12 Sneaky Dynasty Breakouts That Nobody's Talking About

本站添加: 2026-05-24

[00:00:00]Today we're breaking down 12 dynasty breakout candidates. And what we're going to do in today's video is we're going to avoid the obvious names.

[00:00:07]Everybody in their mother is talking about how Genty could break out or Hampton could break out or Ibuka or Lad or Burden or Lovelin. All those types of guys you've heard us talk about many times before. The parameters for this video is essentially just guys that we're higher on. Whatever the expectation is, maybe they're going as a top 24 wide receiver. We think they can be better than that. Maybe they're going as a top 40 running back. We think they can be better than that. And a quick reminder also, this is the final day to join our listener league startup. All the details are down below. We will be drawing names for that later today or early tomorrow. So Danny, let's get it kicked off. I can I can get us started or you want to go with the quarterback first. Doesn't really matter to me.

[00:00:42]Let's let's start with the tone setter.

[00:00:43]Let's start with the tone set and Cam Scaboo. RB9 in PBR points per game last season. As a day three rookie, that's very impressive considering usually we don't see rookies produce until later in the season. We didn't get that luxury with Cam Scaboo. eight games played, but he was on his way to truly being a league winner in fantasy football.

[00:01:01]>> Yeah, especially if you drafted him, you know, I believe he was going ninth round, 10th round, 11th round in your basketball drafts last year. It was an ambiguous situation. We were like, are you on the Cam Scataboo side? Are you on the Tyrone Tracy side? And unfortunately for our bags, we had a lot more Tracy.

[00:01:15]But going into this upcoming year, I think it's pretty clear Cam Scataboo is going to be the starting running back for this team, assuming he's fully healthy coming off that leg injury that ended his season. And when you look at when it happened, week eight, he should be ready to go in week one.

[00:01:29]>> Yeah. I think it's so impressive that despite this team finishing with the fifth overall pick in the draft, they had a rookie quarterback at this point who was in his, you know, infancy like first couple starts when Scatteraboot was doing this and there was no Malik Neighbors on the field, which obviously is going to be a question at the beginning of the season for the Giants.

[00:01:45]It's a coaching upgrade with John Harbaugh coming in who repeatedly keeps saying how much they want to run the ball by the way and I do think that Cam Scataboo is a large part of that and if you think about John Harbaugh what he did in Baltimore he hamstrung Lamar freaking Jackson to like sub 30 pass attempts per game over the course of his entire career. So I do think that a heavy run game is going to be the expectation here in New York. And like you kind of made reference to there, the buzz on Scataboo's injury is a lot different than the buzz on Neighbors injury right now. Neighbors, they're talking about him like we don't know when he's going to be ready. We have question marks about training camp. It doesn't seem at all in question that Scataboo is going to be ready for training camp and for the start of the regular season. So even though this is an injury that can sometimes more so affect your efficiency and your performance as we saw with like Tony Pard and Mark Andrews and those type of guys that have come off this injury, it typically is rather you know 7 to n month recovery timeline like he should be out there on the field.

[00:02:41]>> I mean I will say too from a public image perspective if he was behind on his recovery and everybody seeing him at Nick's playoff games and getting hype and you know waving the crowd like this like he should be on track cuz otherwise it's like hey man this guy has been living out his off seasonason. and he's been going on streams as well. Like he's a young 24y old getting out there, you know.

[00:03:00]>> Yeah. So Cam Scaboo to me, again, the expectation of this video, a lot of people assume Cam Scataboo is about a dead zone running back right now. He's 44 overall in ADP. Uh in terms of dynasty running back rankings, if we look on the site, most people have him somewhere between 13. I'm at 15, which is the second highest on the site. or some more at the back end where Davis and and Mason the other guys are expectation for Cam Scataboo. I legit have this guy ranked over Bucky Irving in reddraft. Like I I think they're going to have a heavy heavy dose on the run game in general like I made reference to. And two, from a dynasty perspective, this is a player that could very easily be a top 12 dynasty running back uh guy in the mid portion of the season if he's producing anywhere close to the red zone opportunities, to the goal line opportunities, and to the receiving opportunities that he was producing last season because he does have a full three down skill set. And whenever Neighbors is back out there, I think this offense could be vastly improved from what, you know, Scatteraboo was doing on this team last year.

[00:03:56]>> Yeah, I guess why I'm on the lower end of that um because you had him at what 15? I had him at 18. Keep in mind that is a pretty wide tier for me. Like I have, you know, guys like Bucky Irvy and guys like that in that tier. Um would just simply be the new regime. Like I I want to at least see him be that full-fledged Balcow. Like could it be more of a 58 to 63% snapshot or is he going to get back to the 70 plus percent range? I guess that would be my main question mark because ultimately I do think Tyrone Tracy is one of the better backup running backs in the league. You know, 1B type of running backs in the league. So I'm just really curious. I do think Scottoo is going to be the leader.

[00:04:27]It's going to be more of a 60% situation or more of a 70 plus% situation.

[00:04:31]>> Yeah. I mean, leading up to his uh to his injury, he was >> Oh, last year he was nails.

[00:04:36]>> Yeah, he was a 70 plus% snapshare guy.

[00:04:38]No questions asked. And in terms of routes in terms of routes, he was well over 65%. Which is like an insane number for a running back. Like you're talking pretty rarified air to be that high of a route participation dude. And in what, >> four straight games leading up to his injury, he was like a like a two plus red zone carry guy as well. like they were they were giving him a lot of uh red zone opportunities. And again, this was for a team that was not very good, was not scoring a lot of points and had a rookie quarterback. So, I do think the situation around him has gotten better.

[00:05:07]And again, in a parallel universe, this is a one of the biggest league winners in fantasy last year had he stayed healthy.

[00:05:12]>> Yeah. And on top of that, too, um Neighbors going to be on the shelf throughout the year. Obviously, some of that over overlapped with Neighbors not being on the field. and a guy like Juan Delale Robinson who's soaking up so many targets not on the team anymore like even if Tracy does you know hint into the backfield maybe take some of those snaps maybe we even see more receiving opportunities to offset it.

[00:05:31]>> Yeah for sure. So let's move into Cam Ward who you have here as again we're sticking to more breakout candidates that have some questions as you can see here. We're not going with the obvious lowhanging fruit names. Uh what do you think of Cam Ward here? Why is he a breakout candidate?

[00:05:45]>> Yeah and he was kind of you know a slow burn in year one. kind of looked a little overwhelmed to start his career.

[00:05:49]Like you guys can see the first eight, nine games or so of his career. Didn't really have, you know, those spike 14 plus point type of weeks, but we do see down the stretch the top 20 finishes, the number four overall finish against the Seattle Seahawks defense out of all defenses. Very impressive for a rookie player. And when you combine that with the fact that this was a number one overall pick, we all talked about his traits coming into the NFL draft. He goes to the Titans and the situation is completely different. He was a quarterback 22 in fantasy after his bye-week last year and he was throwing to multiple day3 rookies. You know, your Elko Manners, your Shamir DKs. I don't even know if Calvin Ridley was playing consistently at that point cuz that guy was always broken like glass. Like he did not have the receiving core, the overall offensive insulation that we wanted last year. Now we go into 2026, they fire Zack Taylor, they hire Robert Solah. From a cultural perspective, I instantly think that's going to help a young team. But more importantly, you bring Brian Dal over to the staff. We just talked about Brian Dable. He oversaw the breakout for a guy like Cam Scaboo. We saw what he was able to do with a guy like Jackson Dart last year.

