WATCH LIVE | Severe Weather Update

[00:00:11][music] Heat. Heat.

[00:00:39]Heat.

[00:00:50]Hey, heat. Hey, heat.

[00:00:55]>> [music] >> Good evening. I'm ABC 24 meteorologist Daniel McDonald here with a special stream here this evening because we do have severe weather that is occurring throughout parts of the Midsouth. Right now within the core of the Memphis metro, we do have a severe thunderstorm warning that was issued about 5 minutes ago or so, but has been extended here for about uh until 7:15 as we do think that this is going to be in a very favorable environment and will be able to maintain its strength here for a good 20 to 30 miles or so, crossing from about as far to the north and west as the Mississippi River between Memphis and Kittinden County, Arkansas, and then moving to the south and east here as it moves through South Haven and at least through that junction with Interstate 69 and Interstate uh 55. So, we will be tracking this here to show you what the latest sort of reports and impacts are as we do see that this is going to be a severe level storm that is containing 60 mph winds and about an inch large in diameter hail, maybe a little bit less.

[00:02:06]So, uh, we're not expecting anything extremely damaging out of this when it comes to say, uh, maybe say those 70 to 80 mph winds or large hail that's the size of pingpong or, uh, even sort of baseball size. Of course, that is, uh, the sort of storm that is not occurring.

[00:02:22]We have this being, uh, tagged with some of those more baseline severe criteria.

[00:02:27]So, this is again a storm that's moving to the south and east. It does look to be uh about as far east within Memphis as some of our Midtown neighborhoods here. And uh even those of us though of course that are technically right just to the east of that zone here or just to the west, we are going to be experiencing some similar conditions.

[00:02:46]And again, this storm is going to be a bit heavier, a bit uh stronger in terms of some wind gusts and maybe featuring a bit more hail than anything else that is currently moving through the area in these other zones. We can sort of see that here or at least the good uh reliable for the most part indicator of that intensity when it comes to lightning strikes. Uh about 300 you can see on this latest scan which does not just include this storm but everything within the purview of our radar in Arkansas out in Tennessee out to the south in Mississippi. But of course the highest cluster the most numerous amounts in a certain section here that we see is well within where this severe warning is currently located. So, out of all of this uh sort of storm activity that is moving through really everywhere across the region aside from areas south of Interstate 69, most of Mississippi dry for the moment, but did feature uh or did see, I should say, a little bit of some pop-up storm weaker activity earlier this uh late morning and early afternoon. Uh they've been remaining dry, though the direction of this moving to the south and the east is eventually going to put them in the crosshairs here. And so, we will be watching that here fairly closely. Now, here's a bit of a zoom out on this system. This is a loop over the last 2 hours or so. It has been uh for the most part causing the most intense uh storms that have been tagged and warned off in northeastern Arkansas just to the north and west of Point Set County, Arkansas with which is within our DMA. uh more so in the Jonesboro area. They have had a few of those stronger storms and uh at one point in North Central Arkansas a tornado warning, but uh it really does not look like we are going to be at risk of seeing any tornadoes with these storms. The main concerns are going to be those higher winds and hail that could be about maybe as large as 2 in in diameter. But so far from the severe warnings that we have seen across the area, which have been only about two and full, and then we had one earlier around 6 p.m. just in the very sort of northern sections of Dyer County. All of those so far have been at the very baseline level of the severe criteria. 60 mph winds, 1-in diameter hail. That is what we do uh sort of use as the very sort of lowest amount of criteria to tag a storm as being severe. And so far, that is all we have seen. and we haven't seen that many of these storms reach that limit.

