Why The Markets Feel Different Today

[00:00:41][snorts] >> Welcome back to the Matrix. You're not just the Matrix, you are the Matrix. How does it feel, Neo?

[00:01:08]Today, we got ourselves a banger banger banger. Daily market news analysis. What is up? What is up? How is everyone feeling out of 10? Let me know down in the comments down below. Make sure you guys are spamming the like button and hitting the share so other people can spam that like button. Let's get into it, y'all.

[00:01:26]As of the time of recording, it is June 18th, 2026, and Bitcoin is currently sitting at 63,858 dollars. You can see we came up to the 20 moving average and got rejected as of right now.

[00:01:44]We look on the 5-hour chart, it seems like scenario number one that we've been talking about is playing out perfectly, where we go up to the 100 moving average, getting rejected, and then backtesting the 50 as support. I do think that we're generally going to be kind of sideways and grueling into the first um and but what we can see right now is on the 5-hour chart, we are starting to cool on the MACD.

[00:02:13]Um I do think that what I saw um so I watched the Fed meeting yesterday and everyone claimed that um the new Fed chair was really really hawkish and it was signaling signs that they're going to be um hiking rates.

[00:02:28]I watched the whole thing personally. I did not get that uh that viewpoint. Um so I don't know, you know, people were doing victory laps and victory dances yesterday. So we'll see how it plays out.

[00:02:39]I got the I was under the impression that they were going to be updating the data and the market was going to be leading um what the Fed is going to be doing rather than the Fed leading the market, which very much is the case right now. Um so we'll see how it actually plays out.

[00:02:58]They'll be meeting again in 6 weeks.

[00:03:01]Um so we'll see how that that's uh goes and uh plays out. So but as of right now, I do expect us to kind of gruel to about 60 um two um maybe as low as 61k into the 1st of July and I put it out in my Telegram. I am going to be starting to make a longer position, I guess I would say on a uh three or five x long on Bitcoin that I'm going to start to be scaling into where I plan to hold it for between 6 months to 18 months.

[00:03:39]Um And so that's what I'm going to start scaling into.

[00:03:43]And I think I'm going to make a video about this specifically because I think it's really >> [clears throat] >> You always use the 5-hour. I do because I don't want the same view as everyone else. I look at the 4-hour like it's telling you the same data. Basically, the 4-hour says that we broke above the 100 and we're back testing it as support and we are also flipping bullish on the MACD. It's telling you the exact same thing except the 5-hour has more work to do. I like the 5-hour because everyone looks at the 4-hour.

[00:04:19]And I don't want the exact same viewpoint as everyone else.

[00:04:23]Um but I'm going to make a I'm going to make a video about this because I think it's really really important.

[00:04:32]But I think potentially the Apex Predator is setting up maybe one of the biggest rug pulls in history.

[00:04:48]Uh in that it's so obvious to me. It's so blatantly obvious to me like Okay.

[00:05:02]Everyone and their brother and their mother and their wife's boyfriend right now they think if you go on Twitter, if you go on TikTok, if you go on YouTube, if you go on anywhere you ask your wife's boyfriend.

[00:05:15]Everyone thinks that the bottom is going to be in October. Everyone thinks that the bottom is going to be one leg lower.

[00:05:26]This is not like hard information to figure out.

[00:05:31]Right? I don't think anyone disagrees with me that that is the overwhelming consensus that we are going to make a new low in October and that's going to be the bottom.

[00:05:47]Right? If you're watching this channel, let me know if that's your perspective on that's the popular opinion. That's the consensus.

[00:05:54]That is what everyone thinks.

[00:05:57]In fact, outside of me and Alex, I don't even know of any other creators that think that October is not going to be our bottom.

[00:06:08]The point is, this is very, very easy information to figure out that this is where the average Joe what the average Joe thinks that we're doing.

[00:06:17]Right?

[00:06:19]I don't think that that's a crazy stretch for me to say that the average Joe thinks that October's going to be the bottom and it's going to be one leg lower.

[00:06:26]So, if you are the apex predator, if you are the apex predator, I like that comment. I'm going to read that in just a second. We'll get back to that.

[00:06:47]Um on YouTube.

[00:06:49]If you're the apex predator and you can just see where is the average Joe waiting to buy, at what levels and at what time?

[00:06:59]So, the average Joe thinks that we're going to be bottoming in October. The average Joe thinks that it's going to be at least below $50,000 in October.

[00:07:09]That's the consensus.

[00:07:12]So, what is the biggest rug pull that the apex predators can do?

[00:07:16]I don't know. Maybe start buying in August.

[00:07:23]And maybe aggressively make a position in July, August, September.

[00:07:34]Um it seems like that would be the easiest rug pull of all time if you who the apex predator because literally everyone is waiting for this precise number of oh, we're going to get I'm going to wait for a 13% more of a gain. So, the difference between 63k and 53k is literally I need y'all to understand.

[00:08:04]Uh we're talking about 15.7%.

[00:08:06]So, risking 15% for potentially the next cycle Bitcoin's going to be north of 300k.

[00:08:18]In 10 years, Bitcoin is going to be north of a million dollars.

[00:08:23]In 20 years, Bitcoin could be north of 10 million dollars.

[00:08:27]So, risking 15% and foregoing 150,000% is kind of a crazy value prop, in my opinion. In fact, I would try to do that flip side as many times as possible. Even just 15% for 400%.

[00:08:50]I would try to set that bet up as many times as I can. If my risk is I'm going to be risking 15% on a trade, and my potential upside is 400%, I would make that bet as many times as I could.

[00:09:03]I would make that bet 10,000 times.

[00:09:05]And I am making that bet.

[00:09:08]Um so, you know, I think that that's just very simple one-level thinking, but we've talked about the four-year cycle, how I just do not think that that's what's happening, and I think that uh retail is going to be mostly rocked in October when we are north of 100k, and they're expecting us to be south of 50k.

