A Tornado OUTBREAK Is Possible Today! Gigantic Hail Along With Hurricane Force Winds..

Added: 2026-05-19

[00:00:00]Strong to intense tornadoes are possible today along with the risk of hurricane force wind gust and gigantic sized hail.

[00:00:06]Severe weather outbreak is expected and we're here to break it all down for you.

[00:00:10]We're going to go over the latest from the Storm Prediction Center and their outlooks first and then we'll break it down section by section for you. Get you guys a really zoomed in look at what you can expect for your neck of the woods.

[00:00:20]We'll really geek out with you guys a little bit, you know, discuss the ingredients and the things coming together, parameters specifically for the Kansas and surrounding states area and uh just kind of get you guys an idea of what's driving today's uh higherend severe weather threat. And then we'll break down the longer range. What are we seeing? I think that we're going to have a pattern shift that supports a lot more rain for the southern tier of the country. And then we'll talk about the rest of the country as far as today's weather. My name is Mitch. Good Monday morning. I hope you guys are waking up and feeling good out there. Subscribe if you haven't. Like the video if you like it. And if anybody has anything I can pray about or pray over, please put it in the comments below. Let's get rocking and rolling this morning. A lot to go over. Let's go over the latest from the Storm Prediction Center first. Now, I say this every video the morning of a big time severe weather event. Expect some tweaks, some changes from the Storm Prediction Center for some of these outlooks. I'm making this video as around 6:30 a.m. Eastern time. So, this is the uh the updated information that we have as of right now. Now, we have a moderate risk in the red. That's a level four out of five. This is centered over Kansas, but does include a very small section here of southeast Nebraska and also the far northwest corner of Missouri. We have an enhanced risk level three out of five in the orange. This dips all the way down to northern areas of Oklahoma, goes around that moderate risk. It gets all the way into northern areas of Missouri, includes southeastern areas of Nebraska, and then gets up here into the heart of Iowa. And then around that, we have a massive, I mean, massive slight risk, which stretches from northern Texas and then gets all the way into the Midwest and all the way up into the UP of Michigan, including pretty much all of lower Michigan. And then we got the marginal risk around that in the dark green. And I do want to mention this does extend to areas of New England and a section of the Midatlantic, you know, really close to the DC Baltimore uh corridor. So, what's driving this?

[00:02:16]This is probably what everybody wants to know. What about the tornado outlook?

[00:02:20]Well, right now, and you know, listen closely. Even for me, this is still a little tough to explain sometimes. This is new stuff from the Storm Prediction Center. They started dropping a few months ago for this spring. So, what we got here, and this is the easy part, the red area. This is a 15% risk of a tornado within 25 milesi in the given location. The yellow area you see, that is a 10% risk. The brown area around that, that is a 5% risk of a tornado.

[00:02:46]And of course, the green area is a 2% risk, the lower risk. And this looks kind of odd right here. But anyways, we'll ignore that for now. Uh what about the risk of stronger tornadoes? All right. So, if you notice this black outlined area right here with the black lines going in between, okay, that is what we call a SIG 2 risk for tornadoes.

[00:03:09]This means we have the risk of intense tornadoes in this black outlined area with the black slashes going in between.

[00:03:16]This means that the reasonable max intensity of some of these tornadoes could be an EF3, but of course, they could be stronger than that. maybe up to violence, which the Storm Prediction Center considers an EF4 to EF5. All right, this is centered right here over Kansas, Hutchinson, you know, Manhattan, all the way up to just south of Nebraska City. Includes that small section of southeast Nebraska and northwest Missouri. All right, around that this black outlined area, make it a little bit larger. Black outlined area here with the black dash lines going in between. This means there's a SIG one risk of tornadoes, which means some of these tornadoes, the reasonable max intensity could be around an EF2 in these areas. But of course, they could be stronger in these areas. We know that. Who knows? This might be the day where we get an infamous, you know, EF5.

[00:04:06]Let's hope not. But, um, the the ingredients coming together certainly supports um the potential for some higherend tornadoes. So, this is the tornado threat. Now, what about the wind risk? All right, let's not ignore this either because this could upgrade all these storms could develop into a very intense what we call MCS, messoscale convective system. So this red area, let's make it a little bit larger. Sorry for the zooming in, zooming out. Uh the red area, that is a 30% risk of damaging winds within 25 milesi given location.