[00:05:05]So, we are pretty confident that while severe storms are possible and of course are going to be moving through some of our most populated areas, areas that yesterday did receive a lot of rainfall, many reports of some flash floods from storms that had stalled across Memphis and then slowly uh just into the southern sections of Shelby County and into Dodto County gave us a few reports here of inches of in excess of four to five being picked up over just a short time frame of about 2 to three hours. A lot of that ended up sort of dispersing within the Memphis area. I know that things were a little bit more exacerbated in parts of Dodto County and uh even in some surrounding spots like Marshall and Tate County. But those grounds which while maybe dry now or at least clear of any sort of really standing dangerous water that poses a risk to us in the immediate sort of sense, we do have the ability here or I should say the lessened ability of the grounds here across the metro to hold all of this water. And so I do think that even if these storms manage to really just weaken rapidly, a best case scenario where we end up just seeing showers for the rest of the night, flooding is still going to be a very high risk here as we don't really just have all that much room, all that much sort of dry soil that can take on uh that much more rain here after just a little bit more than say 24 hours after the most torrential of that rain did pass through. But of course they did we did see a lot of those heavy rains yesterday in the late morning and early afternoon mid-after afternoon hours across the entire region. So of course as you can see with all of this moving through the northern half of the area at the moment I do think that will be a risk for all of us here. But this is again really the last two hours to give you an idea of how this has structured and uh how it has been sort of moving generally from the northwest to the southeast. So, I do think that all of us are going to see some showers and storms out of this. I think at this point, storms of at least some kind are looking likely pretty much everywhere from about as far west as Interstate 40 as it heads towards Little Rock to about as far east as the Jackson area.

[00:07:20][clears throat] All right. So, excuse me there for a moment. I was just talking to one of our producers. We uh are going to be continuing this coverage, but uh what we are currently seeing right now on stream on our app, we are now going to be simultaneously putting this into uh uh our uh sort of uh our onair coverage.

[00:07:39]So, we will be breaking in live to our ABC 24 programming, what is currently on right now. Uh so, that will be some uh another sort of channel you can watch us on. Of course, if you are on the app, you don't need to go anywhere. We will still be here uh as we are looking to be continuing this coverage. I'll be taking a little bit of a quick pause here as we do make that transition.

[00:08:24]A weather impact alert here is in place across the Midsouth for this Saturday evening. Good evening. I am meteorologist Daniel McDonald here with your latest coverage. I am just offcreen for a moment here as we are sort of getting the latest details on some of these warnings. The structure of this storm as it is moving through our area.

[00:08:46]I do believe we are seeing that severe warning currently ongoing for uh it looks like here in Shelby County at the moment and uh possibly crossing further deeper into the metro across Dodto and maybe potentially being extended a little bit here into other sections of the area. So, this is going to be something we're watching very closely.

[00:09:07]Uh, before we do take a little bit of a quicker zoom in, I will just say and go over real quick what the details of this weather impact alert are because we are going to see this shower and storm activity continue throughout much of the night. I believe between around here now and to at least 11:00 p.m. or midnight or so, sometime in between. That looks to be the end of any sort of particularly strong to severe chances as we are going to see these being a bit on the isolated side in terms of which do manage to reach that severe strength.

[00:09:37]But overall the storms are widespread.

[00:09:39]Thunder and lightning is going to be something that virtually everywhere across the mids south. Tonight we are going to be witnessed to as we will want to make sure we are keeping a close eye on the radar as we will be able to see of course on the ABC24 app the latest uh warnings as issued by the National Weather Service the details and everything that you need to know for any sort of particular storm moving through your particular area very carefully uh driving on those roads as well especially because of how much rain we had received yesterday from non severe storms flooding reports throughout much of the afternoon across the Memphis metro and into Mississippi. And though we are dried out now in most of those spots, it's not going to take a lot of rain to potentially induce another round of some flash flooding. And it looks like right now this particular severe storm is on track to be moving through the areas affected by yesterday's flooding the most. So, even if we do see this storm weaken, which I do not think it will be until at least 7:15, that is when this severe thunderstorm warning is going until we are going to be making sure that we are here with the latest coverage, the latest updates so that we do have a bit more of that sort of uh uh issuance here and any other sort of updates that could be provided to us by the National Weather Service. And of course what we are seeing here on our radar, we'll try and make sure we do look at not just the uh sort of signatures in terms of the rainfall and whatever else here is uh being seen on our certain particular view at the moment, but also the velocity. Making sure we're watching for hail cores just to give you the latest updates on what can be anticipated, what is sort of developing here in real time at the very least while we do have this severe warning in place. Again, for the Memphis metro, it looks like right now it is moving through at least the strongest of that storm activity across the Tennessee Mississippi border. Pretty much right about where Interstate 55 does cross over those state borders. It looks like that South Haven and then later on into parts of say Horn Lake are going to be uh at the greatest risk or most immediate risk I should say of seeing some 60 mph wind gusts and maybe some hail that could be up to say around an inch or so in diameter. So these are going to be a line of storms that we do watch throughout most of the night. Now, as you can see, these storms that extend for many miles to the east, west, and even off to the north, uh, at the moment, they are not all equally sort of strong as we do only have that one polygon right now in orange that is the zone of the severity. And you can see that as sort of evidenced by our lightning strike counter here. This is usually a pretty reliable indicator of what we may expect or are currently seeing as becoming severe. And that seems to be ringing true right now. The highest cluster of any sort of lightning strikes, as you can see, is pretty much right within or nearby that severe polygon there. There are a lot of gaps here between those signatures of red and yellow heavy rainfall amounts where we don't see quite as much lightning. I do think uh if we had any sort of possibility of seeing an additional warning being issued right now while we are cutting in, it would be closer here uh in Faget County over towards uh our Somerville area as there does seem to be a pocket where we have a little bit higher of some lightning strikes, even some dark red colors for those rainfall amounts. But overall right now, we still just have that uh one warning here being issued. And we can take a little bit of a further zoom out to see uh and a bit more of a sort of extended time frame loop to see uh the extent and the sort of history of what this has been producing across the area. Right now we are looking at the last 2 hours or so where we did have a lot of severe warnings earlier on in north central northeastern Arkansas just outside of our viewing area towards Jonesboro. uh that has uh sort of featured a little bit of a weakening sort of trend here.

