BREAKING: Trump Announces New Iran Deal - w/ JCPOA Negotiator Alan Eyre

Added: 2026-05-24

[00:00:00]So, I was just uh debating with my team.

[00:00:01]They want to put in the thumbnail that an attack is expected shortly or imminent attack by um by the US against Iran. And I'm telling them, I'm having a debate with my producers. I'm like, "Look guys, I really think we're nearing a deal. We've been having this debate for ages." And they mock me whenever I say that. Well, we've got um right now, the last 24 hours have been intense.

[00:00:22]Yesterday, we had jets scrambled from Israel. They went over Iraq and Syria.

[00:00:27]not officially um confirmed but you know it was pretty clear from everyone I spoke to and for from Osent sources as well as well as a refueling tanker that took off from Israel. Iran immediately um closed the airspace in the west and they um put their military at the highest alert. So strikes seemed imminent and also GPS jamming in the region including in Israel. So, it seemed pretty im pretty um clear that strikes were about to happen. And that wasn't the same day that Trump delayed his um said he won't attend his son's wedding, which is wild. Um and he asked his security team, his security advisers to cancel their plans for the long weekend. So, yesterday seemed like a bad day, but then it seems that either it was called off or more likely it was more as a a warning to Iran or it was to get Iran to activate their air defense batteries. So then from a security perspective they can know when they're located. So for more of a strategic maneuver. So that was yesterday. Today we got updates that Iran responded to uh the US. They've sent through an offer through Assamir from Pakistan. The Qatari delegation was there yesterday and Trump is currently okay. So the team sent me something. Let me see where's the team sending me.

[00:01:41]Usually they don't send me. What is it guys? uh JD van, Secretary of War Hexath, uh General Kaine, and the entire National Security Council have been summoned by Trump to the White House situation room for talks on Iran. Um the entire National Security Council have been summoned by Trump and the White House situation room for talks on Iran.

[00:02:00]And he Okay, so my team is telling me, so that's the team that disagrees with me, that doesn't think the war is about to end. So they're criticizing, they're like, "Mario, they're all been summoned because they're about to strike Iran. I think he's about to accept a deal. He spoke to the Gulf countries. Trump spoke to the Gulf countries, which apparently the call went well. He's he's currently speaking to Netanyahu. I think the call is over, but we don't know how that went. And it seems that um Trump, it looks like he wants to accept the deal, at least in my view. My team says it seems the complete opposite.

[00:02:31]Alan, you're the expert there. What do you make of all the developments?

[00:02:35]>> I think you're both right. It's like it's like light being a wave in a particle. You know, we're on a knife's edge right here. Trump is perfectly willing to attack. Israel would love to attack, but there does seem to be a some recent progress made toward, and I would not say a deal because let's let's remind everybody what's being agreed upon, a memorandum of understanding or a framework, which is pretty much negotiations about what we're going to negotiate with. Now in reality I think this is the best the US will get and there will be no future detailed deal that deals with the nuclear issue from what is leaking out and again everyone's leaking different things you know there's an agreement to end the war work on you know opening the straight and then you know a 30 to 60 day dance about the nuclear issue which Iran does not want to lead with so that could be close. You know, it again, it shouldn't be that hard to agree upon what you're going to talk about. But the dynamic is Iran wants all the benefits upfront because it correctly assesses Trump will never close the deal. He'll walk away from this. And US also wants the nuclear deal up front for the same reason.

[00:04:02]in terms of what the details of the deals deal are. So, what we have so far, so according to the sources yesterday, let me see if I've got got it there.

[00:04:10]There we go. All right.

[00:04:11]>> Yeah, >> there's a lot of information. So, um the obstacles according to the discussions yesterday before Iran responded were the US wants a nuclear issue addressed immediately. Iran wants a 30-day trust building period first, which I think Trump is going to concede on that point.

[00:04:29]They'll be somewhere in the middle, but I really think Trump will concede.

[00:04:32]>> The US rejects Iran's proposed toll system for the straight of >> Hamuz.

[00:04:36]>> I think they're going to accept it. And for the the fact that the Gulf countries thought it was a good deal, in my view, it um no, sorry, the call with the Gulf countries went well. In my view, it means that there is some sort of framework where the the control the toll booth and the straight homes will be temporary and the permanent toll booth will probably be shared somehow with the Gulf or there won't be a permanent toll booth. Something along those lines or it could be a very bare bones deal just let's delay the let's end the war formally. Um let's both open the straight of Homo and let's discuss a nuclear program and everything else later. Could be something like that. It could be just such a very basicou.

[00:05:18]Yeah, I mean that's the we I said this I think what the first or second time we talked. President Trump's goal is a brief document where ambiguity is a feature and not a bug. Okay, here's the key. He wants to Yeah, Iran wants to formally end the war to include Lebanon. That's evidently a key a key factor of what Iran wants. You know, again, I think Iran is going to insist on tolling. you know, they can make some noise about it being temporary or fading away, but they're not going to give that up up front and yeah, then later on talk about the nuclear issue. So, it sounds like all the concerns that Iran wanted in these discussions about what we're going to discuss have been met. So, uh uh not a clear victory for Iran, but certainly so far it's going the way Iran wants it to go.

[00:06:13]It doesn't seem like he made a decision.

[00:06:16]>> Well, he did because he decided not to bomb because he realizes that if he attacks, you know, what's that do other than invite massive retaliation about Gulf on Gulf energy infrastructure, right? So, you know, I don't think even President Trump thinks at this point that one final spasm of of excessive, you know, war crime bombing is going to get him across the uh you know into the end zone.

