The Biggest Bitcoin Buying Opportunity Of 2026 Is Getting Closer

[00:00:01]A farmer from 1875 may have just called the biggest opportunity of our lifetime.

[00:00:13]Not a hedge fund manager, not a central banker, not a billionaire investor, an Ohio farmer.

[00:00:23]His name was Samuel Benner.

[00:00:26]After losing everything during the panic of 1873, Benner spent years stuttering studying market history.

[00:00:36]What he discovered became one of the most famous cycle charts ever created.

[00:00:42]And according to that chart, 2026 is supposed to be the year of panic.

[00:00:51]A year of high prices, a year when everyone bugs out and sells, a year when fear reaches its peak.

[00:01:01]Think about that for a second.

[00:01:04]150 years ago, a farmer predicted a cycle that points directly at the year we're living through right now.

[00:01:15]And here's where it gets real interesting.

[00:01:18]When stocks topple, crypton crypto definitely starts to bottom. Let me say that again.

[00:01:26]>> [snorts] >> When the stock market tops, crypto bottoms, when retail investors panic, generational opportunities appear. And today we're going to be breaking it all down, looking at the Benner cycle, Bitcoin's 500-day clock, our active short position, why Strategies' Bitcoin machine may have just stalled, why SpaceX public market cousin is already cracking, and why Ethereum may be setting up for one of the biggest moves of the cycle. So, let's get into it. Welcome back, crypto crew. It is your boy, Tom, here bringing you the hottest Bitcoin and crypto action. If you like what you see, give us a like.

[00:02:12]Make sure you hit subscribe, and make sure you come on over to X, and follow us on X, where we talk about Bitcoin, crypto all day, every day. And we introduce you to over a 100 year cycle predictions.

[00:02:28]>> [sighs] >> Oh.

[00:02:30]Because we are crypto maniacs. And the information that we give you is like an adrenaline shot with steroids.

[00:02:36]And you always leave with a triple shot cappuccino. All right, let's get right into it, okay?

[00:02:44]The Samuel Benner cycle.

[00:02:47]If we really look at this chart, it's very fascinating.

[00:02:51]Samuel Benner published this chart in 1875.

[00:02:54]Not 1975.

[00:02:56]Not 2005.

[00:02:59]1875.

[00:03:03]Now, his works basically suggests that you know, suggests that markets move through repeating cycles of prosperity, speculation, panic, and recovery. This is way before >> [snorts] >> uh actually uh Wyckoff, or you know, guys that look like to look at Hurst cycles and things like that.

[00:03:22]Way before that. Maybe this is where those guys get the got the idea from.

[00:03:26]However, if we now look at where the cycle points today in 2026, we've had years of good times. We had high prices, the time when everyone really wants to sell.

[00:03:39]The time when fear dominates headlines right now.

[00:03:43]And that's exactly why we're paying attention, because the greatest opportunities, they don't arrive when everyone feels comfortable.

[00:03:51]They arrive when people are terrified.

[00:03:53]Now, they're not completely terrified yet. A drop below the 60,000, 59,001 would actually spark some terror in the marketplace. Now, stocks they're approaching a major cyclical peak and that could align perfectly what what we're expecting in crypto. A final washout, a final capitulation, a final opportunity to get long. Now, this is not financial advice. This is basically what history has told us. Maximum opportunity shows up when maximum fear shows up. Now, I'm going to take you over to the Bitcoin 500-day clock. I want to show you that chart.

[00:04:34]Now, this has got a bit better of a track record. Bitcoin's 500-day cycle.

[00:04:41]If we look at this, buy 500 days before halving, sell 500 days after. Every major bottom, every major top. 2015 marked the bottom, 2017 marked the top. It was actually perfect.

[00:04:56]2018 a bottom, 2021 a top. Again, perfect.

[00:05:02]2022 bottom, 2025 126,100 top. Again, now, the cycle suggests 2026 is where the max next major low should form.

[00:05:19]The green circles consistently consistently marked accumulation zones.

[00:05:25]The red circles on the chart have consistently marked distribution zones.

[00:05:31]And right now, we're moving towards another green circle. That doesn't mean price can't go lower than this circle.

[00:05:38]It can, but really that's a deep that's very, very deep. And that would actually spark the most terror that the marketplace has ever seen in quite a long time.