[00:13:27]If you can kind of make that out between around uh 7 and 8:00 pm uh but then it does seem uh or sorry I believe I'm sorry 5 and 6 p.m. uh for that time frame. We had a little bit of a weakening trend there but uh it does seem that we are seeing a bit of a rebound in strengthening and a very widespread amount of storms that do seem to feature some stronger storms even well off to the east and middle Tennessee. That is another severe warning here that is going just to the north of Interstate 40 as it looks to be approaching the Nashville area. And then even still far off to the west and north along the Arkansas Missouri border. I believe that's fairly close to West Plains or Branson, Missouri where we do have another severe storm. So all of these all three I should say being separated by at least in total a few hundred miles. So, uh, a very widespread storm system that while maybe featuring varying amounts of intensity within it, it does seem that all of us here from east to west over that sort of few hundred mile span will have the ability or at least the potential to see some of these strengthen and become severe at least to that baseline sort of strength which I believe right now is what we are seeing. 60 mph wind gusts, one inch hail. Those are right now uh the main concerns across the area as this does look to be again a system that is going to be moving through over the next couple of hours. You can see this initial line where there is currently the severe warning in Shelby County and in the city of Memphis, northern Dotto County. But behind it still, even if those storms end up staying weak or even weakened further, the rainfall is going to be of an extremely heightened concern of any kind. Just because of how very wet the grounds have been over the last day or so. Yesterday's flooding, none of those storms managed to reach severe strength. They were not even close to producing severe level criteria of say large hail, strong winds, or any sort of tornadoes. But the fact that they were able to park themselves over the region and move very slowly throughout the afternoon allowed for some very impressive hourly totals of multiple inches to be reported and falling in a couple of spots. So again, rainfall of any kind here. And uh it looks like we will see quite a bit of it is going to be a sort of uh more than usual aware factor of risk that we'll want to make sure that we are taking precaution for.

[00:15:42]So out on the roadways here, if we are currently caught within a thunderstorm or on the in route to an area that is going to be affected by a thunderstorm, we will really want to try and not be on the roadways as it does seem that we have a little bit of potential here for that flooding to recur a bit more easily than you would expect. Even in a stronger thunderstorm, this probably will be occurring a bit faster. So we do have some flash flood advisories and alerts sort of still, excuse me, left over from yesterday. I'm switching now over here to some of our flood alerts and a flash flood warning that is uh in place for Kittinden and Shelby County.

[00:16:16]This is a brand new one, but since earlier we still have had some flood advisories and uh localized warnings throughout the day because of the anticipation of not just severe weather tonight, but just rain of any kind. that is going to make it a lot more easy for some very prone to flooding areas to flood once again if they aren't already uh seeing that water begin to rise or begin to pull in a lot of spots. Uh I am reading off right now some reports from the National Weather Service where we do have uh flood advisories that are upgraded because hourly rates and a couple of these are exceeding 2 and a half inches and just now as you saw into Fyet County we've had that extended. So, as I do uh scroll here just a little bit to the right, I'm going to try and tag this sort of newer advisory. This going now until uh 1000 p.m. uh for Faget County as we do have uh that joining in here with areas to the north in the northern sort of third of Fet County and then basically all of Shelby County up to about as far north as Millington extending into Kittinden County, Marian, West Memphis, Arkansas. pretty much where all of our major interstates do travel, there is a flood advisory that is within them. It only goes about as far south as the Tennessee Mississippi state line, but I do think that is something that may very well be changing here as we continue to see these storms move to the south and east. So, those of us that are in the Memphis metro and Mississippi, you will be seeing some storms soon. You may not see these be at severe level, but they are going to be strong enough and uh containing enough uh of strength in terms of rainfall to where I do think the kind of flood risk that was seen yesterday may very well be occurring at the same or an even more intense fashion once again here tonight.

