if you're just looking at issues stance political um colors net neutral uh one one gets the advantage, the other one gets the advantage on the next day. Uh as in any political uh as in any political um day of the week, it has never happened.

[00:05:16]The hollowed August halls of the Senate uh and so early on in the in the Senate presidency of Alan Peter Gayano. So, how dare they? How dare they? The nerds.

[00:05:31]The nerds. Oh, by the way, you're breaking a very very um strict political uh moment of truth. You're blending into the background.

[00:05:42]You're blending into the background.

[00:05:48]Talking head. my floating head with all this arrest warrants against me certain members of the majority >> right persecution uh complexion of course of course the Philippines loves an underdog that would be true that phenomenon would kick in current majority senators.

[00:06:27]These are things that happened before that riot in the Senate. For example, you take um Senator Jingo, flood control, quote unquote. Uh he got flagged for that which is um same with Senator Joel. uh Senator Marcoa and issue flag. These are things that happened before the so it doesn't look contrived. It doesn't seem like these are things that >> these are consequences of things actions that happened in the past.

[00:07:11]demographics.

[00:07:25]They're using the resources.

[00:07:28]In fact, in one of the campaigns I run, Correct. Uh but uh you know that that that can only go so far you have to again you big word you have to juxttopose that with what they are being accused of for example in the case of the blood control issue. Uh so again that that overwhelms and overpowers any persecution points or what we call pity party points uh in our pity party points.

[00:08:17]>> Yeah. In our in our uh in our profession we call that pity party points.

[00:08:22]overwhelm.

[00:08:25]If this was a traffic infraction or for example, then maybe you know being all contrite and being turns tends to overwhelm party points.

[00:08:49]raction table, you know, you cannot put the abstract into a tangible thing. But when they saw that um billiard table that was uh green billard table.

[00:09:25]All right. So, first question, first few steps to repair the damage. The Senate were as an institution a client.

[00:09:33]>> Uh first is bunker mode.

[00:09:35]>> Bunker mode.

[00:09:36]>> So, quiet. We have a formula for that.

[00:09:38]Uh I won't discuss the technical details of it. Uh it's called the times uh times 2 plus two rule. But essentially for every trigger event you keep quiet for 4 days.

[00:09:49]>> So I'm doing dirty math here but Senator Senator Robin Senator Kiko continued silence from Bong Maros right >> until recently.

[00:10:08]>> Right.

[00:10:09]>> Good thing or bad thing?

[00:10:10]>> Very until very recently. Um, well, good thing that he finally broke his silence.

[00:10:16]Uh, I would have preferred that he personally, if if I had anything to do with that, um, if I was advising him in any way, shape or form, I would have advised him to have spoken up earlier.

[00:10:30]Separate and distinct branch of government. You also have to tap into the Filipino psych. Filipinos don't appreciate the three branches of co-equal branches of government.

[00:10:46]even legislation. Um so personally, you know, the words that have been used to describe him are non-confrontational, conflict averse, more more politically correct. Um, I would have gotten ahead of this earlier uh because legislative agenda.

[00:11:10]Um, I would have definitely stepped I would have definitely made a statement earlier, but it's good that he finally did. He good. It's good that he finally addressed it. And they were strong words, huh?

[00:11:22]>> Uh, number one, he called it outright.

[00:11:25]He called this whole plot to extend his uh term uh a fabrication. So I I would have done that earlier.

[00:11:33]>> Quick aside, Anticlair uh use Clare Castro as spokesperson. If you were to rate her uh 10 being the 1 to 10, 10 being the highest uh Kabila being from >> let's say Salvador Panel.

[00:11:51]>> Wow. Wow. That's like a Sahara desert versus a Tonkat sand pit. Um Tonka. Our our our viewers don't know what a pabad uh 9.5 >> the pugnacious style actually works >> because she is an effective lightning rod >> and that's what you need in a climate like this. Uh considering if we're if we're being if we're being binary about it, reds versus greens in such a climate, you need a lightning rod. So, Auntie Clair and boy, she knows how to dish it back.