[00:06:52]On top of that, you bring in Juan Del Robinson. I talked about how the Giants lost him. Titans bring him in on that. I believe 17 or 18 million per year type of contract. He's the fourth overall pick on my number one wide receiver in the class, ex wide receiver with Carnell Tate. And now you look at the situation and I think these are this is going to be one of the most ascending offenses in the league. I trust Brian Dable. I trust the coordination of what he's been able to do with the quarterback position and I do think Cam Ward has the talent where if he's a top 15 quarterback in fantasy this year Cory like he's going to be a top 10 to 12 level quarterback in startups. So I understand the bull case with Cam Ward. My issue is when I just look at the brass tax matter of fact of was he did he look like the first overall pick or did he not look like the first overall pick? I don't think he particularly looked good like over the course of the whole season. I understand bad receivers, bad offensive line, bad coaching staff, etc., but 5.9 yards per attempt is a putrid number. Sub 60% completion percentage is a terrible number. His pressure to sack rate was damn near a quarter of the time. 100 like 24% pressure to sack rate. 80.2 um NFL passer rating. Like I it's it's not um it's not an overreaction in my opinion to say he had like a borderline Bryce Young, Zach Wilson type rookie season as a player. H I just think that's unfair with how he finished the year. Obviously the start of the year it looked completely overtasked. But the fact that he showed that improvement to me is what makes him a breakout because we all talked about coming into his draft profile like this is a more traity player. We want to see him, you know, completely develop, but it might not look good early. I don't think it looked good early. So I'll agree with you there. But I do think because we show saw the flashes down the stretch, especially again against a Seahawks defense who we saw what they did to Drake May in the Super Bowl, like showing out against a defense like that specifically, it makes me excited with let's get this guy some weapons. Let's get this guy an actual offensive system and let's see what it looks like.

[00:08:43]>> Yeah. Uh the the bull signals are there.

[00:08:45]I just um it wouldn't shock me if if people are very um quick to realize that like oh my god, like if he doesn't look good right away, like are people starting to write him off? Because again, when you look at the comps for his rookie season, they're not inspiring. Like that's as age 23y old as well, like you look at year one comps like Zach Wilson and Kenny Picket do pop as potential comps there, which is not what you want to see. So hopefully Carnell Tate, the offensive line, the coaching upgrades can help propel him to at least look a lot more like, let's say, to a tongue of Aloa in his second year or somebody that like at least had a good career to this point in time because I do worry that he just might not be the guy. Like if I was starting a franchise right now, not necessarily for fantasy, I would say that most NFL GMs are going to prefer Jackson Dart and Tyler Shuck. At least in terms of the rookie quarterback class last year.

[00:09:32]>> I just think not a lot of GMs will go off of the pre-draft notion that he was the clear number one quarterback after one year in such a bad situation. Like we can both say and we can both look back on the Titan situation with how Zack Taylor was calling the offense with how bad that receiving CP was. Like dude, I get it. We liked Alec Omaner, the prospect. We thought he could maybe be something. The guy posted below a 10th percentile on every reception perception metric and he was operating as this guy's number one at points.

[00:10:00]>> Yeah. No, it it was not a good situation. Again, I just think, you know, Drake May, his rookie season in if you're that good, if you're that guy, if you're going to turn into an elite quarterback, you you show a lot more as a rookie than Cam Ward showed.

[00:10:12]>> That's also the dynasty quarterback won.

[00:10:14]So, like if if Cam Ward was anywhere close to that, then we'd be in a great spot. But I don't know. I'm just saying, could he be like the quarterback eight, the quarterback 10 by this time next year? Like I do think that's a very good a very good value jump.

[00:10:27]>> Yeah. Um but anyways, let's move into Z Flowers who's been a staple of this channel as specifically myself. Um he jumped last season from, you know, career 24 25% target share as you can see here all the way up to damn near 30% target share. 29.1% 2.53 yards per run on the season. 2.61 is what it shows on our end here. That was fourth in the NFL despite the best or the worst season I've ever seen from Lamar Jackson. And now I think the most underrated thing about Zay Flowers and we've talked about this as well is he had the season that everyone thought he was going to have and he didn't change in price. Nobody looked at Zay Flowers and went okay this is a guaranteed surefire hit. he was, you know, wide receiver, like when you look positionally, wide receiver like 21 23 last August and then now he's the same exact price even though throughout the season he was worth way way more than that throughout the entire time. So when I look at Z Flowers, I see John Harbaugh gone, which is a good thing. Todd Monin gone, which is a good thing. You know why? because the very first things that they've done have been add to the offensive line with a first round pick.

[00:11:32]Add two receivers who I had as top eight guys in the class, Serat and Jacobe Lane and no Harbaugh and Jesse Mter. It's a young offensive mind or defensive mind.

[00:11:43]They bring in Declan Doyle who's a young offensive mind from the Ben Johnson scheme. I think that this offense is going to be more pass heavy than they usually are. Not necessarily saying they're going to throw 700 times a season, but more pass heavy than the Ravens in previous iterations. And also too, I think they're going to be a lot more creative in deploying a guy like Zay Flowers as opposed to just giving him low A dot behind the line of scrimmage targets.

[00:12:06]>> So, the thing that I think is very uh intriguing about the Ravens off seasonason because obviously you mentioned, you know, you get rid of John Harbaugh, you get rid of the old regime, you bring in Declan Doyle, obviously who oversaw, you know, the the main assistant towards Ben Johnson's, you know, Lions and and Bears tenure for that matter. The thing that is very intriguing for me is you lose Isaiah likely in free agency and their current tight end too on the depth chart is some combination of Matthew Hibner who they took in the draft, Durham Smite, Josh Josh Quavvis who they brought in I believe as a UDFA like you don't have an Isaiah likely F tight end big slot type of receiving profile and Z Flowers you would think okay smaller wide receiver he's got to be playing a lot of snaps in the slot. Not once in his career has he played over 40% of his snaps in the slot. Could we see that spike to an all-time high this year?

[00:12:55]>> Not to mention um the absolute lowest rate in the NFL of 11 personnel, the Baltimore Ravens last year.

[00:13:01]>> That will improve.

[00:13:02]>> That should improve given, you know, Ben Johnson, I believe the Bears were up near the top of the NFL in terms of 11 personnel. So, I do think Flowers, while he he isn't a slot receiver, he would benefit from playing in the slot more.

[00:13:15]He would benefit from having opportunities to stretch the field vertically there. I think that Sirat ultimately is going to be their slot receiver, but Jacobe Lane playing X is going to help him out. Z Flowers being moved around the formation is going to help him out. Dude, this is a guy who was sixth in the NFL in receiving yards last year. Sixth.

[00:13:30]>> He was that high and he only had 117 targets. He was 16th in targets at the position and sixth in receiving yards.

[00:13:36]And as a Flowers manager myself in the Flock League, I can tell you for free that he left a lot out there on the field. He dropped balls. He fumbled the ball. Lamar couldn't hit him on a lot of plays like wide receiver 13 in PPR points per game last season when it felt like everything was going wrong for Zay Flowers in the Baltimore offense. It would not shock me whatsoever if he is a top 12 receiver in points per game this year with just a little bit better play from him, little bit better play from Lamar and maybe a little bit more pass volume as well.

[00:14:05]>> Yeah. No, I'm definitely going to be in on Z Flowers. It feels like he paid off at his ADP last year and he didn't get any more expensive. Well, his his reraft price is kind of different from his dynasty price. Like he's going at the 34 turn in reddraft at 25 years old and he's being valued outside the top 20 receivers in Dynasty. Like that doesn't really make a whole lot of sense.

