Several Weeks Worth Of Rain ~ Dries Out Now ~ Surf Ski Weather Cast Includes Possible Northeast Snow

Added: 2026-05-26

[00:00:00]What do you think? You want to jump up and down against the door three times?

[00:00:03]Steve, or you just want to run your furry tail [music] out there quietly?

[00:00:08]Yeah.

[00:00:09]It's kind of gray. And once again, boy, the birds really [music] love these posts. Just like 24 hours ago, it's gray, it's more wet, and there's a robin on the stake over there. That's our our fence. How do you like the fence? It's [music] 8:28 a.m. 62 indoors and warming up outdoors 56. [music] That's warmer than it was all day yesterday.

[00:00:31]On this not back to work Monday, but reflective and respectful Monday.

[00:00:39]It's Memorial Day and the unofficial start to summer. And it's been chilly, and it's been damp. I have now been walking in the rain for about 4 days. This front that came through last Wednesday, Thursday, went south, stalled, rained and rained and rained, and then came back north and rained and rained.

[00:01:00]So, this is the fifth day in a row I've getting my feet wet and my head wet. And we just had the beach groomer go down along the beach, so we've got freshies. We've got a fresh groom George Lane Beach.

[00:01:13]And also some grooming was done last night on the Superstar trail where the day started foggy at Killington, but the fog is lifting and the rain is ending, and this is day number 183 continuous days of lift served skiing in New England, and Superstar is looking good. Great job, Killington. The sun comes out this afternoon.

[00:01:38]And so, it's the last ski day lift lift served, anyway. We're going to hear from our friends that were at Mount Washington in a little while. So, what about surf weather?

[00:01:47]As a jet takes off towards the east and then south, that's going to turn around because the wind's going to turn around.

[00:01:53]So, here's the view out the window at the Beachcomber in Wellfleet this morning. Look at those waves, raindrops, and fog this morning. And the buoys are reporting about a 4-5 ft choppy 5-6 second ground swell. So, maybe some short boarders and maybe long boarders late in the day or tomorrow. I do intend to head towards the Beachcomber in the next 24 hours. See if we can't gather T-Rex. So, we do have surf ski weather and improving weather.

[00:02:24]It's going to be slow though this morning. How much rain did you get at your house over the last several days?

[00:02:30]Here's the view from the Mid-Atlantic where we chased the storm south to Maryland where 3-4 in, that's more like 4-5 weeks worth of rain since last Wednesday. You see all those and it's continuous. It's not like one or two people got it.

[00:02:45]I mean one or two communities. I mean all these communities came in with 2-4 in of rain from North Central Maryland to Western Long Island. And so that's since Wednesday. And then in New England, it's only been raining since about Friday in parts of Connecticut.

[00:03:00]And I've heard that we've had 2 in of rain around Westport. So, now we're changing the view here to Southern New England. And the most I see on here is 1.94 in in Old Lyme, Connecticut. And 1.4 on Martha's Vineyard. So, that's really helpful. So, that goes a long way to watering our lawns and our gardens.

[00:03:17]It's not going to solve the deep dry soil issues, but that's certainly helpful. And right around my house, we had less than a set of 3/4. So, Brian there, you in Mansfield, Massachusetts to TK in Weymouth. We had some of the least amount of rain. And as you go north, and the numbers built up. So, what a terrible forecast by the GFS last week.

[00:03:37]Much better from the Euro. Wait to see what these things have in store for us late this week. So, there are the numbers in Vermont. A lot of spots did come in with 1-1 1/2 in of rain, especially on the west side of the Green Mountains, which I find interesting when the wind is coming from the southeast.

[00:03:52]You usually think it'd be on the other side. And much of New Hampshire and southern Maine where it's still raining past it an inch and a half. And let's look at our rain gauge here, right a half inch on the nose and there's one more shower to go. And by the time I get this published it's probably done raining. Most of the ceremonies and parades this morning have been curtailed back a little bit for 11:00 a.m. and that's when the backside of the rain's going to come through here. So here's the radar showing the rain across all the way up into south-central Quebec. This rain extended way farther north than any of the guidance had it. Weather is hard.

[00:04:29]You got to do the play-by-play. And between 7:00 and 8:00 a.m. Pittsfield, Massachusetts had a quarter of an inch of rain. So it's a pretty good downpour.

