The video skillfully leverages macro-economic rebalancing data to lend a veneer of institutional credibility to what is essentially speculative altcoin promotion. It successfully converts complex market structural shifts into a sensationalized narrative designed to trigger retail action.
Deep Dive
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Deep Dive
BITCOIN $165 BILLION WARNING!!!!
Added:All right, so the market is not feeling too terrible right now. Bitcoin is 63,600, having a nice move quickly to the upside over the last few hours. It is the weekend, but of course, because it's the weekend, we're going to have some updates when it comes to the geopolitical tensions, which you guys need to be aware of because this could create extreme volatility over the weekend for the crypto market. Plus on Monday, we do have some outlooks that aren't looking too good going into the week and the rest of this month that you guys again need to be really aware of so you know what you should and shouldn't do with your portfolios. Now, if we take a look at Bitcoin's chart, like I said, 63,000 here. We are slowly stepping upwards here in slight uptrend. You could argue this is a smaller scale bare flag starting to form. We're going to have to wait to see here. But as we pushed up to the $67,000 region, we got rejected. We put in a support 62,04. And the last two days, we have slowly been creeping upwards. Now, nothing too bullish yet here. I would say we'd have to bake 65 and 67 to really think we could make a nice move to the upside.
But depending on how you look at it, like I said, it could be the start of some bare flag forming. Again, just very similar to what we've seen before. Time will tell here, but you can see the bottom of this cost of production cloud here is acting as a very strong support for Bitcoin throughout this bare market.
Not really closing any substantial amount of days below this cloud yet. So, this could be the line in the sand. I'd be watching it very closely. Just before we jump into the video, please remember nothing in this video is financial advice. I am not a financial adviser.
Crypto is extremely risky and no results are guaranteed. There are some affiliate links in the description and I may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Now, if we do lose this support of about $60,000 here, of course, I'm going to be expecting the low50,000s.
If we get the low 50,000s, that's where I'll be deploying my next large tranch of capital to buy Bitcoin. That's my plan. I'm going to stick to the plan.
And as you know, I also trade the bounces, guys. Right now, we see the Bitcoin trade and just a little over $10,000 of profit. Just waiting patiently in case there is a move to the upside. I also have a few uh trades open on the stock market, uh SpaceX as well as the market panicked the other day. It came down, so I went long on that just in case we get a violent move to the upside, say on Monday. Now, I did those trades over on UBIT, guys. And like I said, you can actually get up to $10,000 of a position voucher air dropped into your account, guys. So, you can take advantage of that. Plus, you can actually get up to $50,000 of USDT in welcome bonuses. Plus, we have our completely free Telegram group that you get access to if you use UBIT yourself.
So, all of those links are below this video. It's actually a lot to offer. And like I said, Yubit's partnered here on the channel and they've been providing as much as possible for their users and people are seemingly loving it. I myself love trading on Yubit. It works really well for these uh Tradfi trades and my Bitcoin trades. And there's a ton of other stuff like prediction markets now as well on there. So if you want to check it out guys, links are in the description. But the US peace talks in Switzerland may start literally today.
The US envoy and Iran's foreign minister are heading to Switzerland. Insiders say that the peace talks may begin despite recent strikes in Lebanon. This is extremely important for the markets going into next week. Of course, the US is preparing also apparently, which seems very confusing because we see one day yes, one day no, one day yes, one day no, but apparently preparing to release billions in frozen Iranian assets. US and Qar are working on a mechanism to unlock billions of dollars in frozen assets starting with $6 billion held in Qatar. While Washington insists no taxpayer money is being sent to Iran, critics argue that sanctioned and relief, oil export waiverss, and access to frozen funds amount to massive economic lifeline to Tran. So we keep like I'm pretty sure yesterday Trump was saying there's no money being sent, there's none of that. But I don't know this going to continue. This is going to be a story that continues to unwind. At the same time, we have White House Steve Wickoff traveling to Switzerland as well for expected nuclear talks. Iranian foreign minister is also expected to travel like we know while Vice President JD Vance participation remains unclear.
The talks were previously postponed after Iran suspended negotiations over the Israel Hezbollah fighting. So again guys, up and down, up and down. It's going to continue to be a volatile market. But what continues not to be volatile is the US money supply hitting a new all-time high of 22.8 8 trillion expanding by over 400 billion in 2026.
This capital is likely flowing into the stock market which we are seeing but not into the crypto market. Right? Bitcoin is still down 50% from its October peak which is arguably undervalued right now.
And I think it's very clear we're going to continue to see patterns like this until the excitement comes back. Right here is where the market is excited.
Right here is where the market is not excited. Right here is where most retail actually lose money because they buy.