[00:04:37]That yellow area, which includes this huge slight risk, you see me crinkling up my nose. I feel like I'm about to sneeze. Hopefully I don't. That is a 15% risk of damaging winds. But once again, we got a SIG risk of damaging winds. SIG one risk. So in this black outlined area, black dash lines going in between.

[00:04:55]This means we have a risk of hurricane force wind gust. All right, winds that could exceed 75 miles hour. Now, the hail threat is really what's driving this moderate risk upgrade today. All right, so in this pink area, that is a 45% chance of hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter or larger. It's almost a 50/50 shot in this area. Red area, 30% risk of that. And then the yellow area, that is a 15% risk. All right. And once again, we got to discuss sig one, sig 2, sig this, sig that. Right? And sig, I meaning cig, not a cigarette. Right? So in this black outlined area, black slash is going in between. This means that hell could exceed. Hell could be gigantic, 3 4 inch in diameter or larger. Okay. And then this black outlined area, black dash lines going in between. This is where hell could exceed 2 in in diameter or larger. All right.

[00:05:59]Big day of severe weather on the way.

[00:06:01]Now, let's give you that section by section breakdown. We're going to start from the north, work our way to the middle to the heart of the severe weather threat, and then we'll show you the southern section of this. And we're just going to take our time. I want you guys to really get a good idea, a good idea of what could unfold for your neck of the woods today. So, we're kind of zoomed into Michigan, Wisconsin, surrounding states. Not going to ignore anybody here. Okay. All right. Let's start it off. First off, there is some energy to the south in this range here, and I did check the radar. I would say the her models verifying decently well and what's going on. So, we continue to move forward. We're going to watch for these storms to kind of refire as they move off Lake Michigan into lower Michigan. So around 1 pm time stamp up here if you're losing me. We got storms developing across lower Michigan. They could be anywhere really. They'll be moving west to east. So this is one two three four 5:00 6 and then they're pretty much clearing out and getting into Canada. And then we get a bit of a clearing. There's not a whole lot going on, you know, here in Wisconsin, the up.

[00:07:00]And what happens here? We get a huge surge of energy that's going to eject from the southwest to the northeast across this area. And I mean that we're all the way out to about 8:00 p.m. at this point. And then we get into 10. Lot of energy surging through once again southeast Minnesota, moving through Iowa, which we'll take a closer a closer look at here in a second. So for my folks tuning in for Iowa, this isn't really your section quite yet. All right. Then we move to um Oh, I'm sorry.

[00:07:26]This is 10 p.m. I almost said lunchtime.

[00:07:27]Then we move into midnight. It's midnight tonight. Huge surge of storms.

[00:07:32]How well put together are they still going to be? I mean, we'll have to find out obviously tonight, but this looks there's still going to be a lot of energy working with these storms. So, they could still pack a punch. Very strong gusty winds. Who knows? Maybe an isolated tornado. I think it'll be pretty low up here in this neck of the woods. But some hail could be mixed in with some of these storms. And as we move into say, you know, after midnight tonight, this is 2 am, 3:00 a.m., 4:00 a.m., whatever's left over of this, which obviously looks to lose some steam. We'll hit the up of Michigan and overspread Wisconsin. And then the cold front will move in and we'll finally be we'll finally take a break from severe weather after just a nasty last few days. All right, now let's take a look at the Ohio Valley and a section of the Midwest here. And like I said, I looked at the radar and the her model is verifying decently well right now with this complex of storms ongoing this morning. So we take it to about late morning. It's 11:00 a.m.

[00:08:25]Could get some storms hit Chicago. It's going through the heart of Illinois.

[00:08:28]Just moved through Peoria, Springfield.

[00:08:31]And just always remember this isn't exactly what's going to happen. So don't get too tunnel vision on if I got a red or pink area over my specific house. You know, this is just giving us one of the better ideas of how this can unfold. And then we get into early this afternoon, storms are starting to move, you know, into northern areas of Indiana. So, if you live here, storms are going to begin to impact you probably midday, early afternoon. Some more additional convection could get going down here in southern Indiana also. Evansville, Bloomington. But I still think this line of storms is still ongoing. Instability builds out ahead of this line. So, it's able to refire.

[00:09:07]And we could get a lot of heavy rain from this, too. you know, we could get just kind of rounds of storms to hit kind of the same areas, but Fort Wayne getting hit by some storms later on this afternoon. This a lot of just heavy rain and thunderstorm activity in down just across the entire state of Indiana, really the southern half of Illinois.

