This Week Storm Just Took A Huge Turn...

Ajouté : 2026-06-04

[00:00:00]It's going to be an active week ahead as a ridge of high pressure will be slowly retreating northbound that will allow a trough to sneak in underneath out west and that will eject northeast in the coming days and it'll take its sweet time producing strong to severe thunderstorms and heavier rainfall along its wake. So, let's take a look at the overall setup going forward. Notice the kind of clearer skies up here across the northeast. In fact, it's some beautiful weather. A much cooler anomalies up there. And then we have what's called a backdoor front. We'll be sneaking in from an unusual position from the northeast down to the southwest. At the same time, we'll be watching this trough. We'll be sneaking out, developing out west. That is the one that's going to be ejecting into West Texas and eventually across the middle part of the country. Notice some instability for today across Montana and this little feature out here in the Pacific. Yes, that could be likely our first name tropical system of the season. So for today, we've got the cooler anomalies really locked over a good part of Maine and much of New England that is going to bring some chillier air if not for this time of year. And that is the backdoor front that we're kind of talking about. But we're also looking at some instability as well across areas Montana. They could be looking at some more heavier rain as this is the ridge of high pressure will be slowly retreating northbound and it really elevates as you get into Canada.

[00:01:31]We're talking record high temperatures for them. But for today, it's all about some severe storms ahead of that cool front. So pretty clear skies across the Northeast and a good part of the upper Midwest and the Great Lakes. But further to the south, it kind of taps into some of that instability. And if you live east of Denver there, you could be looking at some stronger thunderstorms start to bubble up in the afternoon time frame for North Plat, back into Goodland, back into the Dodge City region. And that will likely bring some more instability ahead of the cool front down there towards Huntsville, into Memphis, all the way further south into Birmingham this afternoon. And then tomorrow we just got the energy. So you can see the clearer skies with that backdoor front that will be sneaking in from the northwest down to the south northeast to the southwest. But all the cape values, this is your convective available potential energy. Of course that's got heat to fuel the atmosphere and we're going to be tapping into some of that energy. So, as we head into Tuesday, well, yes, we'll be likely talking about more severe storms as the dry line will likely get active in the heat of the afternoon and the Storm Prediction Center has already highlighted that marginal to slight risk along the dry line. And in fact, we could be looking at some some pretty severe storms up across Bismar up here towards Rapid City region and then further south down to Northplat again just east of Denver as well. and then going into the Amarella region down into Lik. And I could I wouldn't be surprised if they go ahead and add a say a marginal risk especially further south say in areas like more Texas ahead of the cool front to things are looking a little bit more unstable down there across that region. But for the next 48 hours, we've got the lowle swirl up here across southern Canada into Montana.

[00:03:26]That'll bring some heavier rainfall, if not some pockets of flash flooding up across that region. There is the dry line. We'll get going in the heat of the afternoon across far west Texas, areas of New Mexico. And then again, it's right along this boundary that will be producing showers and thunderstorms and likely some severe over the next two days. And then there's the back door front. So, we got pretty clear skies until you tap into some instability further south into the southeast. And like I mentioned, I wouldn't be surprised as some of these areas will likely been at least included into a marginal risk ahead of the of the cool front that will be sneaking in. Not much cooler air to speak of, but enough lift to cause the the atmosphere to kind of overturn in the heat of the afternoon to produce some of those strong to severe thunderstorms. So for the next 48 hours, I mean, obviously you're going to have a lot of winds.

[00:04:23]These are more or less wind driven heat induced thunderstorms. In the heat of the afternoon, we could be looking at some definitely some gustier winds. Some of those marginally severe on the border of the 60 maybe 65 miles an hour at isolated cases. And so you're going to be starting to see more kind of sporadic thunderstorms in the heat of the afternoon for the next two days. And you can see the backdoor front that we're highlighting on Wednesday. So, not not terribly too cool, but at least cool enough to be below average for, you know, June standards as those will be dropping those temperature anomalies and and get a little slight reprieve. And where you are well below average, that is the upper level low that will be dropping all the rainfall out there into West Texas, uh, uh, eastern portions of New Mexico. And then you got all the all the areas of activity across the panhandle of Texas and Oklahoma. While the heat again will likely start to build build across the northern tier of the country. But there's the trough.

