Weather Extremes for Many...

Added: 2026-05-06

[00:00:00]Thank you for joining me from the Bahamas. I hope you're doing well. I'm meteorologist Brian Shields. It is Wednesday, April 22nd, 2026.

[00:00:08]Dry versus wet. Who's going to see some rain and even who's going to have some cooler weather at least over the next couple days and you know that's not going to last too long. But there's the front that we've been watching. Now, I'm also keeping an eye on the tropical Atlantic. I'm going to have more and more updates on this. We're getting closer to the hurricane season as we know and you can see some of the dry air out here. Sometimes there's some dust involved. Some of us have had that. And pretty soon we're going to get those tropical waves coming off the coast of Africa. So, I will cover that on this channel for you as you know. Got you covered. Anything tropical as we start to see some uh uh signs of not necessarily development, but signs of the season as we go over the next few weeks. Now, watching some areas of heavier rain. Been watching that. Been uh seeing some blowups of rain, if you will. Parts of El Salvador over toward uh Honduras, parts of Nicaragua. Uh, Mexico seeing some of the rain. Northern sections of the Caribbean though, that's where we're going to see a better chance of rain. This is that rain outlook over the next seven days. This green in here, Cuba stretching all the way back through Jamaica, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, southern Bahamas, a better chance of rain. Florida still mainly dry. A lot of wildfires back through Florida. It's still going to be drier than average.

[00:01:19]This uh uh browner shading you're seeing in through here, drier than average as well. we get back through parts of Costa Rica and especially over toward Panama and for us in the Eastern Caribbean, rain chance still not super high. We'll keep an eye on some of that rain, but St. Lucia, Barbados, uh, Dominica, Antigga, Barbuda, Saba, a passing shower. This is where we have that better chance of some rain over the next seven days right into the upcoming weekend where we could even get some thunderstorms and we've had those downpours. So, some of us have been dry, but others dealing with some of the flooding. So, we're going to monitor that going forward. Now, this is a look at some of the temperatures. Uh, of course, a lot of us are flat out warm to hot already, right? But, uh, across right in through here, the Bahamas, especially back through Cuba, and where we have the increased rain, we did have that front move by, it's been breezy, and while it's not cold or anything, it is a little bit cooler in this pocket.

[00:02:12]And of course watching some areas of some rain building up across the higher terrain. Little bit cooler than average, warmer than average back through Texas, Louisiana, swinging back toward the panhandle of Florida, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia. Now, here's the front and then I'll show you the storm starting to pop up and then we'll lift to the north up toward the United States with more storms. This is that front that is hanging around and as I mentioned, better chance of some rain for some of us and not only a better chance of rain, but slightly cooler just behind it. We've had that breeze uh back through the Bahamas. Been feeling that on myself. Some of those winds, you can see a couple of those showers kicking up uh northern sections of the Caribbean.

[00:02:51]Not as much Central America. And as we work our way back toward the Eastern Caribbean, that rain chance just not super high, but a little pocket of rain here. Now, while Florida's mainly dry, Florida Keys back through Cuba, this here is Friday. You see that blob of rain. So, the Bahamas, especially central and southern sections uh late Friday into Saturday. Watching this rain coming out of the Gulf, moving across the Bahamas. Some additional rain in through here. So, temperatures will be a little bit below average. And then a better chance of rain near Trinidad and Tobago once we work our way into the upcoming weekend. And look how big this front is stretching from Canada. Some snow over toward New Finland today. that same front all the way down through the Bahamas back into the northern Caribbean right through here. There's that front passing by Bermuda again. Some gustier winds in Bermuda at times. Then as we look into the end of the week, we're going to see that storm threat back through the United States starting to build again. You see it right in through here. Better chance of storms later on Friday. even Quebec and Ontario. Some heavier weather uh coming uh across parts of Canada right there by the time we get into Saturday. There are some storms mid-Atlantic of the US diving down to the south. And there's that pocket of rain from the Gulf uh right near the Florida Keys, Cuba, moving its way across the Bahamas. So, watching that now, the seas have been okay back through the Gulf, back through the Caribbean. Just today, this is a 3-day loop. Just for today, the seas will be a little bit more elevated. Let's get back to today. right in through here, southern Bahamas, Turks and Caos. Bit choppier in the wake of that front with that breeze that is around. So, watching the rain over the next 3 days. Bad situation back through Florida of course with the wildfires. They're more extensive. A lot of smoke. So, we'll be monitoring that going forward. That shot of rain will be mainly to the south unfortunately uh for Florida uh where they desperately need some rain. Hit or miss showers possible, even a couple thunderstorms. Jamaica for us, watching Cuba, uh, back through Haiti and the DR. Still those downpours, monitoring those rivers. And then you see here where we're we're drier. I mentioned dry versus wet. This is where we're dry.