[00:17:59]And of course, now that we are seeing the sun set or at least will be seeing it set soon as these storms continue to move through, that is going to be an additional aggravating factor to why this is going to be a very dangerous situation. We do have now not any sort of daylight cooperating with us. We have these flood waters that could be just as bad as yesterday and we are not going to be able to see them quite as easily even in spots that are typically not prone to flooding. All of the rain here, it doesn't just fall in those areas that are prone to flooding. That's where you most likely expect it. But we saw some of those crazier rainfall rates of yesterday in many other areas that really don't see quite as much of those sort of occurrences even throughout the summertime when we have these very frequent popup thunderstorms moving about the area. So all of us really need to make sure no matter how high our sort of localized elevation may be in the house or residence that we are staying at or sort of far away we are from any bodies of water, the flood risk is going to be higher than it typically is. and is at probably one of the highest points that we have seen so far throughout the thunderstorm season as we really haven't had this sort of duration, these sort of backto-back chances of a combination of frequent storms with heavier rainfall and even of course those severe chances that we are all just uh you know worried about here across the region. I'll take a quick look here just right now at some sort of uh traffic reports if we may have any. Uh I don't believe we have some that are coming in here, but uh again, that is of course a risk here with this flooding and with some of these storms. We'll take it back now to our radar just to see if we do have any updates here that are posted for this severe warning. It looks like it hasn't made or hasn't been featured with any sort of adjustments. uh and I do think that it will probably continue here in its current capacity until about 7:15.

[00:19:47]But I think there is a chance that we may see uh it extended a bit more here as we are looking to have uh a bit of that movement here continuing. It's basically following the path about as uh looking for uh so much as uh the sort of timing that is 7:15. It looks to be about halfway through that polygon. So, uh certainly uh looking to be uh something that we will be tracking very closely and uh will even within some of these other storms that may not be currently at that severe strength. But again, I do think that we are going to see uh some other spots here throughout the rest of the night potentially and uh even into maybe about as far late as say 11:00 p.m. or midnight before we will see that instability die down quite a bit and we end up dealing with say just a few lingering showers and then at least a brief dry period for our Sunday.

[00:20:36]But uh it does look like on Sunday we are going to have still some chances of rain. The severe chance much lower, but any rain of course again the ground's very wet. We will just still have to be on the lookout over the next few days for those chances of any sort of showers or storms that may just manage to sort of reach the tipping point in some locations. The grounds just very wet from already a very wet last month in general. But uh it looks like here now especially being having that sort of uh amount of rainfall and wetness on the ground really be turned up to that sort of maximum capacity given what we have seen as evidenced by the flood reports throughout yesterday. And of course that I think will likely be occurring here tonight as this line does continue to move on through the region. A bit more here of a zoom in on those sort of lightning strikes. Again, we don't have anything right now that is being tagged as severe elsewhere across the region.

[00:21:31]But looking immediately to the east, I do think that if you are in say eastern Faget County to the east and southeast immediately of Somerville, that is going to be a particularly strong section of this thunderstorm line that may be issued as severe within the coming moments. But uh even if it doesn't, it's definitely on the cusp of becoming that way as we do look to see a bit more of that lightning sort of uh coalescence here and a more clustered area of lightning that could end up resulting here in an eventual issuance of a warning of some kind. But actually, if you are even in that sort of zone, we don't see uh a severe warning. Uh again, we'll switch it back here to the flood alerts. You are now in a brand new flood uh advisory, a flood alert here from the National Weather Service. Again, this one currently that's uh being tagged with that description right now. That goes until about 900 p.m. here uh Kittenden and Shelby County, but we also do have, of course, the uh more recent one that is in our sort of southern uh twothirds of uh Fyet County as well. So, uh, again, lots and lots to be aware of here regardless of whether or not we do see a particularly severe storm and a warning that is issued at the time because there is just so many preceding sort of context uh, contextual factors here that make this uh, a bit more of an issue compared to some more previous storms we've had in uh, recent days. So the rain totals over the last 24 hours now that we are sort of removed from uh the yesterday's uh flooding event which did end a little over 24 hours ago.