[00:09:33]That to me is the easiest rug pull by the apex predators that is imaginable.

[00:09:41]And it makes very clear sense to me.

[00:09:44]Like everyone keeps talking about comparing things to the four-year cycle and they keep comparing things to 2022.

[00:09:52]And they're like, "Oh, it dropped this much. It's certainly going to drop this much." It's like, "Hear me out. Did ETFs exist in 2022?"

[00:10:03]No.

[00:10:04]They did not exist in 2022.

[00:10:08]They did not exist in 2022.

[00:10:18]They didn't exist in 2022.

[00:10:21]And so, what what caused this last dip that we had from 80 What did we get up to?

[00:10:28]$82,800 back down to $59,100.

[00:10:33]Did retail come in and save the day?

[00:10:37]Was they buying the dip and keeping Bitcoin afloat at 80k?

[00:10:42]No.

[00:10:46]The institutions had 13 consecutive days of ETF outflows.

[00:10:54]13 consecutive days of ETF outflows. Did at any point during that time did retail come in and hold the floor up?

[00:11:02]They did not.

[00:11:04]So, why in the world does anyone think that retail is running the show?

[00:11:13]What a crazy What a crazy value proposition to make.

[00:11:22]That we just had concrete evidence as to who is running the show. It's institutions. 13 consecutive days of outflows. And then what do we get? We got a 25% correction. Did at any point during those 13 consecutive outflow days did retail come in and save the day?

[00:11:42]No, they did not.

[00:11:44]So, who is running the show?

[00:11:46]Is it retail or is it institutions?

[00:11:53]Okay, that's not a crazy statement to make when I say re- institutions are running the show, not retail. I don't think anyone's going to argue with that.

[00:12:01]But then like when you think about it second layer has at any point in time institutions been on a 4-year cycle?

[00:12:10]Over the last 100 years has at any point in time institutions been on a 4-year cycle?

[00:12:21]No.

[00:12:23]Institutions for the last 100 years, apex predators for the last 10,000 years has been on a 7-year cycle.

[00:12:40]1987 Black Monday, 1994 the bond market crashed, 2001 dot-com bubble, 9/11, 2008 the great financial crisis.

[00:12:56]2015 the Chinese stock market crash, 2022 we had a recession, stock market crash, FTX, Luna went to zero, Silicon Valley Bank in the same Hebrew year went to zero.

[00:13:08]And the next one is 2029, and I think we are absolutely going to be rocking and rolling into 2028, 2029. But 4-year cycle would tell you you should be buying in 2028.

[00:13:29]I will be selling in 2028. I will be exiting the market aggressively in 2028.

[00:13:40]And we will find out in October. This is my theory based on logic that the institutions are running the show and the data of how the institutions operate.

[00:13:57]That's my theory.

[00:13:59]I am okay being wrong.

[00:14:07]My plan of action is to sell the other 50% of my stocks if I'm wrong and then I will come on here and say the 4-year cycle was right. I'm never going to discount it again and then that makes it obnoxiously easy moving forward.

[00:14:24]But the setup that we have is for the biggest rug pull by the apex predators where what's going to happen in my opinion is they are going to start buying aggressively July, August.

[00:14:39]As we've seen every time we get to 60K, that's where they step up and they start buying again.

[00:14:45]We flushed to 59.9, they bought that dip. We flushed to 59.1, they bought that dip.

[00:14:52]We did not close a daily body at any point below 60K.

[00:14:58]Why? Because the institutions are buying at those levels. Why? Because the institutions are running the show.

[00:15:08]Not retail.

[00:15:11]And so what I think is going to happen is we are going to be north of 100K in October. Retail is going to be waiting for 50K in October and they're going to FOMO in at a higher price, which will likely be the local top.

[00:15:29]And we'll probably come back down to 85k and they'll be in in a loss again. All the data points, volume, MACD, accumulation, time, coins in a loss, oversold, RSI, Wyckoff, oil being in distribution, gold, silver being in distribution, the Russell going to new all-time highs, all the data points are pointing and saying one thing.

[00:16:00]But retail is holding on with firm grips that what? Four-year cycle.

[00:16:09]And listen, I'm willing to be wrong.

[00:16:12]I am okay if I'm wrong. I'm okay if you all get to laugh at me. I'm okay buying lower.

[00:16:19]Because the risk of of not taking action right now, to me, exponentially outweighs the risk of waiting by a crazy exponential amount.

[00:16:36]And I'm not willing to make that bet. I don't think that the data supports it. I don't think that the logic supports it.

[00:16:44]Like just flat on its face, when you think about Hm. Everybody and their brother and their mother thinks we are bottoming in October.

[00:16:58]Plus, institutions are clearly running the show.

[00:17:05]So, it makes it easy prey when the institutions are running the show and their prey thinks that we're going to be bottoming later.

[00:17:18]Like I don't need to go any deeper than that.

[00:17:22]Honestly.

[00:17:24]Four-year cycle like clockwork. We will see in 120 days.

[00:17:40]You still haven't accepted the four-year cycle is intact.

[00:17:43]We will see in 120 days if it's intact or not. If it's intact, we should be uh we should be low 50K in October.

[00:17:51]If we are not below 50K in October, it is firmly dead.

[00:17:58]Uh the four-year cycle in my opinion hasn't been intact since 2017. Uh the four-year cycle in my opinion hasn't been intact firmly since the institutions made ETFs.

[00:18:10]Institutions are running the show, not retail. If you think retail is running the show, then four-year cycle is intact. If you think institutions are running the show, then four-year cycle is not intact.

[00:18:21]Bitcoin made a new all-time high before the halving the first time in history.

[00:18:25]That invalidated it right there. Why did that happen? Because ETFs were created January of 2024.

[00:18:35]There's never been a bear market when there ETFs existed.

[00:18:41]It's identical every four years. Hmm, is it identical? Show me a time where Bitcoin made a new all-time high before the halving.