[00:04:36]So now let's use the HRRR and take this out for the rest of the day. And as you're watching this it's probably if you're one of the first watchers about lunchtime and that's the back edge of the rain. So the rain kind of fallen apart in eastern Massachusetts and Maine. And the clock up there 18Z is 2:00 in the afternoon. Most of us are dry. Eastern Maine will be drying out at that point. And then you have the wind from the west and the southwest. It's uh Fagawi race back uh towards Hyannis. I don't know if there's racing on a Monday, but uh the breeze is going to be from the southwest and picking up and then the sun goes down. It's pretty nice in western New England and then we're between fronts for tomorrow. That looks like Tuesday's are good if you can get them. The sun's going to be out. Sun and clouds mixed in a lot of spots. West wind and with the thicknesses of 558 to 564. That means our high temperatures tomorrow going to be 78 to 84. That's just a cheat on how to do the forecast based on those red numbers, the thickness lines. And we've been talking about that a lot. And this takes us out to 2:00 a.m. on Wednesday and you can't really make it out, but there's a weak cold front coming into far northern New England on Wednesday, but it's still going to be a nice day. That low going to to north on Wednesday is not going to do much.

[00:05:48]And here's how much QPF, how much water is falling from the sky and this is again initialized at 2:00 a.m. So, a lot of this is between 2:00 a.m. and 10:00 a.m. before I even get this published and you see most of eastern Massachusetts kind of just kind of maybe a stripe of somebody getting another quarter to a half there somewhere near the Cape Cod Canal, but near my house and much of Plymouth County, Bristol County shows hardly any rain to be added to what we already have and then in Maine, eastern Maine also uh has a a a possibility of seeing a half to 1 in additional rain from Penobscot Bay uh to the border with New Brunswick. So, that's uh the rainfall and that's through 2:00 a.m. on Wednesday, but it really is all in uh our Monday midday.

[00:06:33]Looking at these peony here, peony getting ready to pop. So, we have popping peony this week. The ants will be climbing all over them. See if we can see any ants. They love uh I think the nectar and the juice of this peony will be out. Tomorrow is peony day here and they look wonderful, don't they? And what about surf? I I talked about that beachcomber cam, but uh there is wave activity out there and last night on Nantucket Sound, the wind did gust to 31 knots at about 8:00 last night and if I look at the map this morning, I'm going to put all three numbers on there. We've got the black is the temperature, the blue is the dew point. Temperature and dew point both 50 at Matinicus Rock where the red number is the wind gust to 36 mph. These are in miles per hour, but for the most part there's no wind. There was just a subtle wave and that old high pressure system um moving off into the ocean and this weak low pressure system generated that kind of wind that's now abating and the other numbers there mostly uh hardly any wind. It's calm in most of New England. It was calm to start the day with temperatures and dew points in the mid-50s.

[00:07:34]What is fog? Fog is a cloud touching the ground when your temperature and dew point are together, but as the sun gets higher in the sky and the air starts moving in from the west, the temperature's going to go up, the dew point is going to go down, and that's going to give us breaks of sunshine.

[00:07:48]This afternoon is not that bad. I'll be heading south to celebrate William Albert Kelly's 30th birthday, my godson.

[00:07:57]Uh it was actually yesterday, but uh so we're going to have some family time and uh head for the beach tomorrow and at least get to visit T-Rex. It's a very busy week again. And how's the weather going to go the rest of the week? Well, it's looking a lot more like uh late April than late May when it gets to about Wednesday and Thursday. And I looked at all the global guidance, the Canadian, the Euro, and the GFS pretty much agree that this cold pool aloft is going to come in and make for a very challenging and maybe wet and maybe pretty cold forecast and maybe a snowflake in New England before we're done with the month of May 2026.

[00:08:34]>> [laughter] >> It's that cold. There's a There's a major block in the atmosphere in Halton, Ireland to Central Europe. It's uh it's a heatwave now and uh we have uh upper low that's going to cut off over California, an upper low is going to cut off over southeastern Canada. There's going to be hot in the middle of the nation and perhaps snow before the week is done in California and Nevada and perhaps even the mountains of New England. So, we'll go to the GFS. Last week we're going back and forth between the GFS and the Euro and then at one point I said the the Euro was going to try and have it snow in the Catskills this week, so I'm going to go back to the GFS. Now, the GFS is saying the same thing. They've been going back and forth and so there goes our rain out of here.

