Severe weather outbreaks are driven by temperature gradients where cold dry air from northern regions collides with warm moist air from the Gulf of Mexico, creating atmospheric instability (CAPE values of 3,000-4,000) that fuels supercell thunderstorms capable of producing EF2-EF3 tornadoes, large hail, and hurricane-force winds. The most dangerous window for this particular outbreak is Sunday evening through Monday night, with the worst threat concentrated across Eastern Nebraska, Iowa, Southern Minnesota, Northern Missouri, Eastern Kansas, Wisconsin, and Northern Illinois.
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Stop what you are doing right now. In the next 48 hours, a monster storm system is going to slam into nearly half of this country. And most people watching this video have absolutely no idea what is coming. We are talking about hurricane force wind gust of 70 to 75 mph. We are talking about hail the size of softballs, 2 to 3 inches across, falling out of the sky like rocks. We are talking about strong tornadoes, EF2 and EF3, possibly even stronger, ripping through cities while families are sleeping in their beds. And the worst part, the absolute worst part, is that this is not a one-day event. This is not a 12-hour event. This is going to last from tonight all the way through Tuesday morning. Four straight days of dangerous weather across more than 20 states. So, if you are watching this from anywhere east of the Rockies, you need to stop scrolling and pay attention right now.
Because what I'm about to share with you could be the difference between being prepared and being caught completely off guard. And before we go any further, I want you to do me one favor. Drop your city and your state in the comments below right now before you forget. Just type it in the comments because by the time we are done with this video, I'm going to give you the timing for your exact area. When the storms hit your town, when they peak, and when they finally move out. We are covering more than 270 cities in this update. So, wherever you are, I have got you covered. Just drop your location below and stay with me. Now, stick with me for the next few minutes because at the 30-second mark, I'm going to give you something most weather channels never give you. I'm going to give you the exact moment this storm is going to be at its absolute worst. The single most dangerous 12-hour window and the geographical center of where you do not want to be. That is your first reward.
And then around the 5-minute mark, I'm going to deliver on my biggest promise of this video. I'm going to walk you through every single major American city, region by region, and tell you exactly what kind of weather you are going to face and at what hour. So, you can plan your weekend, plan your travel, plan your work, and most importantly, plan your family safety. That is a real promise, and I'm going to keep it. Here is the first thing you need to understand. The Storm Prediction Center has now upgraded multiple risk areas. We started this week with just a slight risk for severe weather. Then it got upgraded to an enhanced risk. Now, we are looking at the very real possibility of a moderate risk, and in some of the worst zones, possibly even a high risk by Sunday into Monday. For those of you who do not follow severe weather closely, let me put that in plain English. A high risk day is the rarest, most dangerous category that exists in American severe weather forecasting.
There are only a handful of high risk days every single year in this entire country, and the modeling right now is suggesting we could be staring one straight in the face. The technical reason for this is something called a negatively tilted trough. I know that sounds like meteorology jargon, but I'm going to explain it the way a real human being would explain it. Imagine a giant slingshot in the upper atmosphere. When that slingshot tilts the right way, it pulls warm, moist air up from the Gulf of Mexico, slams it into cold, dry air coming down from Canada, and then twists the entire mess like a wet towel. That twisting motion is what creates supercell thunderstorms, and supercell thunderstorms are what create the worst tornadoes on planet Earth. Right now, that slingshot is loading up for Sunday into Monday. The atmosphere is going to be primed. The instability values are going to be off the charts. The wind shear is going to be ridiculous. Every single ingredient looks at when they are worried about a major tornado outbreak is lining up at the same time. Now, let me give you the first piece of timing information, because I promised it, and I am delivering on it right now at the 30-second mark area of this video. The single most dangerous window across the entire four-day stretch is going to be from late Sunday evening through Monday night. If I had to pick a 12-hour window where I would want every single American in the path to be alert, ready, with a weather radio on, and a safe shelter identified. It would be from about 6:00 in the evening Sunday Central Time through 6:00 in the morning Monday Central Time, and then continuing through Monday afternoon and evening.
That is your danger window. Mark it in your phone right now. 6:00 in the evening Sunday Central Time to midnight Monday. Write it down. And geographically, the bull's-eye, the center of the worst threat zone, is currently shaping up across eastern Nebraska into Iowa, southern Minnesota, northern Missouri, eastern Kansas, and stretching across into Wisconsin and northern Illinois. That is the heart of where the strongest tornado threat lives right now.
But, do not tune out if you are not in those states, because this storm system is going to expand and shift east. By Monday night and Tuesday morning, we are talking about Ohio, Kentucky, Tennessee, Michigan, Indiana, and even pushing into western Pennsylvania and West Virginia.
So, a huge slice of this country is going to feel something from this storm.
The only real question is when and how bad.
Let me back up and walk you through the 4-day timeline step-by-step, because I want you to understand the rhythm of this thing.
This is not a single explosion. This is wave after wave after wave.
Friday, today, we already have an enhanced risk in place.
Today is mostly about wind and hail. Not the worst tornado threat, but still dangerous.
We are looking at a 2% tornado probability, which sounds small, but in severe weather speak, that still means tornadoes are absolutely on the table.
Wind gusts today are going to be the big story, with hurricane-force wind gusts of 70 to 75 mph possible in a black hashed corridor running from eastern Nebraska down through Kansas and Oklahoma.
Hail is also a major concern today with stones 2 in in diameter and larger possible.
2 in is a tennis ball. That is glass shattering, roof denting, car totaling hail.
Do not stand outside watching the sky if you hear hail starting. Get under cover.
Get a vehicle parked under shelter if you can. And if you cannot, accept that your car might take some damage and protect the humans first.
By 8:00 and 9:00 this evening, the storms really start to brew up across eastern Nebraska pushing into western and central Iowa.
Then as we slide past 11:00 and into the midnight hour, that line of storms is going to come barreling east with strong winds along the frontal boundary pushing into Wisconsin, northern Illinois, Michigan, and northern Indiana through the early morning hours of Saturday.
That is the overnight surprise that catches people sleeping.
And that is one of the most dangerous types of severe weather we get in this country.
The overnight nocturnal storm.
You cannot see it coming. You are asleep. You do not have a weather radio on.
The lights flicker, the wind picks up, and suddenly your phone is screaming with a tornado warning.
That is exactly the scenario we want to avoid.
So if you are in Wisconsin, northern Illinois, Michigan, or northern Indiana tonight, charge your phone, put it on loud, and make sure your local weather alerts are turned on before you go to bed.
That is a simple step that could save your life.
Saturday is going to be the second wave.
The storms that fired tonight are going to weaken as they cross the Tennessee-Kentucky Valley overnight. But then a brand new round is going to ignite Saturday afternoon further west and northwest.
Tornado threat for Saturday is still officially on the low end, around 2% but the wind and hail threats remain absolutely dangerous.
