Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark reveals that AI systems are rapidly advancing toward self-training capabilities, with a 60% probability that AI will be training its own successors within 3 years. The data shows AI's autonomous work duration has grown from 30 seconds in 2022 to 12 hours today, with projections of 100-hour runs by year-end. This 36-month window provides a critical opportunity for individuals to learn AI skills and position themselves before the technology curve becomes vertical, similar to how the internet and smartphones transformed society without warning.
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AI Will Train Itself by 2028Ajouté :
This might freak some people out, but Anthropic, the AI company that everyone trusts, just admitted that in 3 years there's a 60% chance that AI will be training itself. Now, I saw several posts about this online that kind of framed it as some giant big doom warning with a lot of fear-mongering. But, I'm reading it as the most useful calendar anyone who's trying to learn AI could ever be handed because Anthropic literally just gave us a timeline. So, what they said is that within 3 years there's a 60% chance that AI will be training its own successor. And I think diving even further into the data is pretty crazy here because in 2022 AI could do 30 seconds of independent work.
And today it's around 12 hours before it breaks. But, by the end of this year they're anticipating 100-hour runs. And most big tech shifts truly blindside people. If you think about the internet, smartphones, or social media, none of those came with a 3-year warning from the people who are building it, but this one does. So, instead of thinking of it as scary news, I think you should use it as motivation. The people who learn to work with AI right now have 36 months to position themselves well before that curve literally turns vertical.
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