IRAN PEACE DEAL AGREED, IRAN WON, ISRAEL NOT HAPPY, TRUMP CAPITULATES w/ COL Karen Kwiatkowski

Hinzugefügt: 2026-05-24

[00:00:00]Let me know if it works, guys. Breaking news.

[00:00:03]We have now confirmation that there has or there is about to be a peace deal agreed between the United States of America and Iran. The deal is expected to be signed in the next 24 to 48 hours.

[00:00:18]What are the specifics of the deal? What are the parameters? Will this be agreed upon? The statement seems to suggest that there's a stage one of the deal which is going to be 30 to 60 days and then if that is adeared to then nuclear discussion will begin and then nuclear discussion will then be implemented after that. That's the first piece of news. The second piece of news is that there has been a shooting at the White House. At least 20 to 30 shots were fired outside the White House. The perpetrator has been apprehended and stopped. Um, so that's the second piece of news. And the third piece of news is major attacks on UR Ukraine. Kiev was hit with two arr. I'm seeing a large number of drones and ballistic missiles being fired towards Ukraine. This is Russia's response to the attack that happened a few days ago where a number of college students were hit. H I just want and today we've got Lieutenant Colonel Karen Kowatsky coming onto the show to be able to break all these things down for us. So, let's bring her on.

[00:01:23]Lieutenant, thank you so much for taking your time out. How are you?

[00:01:25]>> I'm fine. I'm fine.

[00:01:27]>> Okay. So, first of all, let's get into it. There's been allegedly yesterday we thought the war was going to start.

[00:01:32]>> Yeah.

[00:01:32]>> And now we have a peace deal. What's your overarching view on the uh peace deal?

[00:01:38]>> Well, I mean, it makes a lot of sense for Trump to um get out of this situation that he got himself into. you know, we we it has been very costly in terms of his popularity. Uh it's been costly in terms of billions and billions of dollars. It's really decimated our stores of uh materials and actually hurt our allies because we have pulled back from sending them stuff we promised them and stuff we gave them we we took back to use in Iran. So, it's just been bad for America all around, you know, and also Trump has been he's illustrated himself or he has demonstrated himself to be a crazy social media poster, you know. He his reputation is really gone downhill globally and even even amongst Americans who don't understand uh much of what he is saying or why he's saying it. So, to put all that behind him, this is really smart. It's also looks like it's good for Iran. Uh, Iran is ready to fight and and I don't trust Donald Trump. So, I'm glad Iran is is staying ready, but this looks like it gives them a good much of what they have always asked for. Now, it's general, so, you know, it looks like both sides are interpreting it the way they want to.

[00:02:54]Um, that makes it look more favorable, but it seems like Iran has given up very little. They've gotten I mean, they're clear they're the clear winners here. um they are dictating the terms and Trump is accepting the terms and that's fine because Trump has lost this war. The United States has lost the war. So is Israel um been very costly. Nothing they wanted to achieve got achieved except uh murder of children and murder of people and destruction of a good much of Thrron and that kind of thing. So and that's not a good accomplishment. So it's it's good. The deal is good but it's not signed and it's also not honored and also Israel is losing its its mind. Um the government of Israel is absolutely losing its mind over this. So um it it remains to be seen what they are capable of. I I think we've noticed, everybody has noticed over the past week the incredible intensity with which Israel is bombing South Lebanon and Gaza and Gaza which is supposedly both situations are supposed to be under ceasefire which of course Israel hasn't honored from even the very first minute after those ceasefires were announced but still you know there is very little uh I mean Hezbollah is firing on them so there's a little push back from Hezbollah but And but Hamas is very little left. They're not fighting. When they shoot at Gazins, they are shooting fish in a barrel. They are murdering. Um and they're still doing it. So why are they doing it? Why are they so rapidly This week has we've seen just a rapid increase in the level of uh terror that that Israel is inflicting. So I think they're panicking. I think they know the end is coming and they want to do as much damage as they can or they are attempting to enrage Iran and the Muslim world in order to force Iran or to cause Iran to uh fire the first shot, enabling enabling a restarting of the war. I don't know. There could be other reasons they're doing it. Maybe they're just vicious bastards. We don't know. But but I think strategy-wise the Israelis are are not happy.