[00:23:03]These totals not quite as impressive but uh yesterday getting multiple inches in some spots and now at least in areas to the north where the storms have been ongoing a little bit longer. We do have now uh some spots that are going to be reaching at or even uh above say an inch or so. And uh we will be tracking those closely. Now with even heavier rainfalls and lines of storms with even if again weaker storms behind it don't manage to tap into sort of any instability in the atmosphere. The rain itself will still be continuing and we will want to make sure that we are trying to stay off the roadways as much as possible here heading into our sort of uh later on hours into the overnight and evening.

[00:23:41]Again, a bit of a zoom out here as we will see how far to an extent this storm coverage is. It goes very well off towards the east here towards middle Tennessee. It now looks like right between wedged is Interstate 40 there just to the west of Nashville by two separate severe warnings. And between there and here in Memphis where we do have our current ongoing severe situation. Not as much of a sort of strengthening appearance to those storms. But it does look like we just may have a few sections here of this uh multiple sort of hundred mile few hundred mile long line of storms that then dips off and to the north towards the west of the Arkansas and Missouri border where yet another severe thunderstorm warning is being issued at the moment. Uh we have the potential here to see at least a few of these going throughout the rest of the next couple of hours.

[00:24:39]All right, and sorry for that pause there, folks. I did just get word that we are going to be uh resuming our programming here on ABC 24. We will be returning now to, I believe, coverage of the finals. I myself am a New York Knicks fan. I will not want to be cutting in unless I think it is absolutely necessary just to give you guys a heads up here throughout the game. So, this is something we will be watching closely. And again, if we do have to cut in here throughout coverage or during the game of the finals, I assure you it is going to be for the most absolute necessary reasons.

[00:25:13]All right, folks. Those of us that have been covering us here on stream, uh we are now continuing uh this uh sort of coverage here exclusively on our ABC24 app. This is going to be going until at least the end of this warning right now, which I do believe will be until somewhat close to about 7:15. Uh it doesn't seem that we have any indication from the National Weather Service that this will be allowed to expire as pretty much all signs are pointing to this being a very healthy system. Uh we do want to make sure that we are uh looking though and keeping track as much as we can across these areas so that we have an idea of what to be expecting throughout the region. Uh it looks like right now if we can just sort of get a decent sort of timing of this system with this squall line sort of graphic tool that we have. It does seem that we are going to have those following uh communities here being impacted across the next uh several sort of uh moments here. I should say within the next 15 to 20 minutes, this likely will be moving at least about as far to the south and east as Alaba and Cochram here. Those uh spots and maybe even Cold Water, Arla, you know, we could see just a few of those spots here that end up seeing some of the more intense bands of these storms. But uh again, even if we are not within that exact sort of severe zoning and coverage, the warnings, uh I do think that this is certainly going to be a spot that uh we will want to make sure we are keeping a very close eye on as it does seem we are uh having still a few of these storms that could potentially be issued as severe across the next couple of hours and uh again until probably close to about uh midnight or so. So, Dotto and Shelby County, this is radar indicated that we have the storm as being within and uh I do believe we are looking for now a uh sort of update here now if we have any for the National Weather Service on that, but I believe it right now is still being uh continued as it has been since it was first issued just a little bit before 6:30 p.m. I want to put this on again here. This is our weather impact alert that is going to be in place. Uh it does seem between now and 11 p.m. as we have that chance of strong to severe storms. High winds, hail are going to be what we are looking for as impacts. We are going to watch the radar for isolated storms. Driving carefully is going to be something we want to do regardless of how much rain we are seeing. If we see rain pretty much anywhere across the region here throughout this overnight period, uh it is going to be posing a risk of flooding. And that goes for even the areas, especially across the Memphis metro, that don't typically flood or may even be at say a bit of a higher elevation. What was witnessed yesterday with some very extended stalling or training thunderstorms is the term. Uh we did have a lot of areas that don't typically flood ended up uh being underwater for quite a few hours during the afternoon. And while a lot of that did manage to sort of clear out by later last night and into this morning, yet another round of storms, more intense storms and probably a bit more numerous in terms of how widespread they are are going to be moving across the area as we do look to see these continue uh in that sort of fashion. So once again, here another look at the radar where we have the latest warnings that will pop up here on the screen in those orange polygons. Uh only in Memphis right now, south of Memphis into Dotto County, South Haven, Horn Lake. These are going to be the spots that we do manage to see a few more of those storms here in the area. So, we'll just take a little bit of a zoom in right now. Uh looks like Olive Branch has yet to receive most of the rain here, but certainly would assume uh we are starting to see some very gusty winds in that spot. And uh then down by Nesbbit, the junction of Interstate 55 and Interstate 269. that is where uh that storm is going to be crossing over within the next several minutes and then eventually reaching the edge of where that sort of uh zonal boundary is. But uh I think we are going to end up having that possibly at least extended perhaps. I wouldn't say that's exactly super likely but uh with how the storm is still looking here at the moment and uh fairly healthy indicators.