[00:09:15]Low pressure goes uh to the east of New England, the wind is from the west, high pressure uh it's a warm high stretches from the northern plains down to the mid-Atlantic states, and so it's real nice Tuesday and uh Wednesday, low pressure is going to our north, a weak front's going to fall into uh northern New England, but it's not doing much. But watch what happens to the north of New England. At the same time there's an upper low with some snow near Nevada and California. Same thing's happening in eastern and northeastern North America, and it's a backing upper-level low-pressure system that's going to develop a surface boundary and then cyclogenesis developing by late Thursday and Friday. We have low pressure tracking from near Montreal, and it's moving toward the southeast, a rather unusual path, especially for this time of year to have low pressure strengthening across central New England with strong wind on the north side. Uh this looks like almost a pseudo nor'easter sans very high pressure, not that much height in the north, but it gets deepening down below 1,000 millibars with the back edge of rain looking heavy on Friday night and early Saturday over Cape Cod, then that thing goes away. So hopefully most of us are going to be drying out after Thursday night Friday showers, and by Saturday afternoon, maybe it looks good again, but then Saturday night, here comes another upper-level low deepening with an additional front coming down over us next Monday, and each one of these has the thicknesses of 534 to 540. So you saw some blue spots on there indicating that the highest elevations in the northeastern United States, southeastern Canada may end up with snow. And if this signal stays consistent, I'm going to end up showing a snow map for the last days of May and then the very first days of June. We're on the cold side of the front. We're stopping this now at 11:00 a.m. on Tuesday, June 2nd.

[00:11:05]And it shows a 540 line with some green there, cool rain showers in Maine with low pressure south of Nova Scotia, not a very strong low, 1,007 millibars, but so cold and unstable aloft. Those would be sprinkles. No big storm there.

[00:11:22]Any big storm would probably be in the the Friday early Saturday frame. And now at this point, this is Tuesday, 2nd. We have a 1023 cold high-pressure system in Ontario, and then we have another 1023 very similar hot high pressure system over Missouri. So it'll be kind of cool on the west coast, very hot in the middle of the nation, and then very cool in eastern Canada and New England to open up June 2026.

[00:11:46]And I just opened up my eyes because I say all that stuff with my eyes closed cuz I'm visualizing the maps I memorized earlier. And there are our sailboats pointing toward the west-southwest, and I can feel the thinning of the clouds, but there's another batch of showers that are going to come through here. So often what happens is you get to uh some subsidence ahead of the updraft, that is that next batch of rain is going to come through. So we're not quite done with the rain, but by the time you watch this, most of you, we are done with the rain.

[00:12:15]And so uh yesterday, I want to give a shout-out to some of my friends. Peter uh went skiing up on Mount Washington with his buddies, and that was on Friday and Saturday, and Sean Beckione was up there, and he ran into a TK fan.

[00:12:32]Uh so shout-out to Peter and everybody that was up on Mount Washington hiking for turns. Still these gullies of snow left on Mount Washington. And uh shout-out to Nate Cats.

[00:12:43]Thanks, Beck, for sharing the video of Nate launching into these steep, narrow couloirs on Mount Washington where there's just enough snow to get us up there into June. And uh one more day of lift serve skiing today. So surf ski weather. Beck, you going to come down? We going to surf together on Cape Cod tomorrow? All right. Yesterday's weather today.

[00:13:06]And more.

[00:13:07]And more.

[00:13:09]And finally a steady rain with not too much wind.

[00:13:13]And the launch just brought somebody out to the sailboat. I don't know if anybody got off the launch. Maybe they just had to check in and say hello.

[00:13:22]And so it is finally raining. A very low tide.

[00:13:26]Look at those boats on the mud over there. Houghs Neck.

[00:13:30]And on TV there's a a big race and it looks like the rain has lit up in Indianapolis.

[00:13:37]And boy, those robins really love those posts down there.

[00:13:42]Birds really love those sticks in the backyard.

[00:13:45]That imaginary fence right there.

