May 7th, 2026 - 50s and Pop Ups-again for SE Wisconsin #wiwx

追加: 2026-05-09

[00:00:00]Hi guys, meteorologist Lindsay Slater here. So, let's talk a little bit about our forecast for today. I I won't lie, I did have a hard time with this one. Um, we have some like popup rain chances and there's some days that we have a lake breeze and you know, quite frankly, some of my models were not uh handling temperature fluctuations really well.

[00:00:19]So, I I did struggle um to come up with a temperature forecast. It seems like it's fluctuating, but I know it's because we have different um timing of these systems. So if you see a seven day of mine and then the next day the temperature changes for what it should have been the next day that's because the air arrived earlier. So that I am adjusting my forecast for that. Wanted to kick off this by showing you. Look at the wh not an ad. Not an ad. Look at this. Sunset tonight 7:59.

[00:00:50]Tomorrow it is 8:00 with 14 hours and 21 minutes of daylight. Today it is 8:00 until August 12th. That is 96 days of post 8:00 p.m. sunsets. By the way, just wanted to give you that little beautiful um fun fact. Also, I do on my phone keep That's my phone. Yes, it's Hail Mary background. Actually, you want to see something kind of cool?

[00:01:15]See that? And then you swipe and look at that.

[00:01:19]But the reason I want to show you this is I have countdowns on the bottom of my screen. And we are 45 days away from summer. 138 till fall. 228 till winter.

[00:01:29]45 days till summer. We're getting there. I'm a warm weather gal. I don't mind winters. I grew up in Milwaukee. I I you know, it it's part of our nature.

[00:01:37]It's just not my it's just not my thing.

[00:01:39]I never did winter sports. All the sports I did were like inside. So, but I know a lot of people love them. And you know, all these clippers we had this last year. In fact, why don't I show you where we are in terms of our season snowfall. Um, we're pretty much done.

[00:01:54]Usually this time of the year, we don't have any more snow. I'm not going to I shouldn't say that.

[00:02:01]May 10th of 1990, there was a lot of snow, but this is the time of year where the snowfall amounts basically go down to zero, like the average snow. So, we're looking at, let's see, snowfall since July 1st, which is what we're looking at, 43.2 in. Normally we are at 48.7 which is a 5.5 in deficit when it comes to the amount of snow. So a near average year. Um last year we had 30 inches of snow. So we were pretty typical this year. We had a lot of these clipper systems that brought us these bits of snow, bits of snow, bits of snow, and that's kind of how it went down this year when it came to snowfall. Um, again, if I go back, I love climate data, so I know I'm kind of starting this video off on a weird rogue note, but I do want to pop up, where is it?

[00:02:50]The Daily Almanic, I believe it was, what, wasn't it? May 10th of 1990 that we had the snow. I believe it was. So, I got to go back. It's like putting in my birth date, which I'm an 86er. So, all right. May 10th of 19. Oh, I I loaded 2026. We want 1990. Let's do that. I apologize. I'm just like wasting your time. All right.

[00:03:14]May 10th was a Thursday. And go.

[00:03:19]And let's see. Was it May 10th? I thought it was May 10th. Snowfall. Yep, there it is. 3.2 ines in 1990. That is the most we've had in May ever. Now, we can get May until the 31st. That is real. Um, I do want to pop up the Oh, which one is it? Daily Almanac. And I'm going to go with the 31st and pop this up. I believe, yep, trace in 1993. That is the latest we have ever had snow in the Milwaukee area. Now, if you were to load June, you will actually see some data that shows snowfall in June. But that data actually is hail that was reported. So, it's not snow. The latest we've ever seen trace of anything, 1993, May 31st. So yes, it can happen, but we don't have any of that in the forecast.

[00:04:07]I wanted to give you that little fun fact of the day. We're starting off our day getting rid of this. Temperatures a little cool. Look at that. 34 Oak Creek, 37 in the Rine area, 36 Milwaukee, 32 in WA, where I'm at, 30° in Economok, Whitewater, 30 and 31 in Fort Atinson.

[00:04:25]I'm going to take the map out a little bit. I know it's a little bit spotty right now, but there is warm air. It's just not here right now. Look at that trough digging into the country. I mean, we have some very cold temperatures right now. Denver, I think they got snow recently. And then you go to the West Coast, that's the ridge. This right here is the ridge. So, and that actually is really shown well. If we look at the 500 millib bar, which I show you all the time, and you can see we stay kind of in this trough of the jetream for a little while. We had been highlighting May being a little below average. If we get a little uptick on May 14th, 15th, um, of higher temperatures, that might be a nice day. I would say maybe like Wednesday the 13th, probably warmer. And then Thursday the 14th looks pretty mild. And then we go into like a quick little tiny trough there before a beautiful ridge. Look at that puppy.

[00:05:20]That is a That's some heat, guys.

