When uncertainty punishes hesitation, rational individuals acting in their own self-interest can collectively destroy what they seek to protect, as demonstrated by Emperor Aurelian's assassination in 275 AD when his officers, unable to verify a forged death list, preemptively killed him to avoid potential execution.
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They Thought Killing a Roman Emperor Was Just a GameAdded:
You are marked for death.
The emperor you serve, Aurelian, had just restored the empire.
A document appears.
It's a list of traitors to the [music] emperor.
Your name is on it.
You don't know if it's real. You can't verify it. No one can. And you don't know who else has seen it.
If it's real and you wait, you die.
If it's real and you act first, you might live.
If it's fake and you wait, nothing happens. If it's fake and you act, you've just killed the emperor for no reason.
So, what's the safest move?
When waiting could kill you.
You act. So does everyone else.
That's how Aurelian dies.
Not because Rome was weak, because of the rules they were playing by.
That's what's known today as game theory.
And conscience is not required to play.
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