We are looking at another round of 70 to 75 mph wind gusts in a black hashed corridor and hail in the 2 to 3 in range.
3 in across, just to give you a visual, is the size of a baseball.
Think about a baseball falling from the clouds at terminal velocity hitting the hood of your truck.
That is what we are talking about.
Now, here is where it gets really serious.
Sunday.
Sunday is when the enhanced risk really expands and the Storm Prediction Center is showing significant severe weather in a black hashed zone plus a 30% probability area which is itself another upgrade from earlier in the week.
This is going to be the day where strong tornadoes EF2 or greater become a very real concern.
Very large hail, 2 to 3 in plus, is on the table.
Hurricane force wind gusts are on the table.
And what we are watching in particular is the upgrade extending all the way northeast into Wisconsin which matches exactly what some of the most respected academic forecasting teams in the country have been signaling for days now.
When the official Storm Prediction Center forecast and the independent university forecasts both line up and start raising the alarm level together, that is when you really need to pay attention. And then Monday. Monday is going to be the worst day of this entire outbreak.
I want to be careful here because I am not trying to scare anybody. I am not going to dramatize this, but I have to be honest with you about what the models are showing.
The current forecast for Monday is showing the potential for a moderate risk zone, possibly even a high risk zone with 60% probability of severe weather inside the darkest purple shading on the official maps.
That is as strong as the language gets in this business.
The whole zone covering parts of Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, and stretching toward the Great Lakes is potentially going to turn into one of the most dangerous severe weather days we have seen in years.
Then Tuesday, the system shifts further east. The Ohio Valley, the Great Lakes, and into the Appalachians are going to get their turn.
The threat will weaken some, but overnight nocturnal storms with damaging winds and the possibility of QLCS tornadoes, which are tornadoes embedded inside a line of storms, are going to be the main concern from late Monday night into early Tuesday morning.
So, that is your big picture timeline.
Four days, four waves.
The peak is Sunday into Monday.
The worst zone is the Central Plains stretching into the Midwest.
Now, let me deliver on that bigger promise I made at the start of this video.
Let me walk you through your forecast city by city, region by region, because I want every single one of you watching to know exactly what is going to happen where you live and at what hour.
Let me start by anchoring you in what is happening across the country right now in terms of temperatures, because this storm is being fueled by a massive temperature gradient.
On the cool side of the front, much of the West Coast and the Pacific Northwest is sitting in the low 50s Fahrenheit this morning.
Seattle is at 52° with mostly cloudy skies.
Portland, Oregon, is at 52 with scattered clouds and a chill in the air.
San Francisco is sitting at 57, foggy and crisp like it always is this time of year.
San Jose is at 57 with passing clouds.
Los Angeles is at 63° with low clouds and that classic May gray you get along the Southern California coast.
San Diego is at 63 with overcast skies.
Even Las Vegas is unusually mild at 81° and sunny, which is warm, but not the brutal heat we sometimes see this time of year.
Phoenix, Arizona, is at 79°, sunny, and pleasantly warm.
Tucson is also in the upper 70s. So, the entire western half of the country is fairly settled, fairly cool, and fairly calm.
But, once you start moving east, that is when things change in a hurry.
Denver, Colorado, is sitting at 70° with passing clouds.
Colorado Springs is at 70° as well.
Pueblo is at 73.
These are perfectly pleasant late spring temperatures.
But, the boundary between this air mass and what is coming up from the south is exactly where the action is going to fire.
Drop down to Albuquerque, New Mexico.
You are at 72° and sunny.
Roswell, New Mexico, 84° and sunny, climbing toward the warm category.
El Paso, Texas, 82° and pleasantly warm.
Now, look across into West Texas.
Midland is at 82°.
Lubbock is sitting at 82 with scattered clouds.
Amarillo is at 81° with full sunshine.
Abilene is at 77.
San Angelo is at 79.
This warm sector, this corridor of warm pleasant air sitting across Texas and the southern plains is the fuel.
This is the gasoline.
And the storm system rolling in from the west is the match.
Oklahoma City is at 75° with broken clouds.
Tulsa is at 73 with light rain and broken clouds. Which is already telling you the front is starting to interact.
Enid, Oklahoma is at 84°.
Stillwater, Oklahoma is at 79 and warm.
McAlester is at 73.
Lawton, Altus, Hobbs across the southern Oklahoma and northwest Texas border all sitting in that warm 70s and low 80s zone.
This is exactly the air mass that is going to get violently lifted Friday evening into Saturday.
Up across Kansas, Wichita is at 73° with passing clouds.
Topeka is at 79° and warm.
Kansas City, Missouri is at 75° and sunny.
Manhattan, Kansas is at 81° and warm.
Salina is at 77.
Garden City and Dodge City are both in the mid-70s.
Every single one of these cities is sitting in the path of the developing storm complex tonight and tomorrow.
If you live anywhere in Kansas right now, take the next couple of hours to make sure your storm plan is ready.
Charge phones, check flashlights, identify your safe room or your basement.
Talk to your kids about what to do if the sirens go off.
This is not a drill.
This is the front edge of the danger zone. Now, please do not click away yet because the part you really do not want to miss is coming up next. I am going to walk through the upper Midwest, the Great Lakes, the South, the Southeast, and then the East Coast forecast city by city. And around the 5-minute mark of this video, I told you I was going to deliver the biggest payoff. We are getting close to that moment right now.
Heading into Nebraska, Omaha is at 75° and sunny. Lincoln is also at 75. Grand Island is at 75. Kearney is at 73. North Platte is at 68° with full sunshine.
These cities are dead center in the Friday evening to overnight zone.
8:00 to 11:00 in the evening tonight is when those storms are going to come roaring in across Eastern Nebraska.
Damaging winds, large hail, and the chance of a few spin-up tornadoes. Get inside. Stay inside. Do not go out to take pictures of the lightning. Every single year people get hurt doing that, and I do not want it to happen to you.
Into Iowa, Des Moines is at 72° and sunny. Cedar Rapids is at 68° and sunny.
Davenport is at 68°. Iowa City is at 66°. Sioux City is at 54°, which is cool, but the air is going to warm and destabilize quickly as the day goes on.
Waterloo is at 72°. Ames is at 73°.
Mason City is at 73°.
The entire state of Iowa is going to be in the path tonight and tomorrow.
Watch for that overnight line moving east between roughly 8:00 tonight and 1:00 in the morning.
Minnesota, Minneapolis is at 72° and sunny. St. Paul is also at 73. Rochester is at 72. Duluth is much cooler at 52° because of the Lake Superior influence.
Mankato is at 73. St. Cloud area, Brooklyn Park, all in the low to mid-70s. Southern Minnesota in particular needs to watch out tonight with the heaviest action probably hitting between 10:00 in the evening and 3:00 in the morning. By Sunday afternoon, Minnesota becomes part of the bull's-eye for the strongest tornado threat as that low pressure system intensifies right over the state.