[00:12:33]You know, you know I got I got nothing but love for you. But I know it's a it's a great source of information. I know that um I know that um she has been known for that vlog.

[00:12:54]This is not does not represent you cannot you are the alter ego. You are well in fact the technical term is aspect. You are an aspect of the president. You speak for the palace automatic 9.5 seconds when she's speaking as >> as anticlair as uh I know as maklair kakar >> kakar me and my pronunciation.

[00:13:24]>> Okay. Uh Senate President Alan Kano constant display of piety and religiosity. Um media and you contrast this with yes two weeks in rendering deep divi and wide divisions.

[00:13:51]>> Divisions in fact uh uh outwardly saying it in in the Senate on the floor.

[00:13:55]>> Uh Madame President, I >> move to divide the Senate the House.

[00:14:03]divide. Um, but talking about his outward displays of piety and religiosity, we have to remember that the market, the audience right now is changing rapidly changing.

[00:14:23]And then in fact there's a word that beautifully captures the essence of this performative word of the year.

[00:14:34]>> Uh and the for the younger generation for the Gen Z's uh and the Gen Z's are a massive voting block by the way.

[00:14:43]>> They are it really rubs them the wrong way when it seems to be performative.

[00:14:48]uh performance not perform being performed. Don't be performative. Um and you know I'm not saying that he's insincere. I'm not saying that he's being fake about it, but again there's a big difference between um displaying it or at least exhibiting it versus rubbing it in a person's face.

[00:15:17]It's like vegetarians and people who do CrossFit. Uh, >> I went there, man. I went there.

[00:15:26]It's it's that I mean, more power to the vegetarians. More people more power to the people who do CrossFit. But my gosh, how do you know a person is a vegetarian? How do you know a person is doing CrossFit? Because as soon as they sit down, they're going to tell you about it.

[00:15:40]>> They can't shut up about it. Mac users.

[00:15:46]All right, >> I've gone to that side.

[00:15:48]>> Speaking of authenticity.

[00:15:50]>> All right.

[00:15:51]>> Uh, Arab natural authentic.

[00:15:54]>> Yes. Let it shine.

[00:16:04]Okay. Robin Padil's authenticity can sometimes be a disadvantage. uh example.

[00:16:14]What would you advise Robin Padilia after his recent social media post about force majour?

[00:16:20]>> I have wonderful advice for Senator Robin Hood Padilia. Please hire good consultants. Please hire a good legis team. Uh, and please um tap into available resources such as Google, such as asking AI free AIOce, Facebook force and by the way perfect attendance Robin Hood perfect attendance there was no force majour no act of God that was stopping him from attending every session force majour is exactly that by definition it is an act of god that prevents people and mass to go and attend an event or a gather gathering.

[00:17:27]>> Mhm.

[00:17:28]>> So, Senator Robin, get good consultants, get a good leg staff, and learn how to use um knowledge, resources.

[00:17:41]>> All right. You >> strategists often talk about numbers.

[00:17:46]No. Yes.

[00:17:47]>> But looking at the Senate today, what is that one thing that everyone's counting on that does not actually matter? And what is that one thing that nobody's counting on that will decide the future?

[00:17:58]>> Wow. Wow. What a nuance question. What is the one thing that actually doesn't matter in terms of impeachment?

[00:18:06]Bats vote. Whether he votes he is able to vote online, whether he is able to vote remotely or does not vote. We know what his vote will be.

[00:18:17]>> He will vote to acquit.

[00:18:21]If he's allowed to vote, he will vote to acquit. If he's not allowed to vote, it is a no vote which benefits the aquittal.

[00:18:28]>> So stop fixating on that. It's not that important. Impeachment impeachment. I'm talking about impeachment math when it comes to committee chairmanships uh motions, resolutions.

[00:18:40]Impeachment nonfactor.

[00:18:43]>> Uh what is the one thing that people seem to be uh that seems to be flying over people's heads? Where is Senator Chase Escudero?

[00:18:53]Where is he? Let's read between the lines because imagine Senator walk out.

[00:19:02]If he was there, there would be a quorum.