[00:18:52]Is this identical?

[00:18:54]Right here. Does that look identical to this?

[00:19:02]No, it doesn't.

[00:19:05]Listen, I pray you're right because I want you I want you to get the best prices and I want you to be right so you can have the most amount of ROI.

[00:19:15]I really do.

[00:19:18]But I think retail is in for a rude awakening.

[00:19:21]Because we have 100 years of data to suggest that institutions are not on a 4-year cycle.

[00:19:34]Okay.

[00:19:35]I pray you get to buy at 50k.

[00:19:38]Because if you don't, you will be buying at 100k or higher.

[00:19:45]Or worse, you're going to revenge trade and short it in a into a bull market.

[00:19:50]God forbid.

[00:19:52]I pray you're right. We will find out in 120 days.

[00:19:56]That's what we're going to find out.

[00:19:58]In 120 days, Bitcoin better be at 50k.

[00:20:06]Because if it's not, you are cooked.

[00:20:09]Retail is cooked.

[00:20:13]And that's a crazy proposition to make based on nothing other than 4 years. There is zero data suggesting anything else.

[00:20:26]Putting your entire future on a thing that has hit 50% of the time and has never had institutions in it is a crazy value bet proposition to make, in my opinion.

[00:20:43]But we will see.

[00:20:47]The risk to reward does not even make sense, even if it's correct.

[00:20:55]And in my opinion, in October, we will be north of 100k.

[00:21:00]And retail is going to be FOMOing and at those prices. All the people laughing saying, "Oh, it's it's identical."

[00:21:06]>> [laughter] >> Where?

[00:21:09]Uh what structure is it identical? What structure was this? What structure was 2022 identical to?

[00:21:16]Show me a bear market that looked like that. That doesn't look identical.

[00:21:23]That doesn't look identical.

[00:21:27]Show me a time where the halving we made a new all-time high before the halving.

[00:21:33]That's never happened before.

[00:21:36]And based on 4-year cycle, 2025 we should have had an alt season. That didn't happen.

[00:21:47]What do you think of September of 2028?

[00:21:49]I plan to be exiting before September of 2028.

[00:22:02]I think super high hyperinflation.

[00:22:08]All right. It was hawkish because Warsh declined to provide any forward guidance, so it was seen as hawkish.

[00:22:17]Powell mostly provided that guidance. I agree with the sentiment of why the market thinks it was hawkish, but I don't agree with the actual ramifications.

[00:22:40]Personally.

[00:22:44]We'll see though.

[00:22:45]Uh Ski, you're the only one that is still around since I started in crypto in 2021.

[00:22:56]And I ain't going anywhere. I've been in this game for a decade. So, people like laughing at me as though I haven't been around for the 4-year cycle is crazy.

[00:23:20]Bitcoin will only give you two to three X. We want to know which cryptos will 10X.

[00:23:25]Uh I think Bitcoin will do more than a 10X if you have the correct time horizon. If your timeline is 10 years or 20 years, I think in 20 years Bitcoin can 100X from now.

[00:23:40]But if you want, you know, get-rich-quick schemes, this isn't the right channel.

[00:23:47]Do I think in 20 years from now Bitcoin can be $10 million and 100X? Yes.

[00:23:55]Do I think it's going to happen in the next 90 days? No.

[00:24:06]The charts told us the FOMC meeting would cause a slight correction. No surprise. That's right.

[00:24:12]Literally yesterday we said that we would probably get rejected off of the 100 and come back to 62K.

[00:24:23]That's exactly right.

[00:24:27]But we know about FOMC like it's just extra volatile the day before, the day of, the day after. And then we're going to start to get our real move um probably into the 1st. And I think that we're going to be kind of grueling and sideways and down into um the 1st of July and that's probably where our local bottom's going to be.

[00:24:48]>> [snorts] >> We'll probably maybe get to 62K.

[00:24:54]You lost me at a Okay, I I got you.

[00:24:59]I'm talking 20 years from now. Do you think that like just I it sounds crazy, I got you, but like I'm not calling for it in three years. I'm not calling for it in three months. I'm calling for it in 20 years.

[00:25:16]Just first world, first level thinking.

[00:25:21]Do you think that they are going to stop printing money anytime soon?

[00:25:25]So, I've been following this right here since probably regularly I will uh regularly I'll just come and look at this on my channel, right?

[00:25:41]I've been doing this since like 2022.

[00:25:44]Like I have paid attention to it before then, but like regularly it comes up on my channel and I will talk about it since about 2022.

[00:25:52]This was at uh 20 trillion dollars in 2022, less than 20 trillion dollars in 2022.

[00:25:59]Do we think So, this is 4 years later.

[00:26:03]This is doubled.

[00:26:08]Do we think that this is going to start going the other way anytime soon?

[00:26:13]So, if it doubled in 4 years, just imagine it keeps the same pace.

[00:26:18]What would that mean in 20 years?

[00:26:21]A double again 4 years from now would be 80 trillion.

[00:26:26]A double again 4 years from then would be 160 trillion.

[00:26:32]That's 8 years.

[00:26:34]A double again would be at 32 or excuse me, 300 My God.

[00:26:44]Yeah, 320 trillion.

[00:26:48]That's 12 years.

[00:26:52]A double again, 640 trillion.

[00:26:59]A double again.

[00:27:02]Now, here's the here's the sad part.

[00:27:05]A 100x in Bitcoin doesn't mean what you think it means.

[00:27:14]It would be like 1.

[00:27:16]3 quadrillion.

[00:27:20]20 years from now.

[00:27:22]That Bitcoin being 100x doesn't mean what you think it means.

[00:27:29]It means a loaf of bread is $100.

[00:27:34]It means a gallon of gas is $100. Do we think that 20 years from now the price is going to be less on anything?

[00:27:46]On anything.

[00:27:54]How much percentage are you in?