[00:29:26]We'll take another now quick look at the lightning strike sort of range as uh it doesn't look like there is really any sort of notable reduction from the last couple of minutes ago when I did last check here on this sort of particular graphic where uh we did still have or do still have I should say a sort of locally higher amount of cluster of those lightning strikes in the area. So again, that will be something that we do uh want to make sure we are watching pretty closely. And uh of course here on ABC 24, be it streaming or potentially on the air if we have to. Of course, the NBA finals, a very good final series so far. I myself am a New York Knicks fan.

[00:30:04]I have been watching every game so far.

[00:30:06]There is nothing I would hate to do more than have to interrupt the NBA Finals, especially in the context of what it means to me. millions of NBA fans in general, Spurs fans, no matter what. Uh, a very good series that I know we will want to make sure that we are covering.

[00:30:21]So again, if we break in, just know that we are doing this because we have deemed it absolutely necessary for those this sort of severe threat of some very flooding rains, some very strong winds, some large hail. And while tornadoes are not really of an especially high concern with tonight's severe threat, of course, any sort of tornado warning, we will have to cut in and break into coverage to make sure that we are aware, especially to those of our viewers that are within the zone of where that is located. making sure that we do have everyone aware of that emergency. So, that is just the kind of context I do want to provide to anyone that is currently tuning in to these streams and maybe perhaps switching over to watching the finals or other programming here tonight even on other channels. Of course, if those are the sort of warnings and things that I have just previously mentioned, uh the meteorologists there will also be making their respective cutins because we do have to make sure that everyone in the Midsouth area is aware of potentially life-threatening weather events. So again, just know that that is what we will make sure we do in the event that we deem it necessary. But uh until then and for at least the next 10 minutes or so as this warning is still going to be going on until around again 7:15 uh we are going to be making sure that we do have this uh being tracked across the area and that everything you need to know all of that information is currently being relayed to us. Okay, we'll take a few different sort of uh views here of our other excuse me parameters and uh just try and get a bit more of an idea of uh what we are seeing. debris detector as no tornado is really sort of a threat here tonight. No tornatic activity really expected. Uh this won't be a graphic that I think we end up having to use too much. The correlation coefficient is what we call it and it's a good indicator of if we do have something touch down on the ground.

[00:32:09]Uh before that though, usually we will check uh the winds in the direction of velocity here within the storm system which right now it does seem we are uh starting to have a bit more of that uh sort of straight line wind being the main threat. If there was anything that we did potentially being potentially deemed as extremely highly dangerous in terms of those straight line winds, the uh say 75 80 85 mileph wind range that is uh certainly not very common but uh definitely uh something that could be a possibility. Uh it will be again something that we watch and uh look to be very closely sort of having developments on. But uh of course it looks like the winds and the hail the straight line winds of 60 mph or so. Uh those are going to be really what we do sort of uh end up watching for in terms of anything that is uh looking to be especially dangerous here. uh cloud top heights sometimes a decent indicator as well for those sort of uh more intense bands of storms which also that does appear to be lining up with where the severe warning is issued. And then in terms of hail, it seems that as of right now any sort of potential hail is being located just immediately to the south and west of uh where that is located right now at the moment. Uh we do still have a few spots that are going to be within uh again this zone. It looks like just uh towards the sort of section of Memphis here between Interstate 55 and uh Lamar Avenue as it eventually turns into that US highway and Interstate 22, we could be seeing just a little bit more hail in that spot for the moment and uh that may be something we want to be aware of. Again, reports right now about an inch in diameter. So, uh nothing that I think is especially sort of extremely huge. Uh but uh definitely uh we will want to be aware of that. And if we are in the western sections there on say where Third Street in Memphis travels down on into uh Dodto County, we are going to want to make sure that we do sort of keep in mind that the hail is also moving through that spot. But uh of course I do say traveling here, but I really want to make sure that all of us are trying not to drive unless absolutely necessary because of just not the storms that are moving through and make it already a bit difficult to say the least to drive in that sort of uh zone.