[00:05:01]>> Yeah. And I and I agree with you. And the demonstration of their lack of content about what's happening is twofold. As you mentioned, the bombing Lebanon and Gaza. We just saw the biggest or one one of the most ferocious bombings of Gaza since the ceasefire just a few hours ago. So just to add to your point, but in addition to that, I'm seeing a lot of Israelis, a lot of pro-Israel commentators, and a lot of proahi influencers not happy with Trump in this deal. They say that he's failed. They say this deal is worse than the JCPOA.

[00:05:34]Even Tommy Robinson, who is a notorious Zionist, has come out and found an old tweet of Trump and basically demonstrated or start to state that Trump has failed. The Israelis aren't happy. And I never seen them being so vitrial in the attack against Trump.

[00:05:52]>> Just that demonstration, what does that kind of give you an indication of what what's to come? It it does provide some sense of legitimacy that there really is going to be a peace deal. They wouldn't get that angry if they knew it was just talk. So, that's good. That that's a sign that maybe Trump and the rest of the world, you know, I mean, China, I'm I'm sure China has indicated to Trump um this has to stop. You know, China has been pretty uh outspoken and he just came back from there. It didn't get very much. So he does need to earn his place as a super as a uh one of several superpowers in the globe. Trump has to do that. This this is the price. This is the price he pays. Plus um you know the impacts of this uh even even if it stops this weekend which would be great and the and the straight goes up to full passage of of whatever ships want to go through there. We aren't going to recover economically. The world is not going to recover economically for months and months and months. And it's not just about oil and gas. It's about uh it's about all kinds of things that fertilizer. It's about uh helium. It's about some materials that you need for chips. And then it's about the the waves and waves of uh other systems that have been, you know, messed up because of the lack of these initial things that are that have been blocked. And why are they blocked? because Trump and Israel started a war and then tried to blockade the thing. And so all this is on Trump and Netanyahu, but they're really one and the same. They're joined at the hip.

[00:07:27]So the world knows it. Trump is starting to recognize it, and I think he says this is the best he can get, and it's not a good deal for the United States, but it's exactly what the United States deserves. when you launch a war against a capable country with very uh not not ambiguous but very pie in the sky type of objectives making a lot of really bad assumptions which we should never have made. I mean, you know, you you knock off the top people and you get regime change. I mean, when has that ever worked for the United States? There's never been a case like that really. I mean, if I guess maybe when we got rid of Masedc, but um you know, those those days are over. you know, we we didn't have social media then. Um, we didn't have that experience then. So, this is something Trump is smart to sign it, call it a victory, and then and then abide by it. But I don't trust Trump.

[00:08:20]Who would uh you you definitely cannot trust the Israelis. Israelis are totally embedded in the White House. They are advising him. They are the last voice that Trump will hear and the first voice he hears in the morning. That's the Israelis or I shouldn't say the Israelis, but certainly the the pro-Zionist perspective is what he he hears. And you know, these are the people that put him in office. You know, they funded his campaign multiple times. Uh they just helped him get rid of Thomas Massie, right? So these guys have done Trump many favors and they expect him to listen to him. So I don't know how feasible it will really be, but on the surface it looks good. It looks like uh smart for Trump, smart for the world, smart for Iran.

[00:09:05]>> Yeah. And but you add something really pertinent, which is that in the White House, there are a number of advisers that are extremely pro- Israel. Lindsey Graeme has been tweeting ferociously at his disagreement about this deal. He he hasn't been as overt about it, but talking about some of the concerns he has when it pertains to Iran. In addition to that, um, we've just, as I mentioned, these influencers who have been attacking Trump significantly, many of whom were what the biggest promoters of Trump. When I bring all of that together, what does this indicate? Cuz you're quite clearly laying out why this would be a beneficial deal based on the current circumstances for America to basically get remove them from theelves from the situation. But taking all of that into account, how do you consider the Israeli factor when you consider whether this deal will ever be broken or we whe whether we'll ever get a real conclusion to this deal?

[00:09:59]>> Yeah. Well, Trump, even without the Israelis, does not uh adhere to his word. He doesn't keep his word. Okay. So, Trump on his own is not trustworthy. Trump influenced by um pro-Israeli forces as he is is even more untrustworthy. Um he is probably both affectionate and and and proud of his strong relationship with Israeli leaders. You know, he he boasts about that. But at the same time, at the same time, he's also scared of them.