[00:09:24]We'll cover more Missouri here in a second. And then how will these storms survive as they make it all the way into Ohio around 5:00 p.m. Defiance getting close to Finlay, Toledo, these storms getting close to you guys. And then by the time we get into about 8:00 PM, looks like the northern section of these storms kind of weaken, but they're still ongoing. I think they'll be driven off an outflow boundary. It'll likely be sagging to the south. Raincooled air out is what an outflow boundary is. And these could make it eventually all the way down to Evansville again. And then Louisville, but it shows it weakening pretty fast. And then all of our nasty weather that's ongoing out west.

[00:09:58]Whatever's left over of that, we'll try to move later tonight. I'm talking about after midnight into Illinois. and we'll have to see how much of a punch this is still packing. But looks like it's beginning to lose some steam. So, all right, deep breath because we're going to get into the meat of the severe weather uh part for today. All right, so this around this morning, we got ongoing storms in Missouri, maybe in Kansas. Let me know what you're seeing out there this morning and uh we're going to get to about midm morning and then about lunchtime. So, southerntherly jet, the southern jet is really starting to build across this region as a shortwave trough. Basically, a low pressure is ejecting across the plains. Going to be a big fire risk today to the south of this low where you don't get any rain.

[00:10:42]So, a lot of maximized ingredients are about to come together as we get into this afternoon across this section. We have the higher hell threat, higher tornado threat, all hazards threat. So, we start to get to 2 p.m. First off, we continue to get a lot of thunderstorm activity in Missouri. Don't want to ignore you guys. Colia, surrounding states, well, surrounding towns and cities is what I meant. Continue to get a lot of strong to severe thunderstorm activity. But this is the area we watch out for. This is a true oldfashioned triple point being met. Triple point.

[00:11:14]Best lift, best moisture, best storm fuel, best kinematics, best of everything coming together and what normally is a pretty small area geographically speaking. So this is 2 p.m. Then 3 p.m. you start to see these cells developing right here near Lincoln down to Concordia, Kansas. And then you get this maybe few hour period where you have an opportunity for some nasty supercells just like yesterday. We had that one supercell. What was it in Nebraska or Kansas? I apologize. I should know. But you know, all the stormchasers were on it. It was a crazy looking tornado right before a cold front hit it. Um, and it was it was ripping and rolling out there in the plains.

[00:11:57]It'll be a similar day, but more high-end ingredients. And you see these cells developing here. These could produce strong to intense tornadoes. And then we get into five and we get this one cell down here. You got to watch out for that too near Hayes, Dodge City, Pratt, Hutchinson. But these cells will produce all hazards. How quickly will they grow upscale into like a complex of storms? I'm sorry I skipped ahead too much. 6:00. And you can see the pinks and the purples inside these reds indicating more robust updrafts. And we continue to get these storms down here in central Missouri. But man, these storms right here will be violent. Um, please be aware in this area, Omaha, I really think it'll be just south. I mean, there is going to be a section right here in southeast Nebraska to where, you know, 10 miles makes a difference. You know, 10 miles to the west, you might be away from the ingredients. 10 miles back to the east, you're inside that triple point sector.

[00:12:52]So, this is just a a dangerous corridor right here. And then we get into seven and then we get into eight and then these start to get more so clustered up.

[00:13:01]Tornado threat doesn't go away, but it begins to dampen somewhat. All right, so this is 8 8:00, this is nine, this is 10. Storms start to slam St. Joseph, Mville, gets down to Kansas City or hitting De Moines. These storms will still be intense up here in Iowa. Didn't mean to leave you guys out, but by the time we start to get into about 11 midnight, cold front begins to move in.

[00:13:27]I believe just more stable air and whatever's left over of this energy will continue to kind of trail off through eastern Kansas, through the northern half of Missouri, and then we'll begin to enter Tuesday morning. But I'm telling you, it's the it's these storms right here, right here. I mean, three, four, five o'clock, they're going to be the most intense as far as tornado potential. All right, when they're discreet, can take advantage of everything in the atmosphere, right? So, you know, here's just a closer look at some of these towns right in here. And these, you know, this could very well form closer to Witchah. All right, so you know, might form right on top of Kansas City, Topeka. So, don't get tunnel vision on exactly where these storms are, but these are going to be intense, guys. So, um, taking a closer look at the southern mode. This is like the third day in a row I've showed you, and I'm not going to have a whole lot to show you. This is starting off around 10:00 a.m. lunchtime. A little bit more to show you. Southern I'm sorry, northern areas of Arkansas, maybe eastern Oklahoma, you could get some storms. And any storms that do form down here, even though you're lacking kind of enough push in the atmosphere to get them going, a bit of a cap also, um they they could produce all hazards. They could be intense, especially very large hail.