[00:34:25]Also, of course, the flooding rains.

[00:34:26]We're going to start to see the sun set.

[00:34:28]It is mid June. We have the daylight hours here. Fortunately, at this time, not very often in many other parts of the year would we have daylight this late. But, uh, it is still going to be shrinking. And I still think that there is going to be the risk of equally, if not stronger, storms that could be moving through with now even more rain out ahead of those flooding that may be already occurring in a couple of spots.

[00:34:51]Really, really want to make sure we are taking it slow. if we absolutely have to drive tonight and of course even in those areas that we just don't really typically expect to see quite as much of an issue uh for flooding. It's something that really tonight is going to be a very unique risk. Again, you can see just how widespread those storms were all the way from north central Arkansas down into the Memphis metro now getting into Mississippi and then extending about as far east as into middle Tennessee well past Jackson on Interstate 40. and the flood alerts that are in place as we do have the flash flood warning uh here for really all of Shelby County only about say up to Millington and just a little bit further north on the US highway there do we have that not being covered within this advisory and then out towards Somerville here in Faget County the most recent addition where we do have these flash flood warnings uh being issued for the areas so uh again you can see these are all our major roadways and interstates this isn't just for say the lowlying areas this is everywhere we could see a lot of sections of roadways and areas that don't typically flood, possibly underwater after we did see all of that storm activity park itself over southern Shelby County and northern Dotto County throughout yesterday afternoon. And these storms, while they are not training in that same way, they're not exactly rushing to be moving through these respective areas. These are not storms that are extremely fast moving.

[00:36:14]We don't really have any tags that say that these are heading at a speed of anything say higher than around 40 50 miles per hour which you usually expect at least in a lot of these severe storms to have a bit of a higher uh rating of that forward movement. And so far that just does not seem to be the case. We'll take a little quick look at those rainfall rates as well right now as we do happen to have uh some of those areas here that you can see. It's not an exact scale when it comes to uh those inches per hour as it is a little bit more difficult to have that exact tracking on these uh exact systems, but if I can just make a quick little adjustment here and have it loop over the last 15 minutes, you can see that especially within where that severe storm warning is located and moving through northern South Haven and northern Dotto County, it's crossing the border now. That is where we do have the very high rates. I believe according to the National Weather Service, it's in excess of around say uh uh two to f two to three inches per hour in a couple of spots.

[00:37:12]And uh again, that's already what we had seen yesterday in a couple of areas. So just really not going to be a good idea to try and be out and about and driving around in just all of this sort of coverage of weather as we are looking for a bit more of uh that to still continue. And I don't believe that even if we see the severe sort of criteria, again, rainfall is never a part of whether or not a storm is being listed as a severe one. It always comes down to the wind speed, the hail size, and the tornado potential, the tornatic activity we that we see within a storm. Uh those are going to be the things that we end up classifying as severe. So, and the rest of the night could pass on. We could have this severe warning expire and we could see nothing more throughout the rest of the night in terms of anything that is classified as being severe. We're still going to have the potential for some very impactful flooding. And now we do not have any daylight on our side like yesterday. So driving through these spots, I mean, we could be totally blind in a lot of sections. Not even mentioning the fact that of course some of the more busier populated areas saw that heavy rain just outside if we're traveling into rural Dotto County, even Shelby County and some of those more uh forested areas or where we do have the roadways that are a bit more narrow and dipped up and down a little bit on some of those slight hills and changes in terrain. Those could be spots that we end up driving into multiple inches of water, not realizing it until we are already stuck and already in danger of having our vehicles and even our lives potentially threatened and impacted by that. So again, really need to make sure that we are trying to just stay put where we are here as these storms roll on through and throughout the rest of the next couple of hours here. again up until midnight.