A refreshing departure from sensationalism that respects the audience's intelligence by highlighting the inherent chaos of long-range modeling. It proves that true expertise lies in knowing exactly where the data’s predictive power ends.
Deep Dive
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Deep Dive
Changes Are Coming – But Not Everyone Gets Them at the Same Time Next 4 WeeksAdded:
So, we're looking at the next 4 weeks up to the 22nd of May using the ECMWF charts. Week one, 25th of May to the 1st of June.
High pressure's locked in. You can see by the pink colors all over the UK and Ireland. And you can see the warm temperatures was well above average temperatures. The darker the color, the more the higher above average temperatures.
You can see most of UK and Ireland with dry conditions throughout the UK.
Rainfall below average across most of the UK and Ireland. Moving on to the second week, the 1st to the 8th of June.
And here's where the split takes place.
Low pressure moves in over the UK and Ireland. East and Southeast England still above average temperatures.
They're hanging on, but Wales, Ireland, and Scotland below average temperatures, cooler and wetter. Above average rainfall for most. The south escaped the worst, average rainfall there.
8th to the 15th.
High pressure tries to build back in, but only partially. It anchors over Ireland and the Midlands southwards. Slack air pressure everywhere else.
The south is above average temperatures and drier. The north average temperatures, but wetter. So, you can see two different stories happening at the same time.
It all depends where you live.
And the 15th to the 22nd of June.
High pressure is back over the UK and Ireland. Above average temperatures everywhere. England, Wales, and Ireland is drier than average. Scotland around average rainfall.
But it's warm.
Well, that's the outlook for the next 4 weeks from the ECMWF taking up to the 22nd of June. Of course, with a long-range we have to take it with a pinch of salt, don't we?
And I'll be keeping you up to date with any changes on the way. If you've enjoyed the video, thumbs up and leave that comment below. Let me know how you're coping with the heat at the moment. Till we meet again, look after yourselves and those you love. Be a fan.
Bye for now.
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