Latest Data Shows The Strongest El Nino In 150 Years Could Be Developing!

Ajouté : 2026-05-09

[00:00:00]We have a very strong weather pattern that  is developing everybody. Matter of fact, not only just a El Nino and not only just  a super El Nino, this could potentially go towards historical levels where it could be a mega  El Nino. Even meteorologists agree that this could be the strongest we've had in over 150 years,  everybody. Now, this will bring impacts globally, not just for the United States. So, I'm going to  show you what the impacts are going to be as we go through this weather pattern and what's the  chances of this actually be the strongest we've had in such a long time. Now, I have this link  in the description so you can go to this video and watch it and listen to it as meteorologists  also agree that this could be the strongest in 150 years talking about maybe all the way back towards  1877. So go to the link in the description if you want to finish watching that video and listen  what they say as well everybody. It's not just me saying this here. Now look at this. When you  look at your latest plume members, you can see your chances for a super El Nino. Now remember a  super goes all the way towards that 2° Celsius.

[00:01:11]Two degrees and above is a super. Matter of fact,  when you're going towards that three, now you're talking about historical in the making. everybody.  Now, when we look at the latest projections, this is the projection from April. So, when we look  what happened when we transitioned into May, look how much it has grown. And not only has it gone  further north, a lot more of them are in a pretty good agreement that this is potentially going  towards a highend two towards a three. Everybody, now the last time we seen it close to this level  was 150 years ago. Now they had different aspects going on that brought famines and other problems  but this could also bring the same type of problems with drought and flooding. Now before  I go into other impacts other places first the impacts on the US. So I have these diagrams made  up so you can see all this information easier everybody. So over here for California is going to  bring the heavy rain, flooding and mudslides. Over here across the southwest is where the monsoon  really kicks in. It's cooler. It's wetter and end of winter is going to bring problems as well.  Now along the south, this is where you get the subtropical jet kicking in. That's why it's wetter  along the west and the southwest, but this will bring below average temperatures because of all  the rainfall and storms that you do get. Now, unfortunately, this will bring more storms along  this pattern. The east coast and the southeast will see more storms because of this as well. And  up here towards the northeast towards New England, usually when we're going into an El Nino,  we have a big cool pocket that hangs out over here and is less chances of any kind of  tropical activity during hurricane season. Now, for the northern US in the Great Lakes, this is  where you have a milder winter. You have less snow, you have above average temperatures, and  below average precipitation. Now, the strongest part of this weather pattern of being in an El  Nino will be strongest around the peak of our hurricane season as we go from August, September,  October into winter all the way through next year from December towards January. Now, being at  such a high peak all the way to next winter, this isn't going to come down dramatically quick.  This is going to last because what comes up must come down. So, it's going to take time to come  down as well. So we could see this winter also possibly all the way towards next summer of a  strong El Nino and usually that brings a lot of extra heat and that just goes all around the  globe and brings all kind of impacts especially against the crops. But you can see the diagram  for the winter for a strong El Nino everybody.

[00:03:54]You get more storms across the southwest and this  also brings chances for flooding once again also across the south because that subtropical jet  and the southeast. Now remember when you have the storms and the front moves right along that Gulf  Coast. This gets a lot of strong due points a lot of convection and the storm fronts actually could  bring these tornado threats where you can get a lot of strong cells that flare up along the Gulf.  So be careful of that. Plus for the Northeast, it's going to be a mix where you going to have  some colder days, but then you going to have a lot of warmer days with less precipitation, just  a milder in general also across the northern tier. So for families that need the winters to  shovel all this snow to make their yearly income, unfortunately, we're looking towards a lower  end one. So it's going to be a very rough season for you. And over here across the north and the  Northwest, you're warmer and drier. So, first the extreme global heat. A very strong El Nino would  likely push global temperatures higher, especially because today's baseline climate is already much  warmer. Now, this will amplify impacts by adding more ocean heat, atmospheric moisture, and energy  for more extremes. Also, major drought zones. And you can see here in the diagram how it impacts  worldwide, everybody. So the biggest drought risk would be in Australia, Indonesia, parts  of Southeast Asia and parts of Southern Asia, southern Africa and northern South America, Amazon  areas. These are the regions where a powerful El Nino can hit crops, water supply, hydro power and  wildfire risk hard. Plus the flooding you can see in this diagram. You would usually watch for  increased rainfall and flooding in the southern United States, parts of southern South America,  the Horn of Africa, and parts of Central Asia.

[00:05:46]In a very strong event, the subtropical jet can  become stronger and more active, increasing flood and storm risk in the southern US and parts of  South America. Plus, the food and price shock.

[00:05:59]You can see the only thing that really comes  good out of this is soybean. and everything else would be down because of the drought. So this  would be one of the biggest modern problems. Now NASA notes El Nino can reduce maize in southern  Africa and Central America, wheat in Australia, and rice in Southeast Asia, while global soybean  yields often improve. Also, a study found El Nino reduced global mean yields for wheat, rice,  and maze, plus hurricane season. Normally El Nino increases wind shear and suppresses Atlantic  hurricane developing. But if we have above average warm waters into the Atlantic or into the MDR,  this will help complicate things. So while it's getting sheared from all the heat building into  the Pacific, it also will have some kind of storm development, but it should hinder how strong they  get. I'm still showing close to home is where we need to watch for this hurricane season on the  Atlantic side. All into the Gulf, everybody.