[00:10:31]Okay? Because there's a reason the Epstein files didn't get fully released.

[00:10:36]There's a reason Thomas Massie got taken out by the uh you know, Israeli lobby on and with Trump's help as well. There's a reason for all that. Um Trump is scared of these guys uh either for reasons of legacy or reputation or he might be scared, you know, for more serious reasons about the kind of damage that um Israel can do uh to Trump himself personally or his family. And you know, we just recently had a threat against Ivanka uh Trump or I don't know what kind of threat it was really, but um some you know, somebody was stalking her or had threatened her down in Florida.

[00:11:14]her her her home or whatever. And that is the kind of thing uh that sends a message whether it's by accident or on purpose. It sends a message to Trump that there's a lot at stake for Trump personally if he goes against what Netanyahu and you know the Israeli interests want him to do. So you know the question is how what is the weight of these things? Is is Trump more concerned about his reputation, his safety, the safety of his family? Um, you know, criticisms by his uh URSTW Israeli allies who who really are psychopantic to him most of the time except when he goes against them as as right now or is he going to is Trump going to say, you know, uh, our military really has been harmed. It's not ready to fight battles like this. We need to uh regroup. uh we didn't this whole program of troops in the Middle East and the Gulf countries this is not working out we need to change that the world is suffering because of what I have done uh to be unlike Trump to take responsibility but you know he could say these things and then that could weigh more than his fear of Netanyahu or Msad what's the answer I don't know because I'm not I'm not inside of his head and I don't know what what pressures he is truly under >> you make a great point in terms of the various risks pertaining to Trump and actually let's talk about some of those risks. So you mentioned about this claim about Ivanka Trump. Now it was someone who was stalked and from our research it was almost it was there was no intelligence. It was like someone heard a rumor and then told the New York Post and then the New York Post published it.

[00:13:01]But that being said, it was on the eve of these negotiations as per what you said. The second thing is today there was a shooting at the White House.

[00:13:11]Apparently 20 to 30 shots were fired. It was just outside the White House.

[00:13:16]Allegedly the perpetrator did not get into the White House and he was apprehended. I'm not sure if he I believe he was uh also neutralized. But that being said, again, this was in the midst of a peace negotiation, in the midst of a deal.

[00:13:31]>> Yeah.

[00:13:31]>> What do you think that is?

[00:13:33]>> Not a coincidence. I don't think it's a coincidence at all. Um, and it's only because we see this pattern. We see this pattern over and over again. There's always it's always um it's always something that um something is done or something happens to remind the American president, whoever he is. It doesn't matter if it's Trump, you know, Trump's a friend of Israel. In fact, most of American pres presidents have been great friends quote unquote friends of Israel.

[00:13:58]But um when they when they uh go at when they vary or diverge from Israel's interest, bad things happen. And um you know, you could look all the way back to Kennedy. That's the prime example that we think of. You know, um there was a a comedian's uh oh, I can't think of the guy's name. He's passed away now, but he had a great u comedy uh scene where he said as soon as the president is elected, they take him in a special room, they show him a movie, and it's not the movie that we've seen with the zapruder tapes. It's a different movie.

[00:14:32]And and then they look around the room and says, "Does everybody understand?"

[00:14:35]And then they go from there. So there is a sense that um Israel is a great ally but also a very dangerous dangerous ally and they certainly and I commend Israel for this but they put their interests first without hesitation without confusion. We don't do that in this country and we uh and other countries some other countries don't put their interests first. America doesn't you know but Israel does. Israel is it? If it's good for Israel, they pursue it at they don't care what the cost is and if it's bad for Israel, they fight it and they don't care what the cost is. So this idea that there is loyalty uh between Israel and the White House. No, there's none. There's only interests and we don't understand that as Americans.

[00:15:16]We think, oh, but we we love Israel. We, you know, we have this long friendship.

[00:15:21]We do things for each other. Um that's fine for us to think that, but that's not how the Israelis play. So uh we are at a disadvantage when we deal with him and a president uh is right to be fearful if he goes against him. I think that's uh history has shown us this.

[00:15:40]How entrenched is Israel within the White House? And what I mean by that is we know they're significantly entrenched. We know they are linked with the intelligence services. We know they are in charge of appointments. As an example, Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis was actually meant to be working with Tulsi Gaba in the White House and as soon as the Israelis found out that the nomination was going to be announced hours before that, they made sure that the nomination was pulled.