[00:05:49]So, really what it means is that we're moving from you know, period where long-term investors should be paying the closest attention because patience is the key. Now, I'm going to take you over to BTCC, the broker of our choice, and show you the shorts that we have that we actually have pasted in our free pro trading community. And I can't stress enough, you guys and gals got to get into the fro the pre-fro Let's try that again.

[00:06:18]You got to get into the free pro trading community. Free fro, I like that. Free fro trading community. All right, let's come on over to BTCC.

[00:06:29]Here we are on BTCC, the broker of our choice, low fees, fast execution, everything you could want in a broker.

[00:06:36]As you can see, we have our open position short at 67,000.

[00:06:41]Right now, 4,020 bucks in profit.

[00:06:44]However, however, we have open orders in the marketplace, okay? We're looking to actually open a short in Bitcoin at 70,000.

[00:06:54]>> [snorts] >> We're looking to actually close one of our shorts at 54,000, 55,000.

[00:07:00]These are stop losses. Once we sell at uh close a short at uh 73,000, open a long in Bitcoin at 55,000. It's all in our free pro group. Make sure you get in there. Now, let's show I'm going to take you back to the chart and show you [snorts] the active uh position that we have and we know what where we based our short off of.

[00:07:25]Back [clears throat] on this date right here, we said that this marketplace cannot close below the 63,000 mark, but look to short it up in this area, which we did, which we did. I gave you the levels we're going to take We're going going over those levels again on the 4-hour chart, but right now we're actually drifting down lower. We went down to a low of 62,178.

[00:07:49]We know that the 60,000 is the gatekeeper right now. So, we've been discussing this short set up with our community for weeks.

[00:07:57]While most crypto YouTubers screaming bullish at the 82,000, we were looking at risk on on the side of the downside was actually where the risk was. The market has largely followed the road map. The reason we're still cautious because Bitcoin hasn't completely hasn't really done the full capitulation structure yet. Could we bounce?

[00:08:19]Absolutely, but we're prepared for it.

[00:08:21]We're thinking, yeah, we could get a bounce up to the 70, you know, our stop would be at 73.

[00:08:26]>> [snorts] >> Um could we get the sharp relief rally?

[00:08:29]That's the same This is exactly what happened when we came up here. It already happened. However, however, if it does take out this top of 67, we're looking at, you know, the 69, 70,000 level to actually re-short more again to come right back into the range and potentially break down through the 60 and actually break down through the low of 59,150 to take us into the full capitulation area. And it would It's not going to bounce, uh you know, completely from that point on, okay?

[00:09:01]Now, we got strategy also that the machine is kind of broken. So, finishing this off really until key resistance levels are reclaimed, the larger structure still suggests more downside risk remains.

[00:09:16]This is why risk management, you know, is all important.

[00:09:20]You don't marry We're not going to marry our narrative, okay? We're going to let the market decide. And we're going to actually take you to a chart where we could see the 2022 bottom signal is starting to return.

[00:09:34]Now, if we [snorts] study the past as prologue, this is where things get a bit interesting. If we look at 2022, price made three lower lows.

[00:09:44]RSI made three higher lows. Classic bullish divergence.

[00:09:51]What happened next? Bitcoin exploded more than 700%.

[00:09:56]If we come on over to good old 2026, we got three lower lows, three higher RSI lows. The exact same structure is beginning to appear on the chart. Now, does that guarantee a bottom? No.

[00:10:12]Nothing in trading is guaranteed, but this is exactly the type of setup long-term investors actually should be paying attention to.

[00:10:20]Short-term, more pain remains possible. Long-term, the foundation for the next major bull cycle may already be in the formation, folks.

[00:10:33]Taking you back to a chart that we talked about just a few days ago.

[00:10:38]On-chain data is saying that the bottom is almost in. Now, this is the chart that every bear should fear. Okay, we got a bottom signal here. We're beginning to get the bottom signal here.

[00:10:52]Could we run down to the 50,000 level?

[00:10:55]That's what we're expecting. That's exactly what we're expecting. All right, so let's move on over to the Bitcoin 4-hour chart and let's do some chart work.

[00:11:05]Now, here was the point a few days ago I said that we needed to get up over in order for Bitcoin to actually rally up to 68,000. It did not quite make it. It went to 67,292, 800 bucks away.