[00:27:58]So, I sold 100% of my gold and silver back in January. That is 100% allocated.

[00:28:07]I've deployed all of my cash.

[00:28:10]And then on this last crash, I sold 50% of my stocks.

[00:28:18]And I'm about 15% of the way in from that. So, overall, I would say of what I have available, I'm probably like fully all in, which I don't want to be fully all in. The most all in I want to be is 50% of my stocks. I have one more lever to pull would be selling all of my stocks, and that would be 100% in.

[00:28:41]If I did that, I would be aggressive about taking profit in the retraces like 100k.

[00:28:49]I don't want to do that. I want to keep that lever. But, let's just say my Let's just say I only use this lever of 50% and I'm DCA'ing 1% daily.

[00:29:00]Counting what I've already deployed of my cash reserves, counting of what I've already deployed from selling crypt silver and gold, I'm probably about 70% in overall of available capital. I have one more lever to pull where I'll sell all of my stocks and DCA 1% daily. If If the bears are right and if we go to the 4-year cycle and scheduled October bottom, which everyone is predicting, 99% of retail thinks that we're going to do bottom in October and it's going to be 50k.

[00:29:32]I have a contingency plan that they're right. I've never seen them be right, but I have a contingency plan and that's to sell 100% of my stocks, not 50%, and DCA 1% daily. But, overall, I would say of available capital, I'm probably 70% allocated into the market.

[00:29:57]Yo Ski, I still think we are in Wyckoff phase, but before the spring phase. If you check the chart, it aligns with the price prediction, makes sense.

[00:30:06]Maybe, but like you don't have Even if you're right, that you you don't have to get a spring.

[00:30:12]And I'm fine with that. I'm fine with that process. If you're saying that we're in secondary test in phase B, sure. I'll buy that for a dollar.

[00:30:19]That would still mean that there's a 50% chance that the bottom is already in.

[00:30:24]Because you don't have to get a spring.

[00:30:28]You have a spring variation.

[00:30:32]You have an LPS variation.

[00:30:34]I'll buy what you're saying for a dollar. I still think we're in phase C already.

[00:30:41]But, even if you're right, it would still mean there's a 50% chance that the bottom is already in.

[00:31:00]Where do you think crypto will go in the next 3 months?

[00:31:04]July, August, September?

[00:31:08]I think in the next 3 months, that's not really how I like to do things, but I do think that uh Bitcoin will be at least 80k.

[00:31:26]Like is anyone going to be fleeing to the dollars over the next 100 over the next 20 years? I'm not.

[00:31:36]King Cobra says it costs miners 48k per Bitcoin to mine.

[00:31:44]Where do I think um crypto will be in the first quarter of next year?

[00:31:50]Uh into all-time highs, firmly into a bull market.

[00:31:58]Anyone know the official dates of midterms? I do not. Are you bullish on ETH still? I am.

[00:32:08]We are 15 extreme fear again.

[00:32:10]Yeah, like here's a cheat code, guys.

[00:32:13]Let me just give you like a brass tacks oversimplification.

[00:32:18]Are you ready? Like very simple.

[00:32:22]When this is below 20, historically, that's a good time to DCA.

[00:32:33]If this is below 20, it's a good time to be DCA.

[00:32:38]When confluence, if it's below 20, and you are at or near the 200-week moving average, that's an excellent time to DCA.

[00:32:50]So, we are below 20 on the Fear & Greed, and we are at the 200-week moving average.

[00:32:57]Had you have just bought the 200-week moving average in the last bear market, you would have averaged $24,000 Bitcoin.

[00:33:06]If you would have just bought every week at the 200-week moving average, when you touch the 200-week, and you're below it, and you're above it, until you blast off of it, if you would have just bought all of this, you would have averaged about $24,000 Bitcoin.

[00:33:22]Not even buying this.

[00:33:25]That's not including buying this.

[00:33:29]That's just saying you're buying it when it's near the 200. You would have averaged 200 224K Bitcoin.

[00:33:35]Had you have DCA'd the whole time, it would have been about 21K or 20K.

[00:33:47]Are you happy with a 20K Bitcoin average price right now?

[00:33:53]Or are you waiting for the scheduled October bottom?

[00:33:59]Midterms are November 3rd.

[00:34:09]Wrong, wrong. You just named one segment out of a few segments.

[00:34:13]What are you talking about, bro? Are you having a stroke?

[00:34:27]Where do you think we're going?

[00:34:32]Are you feeling insulted?

[00:34:36]No.

[00:34:45]Are you feeling arrogant?

[00:34:54]All right, let me read some of the Tik Tok comments here.

[00:35:13]Always. Yeah, that's that's factual.

[00:35:15]That's what bears do at the bottom when they missed their opportunity. They get arrogant. The smug arrogance showed up in 2022. When I was buying at 16k, 17k, 18k, 19k, guess what? I heard the same story. I heard the same story. I heard that we were going to 12k. I heard we were going to 10k.

[00:35:34]I heard it non-stop. I heard well, Bitcoin's a good value here at 15k, but I'm not going to buy it at until we get to 12k.

[00:35:41]That's what I heard.

[00:35:43]I didn't wait for that. I bought all of this.

[00:35:49]>> [snorts] >> Changes the subject, doesn't answer the question. What is your question?

[00:35:56]How about you give me a clear and concise question and I'll answer your question. How about that?

[00:36:11]Cuz all I've seen from you is just arrogant comments of accusing and stuff. I haven't seen a question from you.

[00:36:18]I've just seen smug arrogance.

[00:36:38]>> I'm asking you for your question.

[00:36:43]Tell me your question so I can answer your question.

[00:36:51]If you want to be rude and arrogant and just insult then you can go somewhere else. I'm happy to answer your question, but please give me a question to answer.

[00:37:07]>> [laughter] >> That is your last chance.

[00:37:18]Why most day traders cannot pass their profitable strategy on?