[00:13:48]Is that Is that a chickadee or a sparrow?

[00:13:51]And a robin.

[00:13:55]And some raindrops.

[00:14:00]And the cats are just indoors chilling.

[00:14:03]Oh, yes. Not in a hurry Sunday. Where does one cat end and the other begin?

[00:14:08]It's hard to tell.

[00:14:09]Indianapolis 500's getting going on TV and the rain is just about arriving in Boston.

[00:14:16]Just had a snowy egret down there. It's just been a tedious slog.

[00:14:23]That's a sparrow. That's song sparrow. I hear that one.

[00:14:29]Mayflowers.

[00:14:32]Birds are singing. Rain is falling.

[00:14:35]Good indoor day.

[00:14:36]Not in a hurry Sunday.

[00:14:39]The drive nice and calm.

[00:14:45]2:25 p.m.

[00:14:47]Hearing several cannon blasts.

[00:14:51]Believe they're from the South Shore Yacht Club as it's opening day for the 2026 season at the yacht clubs here around the Great Gulf of Weymouth.

[00:15:04]Hingham, Quincy, Hull.

[00:15:06]Can't see Winthrop right now through the fog.

[00:15:10]About 55° very similar to the water temperature and we're getting a steady light rain and the sailboats are pointed toward the east-southeast now.

[00:15:20]As we have an both an incoming tide and high pressure to the north, low pressure to the south.

[00:15:27]Means air coming from the east and southeast.

[00:15:31]Nice job being not in RE.

[00:15:35]Even though they're going 200 miles an hour in Indianapolis.

[00:15:38]We're going about 1 mile an hour in Boston. Not even.

[00:15:43]Taking it easy.

[00:15:43]>> It's called not only in the race, but look at the rain both east and west of Indianapolis. Downpours right on the doorstep.

[00:15:53]Yeah.

[00:15:54]And just a gentle rain falling here in the great Gulf of Weymouth. And watching the Gulf, too. That's pretty exciting.

[00:16:03]I even know uh Clark is running away with it, but they show the sky every once in a while. Just North of Dallas is where they're playing. Look at those thunderstorms just west and south of Dallas with those outflow boundaries. The thunderstorms just sitting there bubbling and boiling with tremendous downpours and lightning.

[00:16:22]About 50 miles south of the PGA today.

[00:16:26]Stationary.

[00:16:28]Hot air mass thunderstorms.

[00:16:31]TCU's. 53° about 6:00 about 5 days ago, Tuesday and Wednesday, the beach was packed.

[00:16:41]Pre-Memorial Day weekend.

[00:16:43]Ah.

[00:16:45]Poor timing.

[00:16:49]Uh we need the rain.

[00:16:52]Hey John.

[00:16:54]Conclude this Monday and uh pay our respects to those who gave for us.

[00:17:02]On this Memorial Day, iris in bloom.

[00:17:07]Every city, town, village has a green where you can go pay your respects.

[00:17:17]On this slow drying Monday.

[00:17:22]You watch the time lapse.

[00:17:25]Down near the ground, the clouds are moving from east to west.

[00:17:32]That's away from the camera here in Weymouth.

[00:17:35]Up in the sky, the wind is from the southwest.

[00:17:40]Warmer air trying to overrun the colder air.

[00:17:44]And a steady rain.

[00:17:47]Nowhere near what the NAM said, but a lot more than the GFS said several days ago when it said it was going to be a dry weekend.

[00:17:55]And in Dennis, southeast wind is going to be from left to right, if I'm correct.

[00:18:11]It's not the best weather for Memorial Day weekend, but it all comes in waves.

[00:18:18]And we appreciate all we have.

[00:18:22]Very fortunate and blessed.

[00:18:26]Paying our respects today to those that died in the service of our country.

[00:18:33]In this case, Republic of Vietnam.

[00:18:37]And these are the veterans from Weymouth, Massachusetts listed on these plaques.

[00:18:43]And so, we'll be back on our Tuesday. It's good if you can get it.

[00:18:50]And it shall be a much brighter, drier, and warmer Tuesday.

[00:18:58]Talk to you tomorrow. Thanks for watching.

[00:19:01]Keep the comments coming.

[00:19:04]Love you all.