[00:04:58]We're not completely dry. St. Martin, for example, St. Barts, we may catch a shower or two. Monzerat, Guadaloop, just not a superh high chance. Puerto Rico, US and British Virgin Islands, hit or miss. Hit or miss through here. But we'll keep an eye on some of that rain that should get closer to uh at least Trinidad pulling out of Guyana and Cernom by this weekend. Not that we're going to see a lot of rain move in, but the rain chance will be eventually bumping up and watching that flood threat. Guyana and Cernom. Spotty areas of rain as we work our way back through Central America. But where we get it, it is heavy right back through Guatemala, El Salvador, parts of Honduras like we've had from overnight and this morning, even parts of northwestern uh Nicaragua. Watching out for some heavy rain and that flood potential scattered about Mexico City south and then seeing some of that wet weather around uh say the Houston area back toward Louisiana.

[00:05:47]And we'll see that uh next front building back toward the US. This next front will bring that chance of severe weather Friday into Saturday back through parts of the United States. So, Jamaica, we're looking at about a 50% chance of scattered areas of rain, mainly late in the day. And even if you don't get some rain, you're looking off in the distance looking over a mountain, you can see some of the darker skies uh across the Cayman Islands, about a 30% chance over the next couple days. Not not a super high chance. Trinidad and Tobago, 30% chance, but by the end of the week and the weekend, it does start to bump up. We'll watch that moisture isolate it back through Barbados, holding on to that 30% chance. We'll generally do that as well in St. Lucia.

[00:06:25]30% chance, maybe a 40% chance on Friday and a 20 to 30% chance over the next three days in Grenada. So, this is where it is drier. Some passing showers, 30% chance. St. Vincent, the Grenardines, 30% chance today in Martineique, but just a 20% chance tomorrow and Friday.

[00:06:42]Same thing in Dominica. The rain chance stays low. We may catch a shower or two, but that would be it. Staying at about a seasonal 30% chance back through Guadaloop, Antigga, Barbuda, isolated 30% chance and even lower as we work our way through St. Kitsas and Monzer about a 20% chance of a shower the next couple of days in Guil and St. Barts 20% chance up to about a 30% chance by Friday. 20 to 30% chance say Martin, Saba and Stasia and a 30% chance over the next couple of days back through Puerto Rico.

[00:07:13]But it'll bump up a little bit by the time we get into the weekend. But US and British Virgin Island, as I mentioned, rain chance stays low. St. Thomas and Agatada, St. Croy, rain chance just not super high. Bahamas, we're looking at mainly southern Bahamas for that chance of rain. Breezy and a little bit cooler at least into the uh evening hours.

[00:07:31]Turks and Caos, we could have some scattered showers with that tail end of the front building again across the DR. Watching the river, some pockets of heavy rain. Some spots nothing, others getting absolutely dumped on. And then we work our way back through Haiti. Rain chance about 40% today, but it will increase to a 60% chance on Friday. In the next couple of days in Bise, isolated showers. I've been watching your comments. Some spots in Bise, we've been seeing a few of those showers. 20 to 30% chance as we work our way back through Aruba, Carousel, Bonire. So, a slight chance of catching a couple of those showers. But back through Guyana, the rain chance stays high. that 60 to 70% chance and even higher back through Cerninom with that flooding that's going to continue. We'll see if any of that moisture lifts up to the north. 30% chance in Cuba. Hit or miss shower storm. Eastern end still that better chance. And as we work our way through Costa Rica and Panama, it's about half and half. Some spots getting substantial rain. Others nothing at all. Nicaragua holding on to a 40% chance. Northern sections a higher chance. And watching out for some areas rain, especially western sections of Honduras. Guatemala and El Salvador watching where some of that moisture from the Pacific builds up. We've had some of that flooding from this morning. Mexico City, we're still staying active. Scattered areas of rain around. Just a 30% chance across the Yucatan Peninsula. 60 to 70% chance.

[00:08:51]Northern Columbia, 60% chance over the next few days as we work our way back through Venezuela. In Bermuda, we have some of that uh uh mainly dry weather.

[00:08:59]That front is off toward the east now.

[00:09:02]And it is uh cooler back through Orlando. Mainly dry conditions in central Florida. Watching that fire threat, that fire threat back through Tampa, covering Central Florida, South Florida. We'll watch toward the end of the week and the weekend, especially by the Keys with that area of rain that could be sliding by from the Gulf, Houston. Better chance of rain for today. Watching the fronts, the tail ends of the fronts, even by the end of the week and by the weekend. Monitoring things across Texas. So, northern areas, more rain, breezy and cooler behind the front, uh, relatively speaking, especially back through the Bahamas, parts of uh, Cuba. Tracking those drought conditions as we're deeper into the dry season, try to get out of the dry season. Watching which areas are too dry. We'll watch that. And, of course, that fire threat back through Florida.

[00:09:44]Tracking those tropical waves though to come soon. We'll start to see those just within a matter of a week or two, maybe three weeks coming off the coast of Africa. We'll have more updates on that.

[00:09:54]Trying to catch the sunrise in the Bahamas. So I will go ahead and do that.

[00:09:58]Have a wonderful day ahead.