[00:14:45]It's just are they going to form? That's the big question here. So, we get into this evening. I really think as we get into tomorrow, that's when things will get more active. So, as we greet tomorrow morning, we'll talk about this, you know, here in the se next several minutes or so when we go over Tuesday's severe weather threat. This is when things get more active down here today into tonight. A very, very conditional threat of severe weather. Now, let's go over the ingredients for the higherend severe weather threat area. So, we're just going to focus in on this area you see on your screen. You know, Nebraska, Kansas, etc. This is the lower level winds and the upper levels in the atmosphere. So, I know it says upper level winds, but this is it. I know this is very small, 850 mibar, so 4 6,000 ft up in the air. All right, this is what we look for when we're looking for our lower level flow aloft um our low-level jets. So, we start off around 3 p.m. And you're going to see these little streamlines kind of surging from the south to the north. And if you look over here, they're kind of surging back from the north to the south. That is because if if you look really closely, there's a little bit of a spin here. This is our short wave, our low pressure. And as this moves up and strengthens that low-level jet right in here uh maximizes and gets very strong right in here. And if you look at the colors, you compare the colors here with this key. I mean this is like a 40 to close to a 60 knot low-level jet. So there is tons of kinematics, tons of wind shear being generated right into here off this low-level jet. And then you can see right in here the boundary. I love this.

[00:16:17]This is why I love Weatherfront. Uh the the the low pressure is right here.

[00:16:21]here. And you can see how these little streamlines, the directional wind flow is kind of hitting this. So this is sort of our cold front coming down. And then immediately behind the cold front, of course, the flow shifts. But out ahead, you know, this warm front and the warm moist side, you're getting this lowle flow ripping in a lot of low-level moisture, higher due points, higher humidity right up to this triple point.

[00:16:46]And it maximizes right here. This is why we could have the potential for a violent tornado in this area today. And then everything trails off. So in response, you look at the due points and let's back it up a couple hours. You're going to see how you're going to get this pool of moisture of due points that spikes well into the 70s right up into southeast Nebraska. And this is where our tornado threat is going to maximize.

[00:17:08]So you got all this higherend kinematics, wind energy, higherend thermodynamics, moisture. So in response, you get this higherend cape levels. This is mixed layer cape. And this purple area, guys, is this cape levels reaching four, maybe 5,000 jewels per kilogram. This is rocket fuel.

[00:17:28]Something violent can happen here today.

[00:17:30]Whether it's going to be four, five inch diameter hell, an attempt to violent tornado, it's hard to imagine nothing not happening in this area. I mean, you it's it's very pinpointed on the map to me. So, it's going to be dangerous.

[00:17:46]You got to be aware of the ingredients coming together. Could these be could this be positioned a little bit more to the west east? I mean, absolutely. We don't know exactly where this, you know, surface low is going to be. You can tell there's no storm fuel deeper into Nebraska. That's because, you know, you get on the cooler stable side of things.

[00:18:06]But if you look at the significant tornado parameter in response, you're going to see it spike here. And just because you get a high-end number on the significant tornado parameter doesn't mean you're necessarily going to get a tornado, but it's where your better ingredients are. And you're going to see in response to everything that I just showed you how that significant tornado parameter spikes to, guys, I mean like over an 8 n I mean close to a 10 in these areas. So something has the potential to really happen in this area.

[00:18:32]And guys, we can still get tornadoes outside of this area. We know that. I mean, we we we showed you the tornado outlook. It covers a large area, but this is of course the higherend threat.

[00:18:42]And if you look at the updraft of listy swath on this specific run, it highlights this area right here for a more intense updraft, potentially rotating updraft. But you see other areas outside this region, too. So be safe today, guys. Let's talk about tomorrow's severe weather threat. Covers a large area, just not as high in slight risk. And and listen, I could see them kind of putting an enhanced risk somewhere in this area. And if that's going to happen, I think it'll happen somewhere down here. Um, but we'll watch for that. Um, but a slight risk does uh start from the Mexico, Texas border all the way up to the Canadian US border up here. Covers a huge area of the country.