[00:19:06]So they didn't need to stop the proceedings if Senator Cheese had attended.

[00:19:12]>> So why wasn't he there? By sheer coincidence 11 senators 11 stayed on the floor that's 12 and if cheese had gone 13 room >> so they didn't need to stop that. So cheese was that one is that one element that people seem to be overlooking.

[00:19:38]Somebody should ask him, uh, Senator, is there a deeper meaning? I don't know.

[00:19:46]Personally, I don't know. It's one of those things that raise my eyebrows and make makes me think.

[00:19:52]>> You're pretty upbeat about the results of uh the midterms and said it is a tectonic shift.

[00:19:59]>> A tectonic shift. Yes.

[00:20:01]>> Now you're quoting me, Lord. This is making me feel uncomfortable.

[00:20:04]>> Tectonic shift.

[00:20:08]2028.

[00:20:09]>> Yes.

[00:20:10]>> Uh basing on the numbers, recent survey numbers shift negative. Uh okay. If we're talking about a tectonic shift, well, I'll give I'll give a clearer answer. Yes.

[00:20:32]Basement stomping and ceiling pooling.

[00:20:36]So, performative, not unqualified.

[00:20:41]Um, familiars, old familiars, orcas, old familiars, relatives, uh, celebrities and alternatives, killer whales, killer whale, orca. So, their their behavior or their performance in the past three years is pulling them down because top five senator. So there's ceiling pooling and then basement stomping in in the sense that the you know technology is um increasingly pervasive now social media through online interviews through phone patch through guesting Hi guys.

[00:21:48]Hi guys. Hi guys. Hi guys. Hi guys. Ayan catchphrasy.

[00:21:59]Ayan. The Alan Herman life story. Okay.

[00:22:04]Um eventually what do you think are the chances that uh Sarah Duterte might be another join in the sense that constant numbers constant election dayers she's still ahead that is undoubtable that is um that is um a fact in terms of current numbers now and again I'm using the word ceiling we actually call it a ceiling limit velocity new votes >> that that that is the that is the the magic element in in a campaign stay votes sway votes at stray votes our few people jumping into their bandwagon.

[00:23:06]From the data, it seems not and I'm quoting data from surveys like SWS, pulse, octa, uh, loveird survey, Ricky Toy, but the credible ones seem to indicate she's hitting a ceiling limit.

[00:23:33]VP head-to-head survey VP Lenny Rotof VP Senator and again this is a lady who is literally doing her own thing in Naga uh not campaigning in fact outwardly denying that she's going to run.

[00:24:27]Rocky form equipment of the tiger snow.

[00:24:39]Yes.

[00:24:42]Come on. It's Mickey.

[00:24:45]Okay. Adrien was what you wanted to say.

[00:24:48]Adrien pala. Sorry. Okay. Uh 10,000 pesos.

[00:24:55]You're going to ask me about that.

[00:24:56]Aren't you you're really going to ask me about that >> non-political question of course but we had to we had to be dragged all the way you can just imagine my surprise confident about that.

[00:25:34]I'm I'm not a confident. I'm confident Alonso. I have never been in the same room with her. I have never I have never met her. I have never spoken a word to this uh to this poor lady who's probably as confused as I am.

[00:26:07]exaggerated. 10 million 10 million 1 million valley $100 million,000.

[00:26:30]But who decides if it's not AI?

[00:26:33]>> Who decides if it's an uncanny? Um well um me. Yes, me. That would be me.

[00:26:44]Online voting Google his name plus the would be would have been bride's name.

[00:26:59]>> Yes. Yes. Yes. I have been um uh strangely dragged into that whole issue.

[00:27:05]Love triangle triangle.

[00:27:13]Bermuda triangle.

[00:27:14]>> All right. Thank you for your time, Alan Herman.

[00:27:18]>> A pleasure. A pleasure.

[00:27:19]>> Guru of political strategy and crisis management.

[00:27:24]>> Thank you very much.

[00:27:25]>> MH MH handsome.

[00:27:29]>> Yeah. Hey, >> thank you for your time.

[00:27:31]>> That's not bad, brother. Thank you.