Wisconsin, Milwaukee is at 63 and sunny.
Madison is at 66 with passing clouds.
Green Bay is at 66 with partly sunny skies. Appleton is at 64.
Eau Claire is at 70°. La Crosse is at 70. Wausau is at 63.
Wisconsin is going to see the impacts overnight tonight pushing into Saturday morning, then again Saturday into Sunday, and then a potentially major event Sunday evening as the upgrade extends into the state. North Dakota, Bismarck is at 64°.
Fargo is at 72 and sunny. Grand Forks is at 72. Minot is at 64. Williston is at 59.
South Dakota, Sioux Falls is at 73.
Rapid City is at 64. Pierre is at 68 with passing clouds. Aberdeen is at 70°.
These northern plains cities are going to be on the cold side of the front through much of the weekend, but they still have a role to play because the cold air is what is going to crash into the warm air and trigger the worst of the storms downstream.
And here we are. We have crossed the 5-minute mark of this video, and I told you I was going to deliver on my biggest promise.
I am about to give you the full city-by-city breakdown for the rest of the country with timing for when the storms hit.
So, if you have been waiting for this, here it comes. And once again, if you have not dropped your city in the comments yet, do it right now because I read those comments, and I want to know where my audience is watching from.
Moving south now into Missouri, St. Louis is at 68° and partly sunny.
Kansas City, Missouri is at 75°.
Springfield, Missouri is at 70 and sunny.
Columbia, Missouri is at 73.
Joplin is at 73.
Jefferson City is at 73.
Branson is at 75 and feeling mild.
For Missouri, the Saturday wave is going to be the first hit. But Sunday into Monday is going to bring multiple rounds of severe weather.
St. Louis, you in particular need to pay close attention as the negatively tilted trough swings through because that puts the metro area right in the firing line for damaging winds and possible tornadoes Sunday night into Monday.
Arkansas, Little Rock is at 77° with broken clouds and feeling warm.
Fort Smith is at 70° and sunny.
Fayetteville is at 73 and sunny.
Texarkana is at 81 and warm.
Hot Springs region, Pine Bluff, Jonesboro area, all sitting in that warm corridor.
Arkansas is going to see severe weather Saturday and Sunday with damaging winds and the chance for tornadoes as the line of storms sweeps through. Louisiana, New Orleans is at 81° and warm with passing clouds. Baton Rouge is at 81. Shreveport is at 79 with partly sunny skies.
Lafayette is at 81. Lake Charles is at 81 and warm. Alexandria, Louisiana is at 79. The southern Louisiana coast is going to be mostly on the warm sector side of the front through the weekend, but you will start to see scattered strong storms by Sunday into Monday.
Mississippi, Jackson is at 73° and sunny. Biloxi is at 77 and warm.
Gulfport is at 77. Hattiesburg is at 75.
Tupelo is at 70° and sunny. Vicksburg is at 79 and warm. Mississippi sees the front pass through Saturday into Sunday with the strongest threat for damaging winds. Alabama, Birmingham is at 70° with passing clouds. Mobile is at 75° and sunny. Huntsville is at 66 with passing clouds. Montgomery is at 68 and sunny. Tuscaloosa is at 72 and sunny.
Auburn is at 66. Florence is at 68.
Dothan is at 72. The Alabama threat windows are mostly Saturday night into Sunday, and then again Monday into Tuesday. Tennessee, Nashville is at 66 and partly sunny. Memphis is at 72 with partly sunny skies. Knoxville is at 61° with passing clouds and feeling refreshingly cool. Chattanooga is at 63 with passing clouds. Murfreesboro is at 66. Clarksville is at 66. Tennessee gets multiple opportunities for severe weather with overnight Sunday into Monday being the most dangerous window, and then again into Tuesday as the system shifts east. Kentucky, Louisville is at 63 with broken clouds. Lexington is at 63 and sunny. Bowling Green is at 64 and sunny. Owensboro is at 66 with passing clouds. Hopkinsville is at 66.
Kentucky is firmly in the Sunday night into Monday danger window. The Ohio Valley becomes the focus as the system continues east. Please take this seriously. Kentucky and Tennessee have a long painful history with severe weather and overnight tornadoes. Have your alerts on. Identify your safe shelter.
Talk to your family today, not when the sirens are going off. Now Texas, there are too many Texas cities to skip.
Houston is at 81° with broken clouds and warm. Dallas is at 73 with mostly cloudy skies. Fort Worth is at 73 and sunny.
Austin is at 77 with scattered clouds and warm. San Antonio is at 75 with broken clouds. El Paso is at 82. Corpus Christi is at 82 with broken clouds.
Brownsville is at 84 and warm. Laredo is at 81 passing clouds. McAllen is at 82 and warm. Waco is at 73. Tyler is at 79.
Longview is at 77. Plano is at 73.
Arlington is at 73. Irving is at 73.
Frisco area, Lewisville, McKinney, all in the low to mid-70s. The Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex is going to be in the path of severe weather Friday night and Saturday with damaging winds, large hail, and the chance for a few tornadoes. Stay weather aware through the weekend. Now Oklahoma deserves another mention because Oklahoma is sitting right in the warm sector and right in the path. Oklahoma City at 75.
Tulsa at 73 with that light rain already starting. Norman, Edmond, Moore, all of central Oklahoma is going to be one of the very first regions to feel this storm complex. If you live in tornado alley Oklahoma, you already know the drill, but I am going to remind you anyway. Have a weather radio. Identify your safe room or storm shelter. Know what your local siren sound like. Know where your kids and pets will go.
Practice it. Take it seriously because no matter how many times you have been through this, every single event is its own thing. Let me now sweep through the Southeast. Georgia, Atlanta is at 64° and sunny. Augusta, Georgia is at 66 with full sunshine. Savannah is at 70° and sunny. Columbus, Georgia is at 66.
Macon is at 66 and sunny. Valdosta is at 72. The Georgia threat is more on Monday and Tuesday as the system pushes east.
Atlanta in particular, you need to be ready for a stormy stretch as we head into early next week. South Carolina, Charleston is at 68 and partly sunny.
Columbia, South Carolina is at 66.
Greenville is at 64 and sunny. Myrtle Beach is at 66 and sunny. Spartanburg is at 63 and sunny. North Carolina, Charlotte is at 64° with passing clouds.
Raleigh is at 66 with scattered clouds.
Greensboro is at 63. Asheville is at 57 and feeling refreshingly cool.
Wilmington, North Carolina is at 70°.
Durham is at 66. Florida, Florida is interesting because Florida is mostly on the warm side of everything and you guys are going to be sitting pretty warm and stable through most of the weekend.
Although the front does eventually sweep through. Miami is at 86° and warm.
Orlando is at 82 and warm. Tampa is at 88° and pleasantly warm. Jacksonville is at 75° with scattered clouds.
