This video demonstrates how meteorologists interpret weather radar data and atmospheric conditions to forecast precipitation patterns and assess severe weather risks. The presenter explains that scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected across the Tennessee Valley area, with heavy rainfall concentrated in specific geographic regions. Key factors discussed include wind shear at 5,000 feet, which can create brief tornadoes and stronger thunderstorms, and the stalled frontal boundary that maintains widespread precipitation. The forecast indicates a low-end level 1 severe weather risk for Friday, with potential for localized street flooding, heavy rain, and brief tornadoes, though the overall threat remains limited.
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From the Tennessee Valley Weather Channel, this is your weather live at 5.
Hey, Fred Goss here in the Tennessee Valley Weather Center on this Thursday afternoon live at 5 with your latest forecast update. More scattered showers and thunderstorms across the area with lightning and heavy rainfall and some low-hanging scary-looking clouds today, but nothing on the severe side. But we may have a couple of stronger thunderstorms across the area as we head into tomorrow afternoon. We'll talk about the details here in just a second.
First off, we'll start with Viper live Doppler radar and you can see scattered showers and thunderstorms in two main bands. One of them here running from southern Lincoln County, Tennessee back into portions of Madison and Limestone counties in North Alabama back into the Decatur metro area in eastern Lawrence County in Alabama.
We'll zoom in, see where some of the heaviest rainfall is falling in this location here and a lot of it is on the Highway 72 side of Madison out here west of the western loop here, 255 up to Alabama 53 here up into the harvest and Tony areas and heavy rain over into Meridianville.
This is lifting off to the northeast so this will skirt the western and northern sides of the immediate Huntsville metro area. Heavy rain back toward Tanner and then up into the Elk Mountain and Ardmore areas and then that moderate to heavy rainfall occasional thunder continues up near Flintville, Huntland, Fayetteville and the Taft areas back to Elkton and spotty showers even over here into southeastern areas of Lawrence County, Tennessee near the crossroads and Fall River areas. Again, nothing severe this afternoon just showing you where the heavy downpours are. We have a few on the north side of Waterloo, Alabama up toward the Collinwood, Tennessee area and then more scattered showers and heavy downpours up here in the portions of eastern Lewis and western Murray counties stretching from near the Ethridge area over to Hampshire and then more from Flatwoods, Tennessee up to the east side of Linden that will come across the western parts of Lewis County, Tennessee here with the next 30 to 60 minutes. A few more showers down into I into the Iuka area Tishomingo County, Mississippi and then more scattered showers and thunderstorms off to our south that may lift northward here through north Alabama over the next few hours. We'll switch over to the Arctic Air Sky Cam Network and it's mostly cloudy out there. We haven't had a lot of sunshine so far on this Thursday. We've had it at times across the area but not too much to speak of. Mostly cloudy out there and then where we have our scattered showers and thunderstorms, of course you have the dark clouds. Temperatures across the area, you can see where the clouds and rain have been. You can see clouds have been widespread for a large part of the day keeping many of us in the 70s. A few folks that have had a little more sunshine like Columbia up into the lower 80s. We'll see temperatures similar tomorrow because the rain and thunderstorms will be widespread again thanks to the stall frontal boundary.
Now it will lift a little more northward tomorrow because we'll have an upper level disturbance coming up. Have a slightly stronger low-level jet at about 5,000 ft.
That will add a little wind shear tomorrow to the atmosphere, so there could be a couple of stronger thunderstorms. The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has all of the area in a low-end level one out of five risk of severe weather for Friday. I think the main focus is late morning and midday through the afternoon and to the early evening. Your peak daytime heating hours. This is not a big weather threat. I don't want you to be scared of this or anything, but because there's a little wind shear in the atmosphere, where you have a little twisting motion in the atmosphere, I can't completely rule out a brief small spin-up tornado similar to what you would see with a land-falling tropical system. They'll will spin up really quickly, get down, maybe knock down a couple trees or power lines, or blow shingles off a roof, stay down for 30, 60, 90 seconds, and then lift back up. We're not talking about big long trackers or anything like that, but there could be a stray tornado warning tomorrow afternoon at anywhere across the area because of that. Also, if you isolated 45, 50, 60-mph wind gust, maybe some isolated pea-to-dime size hail, but I don't think that's too big of a deal.
The main threats will be localized street flooding, heavy rain, and then of course cloud-to-ground lightning with any thunderstorm, but it's more likely that your town, your community won't see a severe storm.
It's just that one or two people somewhere in the area might, so we have to bring your attention to it just in case, so you're not caught off guard. It looks similar to that day last May that produced that little surprise EF0 on the Redstone Arsenal May 28th of last year.
It's a similar setup to that. So, we're not expecting big scary severe weather, but there could be a stray stronger thunderstorm tomorrow that we'll have to keep our eyes on. This evening, showers and thunderstorms out there, but they really don't have the ingredients with it extra wind shear to really get organized and become severe. We're going to keep showers and thunderstorms scattered around through the evening and the overnight though, getting down to the mid to upper 60s for overnight and low. Showers and thunderstorms scattered around as early as the morning.
But as we get into the midday and afternoon hours, we get the daytime heating. We're back up into the upper 70s and lower 80s. That's when the showers and thunderstorms come in waves and they're more widespread. Again, lightning, locally heavy rainfall the main concerns, but I cannot rule out completely one or two storms with gusty straight-line winds or maybe a brief small, short-lived spin-up tornado similar to what you would see in the outer rain bands of a landfalling tropical system here. So, we may have a couple severe thunderstorm warnings. And I can't completely rule out a stray short-lived tornado warning, but again, not a huge severe weather threat tomorrow. Showers and thunderstorms are more widespread and likely rolling over into a heavy rain threat as we head into tomorrow evening, tomorrow night. So, there could be some localized street flooding. Scattered showers and thunderstorms likely again Saturday, likely again Sunday. They're widespread again with heavy rainfall across the area on Monday and then scattered, but still likely as we head through Tuesday, Wednesday, and even Thursday of next week. And as the rain continues to add up, not counting what we've already had the past day or two, we expect another widespread 2 and 1/2 to 3 inches over the next 7 coming days with isolated heavier totals certainly possible.
Daytime highs the next 7 days into the upper 70s, low to mid 80s. Overnight lows in the mid 60s, so not a lot of change. Every day has a little bit of sunshine, but maybe cloud mainly clouds and rainfall across the area. Scattered showers and thunderstorms through the evening and the overnight. Lows in the mid to upper 60s.
7-day forecast starts with the hour-by-hour for Friday. We're mainly mid to upper 70s tomorrow. Few folks with a little more sunshine getting briefly into the lower 80s. Rain and thunderstorms often likely through the day and especially in the afternoon.
We'll watch for the low end potential of one or two of them possibly being strong. Scattered showers and thunderstorms likely each day over the Memorial Day weekend. Most widespread again on Monday and then daily likely chances of scattered showers and thunderstorms right on through a large part of next week as well as the stalled frontal boundary doesn't really go anywhere. That's the look at your latest 7-day forecast. I'll be back at 6:00 and 9:00 with another check of your local weather.
>> [music] >> You're watching the Tennessee Valley Weather Channel.
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