[00:14:23]Normally the players going in that range are going, you know, high in Dynasty also. And he's kind of just like high in reddraft, but for some reason people are worried about his dynasty value when I'm sure if he has a great season this year, the Baltimore Ravens will extend him also.

[00:14:36]>> Yeah, I'm on the same page there. Uh Zay Flowers again, guy that I, you know, would always meme about he doesn't score touchdowns, he doesn't score touchdowns.

[00:14:43]Well, if the market's not going to adjust on his price tag, I will just take the guy that I feel confident is going to be a top 18 yearly receiver.

[00:14:50]>> Yeah, not to mention, you're right, he hasn't scored touchdowns yet. But what if that was a function of John Harbaugh and Todd Monkin more so than Zler?

[00:14:57]Because again, he scored five last season. And I could argue very easily he should have had seven or eight based on, you know, penalties taking stuff back and, you know, drives stalling out and fumbles and that kind of thing.

[00:15:08]>> For sure. So, uh, wide receiver 23 in ECR. Last year, you mentioned he was wide receiver 21. Like, he just got cheaper.

[00:15:15]>> Yeah. And it's not like he's 28, like he's not even 26 years old yet. He'll be about 26 when the season starts. So, for me, I just think Flowers is a really solid breakout candidate. And again, the the idea of breakout, he already kind of had it, but nobody's seeming to recognize it. So, I guess he's still a breakout candidate in a lot of people's minds.

[00:15:31]>> Well, yeah. I mean, hey, it's a change of grace for me. I'm not last on the site now when it comes to Z Flowers. I actually have him relatively within the same range as you. A guy that I was shocked I'm not the highest on the site on. I mean, kudos to Mason, Nathan, and Avery for uh seeing the light with Tucker Craft. But we got to start talking about this guy even more, man.

[00:15:51]He's not even 26 years old and he's coming off a tight end two fantasy point per game finish with three separate games of 20 plus point spike weeks in the seven he played. Yeah, it shows eight on the screen. Obviously, he gets hurt in that final game. Seven fully healthy games, three 20 plus point weeks. In my opinion, he's a superstar caliber level talent. The only real question mark with Tucker Craft right now, how does he look coming off of that ACL injury? Cory, the ACL injury happened on November 3rd. You don't think 10 months from the season, which by the way, September, early September, which is what week one's going to be, 10 months removed from the injury, he's not going to be back to himself.

[00:16:28]>> I I guess my pessimism towards Tucker Craft is the injury. Um because I have him among the lowest on the site, and you know, the reports are that he's progressing well. So, I'll probably continue to move him up as the offseason goes along. I guess I'm just I've been burned so many times by reinvesting into ACL tear players, into guys coming off of injuries. Like I'm drafting vastly different on underdog right now than I normally am. Like normally I'm I'm snapping up Malik Neighbors. I'm snapping up guys that are coming off of injuries and I'm starting to get a little bit more pessimistic on injuries.

[00:17:01]And I know Arthur's going to be chuckling right now listening to this, but I don't know, man. I I just I worry that he's not going to be the same level of explosive in year one back from the injury. Not in total. Obviously, by the time it's, you know, end of the season or whatever, it probably won't matter. I just do think that there's going to be a little bit of value fluctuation with Craft, but I still have him as my tight end, six in Dynasty, which is pretty much in line with everybody on the site, minus you, uh, Avery, and Nathan, who all have him at five. So, generally, it's just more that I don't want to be hitching my wagon to a guy that could get out to a slow start at the beginning of the season. And I generally think I'm going to be lower in reddraft on him as well, >> which is reasonable for this specifically for the start of the season. But I'll counter. He averaged 16.2 points per game in the healthy games he played last year. Like the fact that you're even getting him off the board, tight end five, tight end six, tight end seven. Like, who's to say he wouldn't have had the Trey McBride year if he stayed healthy?

[00:17:52]>> No, he might have. Like Golden wasn't a factor last year. Reed was injured. Uh Dobs is, you know, good. I mean, Watson, like, who I'm literally going to talk about in one second. I guess that's partially why I'm not as high on Craft is that I just think that the the situation doesn't set up as well for him this season as it does for other players on the Packers, >> I guess. But when I'm looking at it, you got a guy, again, not even 26 years old, posted over 2.3 yards per out run as a thirdyear tight end. And he is not even close, by the way. He is by far the best yards after catch tight end in the league. So when I'm looking at it again, outside of the top three, obviously Bowers, McBride, Lovelin, absolutely nails. Outside of maybe Warren, those are the four guys. Outside of those four, name me a tight end more likely than Tucker Craft to be the tight end one overall in points per game.

[00:18:38]>> This season, I could name a couple.

[00:18:40]>> I disagree.

[00:18:41]>> I think this season, you know, your Sam Laores and Kyle Pitts are are more likely to finish higher in fantasy points per game than Craft this season just because of the injury. he would start again.

[00:18:52]>> If he's back for training camp, fully healthy, no knee brace or something, I'll change my opinion on him. I've just been burned so many freaking times by ACL tear players.

[00:18:59]>> You want to hear too, the most exciting part of this is obviously like we know what he is. He's touchdown guy. When they're inside the 10, when they're inside the 20, like he had six six touchdowns in seven games and a lot of them came in the red zone. But the part of it that is so intriguing is we know how much of a bellcow Josh Jacobs was in those first seven, eight weeks. After that is when Josh Jacobs had his injury issues. If Tucker Craft aligns when he's healthy in a window that Josh Jacobs is maybe banged up, could we see even more red zone work for this guy?

[00:19:28]>> No, the ceiling is 2021 Mark Andrews where he was like the biggest league winner tight end we've seen in a long long time. So I I I do agree with you as far as like the ceiling on Tucker Craft and I probably should move him up in my overalls. Um but as far as having like him over Tyler Warren, I just I can't do that because Tyler Warren is healthy and I think their projections are very very similar. No, I have Warren Higher. I don't think that's outrageous. I have him just tight end five in my dynasty rankings because Fannon, I'm assuming, right?

[00:19:53]>> Which I look at Harold Fannon's situation. I mean, we talked about it before we started this recording, but in his two biggest games down the stretch last year. Name his target competition on the Browns weeks 15 and 16.

[00:20:02]>> I'll name it when I talk about Casey Conpsion later in this video, but we'll talk about it.

[00:20:06]>> Yeah, the difference being that Craft is four and a half years older than Harold Fannon, I guess, and not coming off of Fannon's healthy obviously. So, it it could go either way. Craft is definitely a player that is fits the description of this video. Let's just put it that way.

[00:20:19]He's a breakout dynasty candidate for sure.

[00:20:21]>> So, one thing you know, he average, by the way, yards per out run 2.56 for Tucker Craft in his healthy games, only 1.81 for Trey McBride last year. And when you look at the overall receiving yards per game, 67 for Craft, 72.88 for McBride, and that was with McBride getting four more targets per game. We could very well see in an ambiguous receiving core. You know, obviously we like Christian Watson, but outside of that, Matthew Golden's getting steam right now. I don't think he's very good.

[00:20:47]Jaden Reed's getting some steam right now. We already know he's gonna have snap limitations. Like, why can't Watson and Craft legitimately smash?

[00:20:53]>> They could. Yeah. Speaking of Watson, let's talk about him. Uh 30% of the Packers Packers targets are vacated.

[00:20:59]Romeo Dobs is gone. He's on New England.