Tallahassee is at 75 with scattered clouds. Pensacola is at 75 and sunny.
Fort Lauderdale is at 84 and warm. West Palm Beach is at 84. Key West is at 84° and warm. Sarasota is at 86. Naples is at 82 and warm. Daytona Beach is at 82.
Cape Coral is at 84. The Florida Peninsula stays on the warm side. Your biggest concern is going to be more conventional scattered strong storms by Monday or Tuesday as the front finally pushes through.
Now, I want something important because we are roughly in the middle of this video and this is exactly when the human brain starts wanting to drift. Do not bail out yet. Stay with me because the next section, the East Coast and the Northeast forecast, is the one most of you have been waiting for. And after that, I have one more critical piece of information I have not shared yet and you do not want to miss it.
Let me hit the Mid-Atlantic now.
Virginia, Richmond is at 64° with passing clouds. Norfolk is at 63° with scattered clouds. Virginia Beach is at 61° with partly sunny skies. Roanoke is at 63° and sunny. Lynchburg is at 63°.
Charlottesville is at 63° and sunny.
Fredericksburg is at 64° with scattered clouds. Arlington, Virginia is at 64° and sunny. The Washington D.C. metro area is at 64° with scattered clouds.
Baltimore, Maryland is at 63° with passing clouds. Annapolis is at 61° and sunny. Frederick, Maryland is at 59°.
The Mid-Atlantic is going to start cool and sunny, but the storm system arrives Tuesday with a chance for severe weather as the front finally sweeps through.
Delaware, Wilmington, Delaware is at 63° with scattered clouds. Dover is at 63° with passing clouds. Rehoboth Beach is at 61° with scattered clouds. New Jersey, Newark is at 63° with partly sunny skies. Jersey City is at 63°.
Trenton is at 59° with partly sunny skies. Atlantic City is at 59°.
Pennsylvania, Philadelphia is at 61° with partly sunny skies. Pittsburgh is at 55° and sunny. Harrisburg is at 59°.
Scranton is at 50° with overcast skies.
Allentown is at 57°. Erie is at 55° and sunny. State College is at 55°. New York, New York City is at 61° with scattered clouds. Buffalo is at 55° with broken clouds. Albany, New York is at 55° with overcast skies. Rochester is at 59°. Syracuse is at 54° with mostly cloudy skies. Binghamton is at 48 with overcast skies.
The Northeast is fairly cool right now, but that means there is a strong temperature contrast on the eastern edge of this system.
By Tuesday, scattered severe weather is going to make it into parts of the Ohio Valley spilling into western Pennsylvania and possibly Upstate New York. New England. Boston is at 54 with overcast skies. Worcester is at 52.
Springfield, Massachusetts is at 59 and cool.
Providence, Rhode Island is at 61 with broken clouds. Hartford, Connecticut is at 59 with mostly cloudy skies. New Haven, Connecticut is at 63 with scattered clouds. Portland, Maine is at 52 with light rain and fog. Augusta, Maine is at 54. Bangor, Maine is at 59 with mostly cloudy skies.
Manchester, New Hampshire is at 52.
Concord, New Hampshire is at 54 with overcast skies.
Burlington, Vermont is at 57 with broken clouds. Montpelier, Vermont is at 55.
New England is going to mostly stay on the cool side of the system. The severe threat is not going to be a big direct hit for New England, but you might see some scattered storms and gusty winds as the system finally washes through Tuesday and Wednesday. The Midwest.
Ohio. Columbus, Ohio is at 59 with broken clouds. Cleveland is at 63 with scattered clouds. Cincinnati is at 63 with passing clouds. Toledo is at 64 and sunny. Dayton is at 64 and warm. Akron is at 59 and sunny. Youngstown is at 57.
Canton is at 57.
Ohio is going to be heavily impacted Monday night into Tuesday as the system pushes through the Ohio Valley. This is going to be a serious overnight nocturnal storm event for Ohio. So, I really need Ohio residents to take this seriously. Make sure your phone alerts are turned on for night time hours. Make sure you have a way to be woken up if a tornado warning is issued in your county. Indiana, Indianapolis is at 52 and partly sunny. Fort Wayne is at 64.
Evansville is at 63 with overcast skies.
South Bend is at 63. Bloomington, Indiana is at 54 with light rain and mostly cloudy skies. Lafayette, Indiana is at 52. Muncie is at 61. Terre Haute is at 54. Indiana sits in the danger zone for Sunday night into Monday and again Monday into Tuesday. Illinois, Chicago is at 57 with mostly cloudy skies. Springfield, Illinois is at 59 with thunder showers and overcast skies.
Peoria is at 55 with overcast skies.
Rockford is at 64 and sunny. Champaign is at 55 and cool. Bloomington, Illinois is at 57. Aurora, Illinois is at 59 with scattered clouds. The Chicago metro is firmly in the Sunday night and Monday danger window. Chicago, you have a long history with severe weather. Take it seriously this time, too. Michigan, Detroit is at 61 and sunny. Grand Rapids is at 55 and partly sunny. Lansing is at 57 with overcast skies. Flint is at 57 and sunny. Ann Arbor is at 59 with scattered clouds. Kalamazoo is at 57.
Traverse City is at 57. Saginaw is at 61 with overcast skies. Michigan is going to take its first hit overnight tonight and tomorrow morning as the line of storms moves through. Then again, Sunday into Monday. Pacific Northwest, Seattle is at 52 with mostly cloudy skies.
Tacoma is at 48. Portland, Oregon is at 52. Eugene, Oregon is at 52 with partly sunny skies. Salem, Oregon is at 52 with overcast skies. Spokane, Washington is at 46. Bellingham is at 50 with cloudy skies. Olympia is at 46. The Pacific Northwest is mostly going to escape this severe weather threat completely with cool overcast conditions hanging on through the weekend. Northern California, Sacramento is at 63 and sunny. Redding is at 68. Chico is at 66 and sunny. Stockton is at 63. Modesto is at 64 and sunny. Eureka is at 52 with overcast skies. The Bay Area, San Francisco at 57. Oakland at 57. San Jose at 57. Cool and foggy. Central California, Fresno at 66. Bakersfield at 70°. Visalia is at 64. The Southern California coast, San Diego at 63. Long Beach at 63. Santa Monica at 63. Burbank at 61. The Inland Southern California region, Riverside at 61. Palm Springs at 75. Indio at 75. California is calm.
California is fine. Enjoy your weekend.
Nevada, Las Vegas at 81 and warm. Reno at 57 and refreshingly cool. Henderson and Sunrise Manor and Paradise are all in the upper 70s and low 80s. Nevada is mostly going to stay quiet. Arizona, Phoenix at 79. Tucson at 77. Flagstaff at 61. Sedona at 72. Prescott at 66.
Yuma at 79. Mesa at 81. Chandler at 79.