Right here is where retail actually lose money because they sell. But winners in these markets, in my opinion, a dollar cost averaging here and they're selling here. This is the same process we've seen. Rinse and repeat over time. And yes, you could wait to buy Bitcoin lower. Sure, if you would actually deploy significant capital lower, you may get that opportunity. I myself know full well that if I just wait until 40k, 30k, 50k, whatever it is, I will not deploy the amount of capital I want. So a simple DCA strategy getting heavier and heavier as the price gets lower and lower is what I've decided to do. Now there's another big warning. This is coming from one of the big banks. 165 billion of forced selling could hit the market in the next few days. This is one of the largest quarter end rebalancing warnings from JP Morgan that they have ever issued. So the TLDDR here guys is that 165 billion in forced stock selling by major institutions like US pensions uh Japan's GPIF uh and Norway's and Norway and Swiss SNB due to quarter end rebalancing by June 30. A strong stock gain have pushed portfolios above their target equity allocations. This is a mechanical structural selling, not opinion-based.
Nearly 3x larger than last quarter's estimate. However, similar big warnings in 2023 and 2024, sorry, 2025 were fully absorbed by buybacks and inflows and the markets kept rising to new flows. So, they are sending out a uh big warning here. 65 billion of for stock selling, which in my opinion, you know, into the S&P 500, for example, into the NASDAQ, which are at all-time highs. Maybe it shakes it off a bit, but I don't see this being too worrying at all. We still have the AI trade absolutely rocketing, which is actually what's holding up most of the market with the Microsofts, the Metas, and even the Amazon's recently down. I think those are the opportunities in the stock market if you are looking for stock market opportunities. Now with that said, we also have another forced selling event that is coming. More than 95% of or not forced forced selling is the wrong word here, but more than 95% of SpaceX stock will be unlocked in I think this is a pretty you know it's a bit of an overreach but in sell insiders will or can start selling billions of dollars of SpaceX in just two months. Today is about 5%. This is why remember uh I don't know if I spoke about it much on here about SpaceX but on my stock channel which you can find linked below this video we actually spoke about the fact because there's a low float of SpaceX it has the ability to actually go up just like it has right there's not many stocks shares on the market therefore the volatility is big think about it in crypto you know when there's a tiny amount of circulating supply the volatility is massive and that's essentially what's happened with one of the biggest companies on earth here but this unlock could result in people selling depending on how feel about it depending on the price. So if this unlock happens, it could be uh a shake for the market and it could then in turn spill over to crypto. Now people always say when I say this, oh when the market stock market goes up, Bitcoin goes down.
When the stock market goes down, Bitcoin goes down. It's so unfair and it just blows my mind that people who say that don't realize that we've only been going down for 256 days. We spent 3 years before that going up, but yet people think that we only go down. It's bizarre and it's something that happens every time. Remember exactly the same thing right here. Exactly the same thing right here. Exactly the same thing right here.
It's actually crazy. Like it's actually a crazy mentality to be like Bitcoin only goes down. Crypto only goes down.
Like it's wild. If you were in altcoins that did not run in the last bull run.
We had a massive meme season. We had a massive move for altcoins. Sooie, XRP, uh Salana. Massive moves, guys. Massive.
Lots and lots of money. the market cap.
If you check the actual market cap, we did have an alt season. It just wasn't the one that people expected. So instead of being angry, jaded, pissed off, learn from it. Learn going into the next bull run and change your thesis. My thesis is now the altcoins with the ETFs are the ones that are probably going to do the best. So those are simply the ones that I'm focusing on. The ones that have institutional excitement, those are the ones that I'm focusing on. And then Bitcoin, guys, Bitcoin outperformed consistently forever because the thing is if you choose 10 altcoins, most likely five, six of them are going to do nothing. One of them is going to rally, maybe two of them are going to rally, and then three of them go down or some or zero or whatever. And it just averages out as underperforming Bitcoin.
So what I'm doing, I'm buying the institutional altcoins. I recently bought Salana and Sooie. I'm buying as much Bitcoin as I possibly can. And I'm also trading Bitcoin on futures because my thought process is, well, if I can buy Bitcoin with 10x leverage, that's probably just as volatile, just as upside potential as buying an altcoin that does really well, right? 10x Bitcoin. And I believe in Bitcoin far more than I believe in basically any other altcoin. So, that's how I'm playing this market, guys. And so far, I'm doing these trades right now on Yubit. It works really well. Like I said, you might want to check out the prediction market. they you can actually take part in the World Cup and predict different things and government and all of that stuff all on Yubit while being able to trade futures for both crypto and trad. So if you want to get involved, maybe you want to trade uh uh SpaceX like I am, you can do that on Yubit. And if you use the affiliate link below the video, you can get up to 50,000 USDT in a welcome bonus. But of course, always do your own research. If you want to get this $10,000 position voucher, you need to deposit $10,000 yourself and trade more than 2 million in volume. This is very doable for traders who know what they're doing, large traders, whales, not even whales, just people who often trade. This is something that is very much possible and something you could generate a lot of profit from from Yub if you have a proper strategy. If you don't have a proper strategy, you can get entirely wrecked. There is risk, right? I'm not telling you guys who don't have any experience to do this, but if you are a trader and you want a new platform that's willing to give you bonuses to join, Yubic could be an answer for you.
So, I will leave the link in the description. Remember, there's also a link to the Telegram, too, if you want to come over and join that. And with that said, I'll see you guys in the next one. Peace.
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