[00:37:30]Most day traders are not profitable over their long term.

[00:37:36]That's a fact.

[00:37:43]And also like the key is not the strategy.

[00:37:52]And the key for people learning from traders of how to be successful is not the strategy.

[00:37:58]Almost any strategy can work.

[00:38:02]The key is the emotional discipline and the risk management discipline.

[00:38:11]That is the key of what makes it successful long term. It's not some secret indicator.

[00:38:17]It's risk management, emotional discipline.

[00:38:21]Most people are not emotionally disciplined. They have no emotional intelligence at all.

[00:38:28]None. Zero.

[00:38:30]And therefore, they cannot be successful trading. No matter what strategy you have, if you are not emotionally intelligent with emotional discipline to be able to withstand the emotional warfare, which is trading, you're not going to survive no matter what strategy you have. And so, most traders who are teaching do not teach that element of the game because they teach an element of just buy my secret indicator and you're going to be successful beyond your wildest dreams. That's not reality. The reality is the individual must do an exorbitant amount of work on the inside of becoming emotionally disciplined, emotionally intelligent.

[00:39:14]The in trader on the inside must do an exorbitant amount of work to become disciplined and consistent.

[00:39:23]And there's no cookie-cutter program or indicator that is going to solve that problem because the individual must do the work. And that's not sexy to sell, "Hey, I have a strategy that can work for you, but you got to be willing to do an exorbitant amount of discipline, and you have to be willing to do an exorbitant amount of hard work, consistency, dedication more so than you probably ever done in your entire life over the course of, you know, 5 years."

[00:39:52]That's not sexy to sell.

[00:39:54]But that's the truth.

[00:40:08]All right.

[00:40:13]But, if four-year cycle is right, where would crypto be next year?

[00:40:19]I don't think crypto four-year cycle is right.

[00:40:23]But, let's say it is.

[00:40:28]Then that would mean that we're going to be bottoming in October like everybody knows.

[00:40:35]Uh and so what?

[00:40:39]You said Q1, so I'm going to say like April.

[00:40:42]Where would that be?

[00:40:48]So let's say that this is October, April would be how many months from October?

[00:40:55]November, December, January, February, March, April. So 6 months after the scheduled October bottom.

[00:41:02]So that's 180 days.

[00:41:05]Um 180 days from the scheduled October bottom, Bitcoin was up 81%.

[00:41:15]Even so, even if even if the bears are right, and let's say we go to 50k.

[00:41:26]And the scheduled October bottom, where would we be?

[00:41:31]70%.

[00:41:35]We'd be at almost 90k in Q1.

[00:41:49]Morning, bro. Do you think any positive news on the Clarity Act can kickstart the move upwards?

[00:41:55]I think the move upwards will start before the news is released to the public and then it will be a local top.

[00:42:03]More likely.

[00:42:06]Russell looks good this morning, brother. Yes, and that's what we need to continue to see because way more correlated to the four-year cycle. This is the issue.

[00:42:16]Why did we not get an alt season in 2025 even though we should have based on four-year cycle? Well, what was different between 2017 and 2021?

[00:42:25]The Russell was at into a bull market into distribution.

[00:42:30]That did not happen in 2025, but in 2026 the Russell was in a bull market.

[00:42:36]So, this is why I think that retail is going to be caught flat-footed in October.

[00:42:53]Uh I'm in your Telegram how to use the AI agent. The AI agent you can ask it any question. So, you need to go on to I'll just I'll pop it up for you.

[00:43:05]Oops.

[00:43:11]So, you go to the AI agent section.

[00:43:14]And we'll just ask it anything. Give me a question to ask it life version.

[00:43:34]He says technical analysis is my specialty. Okay, it doesn't sound like it based on your comments.

[00:43:40]Why does XRP suck? You know, okay.

[00:43:43]>> [snorts] >> Uh how does XRP look today? All right, give me give me a time frame of when you want XRP.

[00:43:51]Let's uh So, all you do is just at skis trading bot in the AI section. It must be AI agent section.

[00:44:01]And then you say um Ooh, where does XRP look in Wyckoff?

[00:44:16]What would confirm spring?

[00:44:23]Where would SOS be?

[00:44:32]And what are parabol- bull run targets?

[00:44:58]Okay, bro. I I listen, I hope it works out for you. I've been in this game for a decade. I'm sure you're better, though.

[00:45:05]You're the best trader that's ever lived, but I've never heard of you.

[00:45:12]All right.

[00:45:20]And that's it. That's all you got to do.

[00:45:21]You can ask it anything. You can ask it about SpaceX, you can ask it about oil, you can ask it about XRP, Bitcoin, Ethereum. You can ask it about I don't know, XLM. You can ask it about uh QQQ, the stock. You can ask it about uh Tesla. You can ask it about anything.

[00:45:39]It's It is a master in Wyckoff accumulation, Wyckoff distribution. It has over 1,000 hours of training, and it has over 100 hours of my uh trading sessions.

[00:45:56]Um so, let's see what it says.

[00:45:58]Here's what it said about XRP. Wyckoff read, "It's in the spring zone of a dollar uh to a dollar 10.

[00:46:06]Uh first levels crossing the creek would be a dollar 45, a dollar 55, which I've talked about that as well. I agree with its uh sentiment there.

[00:46:16]Um if it holds a dollar five, then that would confirm the spring.

[00:46:19]Um forms a higher low, dollar 15, reclaims a dollar 20 25, uh breaks back above a dollar 30, then pushes to a dollar 55. I agree with all of that.

[00:46:30]>> [snorts] >> Uh what would invalidate the spring? If XRP loses a dollar and five on a daily close and falls um and fails to reclaim quickly, then the spring would be invalidated.

[00:46:42]>> [snorts] >> So, I have 85 cents, but it has a dollar five. That would be a tighter range.

[00:46:46]Um where is the local SOS would be about a dollar 30.