Gilbert is also in the upper 70s.
Arizona stays quiet through the weekend.
Utah, Salt Lake City is at 63 with passing clouds. Provo is at 61 and refreshingly cool. Ogden is at 59. St. George is at 72. Park City area sees cooler temperatures. Idaho, Boise is at 54. Idaho Falls is at 50. Pocatello is at 54. Twin Falls is in the cool range.
Idaho mostly stays quiet. Montana, Billings is at 59 with passing clouds.
Bozeman is at 54. Helena is at 52 and sunny. Missoula is at 48 with partly sunny skies. Great Falls is at 54 and sunny. Wyoming, Cheyenne is at 64 and sunny. Casper is at 63. Jackson, Wyoming is at 54. Laramie is in the cool range.
Colorado, Denver is at 70° with passing clouds. Colorado Springs is at 70 and sunny. Boulder is at 68. Fort Collins is at 68. Pueblo is at 73. Aurora, Colorado is at 70. Lakewood, Colorado is at 66.
Aspen is at 57. Telluride is at 50 9.
Durango is at 57. Colorado is going to have a strong gradient between the warm front sector and the cool air, and that gradient is what is going to drive the storm engine east. Watch the front.
Okay, so we have hit a huge swath of the country, but there is something I have not told you yet, and I promised this. I want to talk about the actual physics of why this system is so dangerous, because this matters. Why are the models saying Sunday into Monday is going to be the worst? It is not just one thing. It is a combination of factors all stacking up at the same time. And when they all stack up, that is when you get the worst kinds of severe weather days in American history. Factor number one is moisture.
The Gulf of Mexico is open right now.
That means warm, humid air is going to be pumped north all weekend long, fueling the storms from the bottom. Dew points across Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi are going to climb into the mid-60s and even low 70s.
That is plenty of fuel. Factor number two is instability. As that warm, humid air pumps north and the upper levels of the atmosphere stay cool, the temperature contrast between the surface and the upper atmosphere becomes huge.
That contrast is called instability, and the more instability you have, the bigger the updrafts can grow. Sunday into Monday, the instability values, what meteorologists call CAPE, are forecast to climb into the 3,000 to 4,000 range in the worst spots. That is dangerous territory. That is the kind of instability that produces baseball-sized hail and violent tornadoes. Factor number three is wind shear. Wind shear is the change in wind direction and speed as you go up through the atmosphere. The greater the change, the more rotation you can put into a thunderstorm updraft. Sunday into Monday, the wind shear values are forecast to be extreme. Strong winds at the surface coming from the south.
Strong winds aloft coming from the southwest and west. That is the recipe for supercells and tornadoes. Factor number four is the negatively tilted trough that I told you about earlier.
That trough configuration enhances every single one of the other factors. It increases the lift. It increases the surface convergence. It tightens up the dynamics. When meteorologists see a deep, negatively tilted trough swinging through during peak severe weather season with a moist, warm sector below it, that is when our alarm bells start ringing. And they are ringing right now.
So, when you put all four factors together at the same time over the same area, what you get is a setup for what we call a major severe weather outbreak.
Strong tornadoes possible. Very large hail possible. Hurricane-force damaging winds possible across a huge geographic area over multiple days. This is why the official forecasters are showing upgrades. This is why I am taking the time to make this video and walk you through it. Now, I know I have shared a lot of scary-sounding information. So, let me pivot and tell you exactly what to do. Because being prepared is not scary. Being unprepared is what is scary. Step one, get a weather radio. If you do not own a NOAA weather radio, you can buy one at any hardware store or online for between $20 and $40. It will literally save your life. It alerts you in the middle of the night when your phone might be silenced or out of charge. Get one today, tomorrow, before Sunday. Step two, identify your safe shelter. The safest place in any home during a tornado is an interior room on the lowest floor with no windows. A basement is best. If you do not have a basement, then a bathroom in the center of the house or an interior closet with as many walls between you and the outside as possible. Mobile homes are not safe in tornadoes. If you live in a mobile home, identify where your nearest community storm shelter is or a sturdy neighbor's house or a public building and have a plan to get there fast if a tornado warning is issued. Step three, charge everything. Phones, weather radios, flashlights, portable battery packs. Charge them all today and Saturday before the worst weather arrives. Step four, talk to your family.
Tell your kids what the plan is. Tell your spouse. Tell your elderly parents if they live alone. Make sure everyone in your household knows where to go and what to do. Step five, bring in the loose stuff. Patio furniture, trash cans, kid toys, garden tools, anything that can become a projectile in a 60 or 70 mile per hour wind gust needs to be brought inside or tied down before Saturday afternoon. Step six, check on your neighbors. Especially the elderly, the disabled, anyone who might not have weather alerts. Knock on doors. Send a quick text. Be the kind of neighbor that you would want to have if you were the one who needed help. Step seven, take care of your pets. Bring them inside before the storms arrive. Have them in their carriers or with their leashes ready in case you have to move to your safe room in a hurry. And step eight, stay calm. I cannot say this enough. We are not practicing fear here. We are practicing readiness. Being ready means you do not have to be afraid. Being ready means you have control of the things that are within your control and you trust your preparation to handle the rest. Now, let me come back to timing because I know that is what you are here for. Let me give you a more refined hour-by-hour breakdown. Friday tonight, storms fire across eastern Nebraska between 7:00 and 9:00 in the evening central time. The line moves east across Iowa from 9:00 in the evening through 1:00 in the morning. By midnight to 3:00 in the morning, the line is pushing into Wisconsin, northern Illinois, and Michigan. By 4:00 to 6:00 in the morning Saturday, the system is reaching into Indiana, Ohio, and weakening. Saturday, the second round fires in the afternoon across the Central Plains. Nebraska, Kansas, South Dakota, and Iowa are at the highest risk by mid to late afternoon. By Saturday evening through midnight, the line again moves east into Missouri, Illinois, and southern Wisconsin. Sunday, the big day starts.
Afternoon supercells fire across the Central Plains again. Eastern Nebraska, Iowa, southern Minnesota, eastern Kansas, and northern Missouri are the bull's-eye. Strong tornadoes are possible. Very large hail, damaging winds. By Sunday evening into Sunday night, the storms organize into a large complex and push east across the Upper Midwest into the Great Lakes region.
Monday, the worst day. The system intensifies again. Strong to intense tornadoes, EF2 and EF3 plus, are possible across a moderate to potentially high-risk zone covering parts of Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin, and stretching south. By Monday evening, the line moves east into the Ohio Valley with continued severe weather, including damaging winds and embedded tornadoes.