[00:05:23]That's what happens when your Celsius kicks in halfway through this.

[00:05:28]I wish I could get sponsored by Celsius because I drink it so much. Um, yes, we do have this big ridge pattern that is setting up. So, just a heads up. That will be pretty warm toward the end. I do see that big old trough right here, though. So, we'll see how that shakes out. Probably will be some severe weather chances right in the middle of this as those uh that jetream really kicks up. But our forecast today still features uh some high fire risk out there. So, please be aware of this. Um, it is getting better, but we still do have a high fire risk for all of southeast Wisconsin. Now, let's have a little conversation about rain chances.

[00:06:05]So, we do have I don't know what why that's happening. Thank you for that.

[00:06:10]There we go. New stuff popping up here.

[00:06:13]And there we go. Here we are. And we're in that trough. So, we have those cooler temps. We have a system right here. You see that down there? That system is a quick little hit. And as it does move through, it's actually an area of low pressure and it's kind of swinging. Oh, I need to make this bigger. There we go.

[00:06:32]It's kind of swinging through like this.

[00:06:34]Here's the low right there. And it's going like that. So, as it does so, what it can do is it can actually give us like a little chance of some rain. Like a popup chance. That's it. That's all I'm expecting here. And that popup chance um could give us the possibility of I would say a mediocre amount of rain. This is not a rain maker. It's just a quick little hit or two that we get in the afternoon and that is it. I don't expect this to be a big issue. Um and then it's going to kind of move on.

[00:07:05]But you can see right there, I can't zoom this in anymore, but right there there's that tiny little popup because of that system. After that, Friday actually looks better. It looked like we could see a popup, but I think we're just too dry. So, I took it out of my forecast. And right here is a cold front. I'm going to draw that puppy. And let's see. Looking at the lines.

[00:07:28]That's here's the low. And that's a cold front. I know it looks like shark teeth.

[00:07:33]So, this is going to be coming through.

[00:07:35]I'm just going to scoot this over so I can see the time. This is Saturday. Uh, you know, likely happening overnight into early in the morning. So that's the cold front literally moving through and it's going to bring right there a chance of some more popups, but I would say midday before we get the cold air that comes in on the backside. You can actually see right here, this is warm.

[00:07:57]See that? This is the rain snow line.

[00:07:59]This is warm air. So we do actually have, you know, southwesterly and westerly winds. It's going to be pretty breezy on Saturday. So heads up. We will get to about I went for a high of 65 degrees. I can't help but draw now. Now that I know this exists, I can't help it. We'll get to a high of about 65 degrees. Then the cold air is going to descend as we head into Sunday. So, I'll go to the next. Let's clear that up and let's go to the European model. European model does have that quick little hit right there going through on Saturday, midm morning, early afternoon, and then it's gone. Goes to the east coast. That will give way to cooler air right here going into Mother's Day. Now, I actually did the European wants to put in a little bit of rain right there. You see it right here. I actually took rain out of my forecast on Sunday. It doesn't look the the atmosphere just looks a little bit too dry with that colder northwesterly wind kicking in. So, I just went ahead and took it out of the forecast. It looks pretty good. And then going into next week, I'll go to the GFS. GFS does highlight high pressure.

[00:09:02]We get that Sunday, Monday, all the way through Tuesday. Tuesday does feature a big old low, big old warm front, and that's going to trigger some showers and maybe some thunderstorms. So, now it's time to show you the graphics. Uh the graphics that I painstakingly made for you.

[00:09:17]There you go. There's your hourly planner today. Definitely a cold start.

[00:09:20]And then these again, pop-up chances throughout the day today. Uh the mocast today looks pretty good right here. I have the pop-up chance here. Pop-up chance there. Friday looks like a good day. So does Sunday, but you don't want to mow the lawn on Sunday. unless you're doing it for your mom or your wife or your girlfriend or you know, whoever is a mother in your life. Um, rain chances are pretty minimal. I would say the rain chances on Saturday again in the afternoon and then it really dies down going into Sunday and Monday. And I do want to show you that beautiful weekend forecast. I did change the temperature on Sunday just because of the onset of the colder air. So, while Saturday is a warmer day, Sunday is going to be a rain-free day with highs near 58 degrees. And then here is your 7-day forecast that does highlight again the temperatures are going to take some time to actually warm up. We saw that ridge sets up as we head into what was it like the 18th 19th or something. So average this time of the year is 63 degrees. So we are a little below average. Uh still tomorrow mid60s. I took rain out.

[00:10:25]Tomorrow looks like a good day. Saturday 65. Sunday 58. Monday looks like a nice day too. But watch that wind. It is out of the southeast. So, you're going to have cooler by the lake syndrome happening. And then also next week does feature some shower and thunderstorm chances Tuesday going into Wednesday.

[00:10:41]All right, guys. Have a good day. I'll see you Friday. Bye.