[00:11:21]I don't know if I'd call it a victory, but what it does tell me is that since it couldn't do it, there's still inherent weakness in the coin itself.

[00:11:28]Now, we fell through the 64. We're trading right now at 63,000 even on this Friday. Can't wait to get to the pub where I got a few uh pints that I'm I'm just focusing on those pints right now. It's why my my speech is a my my my little uh tirade that I usually go through is a little bit off right now. Um I I just focused on that. Uh so, as it stands right now, this is the short-term resistance 64,000.

[00:11:59]If we pull back down through this low that was created at 62, say three, mark the Bitcoin market is moving back down to the 61 and the all-important $60,000 level. Now, in [snorts] order for Bitcoin to really show any type of recovery strength, okay, it needs to get over 70,000. Now, all you short-term trader, okay, well, um if you're looking to like scoop it, you could actually come back down into this structure right here. You look for your last bear bar right there. You might want to look to buy Bitcoin down at 61, 62. Tight stop loss on it to get [snorts] a brief recovery, but perhaps to like 63 and 1/2, 64,000, which is where I would look to uh lay off the trade. As long as it's got good proper money management, you know, you're risking small and you're getting at least a couple of R value out of it, you know, so that's what I'd be doing, you know.

[00:12:54]>> [clears throat] >> Right now, you know, we're sitting short, so we're happy. We're just holding our short right now, waiting for the market to come to us, come to the lower levels. All right. Now, let's talk about something that we brought up, okay? A SpaceX warning. I mean, we talked about this. I said, "Just don't touch that, you know, until at least 6 months, 8 months, a year later."

[00:13:14]Because one of the most speculative trades in the marketplace right now has just taken a bit of a hit.

[00:13:21]And we posted this on our X.

[00:13:24]That's why you got to follow us on X, okay? That's why we're up for like creator of the year award that you That's why, right here. Stuff like this.

[00:13:33]SpaceX is already cracking. SPCX just dropped 20% from its hits peak.

[00:13:42]A 4% float built the price.

[00:13:45]The unlock is going to break it.

[00:13:48]The crypto FDV playbook is live in front of your eyes on the Nasdaq.

[00:13:57]>> [laughter] >> Look at little Elon right there. Like, "Hey, what are you going to do?" Right?

[00:14:00]What are you going to do? So, we warned you about that. We told you about it.

[00:14:04]SpaceX tracking bill the stock drop, you know, dropped roughly 20% from its highs.

[00:14:10]Hundreds of billions in market value disappeared almost overnight.

[00:14:16]So, you got to ask the question, why?

[00:14:19]Because tiny floats create massive distortions. And when the unlock arrives, reality starts to catch up.

[00:14:26]Crypto investors know the story very well. We watched it happen repeatedly with inflated FDVs. And now we're watching a similar playbook unfold in the quasi-traditional markets.

[00:14:40]The lesson?

[00:14:41]Scarcity creates rallies. Supply creates corrections. Now, there's another post that we have up that's very, very important because it affects Bitcoin.

[00:14:51]But before I take you to that, let me show you how to get into the free pro group.

[00:14:57]Link is in the description of every one of our videos. You click that link right there. You'll be taken over to our Telegram free pro trading community. We drop insane alpha trading opportunities every day. You want to follow us with our broker of choice, you click that link, you'll be taken over to BTCC. You get the same exact prices, low fees, fast executions. That's where you want to be. All right, let me take you over to the next X post that's very, very important for the Bitcoin market.

[00:15:26]>> [sighs] >> Huh, strategy.

[00:15:29]Preferred stock hit an all-time low of $82.

[00:15:35]18% the 100, it's built to hold.

[00:15:39]Why it matters? It helps our Bitcoin position. We are short.

[00:15:45]Below par, strategy can't issue new shares to buy Bitcoin.

[00:15:50]The money machine is stuck in the mud right now.

[00:15:55]And last month, Saylor sold Bitcoin to cover the dividend.

[00:16:00]The first sale since 2022.

[00:16:05]So, something may have broken in Michael Saylor's by the Saylor man's Bitcoin machine.

[00:16:11]Right? We We know that it's trading near 82.