Monday night into Tuesday morning, overnight nocturnal storms continue across Ohio, Kentucky, Tennessee, Indiana, and Michigan. Damaging winds and QLCS tornadoes are the primary threats. The system finally weakens as it moves into the Appalachians. Tuesday, lingering severe weather across the eastern Ohio Valley, western Pennsylvania, West Virginia, parts of Virginia, and the Carolinas. The threat winds down by Tuesday evening as the cold front clears the East Coast. That is your timing. Memorize the windows that apply to you and your area. Set alarms if you need to. Sleep with your phone on loud. Let me also touch on a few cities I have not specifically mentioned yet because I want every region covered. Spokane, Washington, 52 and cool. Anchorage, Alaska, 43 and overcast and chilly. Fairbanks Alaska, 48 and cool. Juneau Alaska, 45.
Honolulu, Hawaii, 73 and mild with passing clouds. Hilo, Hawaii, 72. Hawaii and Alaska are not impacted by this system, obviously, but I wanted to acknowledge our viewers in those states because I know you watch, too. Thank you for being here. A few more specific Texas mentions because the Texas audience is huge. Galveston is at 81 and warm. Beaumont is at 81. Killeen is at 77 and warm. Temple, Texas, is at 75.
Bryan-College Station is at 79. Tyler is at 79. Wichita Falls is at 75. Abilene at 77. San Marcos at 79. New Braunfels area in the high 70s. Conroe is at 81.
The Woodlands area in the upper 70s and low 80s. East Texas, from Tyler to Longview to Texarkana, sits in the warm sector and will be in the threat zone Friday night and Saturday. Stay alert. A few more Oklahoma cities. Norman is in the 70s. Stillwater at 79. Lawton at the mid-70s. Ardmore region in the 70s.
Bartlesville, Muskogee, all across central and eastern Oklahoma, the warm sector is fueling the storm engine and the front is going to sweep through tonight and Saturday. Kansas additions.
Wichita is at 73. Topeka at 79.
Manhattan, Kansas, at 81. Salina at 77.
Hutchinson at 79. Garden City at 75.
Hays at 79. Dodge City at 73. Lawrence, Kansas, at 75. Olathe at 70. Overland Park at 70. Kansas is wall-to-wall in the threat zone for Friday night through Monday night. Missouri additions. St. Louis at 68. Kansas City, Missouri, at 75. Springfield, Missouri, at 70.
Columbia, Missouri, at 73. Joplin at 73.
Jefferson City at 73. Cape Girardeau region in the 70s. Branson at 75.
Sedalia at 73. Independence at 72. St. Joseph at 73. All of Missouri faces multiple rounds of severe weather Saturday into Tuesday. Nebraska editions. Omaha at 75, Lincoln at 75, Grand Island at 75, Kearney at 73, North Platte at 68, Scotts Bluff at 72, Sidney, Nebraska at 63, Fremont area, Norfolk, Nebraska, Hastings, Bellevue.
Nebraska is in the bull's-eye for tonight and Sunday. Iowa editions. Des Moines at 72, Cedar Rapids at 68, Davenport at 68, Iowa City at 66, Sioux City at 54, Waterloo at 72, Ames at 73, Mason City at 73, Council Bluffs region, Dubuque at 64, Cedar Falls. The whole state of Iowa is wall-to-wall in the threat zone for Friday night through Monday night. Minnesota editions.
Minneapolis at 72, Saint Paul at 73, Rochester, Minnesota at 72, Duluth at 52, Mankato at 73, Brooklyn Park at 72, Saint Cloud area, Bloomington, Minnesota, Plymouth at 72, Faribault at 73, Red Wing at 73, Stillwater, Minnesota at 73. Minnesota sees severe weather tonight and especially Sunday afternoon and evening. Wisconsin editions. Milwaukee at 63, Madison at 66, Green Bay at 66, Appleton at 64, Eau Claire at 70, La Crosse at 70, Wausau at 63, Kenosha at 63, Racine at 64, West Allis at 63, Janesville at 64, Sheboygan at 64, Manitowoc at 57, Oshkosh at 66.
Wisconsin is going to get repeated hits from tonight all the way through Sunday and Monday. Illinois editions. Chicago at 57, Rockford at 64, Aurora, Illinois at 59, Naperville and Joliet area, Springfield at 59, Peoria at 55, Champaign at 55, Decatur at 55, Bloomington at 57, Carbondale at 66, Quincy, Illinois at 64. Illinois is going to be hit Sunday into Monday very hard. Indiana editions. Indianapolis at 52. Fort Wayne at 64. Evansville at 63.
South Bend at 63. Bloomington, Indiana at 54. Lafayette, Indiana at 52. Muncie at 61. Anderson at 64. Terre Haute at 54. Kokomo at 55. Indiana faces severe weather Sunday into Monday and again Monday night. Ohio editions. Columbus, Ohio at 59. Cleveland at 63. Cincinnati at 63. Toledo at 64. Akron at 59. Dayton at 64. Youngstown at 57. Canton at 57.
Lima, Ohio at 61. Lancaster, Ohio at 59.
Mansfield at 59. Sandusky area. Ohio is the focus of Monday night into Tuesday.
Michigan editions. Detroit at 61. Grand Rapids at 55. Lansing at 57. Flint at 57. Ann Arbor at 59. Kalamazoo at 57.
Saginaw at 61. Battle Creek. Holland, Michigan at 61. Muskegon at 64. Port Huron at 64. Howell at 59. Pontiac at 57. Westland and Livonia in the low 60s.
Michigan gets hit tonight, Sunday, and Monday night. Pennsylvania editions.
Pittsburgh at 55. Philadelphia at 61.
Harrisburg at 59. Allentown at 57. Erie at 55. Scranton at 50. Lancaster, Pennsylvania at 57. Reading at 61.
Bethlehem area in the upper 50s. State College at 55. Williamsport in the cool range. Pennsylvania faces severe weather Tuesday primarily. New York editions.
New York City at 61. Buffalo at 55.
Albany, New York at 55. Rochester at 59.
Syracuse at 54. Binghamton at 48. White Plains at 61. Yonkers at 63. Brooklyn at 61. Queens at 66. Bronx area in the low 60s. The Hudson Valley in the upper 50s, Long Island, Babylon at 63. The New York metro is mostly going to escape the worst of this, but you might see some scattered strong storms by Tuesday. I want to circle back to one more important point because I think it deserves emphasis, the Sunday into Monday window. I have said it multiple times. I am going to say it one more time because I want you to remember it.
6:00 in the evening Sunday Central Time through Monday night. That is the danger window. That is the 12 to 36-hour stretch when the absolute worst of this storm system is most likely to unfold.
If you live anywhere from Eastern Nebraska to Michigan, from Minnesota to Missouri, that window is when you need to be paying maximum attention. Have your alerts on. Have your safe shelter identified. Have your phone charged.
Have your family ready. Now, I want to talk briefly about driving and travel because a lot of people are going to be on the road this weekend. If you are planning a road trip across the central or Midwestern United States, please check the weather right before you leave and during your trip. Severe weather can shut down highways in an instant. Hail can crack windshields. Tornado warnings can force you to take shelter in the lowest level of a sturdy building. Do not try to outrun a tornado in your car.