[00:19:19]And what's driving this? There is a tornado threat, but it's more so for the northern mode of this where we're closer to kind of a a short wave or a low pressure that'll be ejecting through the region. 2% risk of a tornado here. And the wind threat pretty much covers the entire slight risk area. 15% risk of damaging winds in this yellow area. And the hell threat is the hell threat is always going to be in the better thermodynamics, guys. I don't know if you yall noticed that, but when we kind of have the leftovers of a of a severe weather threat, the better tornado threat will be in the kinematic area, the better kinematics, which will always be on the northern mode. The better hell threat will be in the warmer mode, which will always be on the southern side. So, your better thermodynamics. So, so you know, just a little bit of a learning lesson there for you. And I had to stop the video there because it sounds like my my daughters are playing Connect 4 like right outside my door and I can just hear all the little things uh beeping and bobbing. But anyways, let's stay focused here. It's been a really good video so far. Let's not get off track. But starting off tomorrow morning, we'll have the leftovers of whatever is going to happen today surging through the Midwest. And I think we'll have pockets of maybe heavy rain and thunderstorms across Ohio. And then as we move into the afternoon hours, we got to watch these little impulses of energy, some thunderstorms, and we got to watch whatever's left over of this.

[00:20:36]Some thunderstorms maybe cruising through western Kentucky, Indiana, Ohio.

[00:20:40]And then you see these cells up here in, you know, southeast Ontario and don't let my get my Canadian places mixed up.

[00:20:48]Yeah, Ontario, Southeast Canada. These could be the ones that actually could produce a tornado. Uh but you know, we're we're we're talking about the US mainly here, but we could have some thunderstorms here in southern New England and then we keep on going. Watch out as some of these storms will try to move into western New York. I'm about to sneeze. Hopefully I don't. And you know, there's not a whole lot to show you for uh this mode down here to be honest with you or up here. Uh but be aware of some storms scattered about across this region. They could, you know, we could have a a more intense run of the herd model here in the coming hours for the northern mode for tomorrow, but it there is going to be widespread thunderstorms tomorrow across the south. Uh this is kind of an area that has not gotten a lot from the last few days. That changes tomorrow and onward in my opinion. And as we start off uh tomorrow morning, we're going to have thunderstorms already developing across eastern Oklahoma. I mean, by lunchtime, 1 p.m., we're going to have some nasty weather surging through Oklahoma. You can see it here getting into Arkansas. And then as we are getting into around 400 p.m.

[00:21:48]Let's make this larger again. Um 400 p.m. big storms. We got a one blowing up around just outside of Snyder, San Angelo. This is the ones that could produce very large hail. Let's make this a little bit larger. Lot of storms surging through Arkansas, northeast uh Texas tomorrow. And then all this activity, we'll get kind of the restrengthening of well just strengthening of activity across western Tennessee, western Kentucky. We'll get storms beginning to move into northern Louisiana. Shows big storms now firing up in Texas. We're not lacking lift anymore. I think we're going to get an enhanced risk somewhere in this area down here for tomorrow. And uh then we begin to surge into uh the late evening hours. And this activity will try to survive as it makes it into Mississippi.

[00:22:33]Kind of the boundary of all this where this all where all this weather is is very slowly sagging to the south. It's not going to be a clean sweep. So, it's going to take a while for the rain chances to increase with the southeast.

[00:22:43]So, but this gets all the way out to 1:00 a.m. Wednesday morning. There's a lot of activity in Texas, a lot of activity across the south. So, we'll watch for that. Um, as far as the pattern coming up, it is definitely not the easiest to explain. And I don't know why I got this up because I'm not really going to talk on this. The pattern coming up. Let's start off with this. I was actually going to skip that, but I think I left it on my uh uh tabs when I was preparing the video. So, we're going to start off the precipitation forecast, and we're going to we're going to kind of start where we left off. We'll start off with Wednesday. I think I said start off about 100 times there, but you can tell there's a lot of energy surging to the south. So, the greens, yellows, areas of reds, this is showers and thunderstorm activity. So, everything begins to sag to the south. So we get into Wednesday and you know then we get into Thursday. You're going to see a lot of activity across the southern tier of the country. We're starting to get some rain finally in the Carolinas and Georgia surrounding states. And then we get into Friday and then we could have a surge of energy that sort of ejects across the northern sections of the country. Watch for that. And then we just continue to get numerous shower and storm activity just across the entire kind of central to southern tier of the country getting all the way up into the Midwest Ohio Valley too. But I think as we begin to move forward, a lot of this stuff gets more so confined to the south. So we start to get all the way into this upcoming weekend. And I really think a lot of this stuff stays further to the south. So this is all the way into next Sunday. This is next Monday.

