THE 2 MOST IMPORTANT BITCOIN SETUPS THAT I’M WATCHING TODAY

追加: 2026-05-25

[00:00:00]These are the only two trades you need to watch  today and this week. Now, Bitcoin is sitting here at around 76,900. And I've been telling you  about this level for the past two weeks. I mean, this show here on the 100th club, I actually said  that we're going to come down. Bitcoin was up here at about 78 $79,000. And I said, we're going  to come down here about 77,000 and from there potentially take a long in the community. I shared  it as well. And this is exactly what you see.

[00:00:26]We came down here and I do believe that this  could be the probability the great probability long that we've been waiting for. I'm going  to tell you why I think there is two trades to look out for. One is short, one is long  and what are the levels that I am actually looking for. If you don't know who I am, my  name is Fati. I do these updates every single day. Five minutes actionable. Been here  since 2016. So if you want to come along, that's amazing. Subscribe to the channel and uh  join in the community. I share my thoughts here uh completely free. It's basically a channel.  So link in the description. Let's go. One of the very important things is that I still believe  that this is basically the final comedown. Okay, so I do believe that we are going to go sub 60  and I see some people here are smart asses and they're like you told us more 660 all that. So  but I do believe that we are still going down to sub 60,000 at least sub 70,000 but most likely sub  60 the question is from there and the reason why I say final comedown because if you look at the  market I mean if you look at the daily chart this this does not stream long. I mean, I know that the  internal trend here might look extremely bullish, but I mean, if you zoom out a little bit, you  know, there is this saying, when in doubt, zoom out. I mean, this here does not look like  something that I really want to long heavily uh into the next month or or or weeks or months.  But truth be told, as I said here on the on the lower time frame, you have to trade the chart that  there that there is. So, what I made the mistake previously is that I've been longing uh what is  it? Shorting on every single rejection area. But what I didn't take under consideration is that the  market can stay irrational longer than I can say solvent. So or you can stay solvent. So basically  what I'm I'm doing is the following. I'm going to play the chart as is until we see a 4hour break.  The 4hour break basically confirms a reversal on the daily. And also this level down here is the  daily low at 74,700. So this is a very very strong level. Make no mistake trade one if we see a close  below here at least on the 4 hour. If we see it on the daily it's a no-brainer. But if we see it on  the 4 hour as well, I am going to start scaling into short positions heavily. I actually let you  know in a community I posted the other day and I I actually think I posted yesterday. So if if I  see if I see uh where is it? I said playing low attack until the 4 hours broken once it is heavy  heavy short. So I am going to start taking heavy shorts if we break below that level. Also this  have to be aligned with the total market cap. So the total market cap I'm looking at uh I'm looking  at uh 2.48 uh trillion right 2.48 trillion. If this level does break is game over for me uh in my  opinion and I do believe that we are going to go much much much lower. Uh the second trade though  as I said you got to look out for the chart as it comes right. So if I look at this here and I go  onto the 1 hour chart I see first of all if you've been you know if you're in the community this is  absolute madness. I mean there is literally this is why you have stop losses but I mean the fact  that we have a V-shaped recovery on a one hour time frame after coming down to 50% and then still  get stopped this means complete [ __ ] in the market. It's it's I have not seen this maybe never  like it's it's very very very difficult to trade the market and this is exactly why you have a stop  loss in place. I actually read something the other day from this guy and it says the market doesn't  pay you to predict the future. Read that again.

[00:03:42]pays you to manage your behavior while the future  remains unknown. So even though I thought this was going to be an amazing trade, you just manage  the you manage expectations. You risk 1% of your account or whatever you fit see fit and then if  you get stopped that's actually not bad because you would be down two and a half% more. You know  if you take a 5x trade that's 10% more that you would have lost. Now the stop loss is here.  But what I'm saying is the following. There are two things that two ways to play the long  because I do believe that we have to bounce here.