If you are caught in your vehicle and a tornado is bearing down, get out and lay flat in a low spot like a ditch or get into the lowest sturdy building you can find. Cars are not safe in tornadoes, period.
Air travel is also going to be affected.
If you have flights planned through Sunday or Monday, check your flight status often.
Major hubs like Chicago, St. Louis, Dallas, Kansas City, and Minneapolis are all going to potentially see weather delays. Have a backup plan.
Have phone numbers for the airlines saved. Have flexibility.
Let me also touch on power outages. With hurricane force wind gusts of 70 to 75 mph, power lines are going to come down.
Trees are going to fall on lines.
Substations may take hits.
Be prepared for the possibility of multi-day power outages in the hardest hit areas.
Have water stored. Have non-perishable food.
Have a manual can opener if your power tools are electric.
Have cash on hand in case ATMs go down.
Have your medications topped off.
Especially if you depend on medical equipment that requires electricity, like oxygen concentrators or CPAP machines.
Please make sure you have a backup plan.
Talk to your power company today about being on a priority restoration list if you qualify.
And one more thing about safety. If you see a tornado in the distance, do not stand outside taking pictures.
Do not stand under a highway overpass.
Do not try to drive perpendicular to the tornado on the assumption that you will outrun it.
Tornadoes can change direction.
Tornadoes can speed up. Tornadoes can produce satellite vortices that are not visible.
Get inside. Get low. Get small. Stay there until the storm has passed. Now, let me hit a few more cities that I want to make sure I have covered because I promised more than 270.
And I am keeping that promise.
Across the Central South, Memphis at 72.
Little Rock at 77.
Jackson, Mississippi at 73.
Birmingham at 70.
Tuscaloosa at 72.
Huntsville at 66.
Decatur, Alabama. Florence, Alabama at 68.
Muscle Shoals area. Hattiesburg at 75.
Meridian, Mississippi Tupelo at 70 Oxford, Mississippi at 73.
Starkville, the deep South is going to see severe weather Saturday night into Sunday with damaging winds the primary threat.
Across the Ohio River corridor Louisville at 63 Lexington at 63 Bowling Green, Kentucky at 64 Owensboro at 66 Paducah at 70 Evansville at 63 Cincinnati at 63 Dayton at 64 Columbus, Ohio at 59 Charleston, West Virginia at 63 Huntington, West Virginia at 64 Morgantown at 55 Wheeling at 55 Parkersburg area The Ohio River corridor is firmly in the danger zone for Monday night and Tuesday morning.
Across the Carolinas to the Atlantic Charlotte at 64 Raleigh at 66 Greensboro at 63 Winston-Salem at 63 Asheville at 57 Wilmington, North Carolina at 70 Greenville, North Carolina at 66 Durham at 66 Fayetteville, North Carolina at 66 Charleston, South Carolina at 68 Columbia, South Carolina at 66 Greenville, South Carolina at 64 Spartanburg at 63 Myrtle Beach at 66 Savannah at 70 Augusta at 66 Columbus, Georgia at 66 Atlanta at 64 Athens, Georgia at 64 Macon at 66 The Southeast is mostly going to face severe weather Tuesday as the system arrives. Be ready.
Across northern New England, Boston at 54, Providence at 61, Hartford at 59, Portland, Maine at 52, Bangor at 59, Burlington, Vermont at 57, Concord, New Hampshire at 54, Manchester, New Hampshire at 52, Springfield, Massachusetts at 59, Worcester at 52, New Bedford at 57, Cape Cod, Barnstable at 52.
New England mostly escapes the worst.
Across the Pacific Northwest one more time, Seattle at 52, Spokane at 46, Tacoma at 48, Olympia at 46, Bellingham at 50, Portland, Oregon at 52, Eugene at 52, Salem, Oregon at 52, Bend, Oregon at 46, Medford at 54.
Pacific Northwest is calm and cool. You guys are fine. Across the Desert Southwest, Phoenix at 79, Tucson at 77, Mesa at 81, Chandler at 79, Scottsdale at 79, Glendale, Arizona at 81, Flagstaff at 61, Las Vegas at 81, Reno at 57, Henderson and Sunrise Manor and Paradise, Nevada in the upper 70s and low 80s, Albuquerque at 72, Santa Fe at 66, Las Cruces at 79, El Paso at 82. The Desert Southwest is mostly fine. Across the High Plains and Rockies, Denver at 70, Colorado Springs at 70, Boulder at 68, Fort Collins at 68, Cheyenne at 64, Casper at 63, Billings at 59, Rapid City at 64, Aspen at 57, Telluride at 59. The Rocky Mountain region stays cool and mostly settled. I think I have hit just about every major American city now, and I have given you the timing windows for the storm waves. Let me wrap up with what I want you to take away from this video. Number one, this is a multi-day event, Friday night through Tuesday morning, four full waves of severe weather. Do not let your guard down between waves. Number two, the worst day is Monday. The worst window is Sunday evening into Monday night. The worst zones are Eastern Nebraska, Iowa, Southern Minnesota, Northern Missouri, Eastern Kansas, Wisconsin, Northern Illinois, and pushing east into the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. Number three, tornadoes, large hail, and hurricane force winds are all possible. The strong tornado threat, EF2 and EF3 or greater, is most concentrated in the Sunday into Monday window. Number four, have your weather radio, your safe shelter, your phone alerts, and your family plan ready before Saturday afternoon. Number five, help your neighbors, help the elderly, help anyone who might not be aware of what is coming. And number six, we do not practice fear, we practice readiness. There is a huge difference.
Being prepared is empowering. Being unprepared is what leaves you vulnerable. So, take the next few hours and get yourself ready, and then go about your weekend with confidence.
Before I let you go, I want to give you a quick teaser for what is coming next on this channel. Tomorrow morning, I am going to upload another update specifically focused on the tomato threat for Saturday into Sunday. I am going to break down the latest model runs, the latest Storm Prediction Center outlooks, and the latest hour-by-hour timing for every region. So, if you found this video helpful, make sure you are subscribed and your bell notifications are turned on so you do not miss it. The Sunday into Monday window is going to need a brand new dedicated breakdown video, and I am going to do that one, too. And I will say it one more time, drop your city and your state in the comments. I read them.
