This analysis provides a grounded, data-driven look at subduction zone dynamics without the typical sensationalism. It effectively uses real-time seismic patterns to highlight genuine geological risks in the region.
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Peru Chile Trench activity. Bigger Earthquake brewing there? Friday update.Added:
Good afternoon everyone. Welcome back out here to a Friday. Hope everyone's having a good one so far. The weekend is definitely here. Nice and cool out here in Northern California today. Supposed to be about 72 degrees. Perfect weather.
Uh latest activity here on this Friday afternoon shows a 1.3 earthquake. And the green flag up there across Alaska.
We are getting a little bit of newer movement up here across the northern area here of the Pacific plate.
including a 5.2 and some activity working its way down there across the Japan area. Let's go ahead and take a look at this here real quick. Uh this 5.2 striking pretty much right along the area where the 8.8 struck here last July uh of last year. That was a a mega quake there. In fact, the last eight pointer since uh 2021.
Uh so it took a few years to build up an eight-pointer there. But anyway, that's little aftershock. I believe it is just before the subduction zone interface though. Uh could still see some larger activity down south here along that area of the curl cam chat.
The 8.8 left uh left off a pretty good chunk here of the curl cam chat. Did not rupture this area down south. Ruptured this area up north here. So, we still have potential and it's been building up for a little while to see some larger earthquake activity here along the along that southern segment.
Uh Japan area today still somewhat quiet. There's a 3.3 around the Japan trench. Aside from that, uh little deeper event there this morning on the back side of that subduction zone.
Well, I should say in the subduction zone there because that's 143 miles deep for that 4.2 to that uh associated with this trough down here.
There's a Nankai trough and I can't remember the name of this area down here, but another major subduction zone that uh can see some big earthquakes.
Uh Philippines area southward heavily um populated with earthquakes here this morning. Quite a big cluster of activity there in the crunch zone. 3.7 coming in across the Java Trench right now.
Uh, taking a look here at the rest of the planet. Slight uptick here across the Mediterranean area. Couple threes and twos. The Atlantic Ocean quite as can be north and south. Uh, the Peru Chili Trench still got uh, man, look at that pancake of activity centered right around the center portion there of the Peru Chile Trench. That's where we had the 6.9 here a few days ago.
Not 100% certain that that's actually aftershock activity. could potentially be building something else uh in that region. So, that's an area we do have to watch closely for some larger activity.
6.9. Yeah, that's a good size event. Uh but that subduction zone here is very capable of producing something much bigger across the middle America trench here.
Handful of fours.
Uh let's see. Hawaii. Let's go check in.
Well, yeah, let's check in on Hawaii real quick and then we'll get to the West Coast. I want to see if that uh Kiloa volcano has erupted yet.
Had it had to have, right? We were looking at flowovers last night with spattering going on.
Uh I don't see any eruption uh notices though. Let's take a look here. I don't see the eruption happening yet. I'm really shocked. I thought for certain here that we would uh see that uh by this morning. So, let's see what's going on here with the deformation data.
We're still going up here. This is the inflation tilt meter up at the summit.
We've leveled off here a little bit, but we should see it's just a waiting game right now. I mean, I I said this last night here that we should see this here uh by morning, but it's just going to do what it's going to do there. And just got to wait uh wait on that process. But I do think we're getting close. We had some, you know, spillovers and some spattering going on there from the north vent uh last night. Uh but no eruption yet.
Pretty crazy. I don't see any suspicious activity out here. Got one earthquake over here around the western side of Monaloa. It's a little 2.6, but no no activity at the moment. That tells me that we're looking at, you know, a migration of magma somewhere else because we would see that far as earthquake activity goes. and also the um deformation data would show it a huge drop with you know migration of magma away from the summit area of Kilawaway volcano but that's not the case right now uh southern California let's see what we got still got that swarm going on here near Johannesburg that's uh just been a very active swarm not only in the last 30 days with over a hundred earthquakes but also in the last few months and last year and the year before this area has just been swarming with really no big earthquake.
So I find that a little odd. It's right in the center portion here of the Garlock fault shear zone.
Um that's, you know, in itself capable of producing some larger earthquake activity. Nothing big going on there for now, but it's just interesting. We got that a continual swarm going on there.
Uh Southern California, further down south here, I don't see anything above 2.5. There's that 3.4 from yesterday up there around the Garlock fault. shear zone today. Smaller microquake activity out there in Southern California. San Francisco.
What's going on in San Francisco today?
Not a whole lot. Not a whole lot of earthquake activity either.