[00:21:00]Uh Dantavian Wixs, who played meaningful snaps and meaningful routes last year, was traded or I can't remember. I think he was traded to the Philadelphia Eagles. We have questions or I have questions I guess I should say about Craft's health and Reed's usage as you made reference to. Is he going to be an 11 personnel only guy? If that happens, Reed is only going to be on the field somewhere between 60 and 80% of the routes. And then Matthew Golden's ability neither of us are super super high on. We liked the prospect, but we kind of needed to see him play better as a rookie. I'm starting to think that he's trending towards maybe he's just good for real life, bad for fantasy kind of player. The one guy that I don't have questions about in this offense is Christian Watson, which is why I'm also a little bit lower at seemingly on Tucker Craft, even though going back to 2023, I think Tucker Craft may be one of the biggest hits I've ever had as a scouting process. Um, Christian Watson, top five in the NFL, just behind Z Flowers, in fact, in yards per run.

[00:21:54]Sixth highest PFF receiving grade when healthy in the 10 games that he played, was the wide receiver 19 overall. And when you factor in that, okay, he was ramped up at the beginning of those games, like from week 10 onward, we're talking about legitimately a wide receiver one in fantasy. And I am high on Jordan Love. I have always been high on Jordan Love this entire offseason. I think he can really, really get back to another productive season akin to like the 2023 year that he had. And uh, you know, I didn't mention Josh Jacobs falling off or anything. I don't think he will, but that's a factor, too. What if they go more pass heavy? If Josh Jacobs isn't, you know, running as effectively as he normally has. Watson benefits a lot from Jacobs being a hammer. He gets those play action looks, he gets those downfield looks. And when you're looking for like those spike week type of off of options, especially if you guys are in leagues like you and I are in either best baseball or just three wide receiver, two flex type of guys. Guys like Christian Watson help win championships a lot more than people think in deeper wide receiver PPR leagues because you have those big time performances, those big time plays. And you and I play in leagues with like literal big time play bonuses as well.

[00:22:56]You know what's beautiful about it too, Corey? Whether you're Craft, whether you're Watson, whether you're both, they operate at different parts of the field.

[00:23:03]Craft is your, you know, drag guy. Get him in space, let him create after the C.

[00:23:07]>> 5.5 A dot last year and a average 15.1 yards per reception, which is pretty insane.

[00:23:13]>> Insane number. And then, as we know with Christian Watson, one of the best deep threats in the league, you can be in on both these guys and still say, "Hey, they can't really eat into each other when they're operating [ __ ] 15 yards of depth different on the field. Yeah, I guess the difference for Watson versus a lot of the other guys on this list is that he's 27 years old, so he's a little bit older, but he is kind of like in a contract year, like it wouldn't shock me if we see like I'm trying to think of like uh 20 was it 2021 Will Fuller where he was like wide receiver nine in points per game that year with Deshun Watson.

[00:23:43]Like I could see like a season like that where everything that we've thought these like big uh athletic Martavis Bryant, Brian Thomas Jr. type of guys do. Um, we could see Watson do from an early to mid-sec round. Like I Nobody's paying a first round pick for for Christian Watson in a trade. Like he's probably going for an early second round pick.

[00:24:01]>> Yeah. And for an early second round pick, I'm buying him every time. And it's funny because I've actually gotten offers for Christian Watson in the Flock Me Sideways league that we're in. And I literally told people, I'm like, realistically, I think he's going to be rising in season. I would legitimately need a late projected first in order to move him because I'm not moving him for a second.

[00:24:17]>> Well, again, his ADP is 59 overall. This is a this is a player that going in like the fifth round.

[00:24:23]>> Why can't he be a top 15 receiver this year? Like genuinely I I I think the the situation with the Packers, I view it as a lot more concentrated because you get rid of two guys that Yeah, sure. Were they the biggest producers last year with Dobs and Wix? No. But getting them out of the building is huge, man. I think this can be a very concentrated situation >> from the deployment angle. Dos was playing the most routes and snaps on the team. So, he actually is a huge um void to fill as far as routes are concerned.

[00:24:51]And I like Reed also because I think that Reed can play more on the outside, but we still don't know that. We know for sure that Watson can play on the outside. We know for sure that he can play the exceiver alignment that Dobs was playing at times. So yeah, I I am very com I'm very confident, very comfortable in investing in Christian Watson or just holding him or if you need a, you know, flex piece or whatever, going out and buying him for like an early second round pick, especially in this year's class if you haven't had your rookie draft yet.

[00:25:16]>> Also, hear me out. I mean, people always love pointing to, oh, you know, defense narrative. Well, Michael Parsons ain't going to be healthy to start the year next year. We could very well see more game scripts with a lot of more points being scored between the Packers games next year, especially in the first four or five weeks of the year. Yeah, I think generally Lafleur does like to stick towards a more runheavy approach, but um >> maybe he won't have a choice if his defense is getting caved.

[00:25:39]>> Yeah. Yeah, that's fair. Um let's talk about Jonathan Brooks, who uh again, Danny's got some ACL's that he's got breakout candidates for. At least with Brooks, you got two years removed from the ACL tears, plural, because he had one in college at Texas and then coming back from that injury in in the pros, he suffered it again. So Jonathan Brooks as all as we all know was RB1 in 2024 at least for the majority of of draft people, the majority of NFL teams. He went what 39th overall or something like that to the Panthers.

[00:26:10]>> And Corey, how many guys go back to his career? Yeah, go back to his career. How many guys in the NFL can you say would have four total touches in their first two years off of two major injuries and be selected in the top 125 in ADP?

[00:26:26]>> How many guys? Not a lot, >> right? And the reason why Brooks is being there is because a he was a very, very good prospect. I understand that draft class. People said, "Oh, this is the down year of the running back." He was the clear RB1 in that class. He got picked as the clear RB1 in that class.

[00:26:39]He was the only second round pick running back in that class. And he was expected to be the full-fledged three down back for this team. He was drafted by this regime the first year with Dave Canales. They had the second round pick.

[00:26:50]You know what they did? They went and traded up for Jonathan Fricken Brooks.

[00:26:53]What did we see this past year with Chuba Hubard and Rico Dory?

[00:26:57]>> Um, very productive running back play from whoever was starting.

[00:27:00]>> Very productive running back play, but more importantly, the team was trying to take away Chuba Hubard's job. They gave it to Rico D in the mid-season and they were giving it him or giving it to him even after he stopped playing well down the stretch last year. They were just looking for anybody to get that role from Chuba Hubard. And even though Rico Dattle started started strong, obviously he slowed down. I do think that that role is completely open. When you look at Jonathan Brooks, he's a better receiving threat of the backfield than Chuba Hubard. And he's got the upside to be better and more efficient between the tackles. The only question mark I have for Brooks is the health and two years removed from the injury, I tend to think that he's going to enter camp healthy.

[00:27:39]>> Yeah, I just talked about not being high on guys that have ACL tears. It looks like I'm the second highest on the site as far as positional ADP of of Jonathan Brooks. I guess the way I look at it too is just like there is no running backs in Dynasty outside of the top 20 to 24 guys that legitimately could be RB1's in Dynasty value and in production which if Brooks takes over this backfield as you made mention to they this is a good scheme man they invest in the offensive line in the draft again uh with Monroe Freeling in the the 19th pick or whatever like Jonathan Brooks is the same age as Jonah Coleman as EMTT Johnson as Mike Washington as Jadarian Price >> there's one back in this class younger than Jonathan Brooks and it was literally Jeremiah Love.

[00:28:20]>> I believe Nick Singleton is younger than him.