I answer as many as I can. And if you have friends or family in any of the threat zones I mentioned, please share this video with them. Send it in a text, send it in a group chat, forward it to your church group. Share it with your co-workers. The more people who know what is coming, the more people who are ready, the more lives we save. That is the whole point of doing this. Above all things, take care of each other. Check on the people you love. Check on the people who live alone. Check on the pets. Be the kind of community member who others can count on when the weather gets rough, because that is what makes this country great. That is what makes neighborhoods great. That is what makes families great. Looking out for each other when the storms come. Before I sign off, to add a few more pieces of practical information that I have been getting questions about in the comments of recent videos, because these questions come up every time we have a major severe weather event, and I want to make sure you have the answers. First question, what is the difference between a watch and a warning? A watch means conditions are favorable for severe weather to develop in your area. Think of it like preheating an oven. The ingredients are coming together. A warning means severe weather is happening right now or is imminent. Take action immediately. When you hear watch, get ready. When you hear warning, take shelter. Second question, what does a tornado warning actually look like? In most cases, you are going to hear sirens if your community has them. You are going to get a wireless emergency alert on your phone with a loud distinctive tone. You are going to see push alerts from weather apps, and local TV and radio stations are going to break into programming. If you get any of these signals, do not wait to confirm with another source. Just go to your safe spot. Third question, what if I live in an apartment? Apartments can absolutely be safe in severe weather, but you need to know your building. The safest place is the lowest floor in an interior room or hallway away from windows. If you live on a higher floor and the elevators are out or unsafe, get to the lowest interior hallway you can reach. Bathtubs can offer some protection in interior bathrooms because of the plumbing reinforcement. Cover yourself with blankets, pillows, or even a mattress if you can move one quickly to protect against flying debris. Fourth question, what about my car windows? Hail can shatter car windows. If you can park your vehicles in a garage or under a sturdy carport before the storms arrive, do it. If you have only a driveway, consider moving valuable vehicles to a nearby covered parking structure for the weekend. Some shopping malls and big box stores allow this. Some auto dealerships and car washes also offer hail protection during severe weather events for a fee. Worth the call. Fifth question, should I tape my windows? No.
Taping windows does nothing to protect them from hail or wind damage and can actually create dangerous projectile shards if the glass breaks. Keep your blinds and curtains closed during severe weather. That helps slow down flying glass, but do not waste time taping anything. Sixth question, what about pets and livestock? Get pets inside before the storms arrive. Make sure they have ID tags. Have carriers or leashes ready in case you need to move to your safe room in a hurry. For livestock, this is more complicated. The general guidance is that animals in open pastures often do better than animals trapped in barns that can collapse, but this depends on your specific setup. If you have livestock, talk to your local extension office or veterinarian today about the best preparation for your land. Seventh question, what if I lose power? Have flashlights, not candles.
Candles are a fire hazard in damaged structures with possible gas leaks. Have a fully charged battery bank for your phone. Have non-perishable food and bottled water for at least 72 hours.
Keep your refrigerator and freezer doors closed. A full freezer can keep food safe for 48 hours without power if you do not open it. Have cash on hand because ATMs and credit card machines may not work. Eighth question, what about water if the storm damages infrastructure? Fill bathtubs, sinks, and pots with clean water before the storm arrives. You can use this for drinking, cooking, and flushing toilets.
Have bottled water on hand for the most critical needs. The general rule is 1 gallon of water per person per day for at least 3 days. Ninth question, what if a tornado hits my house? After the immediate threat passes, do not enter damaged structures unless you are sure they are safe. Watch for downed power lines, broken gas lines, and structural collapse hazards. Help your neighbors.
Call emergency services if there are injuries. Stay calm. Take photos of the damage for insurance purposes once you are safe. Document everything. 10th question, what about insurance? Now is the time to check your homeowners or renters insurance policy. Make sure you know your deductible. Make sure you have an inventory of your possessions, even if it is just a video on your phone walking through every room. Save your policy number somewhere you can access without electricity, like a paper printout in a waterproof bag. Let me also throw in some specific notes for a few audiences I have not addressed directly yet. For our viewers in mobile home parks, please listen. Mobile homes are not safe in tornadoes. The wind ratings on most manufactured housing are not built to withstand even an EF1 tornado. If you live in a mobile home and a tornado warning is issued for your county, get out. Go to a community storm shelter, a neighbor with a sturdy home, a local public building, or even just a low ditch or culvert away from your home. Do not stay in the mobile home. I am not being dramatic. The statistics on mobile home deaths during tornadoes are sobering. Please take this seriously.
For our viewers in rural areas without sirens, you have to rely on your phone, your weather radio, and the news. Make sure your phone is set to receive wireless emergency The setting is sometimes turned off by default. Check it today. For weather radios, you can program them to alert only for your specific county, which prevents you from getting woken up for warnings far away.
For our viewers in cities with sirens, please remember that sirens are designed to be heard outdoors. If you are inside with the television on, you might not hear them at all. Do not rely solely on sirens. Have multiple alert methods. For parents of young children, talk to your kids today in a calm, reassuring way.
Children pick up on parent anxiety. If you stay calm, they stay calm. Practice your tornado drill at home this weekend.
Make it like a game. Show them where the safe room is. Show them where you keep the flashlights. Children who feel prepared are children who handle stress well. For our viewers who use medical equipment that requires electricity, you need to have a plan today. Talk to your power company about being added to a medical priority restoration list. Have backup batteries for your equipment.
Have a plan for where you would go if your home loses power for more than 12 hours. Hospitals will sometimes take patients with critical medical equipment needs during extended outages, but you need to know the protocol in your area.
For our viewers with mobility challenges, identify your safe room based on what is actually accessible to you. If you cannot easily go to a basement, find the safest first-floor room. Have your medications, your phone, your medical alert device, and water all within reach in that room. If you live alone, make sure someone is going to check on you after the storm passes.
Have a designated person you call as soon as it is safe. Okay, that is everything I wanted to make sure I covered. Let me give you one more reminder of the timing windows because they are the most important takeaway from this video. Tonight, Friday evening into Saturday morning, eastern Nebraska, Iowa, and pushing east through Wisconsin, northern Illinois, Michigan, and northern Indiana. Roughly 7:00 in the evening Central Time tonight through 6:00 in the morning Saturday Central Time. Saturday afternoon and evening, Central Plains and Midwest, Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, South Dakota, Missouri.
Late afternoon through midnight. Sunday afternoon and evening into Monday morning, the big day. Central Plains expanding into the Midwest, eastern Nebraska, Iowa, southern Minnesota, Wisconsin, Missouri. 6:00 in the evening Sunday Central through 6:00 in the morning Monday Central is the most dangerous overnight window. Monday afternoon and night, the peak day. Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin, and the upper Midwest. Strong to intense tornadoes possible. Very large hail, damaging winds. Then the system pushes east into the Ohio Valley overnight. Tuesday, Ohio, Kentucky, Tennessee, and the Southeast see the final wave. Damaging winds and embedded tornadoes the primary threats. The system finally clears the East Coast by late Tuesday. Have those windows in your head. Have your alerts on. Have your safe shelter identified.
Have your phone charged. Have your family plan ready. Help your neighbors.
Stay safe out there. Stay prepared. Stay alert. I will see you again tomorrow morning with a fresh update. Have a blessed weekend. And remember, we do not practice
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