Severe weather forecasting involves analyzing current atmospheric conditions (temperature, humidity, dew point) and predicting when severe thunderstorms will develop based on factors like atmospheric instability, moisture levels, and wind patterns. In this forecast, the combination of high temperatures (lower to mid-80s), high dew points (mid to upper 60s), and a cold front approaching creates conditions favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms, with the highest risk occurring between 4 PM and 9 PM. Forecasters also consider recent rainfall patterns and soil saturation to assess flooding risks.
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Sunny, humid outside while severe weather threat holdsAjouté :
SHOT OUT THERE IT LOOKS GREAT SHOT OUT THERE IT LOOKS GREAT SHOT OUT THERE IT LOOKS GREAT OUTSIDE OUTSIDE OUTSIDE >> AT THIS HOUR WE HAVE >> AT THIS HOUR WE HAVE >> AT THIS HOUR WE HAVE SCATTERED CLOUD COVER PLENTY SCATTERED CLOUD COVER PLENTY SCATTERED CLOUD COVER PLENTY OF SUNSHINE OUTSIDE AT THIS OF SUNSHINE OUTSIDE AT THIS OF SUNSHINE OUTSIDE AT THIS TIME BUT IT IS GOING TO CHANGE TIME BUT IT IS GOING TO CHANGE TIME BUT IT IS GOING TO CHANGE AS WE HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON AS WE HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON AS WE HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO HOURS LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO HOURS LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING BECAUSE WE ARE THE EVENING BECAUSE WE ARE THE EVENING BECAUSE WE ARE GOING TO HAVE A CHANCE FOR GOING TO HAVE A CHANCE FOR GOING TO HAVE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND EVEN A RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER EVEN A RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER EVEN A RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER 79 IS THE TEMPERATURE IN 79 IS THE TEMPERATURE IN 79 IS THE TEMPERATURE IN GREENFIELD LIVE LOOK AT 9 STAR GREENFIELD LIVE LOOK AT 9 STAR GREENFIELD LIVE LOOK AT 9 STAR CONNECTS WHERE WE HAVE PLENTY CONNECTS WHERE WE HAVE PLENTY CONNECTS WHERE WE HAVE PLENTY OF SUN I DO WANT TO SHOW YOU OF SUN I DO WANT TO SHOW YOU OF SUN I DO WANT TO SHOW YOU THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM MONDAY BECAUSE WE ENDED UP MONDAY BECAUSE WE ENDED UP MONDAY BECAUSE WE ENDED UP WITH SOME DOWNPOURS AND WITH SOME DOWNPOURS AND WITH SOME DOWNPOURS AND PARTICULAR SOUTHWEST OF PARTICULAR SOUTHWEST OF PARTICULAR SOUTHWEST OF INDIANAPOLIS WITH IN MORGAN INDIANAPOLIS WITH IN MORGAN INDIANAPOLIS WITH IN MORGAN COUNTY ALSO OWEN COUNTY THERE COUNTY ALSO OWEN COUNTY THERE COUNTY ALSO OWEN COUNTY THERE WERE SOME HIGHER TOTALS AND WERE SOME HIGHER TOTALS AND WERE SOME HIGHER TOTALS AND THOSE SPOTS PARAGON OVER 3 AND THOSE SPOTS PARAGON OVER 3 AND THOSE SPOTS PARAGON OVER 3 AND A HALF INCHES OF RAINFALL GAS A HALF INCHES OF RAINFALL GAS A HALF INCHES OF RAINFALL GAS FOR COMING IN OVER 3 INCHES OF FOR COMING IN OVER 3 INCHES OF FOR COMING IN OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN ALSO SHELBYVILLE AND JUST RAIN ALSO SHELBYVILLE AND JUST RAIN ALSO SHELBYVILLE AND JUST UNDER THAT MARK IN SPENCER UNDER THAT MARK IN SPENCER UNDER THAT MARK IN SPENCER COMING IN JUST OVER 2.9 INCHES COMING IN JUST OVER 2.9 INCHES COMING IN JUST OVER 2.9 INCHES OF RAIN AND OVER 2, 3, OF RAIN AND OVER 2, 3, OF RAIN AND OVER 2, 3, QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN AND BLUE MAY 10 THE HIGHEST AND BLUE MAY 10 THE HIGHEST AND BLUE MAY 10 THE HIGHEST TOTALS CONCENTRATED SOUTH OF TOTALS CONCENTRATED SOUTH OF TOTALS CONCENTRATED SOUTH OF INDIANAPOLIS BUT WE ALSO HAD