[00:28:22]>> Oh, two backs then. But still, >> but generally like Kron, all those guys, same age, same birth year as Jonathan Brooks. So Jonathan Brooks has a rare rare untapped upside that not a lot of running backs going outside of the top 25 in Dynasty have, which is that yeah, he was a good enough prospect to the point that if he comes out and he beats out Chuba Hubard for the starting job, even if it takes a couple of weeks or whatever, cuz I do expect Hoverard to get the leg up at least to start the season >> immediately. Yeah, >> Jonathan Brooks can become a top 12 dynasty running back from a midsec round price tag, a late second round price tag. Well, we always talk about like, "Oh my god, Jarian Price just went in the first round. Is he a fringe top 10 dynasty running back?" Well, guess what?

[00:29:03]What about Jonathan Brooks? If he has 1,200 yards from scrimmage on efficient uh numbers this year and 8 to 10 touchdowns from scrimmage, like he's going to be in that range as well. And now he's kind of being treated as a fringe top 35 level guy by the site experts. Like to me, I just don't see that. Chuba Hubard had a 73.6 PFF rush grade last year. Chuba Hubard had 2.45 four five yard yards after contact per attempt. Chuba Hubard averaged 3.8 yards per carry. If Chuba Hubard's the reason why you're fading Jonathan Brooks, why?

[00:29:33]>> Yeah. No, I I again I I actually really like Chuba Hubard and Brooks just whatever shot you want to take on them, like whoever your guy is as really good picks in baseball drafts and also really good picks uh to go trade like, you know, low capital for in in Dynasty because I think one of them is going to be a league winner. I don't know which one it's going to be, but I think one of them will be.

[00:29:54]>> So, Corey, uh, funny enough, I mentioned the yards after contact numbers, too.

[00:30:00]Chuba Hubard last year had a 147 carries. He had 15 missed tackles forced on 147 carries. He only had eight carries go 10 plus yards on his 147.

[00:30:13]Yeah. Again, kill me. I think Jonathan Brooks could be a more talented back than that.

[00:30:18]>> Yeah, he probably could be. Probably could be. So, let's keep it rolling here. Let's move to kind of some guys that are a little bit lower down the pecking order of this list. Like both of us have selected a rookie with this next one that we think can kind of hit the ground running cuz every rookie is not going to get on the field right away and produce. Some rookies are going to be behind other guys. Some guys are going to take a little bit of time. These are two rookies that we think can legit produce and break out as rookies. So, Casey Conpsion is the one that I have listed here where he's 21.7 years old.

[00:30:46]When you look at the history of Casey Conpsion, I'll pull up our prospects tab which is available on Flock Fantasy. You can see the caliber of prospect he was.

[00:30:53]Jordan Addison, Jaylen Wadd, Chris Olive, immediately ahead of him, ahead of guys like his own teammate Denzel Boston, Brian Thomas, so on and so forth. We're talking about a legit good prospect who was very clearly wide receiver for for both of us coming in to the NFL draft. And he's superior to every wide receiver on the Browns. He has a history of producing early as well as a true freshman. He had 10 touchdowns. He had a great season at NC State as a true freshman. When I talked about Todd Monkin, who's now the head coach of the Cleveland Browns, think about how he used Zay Flowers. He wanted to get the ball in his hands. Fed him a 29% target share. And as you made reference to, Harold Fannon is great, but Isaiah Bond, the corpse of Jerry Judy, some Cedric Tilman, Malachi Corley, and some human being named Gage Larvardian were running legit. Like that Gage guy ran 67% of the routes in Harold Fannon's best game. He had 13 targets in week 15 against the Bears. Gage Larvardian ran the second most routes on the Browns in that game. Usage wise, Monin came from a system where they never used Isaiah likely to the full capacity as well, which I think is a very underrated bare case for Harold Fannon. Is that what if Todd Monkin views him a lot more like Isaiah Likely than he does a full-fledged 90 plus% of the routes guy? I get David and Jooku is gone now, but they did draft Joe Royer in the draft. Maybe they view him as more of an inline guy. We don't exactly know. What I do know is that Boston's going to have a hard time adjusting to the NFL as an ex receiver. Think of Odunay, think of Marv. X receivers don't adjust quickly and KC is going to get used all over the formation.

[00:32:21]>> So, Gage Larvadane, right? Um, had one year at a power four school, which was South Carolina in his final year in 2024.

[00:32:29]He had 2100 total receiving yards in his college career with only 19 for 223 as a fourthyear college player at South Carolina. And he's also 5 foot8, 171 pounds.

[00:32:42]>> Again, this was the second most routes in Harold Fannon's best game last season. Second most routes on the team that year or that that game. Isaiah Bond was the third most routed free agent as well. So like I don't want to do the thing that we did for like a Monra or whatever. We didn't do but like people did for a Monra coming off of his rookie season. Like Harold Fannon produced.

[00:33:01]He's obviously a good player but I do think there's some alignment question marks with Todd Mon. And I also think there's some question marks around, okay, how much can he really produce when KC's a good player, Denzel Boston's a good player, and like I said, between the two rookies, I said this during rookie draft stuff, too, I think one of them is probably going to get out to a better start than the other. And I think it makes sense that it's KC considering he was the better prospect and he also has a a a less steep hill to climb.

[00:33:27]Playing Boston being the ex receiver on the team is going to be very challenging to make that transition. I mean, we talked about Z Flowers earlier in the video, so it's only fitting that you got Z Flowers 2.0 for Todd Monkin here.

[00:33:38]>> Exactly. Yeah. And like I said, his comps for me, it was Chris Ave. Like, drop if Chris Ave was traded to the Cleveland Browns right now. Would you feel good about him for fantasy? Like, oh yeah, >> you'd be like, "Yeah, he's the best player on the team in terms of receptions like and and targets." Like, I get that the Browns also have Deshawn Watson, Shadur Sanders. We don't know what's going to happen there, but I think that they're a good enough team defensively, good enough offensive line additions, good enough receiver core additions that they like their win total 6 and a half. They're not expected to win two games. Yeah. No, I I'm on the same page there with the Browns realistically. I do think the offense is going to be, you know, watchable, which we weren't able to say about it last year. So, uh, Conpion's going to be a big part of that. Obviously, Fannon is still there. Even though we're a little bit lower from a fantasy perspective given the target competition, he's still going to be a factor. and Denzel Boston for better or worse. Yeah, we prefer Conpsion, but I also think adding a talented young ex receiver is going to help open up everything else.

[00:34:31]>> Yeah, exactly. And the rookie that you have here is Jonah Coleman, who we've both of these guys we've talked about so so much, but Jonah Coleman has a chance to start right away.

[00:34:39]>> We already talked about Z Flowers and then you talked about Z Flowers 2.0. We already talked about Cam Scataboo. Let's talk about Cam Scaboo 2.0. Fourth round pick goes to the Denver Broncos. And let's just put it like this. The Broncos depth chart at running back is very ambiguous. JK Dobbins, I think, is going to be the starter week one, but JK Dobbins hasn't been able to stay healthy. When has he ever proven that on a full 17game sample, you're getting a full-fledged healthy JK Dobbins? Never in his career. Then we look at R.J.