[00:05:26]This is the system that we're going to be talking about really all week long.

[00:05:29]It'll take its sweet time. This is Friday, folks. So it it definitely takes its sweet time moving across the country. And with it, it will be bringing some heavier rainfall. In fact, for your work week ahead, kind of looks like this. Notice the clearer skies on either side of this. This is the backdoor front. This is all the beautiful weather that you're experiencing up here across the Northeast, the Mid-Atlantic, back into the Ohio Valley.

[00:05:56]And then even when you swing further south, this isn't really temporally too much rainfall. It's more or less all the instability that's going to get going with the front on Tuesday and then the upper level low that will be developing and providing the lift along with the dry line. So this is the most active area of the country that will likely see the most most activity at least for your work week ahead Monday through Friday.

[00:06:23]And then as we head into the weekend, there's the low, right? It doesn't really move anywhere, right? It's over the Texas panhandle. It's over west western Oklahoma and there's the biff with these little short waves that'll be ejecting out ahead of it. And as this ejects back into Missouri, back into Illinois, you will likely get back into the picture of some much needed rainfall because it's actually starting to dry out across that region. And by the time we head into the weekend, you're going to be taking advantage of that upper level low that will be getting closer to your area. So, yes, more showers and thunderstorms will likely break out.

[00:07:02]Even some heavier rain breaking out across North Texas and Oklahoma through areas of Kansas, but this time it'll swing into Missouri and yes, back into Iowa as well as Wisconsin here into Illinois and it just continues from there. So, as the upper level low, this is where it's at. It really doesn't move anywhere. I mean, it's basically across this region right now and this is where it's going to be on Saturday night. So, you gives you an idea. It's a very slower moving system and it'll send spokes and spokes of energy out ahead of it and aggravating the atmosphere producing showers and thunderstorms, some severe at times. And then the heavier rains by the time we head into the weekend will be across Texas and much of the central plains. And then that will be ejecting into the upper Midwest as we get into the day on Sunday heading into Monday morning just to kind of convey our belt of moisture that will be coming out of the Gulf. There is the upper level low. Now we're talking into the Dakotas. So it really takes all week long the entire seven days to kind of move from far west Texas all the way through southern portions of South Dakota. So that kind of gives you an idea of what we're working with. And of course along its path, it's going to provide the lift to bring the moisture out of the Gulf and dump it inland and produce some of those severe storms and strong storms along its wake. And some of the heavier rainfall will likely move back into the picture for those areas into Illinois, Indiana, back into Ohio.

[00:08:37]And you can see by the climate prediction center kind of highlights that trend with that secondary slug of moisture as the upper level low will be across this region. So you've got the lift out ahead of it through Texas and much of the southeast through Arkansas, back into western Tennessee, through Kentucky, back into Illinois and Ohio areas. And then if we take it a step further, it's going to be all about the heat, folks. So, we're welcome to summer cuz we've got uh pretty significant heat building back after that trough finally will move its out move its way out and all that heat that's been just kind of trapped up in Canada now is going to spread southbound again and go back into the lower 48. And so you could be looking at some in fact sporadic record high temperatures as we head into say June 8th. This will be the following weeks. This this is next Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday. Very warm, if not hot temperatures will be building across the northern plains, much of the upper Midwest and through the Ohio Valley into the Great Lakes as we start into the following week. And yes, that's exactly what the Climate Prediction Center highlights on the second week of June as we just really heat up across the country. So that is that's uh you know, this is summer, folks, right? I mean, it's hot in the summer and that's exactly what it's going to be. just above average if not well above average for a much a good part of the country.

[00:10:05]So guys, I appreciate you watching. Do like this video. Definitely hit the subscribe button and catch next update where I protect you before and after the storm.