INDIANAPOLIS BUT WE ALSO HAD INDIANAPOLIS BUT WE ALSO HAD SOME HIGHER TOTALS WITHIN SOME HIGHER TOTALS WITHIN SOME HIGHER TOTALS WITHIN SHELBY COUNTY TO WHERE WE HAVE SHELBY COUNTY TO WHERE WE HAVE SHELBY COUNTY TO WHERE WE HAVE THE RED SHOWING UP ON THE THE RED SHOWING UP ON THE THE RED SHOWING UP ON THE RAINFALL ESTIMATE MAP THOSE RAINFALL ESTIMATE MAP THOSE RAINFALL ESTIMATE MAP THOSE ARE THE SPOTS THAT RECEIVED ARE THE SPOTS THAT RECEIVED ARE THE SPOTS THAT RECEIVED THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS I THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS I THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS I DO A SHOW YOU LIVE GUARDIAN DO A SHOW YOU LIVE GUARDIAN DO A SHOW YOU LIVE GUARDIAN RADAR BECAUSE WE'RE NOT RADAR BECAUSE WE'RE NOT RADAR BECAUSE WE'RE NOT TRACKING ANY SHOWERS OR TRACKING ANY SHOWERS OR TRACKING ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE STATE THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE STATE THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE STATE JUST YET BUT THERE'S A JUST YET BUT THERE'S A JUST YET BUT THERE'S A BOUNDARY A COLD FRONT THAT IS BOUNDARY A COLD FRONT THAT IS BOUNDARY A COLD FRONT THAT IS SITUATED TO THE WEST OF US AND SITUATED TO THE WEST OF US AND SITUATED TO THE WEST OF US AND EVENTUALLY IT WILL BRING US A EVENTUALLY IT WILL BRING US A EVENTUALLY IT WILL BRING US A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS AND ALSO A CHANGE IN THE WIND AND ALSO A CHANGE IN THE WIND AND ALSO A CHANGE IN THE WIND DIRECTION IT WILL BE MUCH DIRECTION IT WILL BE MUCH DIRECTION IT WILL BE MUCH COOLER HEADING INTO TOMORROW COOLER HEADING INTO TOMORROW COOLER HEADING INTO TOMORROW PLUS WE WILL HAVE A CHANCE FOR PLUS WE WILL HAVE A CHANCE FOR PLUS WE WILL HAVE A CHANCE FOR A LINGERING SHOWER ESPECIALLY A LINGERING SHOWER ESPECIALLY A LINGERING SHOWER ESPECIALLY DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE DAY DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE DAY DURING THE 1ST HALF OF THE DAY BUT I DO WANT TO SHOW YOU THAT BUT I DO WANT TO SHOW YOU THAT BUT I DO WANT TO SHOW YOU THAT SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER DOES INCLUDE MOST OF CENTRAL DOES INCLUDE MOST OF CENTRAL DOES INCLUDE MOST OF CENTRAL INDIANA AND IT WILL BE FOR THE INDIANA AND IT WILL BE FOR THE INDIANA AND IT WILL BE FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS LIKELY AFTER AFTERNOON HOURS LIKELY AFTER AFTERNOON HOURS LIKELY AFTER 04:00PM ANYWHERE BETWEEN 4 04:00PM ANYWHERE BETWEEN 4 04:00PM ANYWHERE BETWEEN 4 O'CLOCK AND 9 O'CLOCK IS WHEN O'CLOCK AND 9 O'CLOCK IS WHEN O'CLOCK AND 9 O'CLOCK IS WHEN IT'S LOOKING FAVORABLE THAT WE IT'S LOOKING FAVORABLE THAT WE IT'S LOOKING FAVORABLE THAT WE WILL HAVE STRONG TO SEVERE WILL HAVE STRONG TO SEVERE WILL HAVE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN CENTRAL THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN CENTRAL THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN CENTRAL INDIANA THE PRIMARY CONCERN INDIANA THE PRIMARY CONCERN INDIANA THE PRIMARY CONCERN WOULD BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WOULD BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WOULD BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BUT ALSO HAIL CANNOT BE RULED BUT ALSO HAIL CANNOT BE RULED BUT ALSO HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT AND ALSO FLOODING A OUT AND ALSO FLOODING A OUT AND ALSO FLOODING A CONCERN BECAUSE OF ALL THE CONCERN BECAUSE OF ALL THE CONCERN BECAUSE OF ALL THE RAINFALL THAT WE RECEIVED RAINFALL THAT WE RECEIVED YESTERDAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL YESTERDAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL YESTERDAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA I DO WANT TO SHOW YOU INDIANA I DO WANT TO SHOW YOU INDIANA I DO WANT TO SHOW YOU THE TIMING WITH FUTURE CAST THE TIMING WITH FUTURE CAST THE TIMING WITH FUTURE CAST ONCE WE GET TO THE LATE ONCE WE GET TO THE LATE ONCE WE GET TO THE LATE AFTERNOON THIS IS 2.30 STILL AFTERNOON THIS IS 2.30 STILL AFTERNOON THIS IS 2.30 STILL LOOKING PRETTY QUIET ACROSS LOOKING PRETTY QUIET ACROSS LOOKING PRETTY QUIET ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA AT THAT TIME CENTRAL INDIANA AT THAT TIME CENTRAL INDIANA AT THAT TIME BUT AFTER 04:00PM THAT'S WHERE BUT AFTER 04:00PM THAT'S WHERE BUT AFTER 04:00PM THAT'S WHERE WE BEGIN TO SEE SOME OF THE WE BEGIN TO SEE SOME OF THE WE BEGIN TO SEE SOME OF THE CELLS FIRE UP IT'S GOING TO CELLS FIRE UP IT'S GOING TO CELLS FIRE UP IT'S GOING TO INTERACT WITH PEAK HEATING AS INTERACT WITH PEAK HEATING AS INTERACT WITH PEAK HEATING AS HIGH TEMPERATURES RISE INTO HIGH TEMPERATURES RISE INTO HIGH TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80'S AS WE THE LOWER TO MID 80'S AS WE THE LOWER TO MID 80'S AS WE HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON AND HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON AND HEAD INTO THE AFTERNOON AND IT'S ALSO HUMID OUTSIDE BUT IT'S ALSO HUMID OUTSIDE BUT IT'S ALSO HUMID OUTSIDE BUT DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60'S THAT IS CREATING A MORE 60'S THAT IS CREATING A MORE 60'S THAT IS CREATING A MORE CHARGED ATMOSPHERE AND THAT CHARGED ATMOSPHERE AND THAT CHARGED ATMOSPHERE AND THAT WILL HELP WITH SOME OF THAT WILL HELP WITH SOME OF THAT WILL HELP WITH SOME OF THAT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WHICH THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WHICH THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WHICH IS WHY WE DO HAVE A RISK FOR IS WHY WE DO HAVE A RISK FOR IS WHY WE DO HAVE A RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER FOR THIS SEVERE WEATHER FOR THIS SEVERE WEATHER FOR THIS EVENING STILL HAVING A FEW EVENING STILL HAVING A FEW EVENING STILL HAVING A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS AROUND 10 SHOWERS AND STORMS AROUND 10 SHOWERS AND STORMS AROUND 10 O'CLOCK TONIGHT BUT THEN THAT O'CLOCK TONIGHT BUT THEN THAT O'CLOCK TONIGHT BUT THEN THAT THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER DOES THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER DOES THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER DOES COME TO AN END AND THEN WE ARE COME TO AN END AND THEN WE ARE COME TO AN END AND THEN WE ARE GOING TO BE LEFT WITH GOING TO BE LEFT WITH GOING TO BE LEFT WITH LINGERING SHOWERS INTO LINGERING SHOWERS INTO LINGERING SHOWERS INTO TOMORROW MORNING FOR THE NEXT TOMORROW MORNING FOR THE NEXT TOMORROW MORNING FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS TO DAYS WE COULD HAVE 48 HOURS TO DAYS WE COULD HAVE 48 HOURS TO DAYS WE COULD HAVE AN ADDITIONAL INCH PERHAPS AN ADDITIONAL INCH PERHAPS AN ADDITIONAL INCH PERHAPS EVEN UPWARDS TO AN INCH AND A EVEN UPWARDS TO AN INCH AND A EVEN UPWARDS TO AN INCH AND A HALF THIS IS A LOOK AT FOR HALF THIS IS A LOOK AT FOR HALF THIS IS A LOOK AT FOR FORECAST MODELS THAT WE ARE FORECAST MODELS THAT WE ARE FORECAST MODELS THAT WE ARE CLOSELY MONITORING AND THAT IS CLOSELY MONITORING AND THAT IS CLOSELY MONITORING AND THAT IS FOR THE INDIANAPOLIS AREA BUT FOR THE INDIANAPOLIS AREA BUT FOR THE INDIANAPOLIS AREA BUT IF YOU FIND YOURSELF UNDER IF YOU FIND YOURSELF UNDER IF YOU FIND YOURSELF UNDER SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD HAVE SOME ISOLATED COULD HAVE SOME ISOLATED COULD HAVE SOME ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS JUST LIKE WHAT HIGHER TOTALS JUST LIKE WHAT HIGHER TOTALS JUST LIKE WHAT WE SAW YESTERDAY WITH THOSE WE SAW YESTERDAY WITH THOSE WE SAW YESTERDAY WITH THOSE HIGH AMOUNTS FOR OWEN AND HIGH AMOUNTS FOR OWEN AND HIGH AMOUNTS FOR OWEN AND MORGAN COUNTIES 79 IS THE MORGAN COUNTIES 79 IS THE MORGAN COUNTIES 79 IS THE TEMPERATURE IN INDIANAPOLIS TEMPERATURE IN INDIANAPOLIS TEMPERATURE IN INDIANAPOLIS RIGHT NOW WE A BREEZE OUT OF RIGHT NOW WE A BREEZE OUT OF RIGHT NOW WE A BREEZE OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IT IS UP THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IT IS UP THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IT IS UP TO 18 MILES PER HOUR SO HAVING TO 18 MILES PER HOUR SO HAVING TO 18 MILES PER HOUR SO HAVING A CHANCE OF WIND GUSTS NEARING A CHANCE OF WIND GUSTS NEARING A CHANCE OF WIND GUSTS NEARING 30 MILES PER HOUR AGAIN THOSE 30 MILES PER HOUR AGAIN THOSE 30 MILES PER HOUR AGAIN THOSE DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 60'S DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 60'S DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 60'S EVEN LOWER 70'S IN A FEW SPOTS EVEN LOWER 70'S IN A FEW SPOTS EVEN LOWER 70'S IN A FEW SPOTS AND THEN FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN FOR THIS AFTERNOON THAT RAIN AND STORM CHANCE IT THAT RAIN AND STORM CHANCE IT THAT RAIN AND STORM CHANCE IT IS GOING TO FIRE UP AFTER 4 IS GOING TO FIRE UP AFTER 4 IS GOING TO FIRE UP AFTER 4 O'CLOCK BUT WE SHOULD HAVE A O'CLOCK BUT WE SHOULD HAVE A O'CLOCK BUT WE SHOULD HAVE A HIGH NEAR 83 DEGREES FOR THE HIGH NEAR 83 DEGREES FOR THE HIGH NEAR 83 DEGREES FOR THE EVENING IN THE 70'S 70 BY 10 EVENING IN THE 70'S 70 BY 10 EVENING IN THE 70'S 70 BY 10 O'CLOCK TONIGHT AND THEN WE O'CLOCK TONIGHT AND THEN WE O'CLOCK TONIGHT AND THEN WE WILL HAVE A FEW SHOWERS AROUND WILL HAVE A FEW SHOWERS AROUND WILL HAVE A FEW SHOWERS AROUND THAT'LL CONTINUE DROPPING INTO THAT'LL CONTINUE DROPPING INTO THAT'LL CONTINUE DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 50'S OVERNIGHT FOR THE UPPER 50'S OVERNIGHT FOR THE UPPER 50'S OVERNIGHT FOR TOMORROW THERE IS A CHANCE FOR TOMORROW THERE IS A CHANCE FOR TOMORROW THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS MOSTLY IN THE MORNING SHOWERS MOSTLY IN THE MORNING SHOWERS MOSTLY IN THE MORNING HOWEVER IT COULD LINGER INTO HOWEVER IT COULD LINGER INTO HOWEVER IT COULD LINGER INTO MIDDAY AND THEN WE ARE GOING MIDDAY AND THEN WE ARE GOING MIDDAY AND THEN WE ARE GOING TO HAVE COOLER WEATHER IN TO HAVE COOLER WEATHER IN TO HAVE COOLER WEATHER IN PLACE AFTER THE COLD FRONT PLACE AFTER THE COLD FRONT PLACE AFTER THE COLD FRONT DOES PASS ACROSS CENTRAL DOES PASS ACROSS CENTRAL DOES PASS ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA DECREASING CLOUDS LATE INDIANA DECREASING CLOUDS LATE INDIANA DECREASING CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY 60 A PARTLY SUNNY WILL HAVE A 60 A PARTLY SUNNY WILL HAVE A 60 A PARTLY SUNNY WILL HAVE A HIGH NEAR 69 ON CARB DAY WITH HIGH NEAR 69 ON CARB DAY WITH HIGH NEAR 69 ON CARB DAY WITH A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS RAIN CHANCES AROUND SATURDAY RAIN CHANCES AROUND SATURDAY RAIN CHANCES AROUND SATURDAY AND AN ISOLATED SHOWER LOOKS AND AN ISOLATED SHOWER LOOKS AND AN ISOLATED SHOWER LOOKS LIKE ON RACE DAY FOR THE 8500 LIKE ON RACE DAY FOR THE 8500 LIKE ON RACE DAY FOR THE 8500 HYATT 78 WILL BE BACK AFTER HYATT 78 WILL BE BACK AFTER HYATT 78 WILL BE BACK AFTER THE BREAK
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