[00:35:08]Harvey. They made every excuse not to make him a full-fledged between the tackles guy last year. And the funniest part about it, Corey, is even if you take the parallels of the situation, I don't think Harvey's rookie season was as good as Tyrone Tracy, but even if we just said Tyrone Tracy versus RJ Harvey, fair play. More of a receiving profile, not, you know, as girthy of a running back. Jonah Coleman, I would argue, is better at all three downs than what he represents. He's a better receiver out of the backfield. He's a better pass blocker and it is not even close when it comes to taking on contact between the tackles. Again, I said it. People are going to point to, well, R.J. Harvey is the biggest hurdle. The only hurdle that I have for Jonah Coleman quite literally being a full-fledged between the tackles guy is JK Dobbins. And that's more of a when, not if he's going to get hurt.

[00:35:57]>> Exactly. And like I'm pulling up our our prospect model on the site again for the same reason that I did for for Casey Conpsion to show you exactly how good of a prospect um Jonah Coleman was. These are all the day three running backs. All of them.

[00:36:12]Number one all-time day three running back Cam Scataboo. Number two, Jonah Coleman. Below them are a lot of guys that were in last year's class. Tuton Giddon, Dylan Samson, etc. But then you also see Aaron Jones and Chuba Huard and Chase Brown and those types of guys that have been huge, huge hits out of day three. So for me, I look at Jonah Coleman as one of the only two RB1 upside prospects to come out and be a day three pick. And I see him very similar to I saw Scataboo last year, which is that yeah, he has a three- down skill set. And he's proven over multiple years, even more so than Scataboo. For four straight years in college, he was a really good player. So, he can come out.

[00:36:46]I don't know how it's going to work. I don't know how it's going to shake out.

[00:36:48]JK's probably a better running back as of now. Maybe the coaching staff likes R.J. Harvey in a certain role. Maybe he's just JK Dobbins backfield uh backup as the third back on the team until Dobbins gets banged up or until Dobbins isn't effective anymore. But what I do know about Jonah Coleman is that the coaching staff's going to love him.

[00:37:05]Think about his, you know, pass protection answers at the combine and that kind of thing. I think he's going to find his way on the field sooner rather than later. And I know for a fact that Shawn Peyton has no problem starting rookie running backs because Alvin Chimera started as a rookie. He proved himself week in and week out as a guy that this this dude needs more touches. And he started over a multi-time Pro Bowler in Mark Ingram.

[00:37:24]>> Well, funny enough, too, my comp for him was somewhere on that that Doug Martin, Mark Ingram type of spectrum. Obviously, Cam Scottabiboo is going to be the lowhanging fruit given the fact that he did it exactly last year, but I'm not making that mistake again. Cam Scaboo is admittedly way too cheap in cha drafts versus what we ended up seeing. And sure, although it's more competition at the top for Jonah Coleman because there's two backs instead of one that you have to compete with. I do think he's going to prove to be the best back come week eight, come week nine. And if you're getting the 18 plus potential touch per game type of workload for this Denver Broncos unit of an off >> best offensive line in football last year, >> especially from a run blocking perspective, man, those guys are [ __ ] nails.

[00:38:02]>> Yeah, exactly. So, yeah, Jonah, I think has a chance to get on the field right away. Maybe it takes injury. Maybe he can do it without injury. I just I want to I I literally drafted him so many freaking times in uh in Dynasty rookie drafts. Let's move into We can go a little bit more rapid fire with these guys. These are guys that are cheaper.

[00:38:17]So guys that aren't worth a first round pick. Maybe you wouldn't even have to pay an early second for some of these guys. Maybe mine you probably would, but yours definitely I think you could get away with a mid to late second. And then some dirt cheap guys we'll talk about in a second. Very simple. I've been talking about buying Josh down since we've had this channel. It feels like Alec Pierce had ankle surgery this off season.

[00:38:35]Pitman is gone. That is the leading two receivers from last season. Either gone or coming off of a major injury. This is a player who in his second season had 13.1 PPR points per game. Was the wide receiver 31 that season? By the way, 13.1 points per game was wide receiver 19 Christian Watson last year. So >> Cory, >> what's up?

[00:38:55]>> What was the stat I kept throwing to you after the 2024 season?

[00:38:59]>> Uh that he was better than Z Flowers or something.

[00:39:01]>> That he had more points per game than Z Flowers. And obviously the context of the argument now it's like how much cheaper is he? Like a guy that once outproduced Zay Flowers going into year four with a clear uptick in snaps coming his way is being treated as like a mid-second in a terrible draft loss.

[00:39:18]>> Yeah. 90th percentile success rate his his second season. Uh that that 13 point per game season. 92nd percentile success rate against zone coverage. Um according to reception perception and as you kind of made reference to as a 24y old not even 25 will be 25 by the time the season starts. They showed a lot of confidence in giving him more snaps because last year the big problem for Josh Downs and I I wish I would have factored this in more because I was very high on him last year too is Tyler Warren played a lot of the snaps that he would have played in the big slot role.

[00:39:47]But I think it's a clear confidence shown by the team to a not select a receiver until round seven, which Dion Burks is ironically a slot receiver. So if you select the receiver, like if they had taken an exceiver like Jacobe Lane in round four, it'd be totally different. Yeah. the the fact that they didn't draft a receiver period. The fact that they didn't really bring in a uh a veteran receiver and I guess they still could bring in a dbo Samuel or Stefon Diggs or somebody like that. I just think it shows an immense amount of confidence in Josh Towns who has always been good enough to play on the outside by the way. He's small, yes, but he has always been good enough to play on the outside.

[00:40:22]>> Yeah. And I mean just from a personal level too, I know he's a hard worker as well. Uh I've actually >> seen the content. Uh, so I'm not sure if you're familiar, but him, obviously Caleb DS just got drafted by the Cowboys, but him and Josh have a have a podcast together. They're just talking about OTAAS. Like you can tell like they're very very well spoken young men.

[00:40:41]They're very organized. They're not like the parters. And I know it's a little bit of a narrative thing, but hey, I'm kind of scarred a little bit about Rashid Rice this off seasonason. So that's a factor, too. You know, >> I'm glad I I talked to Rice for the first time in four years uh that he's been in the NFL. um a week before he [ __ ] decided to get arrested and now he's in a prison cell. Um but yeah, Josh DS, he's always been good. Now he might get a chance to prove it. It's pretty much that simple. And Tyler War, I love Tyler Warren this year. Like very similar to what I said about Christian Watson. We have questions about Josh DS' usage. We have questions about Alec Pierce's health. Tyler Warren I am hammering in drafts for that reason because he's like the Christian Watson of that situation where I have no questions about his role. But Josh DS to me is a much better version of Jaden Reed. He has much more upside to play on the outside. He's always been a better player than Jaden Reed in my opinion.

[00:41:29]So, uh, Josh Town's definitely a player that I'm very, very high on and I do think wouldn't shock he's going wide receiver 45 on underdog right now. Would not shock me if he ripped a top 24 season. No, like it he's already basically produced at that level as a second year player.

[00:41:44]>> Yeah. And if he got back to that, obviously big-time value gain here. Uh, my guy, you know, similar thing where he's entering year three. I truly think he would have broken out year two if he didn't enter the season with a hamstring injury he sustained in training camp like two weeks out from the season after I already had all my best ball shares in him. But we did see a little bit of a breakout down the stretch in his last seven games cuz keep in mind he did have a little bit of ramp up. Wasn't really playing full snaps early in the season.