[00:07:00]Now, let's get serious for a moment. There's also  economic losses and big problems that this occurs.

[00:07:06]Not just for our weather and our impacts from  weather, also our crops. So, look at this. Modern impacts would include crop losses, shipping  issues, insurance losses, energy shortages, disease outbreaks, and infrastructure damage.  Research on strong El Ninos found the 1982, 1983, and 1997, 1998 events were followed by estimated  global economic losses of 4 trillion to5 trillion over the following half decade with the biggest  burden on poor tropical nations. So to sum it up everybody, if a 1877 style mega strong El Nino  happened today, this would not just be a warm water event in the Pacific. This could shift  the global storm track, trigger drought across key food growing regions, increase flooding in  others, spike food prices, stress water supplies, and potentially create one of the biggest  climate disruption events in the modern era. Now, one thing to note that is the European plume  members showing this big rise in the temperatures and what's expected for this El Nino season.  Look right here with CFS. This is the American model and the latest one comes out a few days ago,  May 3rd, showing that it won't even reach super.

[00:08:27]More than likely, it'd be right on edge of very  strong. But you look at all the members that it's agreeing that it more than likely will reach right  on that super of that two degree. Now, this is the American model. This model has different aspects  into it than the Euro. The Euro is more accurate.

[00:08:45]In fact, the latest information on what's going on  with those subsurface temperatures moving through the Pacific. Very warm. So, not only going up  towards that three, we're seeing that four, that five, even that six potential of subsurface  temperatures. Now, when this comes to the surface, it more likely will tone down all the way towards  that two and a half towards that three. Hopefully, everybody, because this is pretty high and pretty  crazy. Now, there's two things to note when you're dealing with the Euro versus the American model.  The Euro model identifies intense subsurface Kelvin waves currently moving eastward. It  translates this subsurface heat into sea surface temperature anomalies more aggressively  than the American model, the CFS. But the Euro is also considered a state-of-the-art coupled model,  meaning it better simulates interaction between the ocean and the atmosphere than the American  model. And when you look into the American model, it's lower in sensitivity and potentially cold  bias. Everybody studies have shown that the American model often suffers from a cold bias in  the tropical Pacific leading it to underestimate the intensity of strong events compared to the  Euro. Now having said that when we look at our potential velocity anomaly which shows favorable  environment in this blue lift in the atmosphere or unfavorable in this orange to this red sinking air  in the atmosphere. You can see that the Pacific is really going to get active as we go towards the  later part of May and it's going to stay active all the way towards the first 10 days of June.  Probably pretty strong activity, but I'm still showing that this favorable pocket of energy will  transition further towards the east, everybody.

[00:10:31]So, just because we're going towards a El Nino, a  super El Nino, and potentially stronger than that does not mean we don't have a hurricane season.  Just like I showed you last time, we're a little bit below average from Colorado State University.  But remember, it only takes one, everybody. Now, this right here, this is very concerning. I will  keep you updated on the upcoming pattern. I'm still showing that we have a chance for activity  on the Atlantic side as we go towards beginning of hurricane season. Remember, the El Nino weather  pattern won't get stronger until August and later, not the beginning of hurricane season. Now, the  latest updates on the Saharan air layer, the dust shows that after we go about six days, that low  pressure leaves over here by Portugal and all that dust finally starts coming off the coast of  Africa into the MDR, the main development region, hitting the Azors a lot. But remember my forecast,  we have this big high pressure and this dust is going to be sinking towards the southern side  and going across like this. So, I will keep you updated if you're in the path of this dust. Just  be aware of it. And that is the latest update of what you can expect from this weather pattern that  we're going into, everybody. This won't just be 6 months to a year. Remember, it has to come down  from a strong El Nino as well. We're going to stay in El Nino probably about 18 months. Thank you for  your time. Hope you all have a very blessed day out there today. If this information has helped  you in any way, please send this off to another place. Let other people see what's coming around  the corner. That way they know what to expect cuz it's going to bring strong impacts of heating,  flood, and drought. Now remember everybody, no matter what, God is always in control. And the  God I speak of is Yahweh and his son Jesus Christ, our Lord and Savior. Amen. So before I go, a quick  word from our father. Proverbs 19:21. There are many devices in a man's heart. Nevertheless, the  council of the Lord that shall stand. Amen. Have a great day everybody. Be aware of these storms  still going on for the southeast for today. I will keep you updated on upcoming weather pattern  and hurricane season. I think is going to kick off very strong, especially after the first 10  days. We're going to see a transition at least something around the Central American gy pulled  northward from a low trough into the Gulf. I will keep you updated. Remember, above all things,  all glory goes to God, our father in heaven, Yahweh. And I always hope he keeps you safe  every single day of your life and forever. Amen.

[00:13:21]Hallelujah. Amen. Have a great day, everybody.

[00:13:27]We have strong weather coming  for this year and next year.