[00:16:06]>> And so, it's not just in terms of hirings. We saw what happened with Thomas Massie. We see in terms of what's happening in the CIA, NSA, FBI, complete entrenchment. How and when. So why I'm bringing that together is we know it's quite deep, but when it's so deep, how can Trump make such a decision, which let's be clear on this, this deal when you read it without a shadow of a doubt is very negative for Israel.

[00:16:32]>> Oh yeah. Yeah. Um well, it remains to be it remains to be seen if Trump can make this deal given the uh infestation of um Israeli interests in the appointees and the offices around Trump. the one and particularly in our national security and our intelligence because the ability to do political damage to Trump is multi-layered and it doesn't even look like it comes from Israel because these are Americans. You know, we say Israel influence. Yeah, some of them may have dual passports but they are Americans. you know, we don't have I mean uh we we they are Americans and they have been appointed through a system that um favors uh Israel for sure, but yeah, their influence is is powerful and their danger to Trump could be powerful if if Trump is vulnerable to um secrets or uh you know bad things that he might have done that could be exposed. And so among those things like you could say could any president be totally innocent?

[00:17:35]Well, maybe. But in Trump's case, he is vulnerable to Epstein connections.

[00:17:41]Obviously, he's quite sensitive about it, which indicates he's hiding something. So, there's probably something there. I don't know how bad it is, but it doesn't matter at this point.

[00:17:49]It's enough that would would be a problem. He's also been profiting from this war in the sense of these uh shorts and uh inside information, these insane tweets and different uh uh the timing of his social media posts and the timing of these investments. We haven't got to the bottom of that, but you can be sure that people in Washington know exactly how that all works and how it works and who's benefiting and how Trump is playing a role. And even if Trump is totally innocent, it wouldn't matter because you can play that to be Trump profiting off of war, which would not sell very well. He's already quite unpopular, particularly because of this war. The fact that he's making maybe potentially millions and millions of dollars from it. Um, that wouldn't go well. So, these are political tools that pro-Israeli staffers and appointees and advisers and people in our intelligence community could uh easily have access to, probably have access to, and then could utilize against him. So, they can bring to bear if Trump is afraid of that, they can bring many things to bear that could change his mind. Now, why, you know, Trump's supposed to be this great man. He's very, you know, he's the greatest president ever. Everything he does is over the top and wonderful. So, should he be afraid of this in in if he's innocent, he shouldn't be afraid, but I'm afraid he's not innocent. And this is a problem. Plus, he loves his family like anybody. And um he he actually that's one thing that's been, you know, he's a serial cheater on his marriages, but his children, he he has worked hard to keep relationships with his kids. He loves his kids. He loves his grandkids. So, that's where you get Trump. And that's a specialty. that's a MSAD specialty, you know, uh going after or threatening the children. So, I think they have a lot of ways to influence Trump. Um the problem is for Israel, if they push too hard, and they're already pushing too hard, this this mass murder mayhem they've got going on uh in in both the north and south.

[00:19:47]This is insane. It is, you know, nobody's stopping it. The US is paying for it and looking the other way. Um, if the US pulls out and says, "Well, but Israel will still back you up. We'll give you arms. You can fight this thing." Israel cannot fight this thing.

[00:20:03]Okay? Iran and versus Israel is um you don't even put that on poly market.

[00:20:08]Okay? There's no there's no, we know who's going to be the victim in that case. It will be uh it will be Iran.

[00:20:15]They're very tiny. They have far fewer people. They have depleted a number of their weapon system. And Iran's able to do it. Iran has has spent years watching how the West how we fight, how Israel fights. And they can do what unfortunately for Israel over half of the planet would cheer loudly. They would stand they would stay up all night and have a party. If Iran took out Israel. So there's no sympathy for Israel. Uh and if the US leaves, this is a big problem. But if the US stays, it's still a big problem because we have had our military weakened and and strategically we are on the back foot.