[00:46:51]Real Wyckoff SOS a dollar 55 to a dollar 60. And I'll show you what it's talking about um real quick.

[00:46:59]Let me just show you so everyone knows what I'm talking about here when we're talking about Wyckoff.

[00:47:04]So, it's saying basically, let me save this.

[00:47:12]It's saying that there's a strong chance that XRP just did the spring. It needs to hold a dollar five daily body closes to confirm this. And the the uh confirming the spring would be about a dollar 30. The SOS would be about a dollar 50 before starting the bull market. That's what it's saying basically in a nutshell.

[00:47:34]Um and then the bull market parabolic cases would be conservative $2 to 240.

[00:47:40]All time high um strong bull would be five to six dollars. Parabolic would be eight to 10 dollars. Extreme would be 13. I have the exact same targets.

[00:47:51]Slightly different on my retrace target.

[00:47:55]No, I think I have 245 as a retrace target, actually.

[00:47:59]Let me verify that.

[00:48:05]Um Let me see. I don't remember what my retrace target is.

[00:48:15]I don't have it off the top of my head.

[00:48:16]I think it is 245 as the 618 Fibonacci retracement.

[00:48:27]Yeah, 245, 258, somewhere in there.

[00:48:31]Yeah, that looks good. So, uh the 0.5 would be 226, the 618 would be 258. So, a little bit off, but um it's probably basing it off of market cap cuz it's trained to um look at market cap and project price based off of market cap rather than the actual price, which factors in for inflation and dilution of um support. So, that's how you can use it.

[00:48:54]You can use it for anything. We could ask it uh Someone asked me about uh What percentage of AI accuracy agent?

[00:49:00]It's 87% win rate right now.

[00:49:04]On the trades.

[00:49:06]Someone asked me a a stock or traditional asset. We'll ask it that.

[00:49:13]Someone asked me uh a stock.

[00:49:17]A major stock or um maybe SpaceX or Tesla or Nvidia.

[00:49:24]Walmart. Okay, there we go.

[00:49:28]Let's see. Askies trading bot. Just I'm just showing it off. So, like this isn't my area at all, but I'm showing off How does Walmart look the stock?

[00:49:48]Give me a short play and a long play and a Wyckoff read.

[00:50:05]PayPal. PayPal would have been a good one.

[00:50:08]Uh but listen, anyone in my Telegram can use this 24/7. It's super easy.

[00:50:14]You can ask it anything about uh like I said, it has thousands of hours of Wyckoff training. Um Snapchat Um If you guys want to get lifetime access to this, uh we're running a 4th of July sale. www.yourski.com or you can DM me trading bots.

[00:50:39]This thing is super powerful.

[00:50:43]It does soccer predictions, too. Was it Was it good?

[00:50:48]That's crazy. I didn't even trade it on that.

[00:50:52]And it's constantly learning.

[00:50:55]Um so let's see what it says about uh Walmart. I have no idea. I haven't looked at the Walmart chart. So, let me look at the Walmart chart while we're waiting.

[00:51:05]Cuz literally, I have no idea.

[00:51:08]I haven't looked at the Walmart chart at all.

[00:51:11]So, let's take a look at this.

[00:51:15]Okay, so this is clearly in a bull run.

[00:51:24]This has clearly been in a bull run.

[00:51:27]This is parabolic in my opinion.

[00:51:30]Um So, I'm going to give you my own thoughts and then Actually, to me early signs early early early on the two-week early So, this could take It'll probably keep rallying, but this is a bearish divergence.

[00:51:53]This will probably rally into like the thing is I don't even know cuz it's already really parabolic. I don't know what the Yeah, this is already like super parabolic at this point.

[00:52:06]But, you know, you have real earnings, all that stuff.

[00:52:11]It's already at the 3618. This is early signs of distribution to me, but like it'll probably keep rallying into the 170s.

[00:52:21]Let's see what it says though. I have no idea what it's going to say. That's my read, so let's see what it says.

[00:52:30]>> [snorts] >> My read is it's in the markup. It hasn't quite started the distribution, but it's it's showing early signs that um really really early signs that it might start soon into distribution. That's my read.

[00:52:44]Let's see what it says.

[00:52:46]Currently $117.

[00:52:49]Um 200-day is $116.

[00:52:54]Wyckoff read.

[00:52:58]Um What confirms the spring?

[00:53:04]Hold 112.

[00:53:08]A real SOS.

[00:53:10]Let's see. Entry. So, here is the long play.

[00:53:15]Entry on a dollar 60 or 116. Stop loss at 112. Take profit one, 121. Take profit two, 126. Take profit three, 132.

[00:53:28]And a full extension would be 158, which I think I said 160 165. Um short.

[00:53:36]Stop loss would be 120. Take profit one, 112. Take profit two would be 110. Take profit three would be 106.

[00:53:45]Bottom line.

[00:53:49]So, there you go.

[00:53:51]Pretty powerful.

[00:54:10]>> [snorts] >> All right.

[00:54:17]Have you done arrow by chance? No.

[00:54:23]It had a decent read on the World Cup.

[00:54:26]That's crazy.

[00:54:40]That's crazy. Yeah, listen, people are attacking because the arrogant smugness of bears is in full force.

[00:54:48]That's what they do.

[00:54:50]That's what they did in 2022.

[00:54:52]And they're going to miss their opportunity.

[00:55:00]Do you ever factor in the cost of energy in your analysis? Not really.

[00:55:06]Some people do. That's not my thing. The main thing that I'm factoring in is Wyckoff. I'm cat factoring in um uh market cap. I'm factoring in the Russell 2000. I'm factoring in oil.

[00:55:22]I'm factoring in gold and silver, and I'm factoring in the Dow Jones.

[00:55:28]That's the main thing that I'm factoring in.

[00:55:33]>> [snorts] >> Do you think Bitcoin will sell to uh 50k? No.

[00:55:41]I don't think that because everybody thinks that.