[00:06:48]>> Um the report came in now from Axios.

[00:06:51]According to a regional source cited by Axios, all Arab and Muslim leaders on the call with Donald Trump today urged him to proceed with the deal and deescalate the situation with the message from all parties being quote, "Please stop the war for the benefit of the whole region." The source stated, "The negotiations are moving are moving well with mediators hoping to conclude and announce a one-page framework agreement tomorrow followed by the initi initiation of a more detailed negotiations a few days later."

[00:07:20]>> Yeah, there you go.

[00:07:21]>> Yeah, one page. Mother of God. You know, why not just get a Hallmark greeting card and have both sides sign it? You know, that's craziness. But again, you know, President Trump wants to declare victory and, you know, he's already talking more about Cuba. his mind is already on Cuba now.

[00:07:38]>> So again, if that's what it takes, again, I I called this a month ago. He wants to declare victory, cut his losses, and just move on. Change the topic.

[00:07:49]>> The call with Netanyahu hasn't happened yet. So Netanyahu has remained in contact with US officials throughout the evening and is expected to speak with Trump tonight. Israeli officials remain concerned that an interim agreement will mainly extend the ceasefire, reopen the straight of hummus and gradually ease sanctions without fully addressing Iran's nuclear program and enrich uranium stockpiles. The US has continued reassuring Israel regarding the uranium issue. If um I made a post a few hours ago, I said if Trump doesn't take the deal now, if they he doesn't accept this onepage, >> then he's not calling the shots. that Natala is calling the shots because all indicators like the entire Gulf which are meant to be his allies are telling him take the deal and it's been clear for a while. He just delayed a shipment of weapons to Taiwan >> because they don't have enough munitions. That is wild. That is wild.

[00:08:46]And Ukraine is obviously suff suffering because of the lack of munition stockpiles on the American side. All allies have delays except probably Israel. Um, so yeah, like it it is such a horrible situation already. If a deal is not taken down, honestly, it just there's no way Trump is making those calls, those decisions.

[00:09:07]>> Yeah. And again, it's it's I agree with you, but it's not enough that, you know, Trump says, "No, I'm going to take this deal." Even though it's not to Israel's satisfaction. What has to happen afterwards is President Trump has to be very clear to to Prime Minister Netanyahu, you need to maintain I mean not maintain the ceasefire because they're violating it egregiously now in Lebanon anyway.

[00:09:31]But I mean to me that's going to be one of the key spoilers of whatever happens after Trump takes the one-page deal is you know what is Israel going to do in Lebanon and will that provoke the whole deal to go out the window? Will Iran say, you know, in the face of repeated and extensive Israeli violations of the ceasefire that no, forget it, this is no good, or will they both both sort of ignore it what's happening in plain sight just for the uh you know, for the goal of maintaining the peace?

[00:10:03]Yeah, a lot of people are messaging me, Mario. The fact that he's convened his his entire National Security Council, including including Hexath and General Kaine.

[00:10:16]Does that What do you make of that? Why would he convene the entire entire National Security Council? Because if he wants to take a deal, if it's a diplomatic decision, >> I think that's that's performative. You know, it's not as if this gentleman, President Trump, listens to advice from anybody. You know, it won't be televised. So, it won't be that whole kabuki, you know, sycopency where each cabinet minister says, "You're the best thing since ice cream, President Trump."

[00:10:42]But, you know, he knows collectively and distributively what each one of those people are going to say. So, >> new piece I've got another piece of news, sorry, Axio just reported. We hope to announce a framework agreement tomorrow.

[00:10:59]>> Yeah. So, it seems to me the momentum is for a framework agreement which kicks every single significant can down the road, but it stops the war, which is good. As I said, President Trump can declare victory. The thing that I find so amusing is that in all the leaks about what President Trump wants, you know, one of the things that that the US insists on is that Iran never have a nuclear weapon, right? But there's no mention of the IAEA.

[00:11:32]>> So, you know, what is it? Is is Iran gonna swear on a Quran, you know, that they're never going to have a nuclear? I just don't get it. You know, I don't even know why that's in there. or like for example the US swears they're not going to attack Iran again. No one believes that, you know. So there's so much performative, you know, talking points to this stuff. The US will not attack Iran unless and until it thinks it's a good idea to do so. And Iran will not seek a nuclear weapon unless and until it thinks it's a good idea to do so. And whatever verbal dance they do beforehand is irrelevant.

[00:12:11]And that's why you need the IAEA in there to to police whatever agreement, you know, and so IAEA renewed presence at a maximum level has to be specifically stated if there's ever a nuclear agreement between the two sides.

[00:12:30]So I think it's probable there won't be.

[00:12:35]What do you mean?

[00:12:36]>> I mean there's not going to be a nuclear agreement. I mean, they're going to announce an end to the war >> and the like just kick the the >> Yeah, there's going to be a a one-page document about, you know, no war, no nuclear weapons. We're going to negotiate. Uh they'll start on on on reopening maritime traffic through the straight in addition to a gradual lifting. And those could both be gradual, a tit fortat thing. more ships pass through the straight as opposed to the you know more Iranian ships get to enter and exit Iranian ports right so that's the first part and again everyone can promise not to do something bad in the future but then they say for 30 to 60 days we talk about the nuclear issue well they're not going to agree so they'll extend it another 30 or 60 days.