[00:20:54]We do not have the initiative in the Middle East right now. Not the military and certainly not the diplomatic. So it is a really tough problem for Israel. I think I think maybe what they'll do is I think they may have to accept it if Trump is not playing a big game and he's done this before, right? Don't we always attack in the middle of diplomacy, right? When we have a deal and everybody's happy, then we start the launch. We have we have positioned forces in the region. Um, we've got all hands on deck at the Pentagon. Nobody got to go on vacation. Everybody's pulled back to the White House except for Rubio, who doesn't matter. Um, you know, this could easily be a ruse. And I'm not going to rule that out either because of Trump's past pattern. But um but Israel can can accept the reality and they can uh elect a new leader, a new government. They're going to do that anyway this summer, this fall or early in fall. They're going to have a you know a new election, a new set of leaders, a new coalition running the Knesset and um and maybe they can make some changes and they can say well we won and also we've learned a lot and and you know whatever. It's it's a tough situation for everybody, but um Israel deserves to be punished for what they did and so does the United States. You don't start wars for no reason, made up lies, target hospitals, civilian infrastructure, kill babies, you don't do that. Okay? So, um, either way, whether it's a a peace agreement that favors Iran, which is what they have right now, at least we think, um, or the US and Israel get military militarily defeated in the region and really, um, hurt. Either way, uh, justice happens in my view.

[00:22:38]>> Just on that, and I've got a question, guys. If you're on the Xpace, the tweet above me, you can come to the link. We are going to be ending the Xpace. We will be back on the X space tomorrow, but make sure you click on the link above us. When I ask this question, the space will end. Uh, if you're on the YouTube, make sure you're liking this video as well. So, the question is this.

[00:22:57]If you look at what's happened, it is essentially a 30-day, possibly a 60-day pause.

[00:23:04]>> We don't know the specifics whether it is 30 days or 60 days. Now, one of the things I discussed with uh Larry Johnson was we were to go through it and we were saying, "Well, they can't attack next week because it's the Muslim Hajj and Saudis have a large number of pilgrims."

[00:23:17]But then what you have on June the 11th in the United States of America is the FIFA World Cup. It's a fiveweek sporting event. It's the biggest sporting event in the world and it's the final. And the whole reason you spend so much money on a World Cup is for the advertisement.

[00:23:31]It's to advertise your country. It's for propaganda. So a huge amount of money is spent in order to achieve that goal. If Trump's in war at that time in a kinetic war that would harm that event and so >> we thought that nothing would happen till then anyway and this kind of aligns with that. So I guess the question to you on this and then we're going to speak about the actual dealers and the specifics of it but does that not seem to suggest that maybe this might be a bridge and then later they go back to kinetic. What's your thoughts?

[00:23:54]>> Yeah. Yeah. And also it gives us more time to uh replenish uh you know we are we're trying to uh gather up the some of the replacement uh weapons and munitions and and platforms uh and maybe even relieve our uh our ships at sea certainly the carrier the one carrier and uh probably a second one are probably due to be you know have have upgrades or whatever not so much upgrades but just replenishment. So um yeah makes a lot of sense. Yeah. And also um if that war is going on, the FIFA World Cup in in North America, that's going to be that could be very dangerous because, you know, war is war and it's fought both uh conventionally and unconventionally. So, you know, that could that could raise the security. Uh there could be incidents that um aren't, you know, that people aren't prepared for.

[00:24:44]So, yeah, I mean, it makes sense. And and I I was worried this weekend just because it's a Friday 3-day weekend and Trump's the way he's talking and then but the Haj lasts until all it lasts all week long until next weekend. So that would be really not wise for Trump to to do something.

[00:25:05]But again, when is Trump being when is he wise? And also honestly, if his advice is mostly coming from uh Zionists and in the White House and Netanyahu and his and his people, >> do they really care about the Haj? You know, I mean, they don't care about they don't care about Palestinian lives. They don't care about um the lives of of Lebanese people and families and children. So you know the attitude that uh the government of Israel has is that this would be not a bad thing. This is an opportunity to kill as many Muslims as possible and ensure an inflamed and global war centered in the Middle East.

[00:25:47]U you know you say well that doesn't make that wouldn't even be good for Israel. But you know there's some people that are crazy in Israel and there are some people in the White House that are crazy. you know, the Armageddon type of people who, you know, who really see this in a a supernatural type sense. Uh, so it's hard to say, you know, what's really important to them.

[00:26:11]>> Yeah. I think what's unique about this is that not cuz they care about Muslims, but Saudi Arabia is making a lot of money on that. And so they like Saudi didn't care about Muslims because it started the Ramadan, the start of the war during Ramadan. The thing is they have millions of pilgrims who spend a stupid amounts of money. I mean some people are spending $20,000 $30,000 to go there each.