We had a couple little events here back on the 26th and the 27th with some very small earthquake activity. But since then, man, even before that, couple weeks before that little event, uh it was quiet and now we're back to being quiet.
So, it's uh a little little odd.
Northern California here got uh see if we got anything overnight.
Another two-pointer down here along the coast range, 1.4 near Fort Bragg. So, just kind of watching this area as well.
Well, for one, we've been getting a lot of activity here stretching across Northern California in a kind of a linear fashion here. That has a lot to do with the buildup of stress and strain out here along the Cascadia, pushing this plate here, the portion of the Gorda plate underneath this area. We get these crystal quakes out there across Northern California as it happens. And um just watching that closely here.
Oregon and Washington pretty quiet. Not a whole lot going on there.
Uh the let's go over and check out the trimmer counts here from yesterday.
There wasn't a whole lot. There's some up around the Victoria area and a little bit underneath Northern California where it's been uh fairly consistent and that's a sign that the Gorda plate is being further pushed underneath Northern California. Of course, when that happens, that adds stress and strain across the locked area of the Cascadia.
Uh we'll check out Mount St. Helen's seismograph stationed here real quick.
See if we got any u big earthquake swarm going on. I know there's been a handful of earthquakes out here, but really nothing big. Um, as you can see, there's, you know, those are definitely earthquakes or not ice quakes. You know, a lot of times in the winter time when we get big snow events and whole bunch of stuff, ice building up on the seismograph station, we get these little ice quakes, but that's not it. That's this is earthquake activity. Uh but again, nothing big, just a handful of these smaller events. The USGS and the PNSN, uh they just they completely stopped reporting those little events. I don't even think they care about them at the moment, but there is uh some earthquake activity occurring up there across Mount St. Helens.
All right. Uh what else we got here?
Nevada, some earthquake activity out there. Really nothing big. Salt Lake City northwestward there. That's a lot of activity from yesterday. The majority of it's from yesterday there. Uh Yellowstone.
Let's see. One earthquake this morning there for 1.3. So, let's go see what's going on here real quick.
Oh, it's a Friday. Beautiful weather out here. We got a little bit more rain last night, so it's going to help hopefully keep things green out here in Northern California for a little bit. And then we got temperatures in the 90s coming up this coming week, next week. Um, earthquake activity.
I don't see a whole lot showing up there.
Surprised it didn't pick up the smaller quake activity out here. Maybe right here is that one pointer. But things look pretty quiet out there. I don't see a whole lot showing up there on the seismograph stations. This is some outside interference. It happens for whatever reason around that time early in the morning. It could be a generator.
There could be who knows what is running that would cause a little bit of disturbance like that, but it's not earthquake activity.
YML, there's a couple smaller events out here, but nothing big going on there across that super volcano for now. Uh oil fields of Texas still rocking and rolling, making a lot of money out there, man. Gas prices out here in Northern California just they won't come down. They will not come down here. It's still around six bucks a gallon where I live.
earthquake there across Missouri, Williamsville, Missouri 2.6. That was late last night. Added onto the map here this morning. That is just outside the New Madrid seismic zone. Well, the main area anyway, but it is within the area of the uh of this um intra plate boundary that's capable of producing some big big big earthquakes.
For now though, just a couple smaller quakes here and there around that region once in a while. Uh let's see. Yeah, there's the activity from yesterday and today. Just kind of watching that.
Notice that migration of uh northward movement and it's getting deeper as we head further north along that Pchili trench. Uh the furthest one up is 122 miles deep for 4.5.
And then shallow adjustment back over here. I'd watch this region right about here that uh you know the way the quakes here have been behaving since that 6.9 earthquake that was 67 miles deep into the subduction zone of the purch trench since then watch this migration of quake activity up north here um but this region right here maybe might be some uh might be some stress that may be getting close to popping there in terms of larger activity. So, watch that. You know, we get these we get some big earthquakes on the pre-chili trench.
That's that is a fact.
Uh space weather activity. See if anything's going on here with solarham.com.
Little flare coming in right now. Looks like a little seafler activity, but it's been uh man, it's just been quiet. They got these massive sunspots as far as size goes, right? These are decent size sunspots out here, but they're stable.
Let's take a look here at the magnetogram image. I'm not even seeing anything with any of these in terms of magnetic complexity. The area that's flaring right now, little seaf flare is going to be back over here. Little bit of growth down here across the southern end of that sunspot. But, you know, there's looking at this right now that the flare threats are pretty low. I'm thinking 1% chance or less for Xflare.