[00:04:09]uh that is what would make sense but again no one  actually knows would make sense until we break that we do have a bounce here that is actually a  nice bounce that is coming about 8% if we sweep the highs even if we just come back here to this  fair value gap I do believe that's still at like a 5 to 7% trade that I would like to take there are  two ways of going at it one is that I just take a long position here I put the stop loss below the  daily low and I forget about it it's 2.7% it's easily you know doable 2.7R daily low 4hour low I  am going to open a position here that is going to be you know uh uh uh uh going into the daily high  targeting can it be stopped yes but it would get stopped I have confirmation for the short and I'm  going to you know flip short and it's absolutely fine so this is one of the ways going at it the  second is that is less that is more confirmation so less probability of getting stopped and that is  to wait for a 15minute market structure shift the problem with that is that again what I see here  is that the same u high which is the high for the 15 minute is the high for the hourly. So the  problem here is that I would have to wait about a 2% move before I can even confirm that there is  a reversal happening. I mean most likely because you see here the same thing I didn't long here  even though it looked good. I didn't long here because I was waiting for the 1 hour it got I  longed here. I longed here and then got stopped here. So so obviously this is no not not certainty  that it's going to happen. But if I look at this here and I see this chart here, I do believe that  a long makes sense even though that the high would be at 78,453. So the second scenario though, if  you want to take it sort of to say much more uh uh confirmed, you can bid for a setup like this.  50% layer in here, 50% layer in here, and then you have about a one and a half% stop-loss instead of  having a a two 3% stop-loss. And that just makes sense if you actually care about the riskreward  here, which you should, but ultimately it doesn't really matter because you still have a two two  uh what is it? One to two riskreward. I mean, if you even if you layer it down, you have a  little bit higher riskreward, but then you also risk of missing uh out on this on this move.  So, it depends on what you want to do. For me, it makes much more sense, especially I'm going  to travel to a conference. I'm going to actually interview Yatsu. It's going to be amazing.  Uh I'm going to talk about it a little later.

[00:06:24]Um but but ultimately what I'm going to do is I'm  going to take a position in here and I am going to just simply leave the 4 hour below uh uh uh the  stop loss below here at the 4 hour uh and then and then just go from there potentially target  all the way up here. I'm going to have this as a manual stop. The reason is because I want to see a  close below. So even if it wicks down, even if it starts wicking down and goes down and it closes  above this level at 74,800 on the 4hour chart, I'm not going to close it. I need to see a close  below for me to invalidate this thesis. Otherwise, I do believe that we can see a push. If you go  onto the daily, I do believe we can see a push into this order block up here. So, that would mean  uh around868 $87,000 possibly that would be a one to three riskreward trade. I think it makes a lot  of sense both on the daily, both on the 4hour. So, this is what I'm looking for. Obviously, manage  risk. I wanted to tell you one more thing which is pretty amazing that we had our first hotter  club meet up which which was an eye openener for me. It was truly an eye openener. We had some nice  food with the guys. We had a a meet up with Guti um a La Liga legend, Real Madrid legend. We spent  an incredible incredible time with all these winners. All we did was they traded on Tubid.  There's a link in the description. Tubid is our partner known KYC available worldwide. Uh and they  are title sponsors for La Liga in region. And so what we did and we're going to do much more of is  sign up using the link in the description and just start trading on tub. You have some nice bonuses  as well. You will see it down in the description.

[00:07:52]But also we're gonna have much more of this. I  want to do this every quarter. So we're going to have something cool. We went p played paintball.  It was in Madrid. It was it was phenomenal. So massive shout out to Tub. The guys also loved  it. I'm going to write a whole post about it with pictures and whatnot. But just go and sign up  to Tub if you want to participate in this stuff.

[00:08:09]There's a link in the description and just try  out the platform also. It's amazing. Great fees, great execution, great liquidity. You got stocks,  you got commodities. So, go and try them out. Link in the description. And again, massive shout out  for them for for for making this happen for us.

[00:08:23]Um, guys, this is it. Joining the community. I I  will be traveling um uh so join in the community so I can post uh stuff when I'm not available.  And I will drop an update tomorrow as well from the hotel if possible. And uh yeah, much love.  Take care. I'll see you in the next one. Bye-bye.