[00:55:45]And I think that there's a overwhelming amount of evidence to suggest that that's not going to happen.

[00:55:50]I'm willing to be wrong, and I have a plan if I am wrong. My plan is to sell 50% of my stocks, the other 50%, >> [snorts] >> and uh buy at those levels. That's my plan if I'm wrong.

[00:56:04]But I don't think it's going to happen.

[00:56:16]I I just don't.

[00:56:17]Uh I think there's an overwhelming amount of evidence because the only uh can you turn that off?

[00:56:25]The only evidence that we have to suggest that that's even possible is four-year cycle, and that's the only data point.

[00:56:41]Says brother, every cycle you can see 13 months down, you can see yourself the first dip 87, the second was 84%. That's cool.

[00:56:50]Um has has there been another cycle where ETFs were um in?

[00:56:56]Cuz last time I checked ETFs were introduced January of 2024. So, there's not another cycle that that exists, which would mean that every other cycle before this one retail was running the charge.

[00:57:12]Now, it's very clear that institutions are running the charge. Even the last dip that we had from 82k back down to 59.9 or 59.1, what was the catalyst for that? What was the reason for that?

[00:57:26]The reason, the fundamental reason why that happened was we had 13 consecutive outflow ETF days.

[00:57:35]Does that sound like retail stepped in and saved the day?

[00:57:39]No. Does anybody think that retail is running things?

[00:57:42]Does anybody think that?

[00:57:45]That's a silly thing to think, in my opinion.

[00:57:53]And, you know, like it's not even true. So, like from the last time it was 77% from the tibbity top. Each time has been less.

[00:58:03]It was 70 uh It was 77% from the top.

[00:58:13]And there was no ETFs here. And there was COVID spending. There was trillions of dollars of COVID spending that caused this bull market in the first place. Did that happen over here?

[00:58:23]No, it didn't.

[00:58:37]But the 4-year cycle has been accurate as No, it hasn't. It's been invalidated.

[00:58:42]It's been accurate 50% of the time.

[00:58:45]That's not a winning strategy.

[00:58:50]And it was invalidated last time when we made a new all-time high before the the halving. And it was invalidated last time when we didn't get an alt season when we should have.

[00:59:04]No. One data point that has a 50% hit rate that has no data when institutions are in the game is not more accurate than 20 points of data.

[00:59:16]No, it doesn't.

[00:59:30]>> Something will happen in the next 4 months just to be that dip. What?

[00:59:35]What will it take? Because what we've already gotten We already had the biggest uh IPO in history. We had World War III.

[00:59:46]The threats of World War III.

[00:59:48]We've had um We've had a black swan with 10 10.

[00:59:55]What's it going to take?

[00:59:57]We had oil going to a crazy parabolic run. We had um just all kinds of things. We had What what will it take?

[01:00:10]Because there's no world where something fundamentally happens that brings it to the to those levels that doesn't mean that we're like there's no world where it happens and then we just recover.

[01:00:25]Because something would be broken at that point.

[01:00:28]And would mean something completely different.

[01:00:41]Why do you think Bitcoin is going down?

[01:00:44]Bitcoin went down to $59,100 because there was 13 consecutive days of ETF outflows.

[01:00:52]Because institutions are running the show, not retail.

[01:01:05]He says, "The stock market is going to go low." Okay, this looks like a bull market to me, brother.

[01:01:10]Like we haven't even started distribution.

[01:01:13]This is the bull market.

[01:01:16]We we don't even have a start. I'll buy that. We don't even have a start of distribution right now.

[01:01:24]We are in a full-on markup bull market.

[01:01:31]This is a bull market.

[01:01:34]In order to end a bull market, we got to first do one of these numbers.

[01:01:42]This is going to be good for Bitcoin.

[01:01:48]We start doing that, sure.

[01:01:50]And then, yeah, sure.

[01:01:52]I'll buy that. But, what are we measuring it in? Are we measuring it in dollars?

[01:01:56]Are we measuring it in gold?

[01:02:02]If you're measuring it in dollars, I have a hard time believing that we're going to have a um what? A uh 1929 style crash.

[01:02:16]Not measured in dollars, maybe measured in gold, I'll buy that. Not measured in dollars.

[01:02:34]Oh my god.

[01:02:44]When do you think we will peak for stocks? September of 2028. I think we are in the roaring 20s.

[01:02:50]I think we're going to be rocking and rolling into the next seventh year.

[01:02:55]I've said that since 2022. I've said that since 2021.

[01:03:00]I think 2029 is the big one.

[01:03:12]So, it's clear that institutions are on a 7-year cycle, which I think is dumb to believe in the 4-year cycle because institutions are running the show.

[01:03:21]That's clear. If I tell you retail is not in charge of Bitcoin, institutions are, nobody has a problem with that.

[01:03:30]Nobody has a problem with that. Nobody has one issue if I say that, you're like, yep, I agree.

[01:03:36]It's for sure your average Joe is not moving the price of Bitcoin. I agree, Ski. That's right.

[01:03:43]But then if I tell you, well, what is the timeline of institutions? Is it 4 years?

[01:03:49]Or is it 7 years? It's 7 years.

[01:03:51]And we have 100 years of data to show you it's 7 years.

[01:04:01]Yep, that's right. November 2028, that's going to be start of the big one. Sure, I'll buy that.

[01:04:10]Like if you love Trump, you could say like, oh, Trump is doing awesome things and you know, he did great things for the stock market. If you hate Trump, you could say Trump is punting the next 30 years in order to prop up his thing.

[01:04:28]Either way, it could tell you the same conclusion. Whether you like Trump or you hate Trump, you could get to the same outcome.

[01:04:35]You could say like, if you love Trump, you could say like, oh, he's doing great things for the stock market in his whole presidency. If you hate him, you would say he's punting the next 10 20 years to prop up his thing.

[01:04:51]Either way, you could get the to the same outcome.