Mflare 40%. Eh, I don't see that. I really don't. Unless something changes there. I'm thinking about 20% chance there for Mflair. Seaf flare. We'll be lucky if we see one of those two. That's at 95% chance. Uh moon out there getting big. 95% illuminated. No major roars there in the forecast for now, folks.
So, just kind of uh little quiet out there on the sun. Far as a close approach asteroids go. We got that big one coming in today that's been newly discovered. Uh this one's 370 ft. That is a big asteroid. Not an extension level event, that's for sure. It would definitely create a a decent size crater uh and would completely wipe out a city in a in a second, half a second if it were to impact, you know, a major area.
But fortunately for us here on this planet, that's over four million miles away. Uh just the scary thing is though that it's newly discovered. I get the angle where they're coming from. Uh whether it's lit up from the sun or not out there in space, but you know, there's there's all sorts of stuff pointed at the sky. I'm just really surprised that that big of a rock um is just barely newly, you know, newly discovered.
Literally newly discovered. Uh this one's fairly big as well. Almost three million miles coming in tomorrow.
Everything's fairly safe for now, but I just have a feeling one of these days we're going to wake up and see something uh coming in a little bit too close.
Storm prediction center for today. We got a slight risk category here across western Texas, panhandle, Texas, and uh up into Oklahoma and southern Kansas here.
Uh nothing really for tornado threat.
There's some small areas in the green.
The main threat today appears to be some large damaging wind gusts. Might want to put those wind chimes away. It might be a little bit too windy. Uh and some large hail back here across the western area of Texas. That's for your Friday with these thunderstorms popping up. The weekend, Saturday, severe weather shifts mainly up north around the northern plains. A little tornado threat there in the green. Wind and a little bit of hell threat there for your Saturday. the day on Sunday. Looks like another marginal risk out here across u roughly the same areas. General thunderstorm activity surrounding that. I don't see any major severe weather outbreak coming up. Let's see what these guys are reporting here.
Day four, day five, day six, day seven, day eight. Nothing in the forecast in terms of anything major uh coming up.
put this model into motion here and see what we got coming up. We got high pressure for California. I do know that.
Unfortunately, it was nice getting the rain though. I picked up just about half an inch of rain here from these storms uh that have popped up in the last couple days. So, that's nice. Gives the top soil a little bit of uh just a little bit of dampness, you know, helps keep things green a little bit longer before it turns to crusty grass out here. Just not good. Crunchy grass is what I should say. Um but precipitation wise looking forward here to about the middle of June. Yeah, pretty dry out there across California. Got the moisture coming in there from the south.
Um for the plain states looks pretty wet out there. Going to get some uh some moisture. Texas here. Little dry across the eastern areas. I do know or um yeah, the eastern areas out here. I do know the drought conditions are kind of improving or will improve out here across western Texas. Let's see what we got here for the windy map.
Let's go back over to the layers here real quick. See what we have. Going to check out the uh drought monitoring out here. Yeah, see it's improving out here across Oklahoma and whatnot. All that drought that was down here across the south. Look at that. That's been wiped off the map.
So, it looks good far as precipitation accumulation goes. Crazy out. One or two storms and it can just completely remove uh the drought conditions. California starting to seep back into drought conditions. Uh fire danger is going to be increasing this summer for sure. Oh man, not looking forward to that.
Let's see what we got here for the moisture anomaly right now at the surface level because of the rain that we've got. We're uh nice and green. A little deeper though. Uh somewhat dry.
Either way, you know, it's uh we're getting into summertime. I know what's coming out here. We get 100 degrees every day for my neck of the woods. So, got to go make sure the pool's nice and clean because I think I'll spend most of the summer out there in the pool with the kids. That's just going to be the uh I think that's my summer.
All right. Um I think that's about it, folks. Have yourself a wonderful Friday.
Little spike of an earthquake there in Southern California on that station. Uh but aside from that, pretty quiet. I may do a reset of the live stream today since it is kind of quiet just to keep, you know, the drivers updated, the security features updated. Uh, I don't want any issues coming back up here again like I had u couple weeks back here. So, I don't want to I don't want this to go too long. I I like being able to leave the live stream up and running for weeks at a time, but at the same time, I do need to update my Windows security features and everything else because it seems like when I wait for an extended time and not update them is when things happen here in terms of uh the computer going down and acting suspiciously and things going haywire.
So, I may take that down a little bit later on uh this afternoon, maybe in a couple hours or so, but we'll bring it right back up. And of course, I'll mention uh when we're going down. But for now, folks, um have yourself a wonderful day out there. We'll see you guys out here a little bit later on this afternoon when we uh bring the stream back up, if I bring it down. If not, then we'll see you guys out here for the Friday night update. Take care.
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