[00:42:08]We did see that snap uptick happen you know uh week 11 or so week 10 or so right down the stretch last year you saw four games of 11 plus PPR points and then he truly kept them in the wild card game. Keep in mind that was what a a 10 plus point spread between the Rams and the Carolina Panthers. Carolina played them down to the stretch or down the stretch and Jaylen Coker had nine catches for 134 yards and a touchdown in that game. In my opinion, the talent has always been there as a UDFA player. And now we've already heard from Dave Canales that the team views him as the clear number two wide receiver and the big slot on this offense. When I look at Jaylen Coker again, he flashed the talent when he was given the opportunity and I genuinely believe we would have already saw the breakout if he didn't enter banged up last year. So going into this year, Bryce Young obviously a question mark, but I think he's the full-fledged number two receiver and I honestly believe it's more of a 1B1A situation. I think there could be a possibility where if T McMillan's at a 27 28% target share, we could see Jaylen Coker in the 21 to 23% range. Yeah, I guess part of it is that you and I were a little lower on Chris Purcell, who they did draft in the third round. Um, but Purcell is a field stretcher, and actually I I really like the landing spot for Purcell's perspective because I don't think he should be tasked with being a number one or even number two receiver right away in his NFL career. I kind of like him to be the Alec Pierce of this offense where he's stretching the field or the Christian Watson of this offense where he's stretching the field. And maybe by year two, year three, year four of his career, he could develop into more than that. especially year one if we're talking about a, you know, breakout this season. Yeah, I think absolutely Coker is a better player than he is.

[00:43:43]>> Hear me out. It's funny because it's low hanging fruit because it's on the comps list right now. Why can't he have the Michael Wilson breakout? Like, why can't he? Seriously.

[00:43:50]>> No. Yeah, that's definitely a very good uh a very good comp. And also too, the Panthers, like I said with, you know, the Bears and some of the other teams, they are a very heavy 11 personnel team.

[00:44:01]So, even if Chris Purcell is an outside receiver and Coker is a a slot receiver, a big slot receiver, um I do think we could see 110 120 targets out of Coker this year, even if McMillan is dropping 140, 150 targets. Like, I'm the highest on the site and I feel like I'm almost like hedging myself a little bit cuz again, I have them I have him at what 156 overall, 54th overall receiver. He goes 55 off the board at wide receiver and underdog and he's not even 25. like maybe we should be talking about this guy even higher in terms of expert consensus.

[00:44:30]>> I think from a dynasty perspective, people are worried and scared off by the the undrafted free agent label if he had got if he had signed a three-year, you know, $61 million contract or something.

[00:44:41]I think he'd be a top 45 like Romeo Dobsish caliber dynasty asset.

[00:44:46]>> Buy it right now because it's going to happen eventually. He's going to find that massive >> I don't disagree with you. I don't even though I'm lower than you on the site, it's more just like uh yeah, he doesn't really have the draft capital so I can't rank him much higher than this. But other like I again very similar to what we said about craft like I've been in on Coker since he was [ __ ] a prospect.

[00:45:03]He's literally the best UDFA that I've ever seen as far as a prospect model.

[00:45:07]>> What are the So go to the logs real quick. Let's go to logs cuz keep in mind he was posting 77 68 83 57 68 83 76 94% of the snaps competing with a former first round pick. Like obviously Legette hasn't worked out, but like that was the big conversation entering last year. Is it going to be Legette? Is it going to be Coker? I think Coker put a stamp on it that it's clearly him and all they addressed him in my opinion is just a field stretcher.

[00:45:30]>> And even though he only played 11 games, he had a higher basketball win rate than Legette did because he produced four good usable games that you could have used. So it's pretty pretty depressing, but also pretty impressive for for Coker.

[00:45:41]>> His best game didn't even count. It happened in the playoffs like we said with Lovelin, for example, where he had 25 targets in the two playoff games.

[00:45:47]Jaylen Coker had nine for 134 and a touchdown against the Rams in a playoff game that they lost by three points.

[00:45:53]Like >> he also went four for 74 and a touch against the Rams in the regular season as well. So he he likes playing the Rams clearly. Um >> two guys that are dirt cheap that we just wanted to mention here as good potential breakout candidates. Um Tank Dell has technically already broken out if you look at his career because in his rookie season he averaged 15 points per game and was wide receiver 16 in points per game that year. The only thing very similar to Craft and Brooks keeping him down right now is health. He's 19 months uh at the start of the season post ACL, MCL, dislocated knee, and miniscal damage. He his knee was shattered into a million pieces. In January, couple months ago, he said he's back and he's feeling good right now. So, as long as he checks the boxes for, you know, on the field for like I don't know if he's been out there for OTAAS or mini camp.

[00:46:39]I'd have to double check that. probably hasn't been if I had to guess, but as long as he's on the field for training camp, I'm going to be actually in on him from a reddraft perspective, too, because his ADP right now is 196th overall. And this is a guy that I think you can get really good closing line value on if you're drafting right now an underdog because he goes in the 17th round. And if he's back on the field, we know he's a buzzy guy. We we remember that he posted a legitimate differencemaking season as a rookie and he's the best friend of the quarterback on the team. So, I don't think it's a coincidence that Strad and even Nico Collins and some of the other players have played better with Tank Dell out there. And this offense has not looked the same since Tank Dell's injury. So, I think he's a very integral part of this offense. And I really, really do believe that as long as he's healthy, he is going to have a better chance of being the number two receiver than Jaden Higgins and Jaylen Null do.

[00:47:27]>> So, that's I guess where I would disagree. I would I personally am on more of the null train. I think if one smaller receiver is going to end up being the guy there, I'll take the guy without the significant leg damage. Like really, like I'm not even just talking about like a simple ACL. Like obviously people might be saying, "Well, that's a little contradictory. You talk about Jonathan Brooks." I think they're completely different uh injuries. Like Tank D is a small receiver. His leg got completely [ __ ] collapsed.

[00:47:51]>> It did. It did. Again, with But I do think the thesis is the same for both guys though that they're two years removed from that injury.

[00:47:58]the talent as long as they check the boxes they need to check being out there for training camp, etc., then you should feel somewhat similar about them. I get that the injuries are not exactly the same medically, but I do think that Dell has a has a pretty solid chance of being out there considering all of his timelines so far have been, yeah, I'm going to be out there. I'm going to be ready for training camp, etc. >> Yeah, I guess just where I'm at though, like with Jaylen Null, you did see some spike weeks when he did get the snaps.

[00:48:21]Obviously, the snaps are the main question mark, but the reception perception was good. It's a year two player that's ascending, day two pick.

[00:48:27]Like I would rather take the null route, but it wouldn't shock me if Tank Dell absolutely, you know, bounced back there. I I think one of them could have a big time year.

[00:48:35]>> Yeah. Jaylen Null is not CJ Strad's best friend. So that's partially also like it's shower narrative. I get it, whatever. But like I I really do think that Straoud is going to be like if Tank's healthy, he needs to be out there like second most receiver on the team.

[00:48:46]>> Um and then we'll we'll flash up the last guy. Uh AJ Barner, very very cheap tight end, but for a guy that was in year two last year, produced nearly 600 receiving yards, was a French top 20 level tight end, and has the opportunity to be the number two on his team. Sure, the Seahawks last year, very, very low overall pass volume, wasn't great, but we've seen this guy increase in terms of his yards per out run from year one to year two. He's 66, 250 pounds. he can play in line and even though you know he's not quite the athlete that Tucker Craft is, his yards after the catch per reception was very strong for a year two player. So I do think if we're getting an opportunity of him getting 80 85 plus targets, like why can't he be the next tight end that emerges as a you know weekly top 12 to 15 option at the very minimum, you can get him for a third round pick right now and to me he's one of my favorite backup tight ends to roster in Dynasty. Yeah, I I think if if the frame of mind is like, hey, >> in this area of tight end, you're just kind of looking for guys that can contribute, especially if this is your second tight end, like you already have a stud that you're going to be starting every week, or if you're like me and you like to punt the position and you're going to grab a couple of guys like AJ Barner who can hit your lineup. Like, if you punted tight end completely and you drafted Dallas Scotter, uh AJ Barner, Cade Uton, and Pat Fry, you could probably get by with those four guys and just play matchups between them. My my one concern with AJ Barner is that I was not high on Elijah Royo, but AJ Barner was very clearly the starting tight end of this team. So in year two of Elijah Royo, does that change? I'm not saying it'll change significantly, but does it knock his snap share down 10, 15%. It could. It would be my only point. And this is not an offense that, like you said, is going to be throwing a ton to the point that you like you kind of need to be the clear starter to be relevant.

