It is peak human irrationality to be "broken" by a 74.5% probability of failure. This spectacle perfectly captures the intellectual gap between understanding basic statistics and emotionally accepting their inevitable outcomes.
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The NHL Draft Lottery broke us...本站添加:
11.
>> [laughter] >> And you're hearing the reaction here at Greta. That is a big help to the Canucks. So better than one in four chance now with one digit remaining.
I am gearing up here. Just a sec.
[laughter] Florida's out for those wondering. Big cheer for Florida being out. So what do we know about that combination?
That is what I'm trying to find out.
Three.
There you go.
So if it's a one to five or a 13, the Canucks win the draft lottery. I swear to god if the Leafs win this.
What have I done?
I'm nervous. Are you guys nervous?
Should we do a vibe check in the room here? Vibe check in the room. How's everybody feeling?
A lot of nervous. I heard a lot of nervous there. I heard a lot of nervous.
So yeah.
What's the heck?
Louongo's number one that wins it says technical producer Jacob Lazar. Who's doing a fantastic job by the way. Free the stream froze a couple times but Jacob's right on it. I'm I'm oddly nervous. I didn't think I'd be nervous.
[laughter] Me too. It's weird. Yeah. Jay pass on nervous. He's been doing this for enough. Yeah, but I don't think I've ever seen them this close to the first overall selection.
So I I I I don't want to stall too much because I see the balls moving. The commercial break is weird where you can still see what's going on. They're just keeping the air going in there. But it is a miracle now that they have a three in what? 13 chance I guess.
You know, they started with a 25.5% chance and it's basically the odds have remained pretty constant here as we get down to one final selection of the lottery balls. So the fact that they aren't out at this point is already That that that's a victory in and of itself except that there's no real consolation for being this close in this draft. Of course there is the the second one to come here. Also I had it wrong. I was reading the combinations incorrectly when I said oh the Canucks can't win this drawing.
That was straight up wrong.
Remember what I told you right before you said I'm going to read out these Look at these combinations.
>> [laughter] >> Okay, we're back. We're back here. Let's see it.
Oh man.
1, 5, and 13. Those are the numbers.
Also worth mentioning all those bottom five teams I mentioned that had long odds. They are all eliminated. So that is not a means of the Canucks winning anymore.
10 seconds till the next ball You will hear the reaction here at Greta.
1, 5, or 13.
NO.
>> [screaming] >> WHAT?
IT'S THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS. OH.
That is That's crazy.
That is crazy.
The Toronto Maple Leafs for those that are not watching along. I'm silent here at Greta and I'm sure everywhere across the city.
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