[00:16:15]When it trades substantially below the $100 level, raising fresh capital becomes much more difficult. And that's important because strategy's entire Bitcoin acquisition engine depends on capital markets.

[00:16:28]If that financing mechanism slows down, one of Bitcoin's largest buyers loses flexibility.

[00:16:38]It doesn't mean Bitcoin is doomed, far from it. But it does remove a major source of automatic demand. And markets notice when liquidity changes. Stay on your toes, folks.

[00:16:52]Get into the free pro group. All right, we're going to move on over to Ethereum because Ethereum itself I I It's It's a really important pattern that we're going to dissect right now.

[00:17:03]Now, this is a chart that we first showed you months ago.

[00:17:09]And it's probably, for us, one of the most important Ethereum charts you're going to see all week.

[00:17:16]Just study the pattern. 2016 to 2018.

[00:17:21]Long consolidation, trend line retest, then massive rally.

[00:17:27]2018 to 2021, long consolidation, trend line retest, then another massive rally.

[00:17:39]Now, if we look 2022 to 2026, we have been in one long massive consolidation.

[00:17:47]The same structure is appearing again.

[00:17:49]Now, there could be one more final dump for Bitcoin [snorts] right around that 1460 level. I'm going to take you over to 4-hour chart to show you that.

[00:17:58]But, really Ethereum is sitting at a critical decision point.

[00:18:01]Hold the major support region, and the cycle stays alive. We lose it, and Ethereum faces a much more difficult road ahead. Three cycles, same structure, same setup.

[00:18:15]Now, we just wait for confirmation.

[00:18:16]Okay? Now, let's get into the Ethereum 4-hour analysis.

[00:18:21]Here with the chart points that good old Tom gave you, nailed the exact low. Nailed it.

[00:18:28]Got to be happy about that. We broke up through these levels of resistance. We came right up to the major resistance at 1,850, 1,860, something like that.

[00:18:39]Market failed, came down. Now, it's sitting right below the $1,700 mark. If Bitcoin dumps, Ethereum could actually dump right back down to the 600. That's definitely, in my opinion, potential dollar cost averaging level.

[00:18:55]And really, the main level that I'm looking for is right at 1450.

[00:19:01]So, I'm expecting Bitcoin to take a solid movement downwards. It's going to carry Ethereum with it. But, these are the levels you need to really seriously think about dollar cost averaging.

[00:19:12]Definitely, In my opinion, okay? I'm not telling you to go and buy it because it actually could go down to 1,100. I mean, I I just I I don't want you to Oh, Tom said to buy it. I'm I'm just telling you that's what I'm doing.

[00:19:24]It's got nothing to do with you. Just what I'm doing, okay?

[00:19:29]Uh because we do see Ethereum in the long term $8,000, $10,000. Now, when is that going to happen? Uh we could We're looking at maybe a year and a half, 2 years out.

[00:19:39]Okay? So, I'm also expecting Canton to rally to like $2.50, when? Uh probably 2, 3 years from now.

[00:19:48]So, I'm It's a long hold for me there and it's definitely a long hold for me in Ethereum. So, that's the big picture.

[00:19:56]You got the Samuel Brenner cycle points to to 2026, Bitcoin 500 day clock points 2026, the 2022 style bottom structure that's beginning to appear, fear is somewhat elevated, sentiment definitely is in the trash can, and historically that's exactly when big opportunities begin to form.

[00:20:17]So, the next few months could be some of the most important uh of the entire cycle for this year. You got to stay patient. You got to stay disciplined.

[00:20:28]And most importantly, you got to stay focused on the charts, not the headlines. So, what do you got to do?

[00:20:32]Well, you got to come on over to X.

[00:20:35]You got to follow us on X, where we talk about Bitcoin, crypto all day, every day. What else you got to do?

[00:20:43]You got to do your own research.

[00:20:45]As you know, I'm a trader just like you.

[00:20:47]I don't offer any financial advice.

[00:20:50]What else you got to do? You got to trade with your head, not over it.

[00:20:54]Don't look for one big score.

[00:20:56]Don't do it. What else you got to do?

[00:20:58]Well, if you're trading those short-term charts, you got to enjoy the party, but dance near the door. I'll see you on Monday.

[00:21:06]Right now, off to the races at the pub.

[00:21:09]Cheers.