[00:50:28]I guess my counterpoint to the counterpoint was AJ Barner is a true full-fledged inline tight end. He's got the size. He's got the blocking ability.

[00:50:37]If a Royal gets on the field, I think it's more so going to be in conjunction with Barner being out there because I don't see him taking true inline snaps away from him.

[00:50:44]>> Okay. So, counterpoint to your counterpoint to the counterpoint. We don't want inline tight ends. We don't want an inline who run in the mid48 who don't have a ton of >> Tucker Craft is an inline tight end though. Tucker is significantly more athletic and better than AJ. He was a 47 guy. Barner was a 484 guy. Like >> fair at his proday >> and and also he had an 8.8 RA with uh with AJ Barner. So I mean I don't know >> realistically saying AJ Barner versus Royo to me it's kind of a battle of mid.

[00:51:13]Realistically I just don't get excited about AJ Barner. Like I'm not trading a single asset for this guy because I just you want to trading a three for him of your draft because you feel like he's a decent player. Go nuts. I'm not trading anything worth anything. You're not trading a third for a guy who literally posted over a 74 PFF receiving grade last.

[00:51:30]>> I would much rather have the third round pick.

[00:51:32]>> I don't know. Yeah, 72.7 PF receiving grade. 74.6 as a year two player. Uh keep in mind again mainly an inline guy, but also in the function of this offense, he could still very well be the number two target. Are you going to believe in Rashid Shahid? You going to believe in Tory Horton? Like to me it's very both of those guys.

[00:51:50]>> Yeah. Well, like that's what I mean.

[00:51:51]It's more ambiguous though. you have to pick your guy outside of JSN. To me, when I'm looking at Barner, like >> keep in mind also the Seahawks last year in terms of their pass volume was 2024 Eagles level of low. Even though we think they're going to be even though we think they're going to even though we think they're going to be a good team, bro. It's a different coordinator. And are they going to be in a 14 15 win type of game script every type of game?

[00:52:14]>> Not necessarily, but they did promote from within. I do think it's going to be the same plan. Generally, they're going to be 520 or less pass attempts in my opinion. But like they they were much lower than that last year. Like the yard for a run for JSN was like all-time high level like like that. That's how he got there. Not because they were passing them a ton. I also think just naturally from a year-to-year volatility perspective like they were in dominant game scripts last year. Like they might have to throw the football more. You say it all the time.

[00:52:39]>> They were non-factors last year though and they could be factors this year.

[00:52:42]>> Sure. But like you say it all the time with Jordan Love. Like oh this could be the year that we see more passing volume. I think it's much more merit in the Seahawks offense given it's a new play caller.

[00:52:50]>> Maybe. I guess I I don't know either. I don't really look at AJ Barner as as somebody who's gonna smash. What does breakout What does breakout mean to you for AJ Barner? What does that mean? I think AJ have in points per game. What kind of tight end finish is it?

[00:53:03]>> I can I think he in terms of breakout, he can very well and very comfortably be a top 12 dynasty tight end by this time next year.

[00:53:09]>> Okay, that's I mean that's bold. I don't agree. I think that he's kind of a mid player that would probably be like tight end where Brenton Strange is going right now at best. But like the thing is Cory, I think it's a little bit of a double standard here because if he ran a 465 and he had 586 and seven as a year two player, you'd be all over him.

[00:53:24]>> Yeah. Because athleticism correlates and he's not that good of an athlete.

[00:53:27]>> But he had 586 and seven despite being a bad athlete. You don't think in year three he he can he in the regular season? He had 586 if you include the playoffs.

[00:53:35]>> Yeah, fair. Okay. So what he had 50 something in the playoffs or like 50 in the playoff game >> again or in the Super Bowl 54.

[00:53:42]>> Good on you. I don't >> um Yeah. Okay. 519 in the regular season. Big difference.

[00:53:48]>> I don't know. That's like I I >> over 500 yards is a year two tight end.

[00:53:52]>> Doesn't get me excited.

[00:53:53]>> I don't know, man. Like we we talked about it with Craft. Like, oh, Musgrave was >> comparing him to Craft. Craft is way better than him.

[00:54:00]>> Yeah, but like he could be the budget Craft.

[00:54:02]>> No, we can't.

[00:54:03]>> Why not?

[00:54:03]>> If he runs two ten of a second faster, maybe.

[00:54:05]>> You're hating on this guy, man. He's a really good Yak player in year two.

[00:54:09]>> If you made it to this point in the video, comment down below whether AJ Barner is mid or >> Are you in on AJ Barner? Let us know.

[00:54:14]Yeah, let us know down below. I'm not sitting here saying Elijah Royal is going to take his job. I think he's gonna be the starting tight end. I just don't view him any differently from Kton, who's also mid as a Buccaneers fan.

[00:54:24]>> I don't know, man. He's [ __ ] He's not even What? He's 24 years old. AJ Burner 25.

[00:54:29]>> Kton's 26, man. And Kate Dton has contract, too. Yeah, he is.

[00:54:33]>> He's 1999. No, >> Kton.

[00:54:35]>> That's 26.

[00:54:37]>> No, I'm 26. I'm 2000.

[00:54:39]>> Okay, whatever. He's 27 then. I don't know. I'd have to look it up. What? How old is Kate Don? I don't really think this matters, but I just want to >> 27 28.

[00:54:45]>> He was born uh yeah, he's 27. He was he was turned 27 a couple weeks ago. So, he's 27, but he has a huge contract and he's a clear starting tight end with no threat for his job. So, that >> AJ Barer going into year three. Give me all that.

[00:54:58]>> Go ahead. All right. Battle of mid in the comments section down below. Let us know. Uh like, comment, subscribe if you enjoyed this video. Breakout dynasty candidates. We broke down 12 guys that are under the radar that are guys that could break out in fantasy football from a dynasty perspective. If you guys want to get into our listener league, we're going to be drawing names for that today. Uh, check that out. That'll be linked down below in the pin comment.

[00:55:18]You get five entries if you're an annual site [ __ ] four entries if you're an annual flocker, two entries, I believe, if you are a monthly subscriber with our code, and then also um, you can submit for free as well. If you did not use code FSE, you will be treated as a free entry. Just keep that in mind. Um, so make sure you use code FSE over on flockfantasy.com uh, to get 30% off 7-day free trial. And as we've been doing over the the last two weeks or so, you can get a Dynasty Decisions 2.0, which is uh these bad boys here, where we break down your team, we show you your starting lineup, your depth, your draft picks, your ranks, your team archetype, three biggest decisions, and a plan of action for you guys to take into this dynasty off seasonason to make your teams better. So, check that out. You'll get that for free by signing up as an annual Motherflocker with the promo code FSE.

[00:56:03]And we will also workshop that in a live team review on our next live stream which should be tomorrow as you guys are listening to this. So um with that being said, peace out. We'll talk to you soon.