This analysis provides a clear scientific explanation of why dry ground can lead to sudden flooding. It is a rare example of local news offering genuine insight into environmental mechanics.
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Deep Dive
Muggy & Warm Wednesday weather includes a chance for heavy rain and isolated severe stormsAdded:
GOING HOME WOULD BE NICE WAY OUT HERE.
ALL RIGHT, LET’S TALK ABOUT THE WET WEATHER YESTERDAY.
WEATHER IMPACT DAY.
YEAH.
A LOT OF RAIN.
THIS WAS THE SIXTH CONSECUTIVE DAY THAT WE’VE HAD MEASURABLE RAIN AT PTI AIRPORT.
NO MEASURABLE RAIN ACROSS THE AREA.
AND BECAUSE THE HUMIDITY HAS BEEN SO HIGH, THERE’S A LOT OF MOISTURE TO PULL INTO THESE STORMS THAT JUST GETS TURNED AROUND AND DUMPED AS RAIN.
SO WE’VE HAD SOME HEAVY POCKETS OF DOWNPOURS YESTERDAY, THE KIND OF HEAVY STRIPE WAS COMING OUT OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL DAVIDSON COUNTY, THROUGH HIGH POINT, THROUGH THOMASVILLE AND INTO THE JAMESTOWN AND GREENSBORO AREA.
YESTERDAY, OVER AN INCH OF RAIN FELL OVER A LARGE STRIPE.
THEIR.
THE COMMUNITIES JUST NORTHWEST OR SOUTHEAST OF THERE DIDN’T GET MUCH.
A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN IS ALL THEY DID, BUT A WHOPPING 1.71IN AT PTI AIRPORT, AND I’M BRINGING THE TOTAL FOR THE MONTH TO MORE THAN THREE INCHES 3.17.
AS A MATTER OF FACT, THAT’S SIGNIFICANT.
FOR THE FIRST TIME IN A LONG TIME, WE’RE ACTUALLY SHOWING A SURPLUS FOR A MONTH FOR TOTAL RAINFALL.
THAT HASN’T HAPPENED SINCE LAST JULY.
IT’S BEEN MORE THAN NINE MONTHS SINCE WE’VE HAD A SURPLUS.
WE’RE NOT GUARANTEED TO FINISH THE MONTH WITH A SURPLUS.
IN FACT, BY MY CALCULATIONS AND MY GORILLA MATH, I THINK WE NEED AT LEAST ANOTHER QUARTER OF AN INCH TO KIND OF GET US THERE.
SO WE’LL SEE HOW THIS PLAYS OUT.
BUT WE STILL HAVE SOME RAIN IN THE FORECAST HERE FOR A FEW MORE DAYS, BUT WE’RE CUTTING INTO THAT DEFICIT A LITTLE BIT.
THE BIG QUESTION IS, AND THE QUESTION I’M GETTING A LOT LATELY IS IS THIS GOING TO REDUCE OUR DROUGHT.
IT MIGHT REDUCE IT SOME, BUT IT’S NOT GOING TO ERASE IT ALTOGETHER.
IT TAKES A LONG TIME TO BUILD DROUGHT CONDITIONS LIKE THIS, BECAUSE THE GROUND IS INITIALLY PRETTY HARD AND COMPACT.
WHEN THE RAIN BEGAN, IT TOOK SOME TIME TO SOFTEN THE GROUND TO LET THE WATER GET PERCOLATING INTO IT.
BUT NOW THAT THE GROUND IS FAIRLY SATURATED, WE SAW TREES COMING DOWN IN STOKES COUNTY, JUST ON THEIR OWN WEIGHT FROM THE SOFT GROUND.
A LOT OF THIS HAS RUN OFF.
A LOT OF THAT RAIN HAS RUN OFF, SO I THINK IT WILL MAKE A DENT.
WE’LL GET AN UPDATE TOMORROW MORNING AFTER THE SHOW, SO BY FRIDAY WE’LL BE ABLE TO BRING THAT TO YOU FRIDAY MORNING.
BY LUNCHTIME TOMORROW, DURING OUR NOON SHOW, WE’LL HAVE A DROUGHT UPDATE FOR YOU, BUT WE EXPECT SOME IMPROVEMENT.
JUST NOT A TON OF IMPROVEMENT.
WET WEATHER CONTINUES TO STREAM IN.
WE GOT A FLOW OF MOISTURE COLLIDING WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT TO THE NORTH, AND IT’S BRINGING OUT SOME SHOWERS.
THE BANDS OF SHOWERS WE HAVE ARE NOT QUITE AS INTENSE AS THEY’VE BEEN, AND THE SHOWERS LOCALLY AREN’T QUITE AS NUMEROUS.
BUT THERE’S STILL, BECAUSE OF THE SATURATION EFFECT THAT WE HAVE, THERE’S STILL A RISK THAT WE COULD SEE SOME ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN OUR AREAS NORTH OF I-40 TODAY.
STILL A FEW RAINDROPS AROUND.
IT IS NOT TERRIBLY WET AT ALL THIS MORNING.
UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.
IT’S MUGGY AND PRETTY CLOUDY AT THAT MATTER, BUT WE WILL SEE A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS.
ONCE AGAIN.
BETTER ACCESS OF RAIN ON THE TENNESSEE SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS.
SEVERE STORMS ARE A POSSIBILITY TODAY.
THEY WON’T BREW FOR A WHILE.
I THINK MIDDAY EARLY AFTERNOON WILL START TO SEE A FEW CELLS POPPING UP IN THE MOUNTAINS, TRACKING INTO THE TRIAD.
MORE OF AN AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO FADE PRETTY QUICKLY.
ONCE THE SUN GOES DOWN TONIGHT, THE PRIMARY RISK IS GOING TO BE DAMAGING WINDS.
FOR THAT.
WE HAVE SOME FOG IN THOSE RAIN SOAKED AREAS FARTHER NORTH, ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING A BIT COOLER.
HALF MILE VISIBILITY FROM GALAX TO JEFFERSON HIGH AROUND 83 DEGREES.
TODAY.
IMPACT ICONS UP FOR WHEN WE COULD SEE SOME STORMY WEATHER IN THE TRIAD, LIKELY AROUND 4 TO 8 P.M. TODAY.
WINDS OUT OF THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 8 TO 15, GUSTING TO 20.
A LITTLE BIT OF AN EARLIER IMPACT IN THE FOOTHILLS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 80S THIS AFTERNOON.
AND THE LAST THING I’LL SHOW YOU IS THE MOUNTAINS.
HIGHS AROUND 75 DEGREES.
AFTERNOON THREAT ABOUT A 5050 CHANCE.
WE’LL SEE SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS UP THAT WAY.
A FRONT FINALLY PASSES THROUGH TOMORROW THAT BRINGS A FEW STORMS IN THE TRIAD.
TOMORROW.
ONLY A 30% C
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