[00:24:13]And uh this is kind of getting into the longer range at this point. But you can you can tell as we move forward, we get day after day of just a lot of activity for the south. occasional surges of this moisture storm activity moving to the north and uh I I really just think it's going to stay active for the south. I mean gosh, you know, some more snow showing up for the first day of June in Wyoming. That's wild. But anyways, I think that'll be the general pattern.

[00:24:38]And really, it's not the easiest to explain what's coming up. But as we're moving forward, what's really going to drive, and this is the easier thing to explain, what's really going to drive the kind of impulse of storms um is a lot of moisture confined to the south.

[00:24:53]It's already building in. I mean, it's already humid across the south. Now, we had a significant shift in the air mass here Saturday in central South Carolina.

[00:24:59]Has been humid ever since. So, you're going to see this main flow kind of sort of slowly sag to the south in the coming days. And you're going to see more kind of blue try to show up across the south.

[00:25:11]This will begin to allow to get some of that flow to get that push of storms to go across the southeast. So, we start to get more storms across uh the southeast Thursday into Friday. And you can see some southwesterly flow kind of moving up across the deep south. At the same time, you kind of have this trough digging down across areas of the west and central US. And this is surging back uh to the northeast from the southwest.

[00:25:34]So, this might actually help yank some of the moisture generated off a a strengthening southern jet to get yanked further to the north. We'll watch for that. But after that, everything kind of gets averaged out. We got sort of a somewhat of an active flow up here. We got this active southern jet down here, sort of coming up through the southern tier and then riding up through the southeast and everything's merging over the northeast. But kind of a tandem flow uh ongoing. And I was talking about that like several days back before the severe weather got loud in our face. But it just looks like we're going to continue to get this surge from the south. And you know towards and this is the Euro ensemble by the way towards the end of the run. You saw you see this dip in the jet here which might introduce a larger system. And then towards like the last few days of uh May we get this huge spiking ridge and the flow light goes I mean way up here. Good goodness. So that looks uh pretty wild. That's dramatic, especially from the Euro ensemble. So that might be a big signal of a of a big time warm up across the country. Geez.

[00:26:42]Uh but regardless of where the flow is, I think we're going to have enough moisture thermodynamics to get a lot of daily afternoon thunderstorm activity ongoing across the south for the foreseeable future as we get into mid to later portions of this week. And one thing I haven't mentioned, a big reason is for this is placement of ridging of high pressure is now moving off the coast. It already has of the southeast. This is going to allow, and I don't have my drawing tool up here, but this is going to allow rich moist air to get kind of thrown into the southeast.

[00:27:17]So, you mix that with the fact that we're getting kind of somewhat of a southwesterly flow kind of surging up through the south. And this is going to help to sort of compact a lot of moisture across the southern tier of the country. I mean, you're going to have occasional cool down. So, I'm just going to get this in motion for you and you're going to see how this is going to funnel through all the timing and stuff like that. So, we get to the 22nd, next Saturday. This is Sunday, Monday, Tuesday. Well, it's it's going too fast for me. But what you see as we move this in time, moisture, if you're losing me on time, look up here. Moisture stays confined to the south. The areas in purple, that's due points in the 70 plus range. Areas in the blue, that's 60 plus range. So, we're going to get a lot of humidity and heat. So, moving forward, I really think that we're going to get a lot of shower and storm activity across the south, the active southern jet, the uh directional flow around high pressure out here uh to the uh out in the Atlantic and uh yeah, maybe a little bit of squeeze play to the north um allowing for the lift of storms. And there's going to be stalled out stalled out boundary into here.