[01:05:00]If you're selling everything before 2028, where are you putting your money?

[01:05:06]My strategy might be different than yours.

[01:05:13]But my strategy is I'm going to be DCA-ing into the boomers' businesses.

[01:05:20]So, I think a lot of where people are flocking to AI and there's certainly value there. I think people are going away from the physical real estate.

[01:05:31]And I think there's going to be maybe one of the biggest opportunities in our life as far as a influx of supply and a low amounts of de- demand, which is going to cause the price to go down.

[01:05:46]It's going to be a combination of the boomers dying and retiring.

[01:05:51]And their grandchildren, who don't have sentimental attachment to they built this up for the last 40 years, they're going to be trying to sell those properties and it's going to be a race to the bottom, in my opinion.

[01:06:08]And so, my strategy in 2028 is I'm going to be dollar cost averaging into car washes and the boomers' rental properties.

[01:06:19]That's my strategy. That's what I'm going to be aggressively into the um late 20s and into the early 30s, I'm going to be aggressively buying as much of the boomers' stuff as possible.

[01:06:37]Yeah, man, car washes.

[01:06:40]Car washes and laundry and uh rental properties. I'm going to be aggressively buying as many single-family rental properties, I'll be aggressively buying car washes from the boomers as I can.

[01:06:55]Because I think the price is going to be really cheap.

[01:06:58]And I think people are going to be flocking towards AI and not physical businesses. So, I think there's going to be less demand.

[01:07:10]He says Breaking Bad style.

[01:07:16]>> [laughter] >> Yeah, that's right. Physical businesses is what I'm flocking towards.

[01:07:26]That's what I will personally be flocking towards, but that's going to be different than, you know, what most people are doing. And that might be different than your strategy. It might not be feasible for your strategy, but when I sell all of my liquid assets and, you know, up into 2028, that's what I'm going to be buying. That's going to be the next chapter. Cuz again, I am not a Bitcoin maximalist. I'm not a permabull.

[01:07:49]I'm a permabear on the US dollar.

[01:07:52]And I'm constantly looking for what is the most undervalued. Where is the supply the greatest, the demand the lowest?

[01:08:02]Right now, to me, that is in Bitcoin and cryptocurrency.

[01:08:06]The supply is the highest and the demand is the lowest.

[01:08:13]And I think it will be in 2028 through the 30s, the supply of the rental properties from the boomers, the car washes from the boomers, the construction businesses from the boomers, the plumbing businesses from the boomers is going to have a massive influx.

[01:08:36]Crypto is going down like crazy.

[01:08:40]Uh, sure. I mean, it's down what? 2%?

[01:08:45]We've been at the same range though since uh, February.

[01:08:51]So, we've been here for 140 days between 80k and 60k.

[01:08:59]For 120 days, we've been at this range.

[01:09:03]140 days, excuse me.

[01:09:11]You know what I'm saying?

[01:09:18]You think we chop till July then bull run? Yeah, I think into August, maybe slightly before, slightly after.

[01:09:25]Yeah, [snorts] I think we're going to reclaim the 200-day moving average, which is going to officially put us into a bull market.

[01:09:35]Am I still bullish on Vechain XYO? I am.

[01:09:42]Damn, we had a huge flush on Ethereum.

[01:09:47]I did not get my entry that I gave out.

[01:09:50]Did it reach that?

[01:09:52]We put out a short yesterday. I don't think I got it, though.

[01:09:59]I didn't have my limit orders. No, 1760 is what I said.

[01:10:03]That is unfortunate.

[01:10:07]>> [clears throat] >> What's your entry for XRP?

[01:10:17]Um I think right now XRP's a good accumulation price.

[01:10:22]Anything below a dollar 15, I think is a steal.

[01:10:28]That's what I think.

[01:10:33]I need a short on oil.

[01:10:36]I gave you a short at $107 on oil, $105.

[01:10:42]I said it was in distribution. I said we were going to go down to the uh to the low the high 60s.

[01:10:51]Uh yeah, $110. I said that this was topping.

[01:10:55]I gave a I gave us short on oil.

[01:10:59]>> [laughter] >> Wow, ignore all three. You're the greatest. What are you What are you saying right now, brother?

[01:11:26]Everything's a personal attack.

[01:11:33]Like what what are you talking about, bro?

[01:11:38]Oh my god.

[01:11:48]>> [snorts] >> Um QQQ is up.

[01:11:53]That's good. We put that long out yesterday.

[01:11:59]I'm about to hop on uh the Telegram.

[01:12:01]We're going to do some trading here cuz these prices are getting juicy.

[01:12:07]I did miss the short that I put out yesterday cuz I put it out at 1760 back down to 1700.

[01:12:20]We've got a lot of volume coming in here.

[01:12:26]All right.

[01:12:27]Here's the deal. These prices are too juicy. I got to go trade.

[01:12:33]That's going to be it for this time.

[01:12:35]Make sure you guys like, subscribe, follow me on TikTok, YouTube, Instagram, Twitter, Twitch. I will never message you first.

[01:12:43]Those are scammers, for the love of God.

[01:12:45]Do not redeem. Do not get scammed.

[01:12:49]Um let me block this dude real quick.

[01:12:58]All right.

[01:13:00]>> [clears throat] >> When are you going to do a long swing trade at what price?

[01:13:05]I think I'm going to start scaling into it. I 62k was my target for Bitcoin, so we're near that. So I think I'm going to start scaling into a 5x swing trade on Bitcoin that's going to be long-term.

[01:13:17]Um if you guys want lifetime access to the Telegram, you can DM me trading bot or you can go to your boyski.com.

[01:13:28]I'll be live about the same time tomorrow. Right after this live stream, I'm going to go live with the Telegram and we'll be live trading these crazy prices. Um but that's going to be it for this time. Appreciate each and every one of you guys. Peace, love, prosperity, God first, God bless.