[00:28:23]There's going to be a lot of little things to figure out here, but we're going to figure it all out. So, and you're going to see the run of the Euro Ensemble. All right, this goes all the way out. This is total rainfall all the way out to about uh Thursday evening this week. Everything mainly confined for the middle of the country. But as we extend this into early next week, we get all the way to the end of next week. And then we just take it all the way to the morning of June the 1st, that is a huge signal for a lot of rainfall across the western deep south, western mids south, and the south central US. And you can see how it's increasing across the southeast itself. I mean, these areas in white here, I mean, this is five to as much as 8, nine inches of rainfall on the Euro Ensemble. This is all backed up from the uh client prediction center outlook as far as precipitation.

[00:29:14]The more green the color looks on your screen, the higher chance of rainfall, of above average precipitation.

[00:29:21]And you can see it's confined to the southern tier of the country. But there's still a chance of above average precipitation even for the northern tier of the country as flow will allow for some of this energy to sort of eject across the northern sections of the country. And then we extend this to the 8 to 14 day range. And I really think that everything will start to stay more confined to the south after that. So, but as far as today's weather, we'll get this in motion. We got snow across the central Rockies. Pretty wild area of energy surging through the middle of the country. We've already kind of talked about that. This will drive more storms further to the east today. And we got energy moving up into Canada. So that's current conditions, watches, warnings, and advisories. Red red flag warnings in this pink. Low pressure cutting to the north. This normally means strong winds and dry conditions. Winter weather alerts across the northern to central Rockies. Uh we got flood watches up along with a higherend severe weather threat across the middle of the country in the green. And uh this is what could happen in the southeast today. You're going to notice you're starting to get surges of storms close to the Bahamas just off the coast of the southeast.

[00:30:23]This is sort of the precursor look of what likely is going to be an active flow over the next several days moving in and we're going to get the combination of that cold front kind of dropping down, flow increasing from the west to the east. But today's weather is pretty quiet. Could have some popup storms in Alabama, maybe Mississippi.

[00:30:42]But tomorrow is the bigger day the further west you get. And then we back this up. We look at the northeast, there's a risk of some severe weather up here and there's a marginal risk.

[00:30:52]Remember, we get into this afternoon, not a whole lot going on, but then some storms could pop up here. So, we'll watch out for that in PA. And then we get into this evening and it doesn't really show a whole lot, but any storms that do form could be strong to severe.

[00:31:05]And we've already talked about the south central US, but here's kind of a quick view of this again.

[00:31:11]And then we'll look out west. Take a look. Now, some of this is snow. A lot of it is, depending on your elevation, but a lot of energy dropping down here.

[00:31:22]And then these are temperatures. Hot day. Hit like 94 here in Columbia yesterday. It's going to be another hot day today. You're already waking up this morning. You can feel how humid it is.

[00:31:32]You know it's going to be hot. You know it's going to be hot. So, this is hot forecast high temperatures across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic today. This is the Northeast. Even hot. I think we hit 9 degrees in Boston yesterday. These are temperatures across the middle of the country. I mean, this tells the story right here. 49 degrees in Broken Bow. You call your neighbor down here in southeast areas, you know, southeast areas of um Nebraska, they they might be in a tornado warning. So, uh yeah. And then out west, well, this is the south central US. I'm sorry. And then out west, this is what you're looking like.

[00:32:07]All right, that's all I got. Thank y'all for tuning in. God bless all y'all. That video went a lot more smooth than yesterday morning's video for sure. So, appreciate all the encouraging words. I kind of skimmed through the comments yesterday. Um, you know, I appreciate that. Just was not feeling that great.

[00:32:23]Sunday morning, and I don't have a Bible devotion this morning. Um, I actually have a Bible verse I'm going to do for tomorrow morning. But I'm telling you, I don't know about you guys, but Sunday morning is when the devil tries to get you. And I don't know why, but sometimes that's when I have my most anxiety is on a Sunday morning. I don't struggle with anxiety, not near as much as I used to.

[00:32:42]Uh, but when I have it the most, it's on a Sunday morning. It's like he tries to get me down. He tries to not let me get out of that house to get to church. And I don't think that's by I don't think that's just a coincidence. I think that's there for a reason. So, don't let the devil get you down. It's Monday morning. You know, it's going to kick everybody's butt just about, right?

[00:33:00]Don't let them do it today, guys. Don't let them do it. Fight back and continue to fight that good fight. God bless all y'all. Stay safe today. big- time severe weather threat and stay aware of what the weather's going to do because if you don't, it could cost you everything. God bless.