[00:26:32]>> Oh, sure. Yeah.

[00:26:32]>> And so for them it's a financial this it's it's basically that event in tourism other than oil is their biggest revenue generator. And so Saudi would say to them look you're not allow you know don't do it now. And if Trump never listened he'll they'll say you're not allowed to use our airspace. We're agree we agree with you. you should do this war. But specifically, I think it would be chaos cuz that first of all, those pilgrims would have no way to get back and the financial harm and then the long-term financial harm where people just wouldn't go back.

[00:27:01]>> Right. Right. And I and that would be it's it would I don't think Trump would do that. And and it makes sense that he wouldn't. But um but can he do something six weeks from now um in the middle of the summer? I mean, I don't think we can really replenish everything that we've lost in 6 weeks. Plus, the military doesn't like being on alert forever and ever and ever. You know, you you do lose your edge. Um, and plus, I think a lot of the military leadership, you know, we've seen there was a a uh a naval, it wasn't a CNO, I don't think, but a naval guy was explaining to Congress just just this past week um that they cannot escort ships in the straight. Even if the government, even if Trump says escort ships, they said this is not something that we can do. We can only do this when the straight is is totally free and open for passage and then we can escort ships. Of course, then you wouldn't need to escort ships. So, it but he he was pretty open about um we can't do this. And I bet that we can't do this message is uh reaching Trump from all of the services including uh certainly the Army, the Marines, and the Navy, but I think even the Air Force, which usually overstates their capability, but I think even the Air Force is saying that because you know those refuelers uh you know, we lost two in a midair incident. One was shot and um the other I think landed, but it was it was damaged. But those refuelers, the KC135s and the other the newer ones, they don't they're not fast. You know, you're not refueling at top at lock speeds here. You know that that you you are highly vulnerable. And um Iran can reach us there or the enemy on the ground can reach us. So even the air force cannot say uh this is going to be easy or we can prevail. Um they're all saying to Seth, I guess I assume heads and and leaking to the press. I mean, we're seeing these kinds of articles that talk about our our military limitations. Um, this message is is a big message. It is getting out to Trump whether he likes it or not. So, um, he's not in a position to say, "Oh, start a war." And even in 6 weeks, he won't be. That's the other thing because the the weapon or the the threat that Iran has of destroying uh energy and water in the middle of summer, nobody wants to test them on that, you know, because if they do that, they can do that anytime. And if they do it in the middle of the summer, um you might as well just imagine we never had an agreement. Nothing ever happened. Uh this the world global depression is on track. It's happening.

[00:29:42]>> Yeah. And also they can't go to war as well during the summer. So that kind of removes their options of like excursions, you know, to try and get the uranium to try and get to the island. So it just becomes really complex. This has become like a nightmare for the United States of America. But >> yeah, and I want to speak to you about the specifics of the deal. So, going into the specifics of the deal, the first part of the deal, we kind of alluded to a lot of it in the early part of the conversation, but it says there's going to be a ceasefire on all fronts, including Lebanon. Now, we talked about Israel. We talked about how they won't h agree or they won't basically follow the deal in the way that Trump wants or Iran wants. I guess the question here is a I think I know the answer to A, but A, do you think Israel will follow the deal if Trump forces it? and B, if they don't follow it, what happens? So, what assurances can Iran have? Like, look, if Israel does this, you're allowed to strike them and we won't get involved.

[00:30:38]Like, what would happen?

[00:30:40]>> Well, it's it's an it's a Yeah, that's that's a tough thing because But one thing we do know is Israel will not honor any ceasefires. There's a there's a written ceasefire. The US and Israel and uh Hamas all agreed to it and with other countries um agreeing to it in in Gaza. They haven't honored that. They've been honored that from day one and they have they are boasting how much uh property they own 60% they control 60% of Gaza and have completely cleared it of go of Gazans. Okay. So they're they're boasting proudly that all during a ceasefire that that's been on since October. And then of course the Lebanese uh ceasefire they were firing seconds before it went into effect and continued to kill um I think that it's over 2,000 people. And of course they're not killing soldiers. you know, they might be hitting some Hezbollah soldiers, but mostly they're getting civilians.

[00:31:30]They're hitting hospitals and um civilian areas and schools, that kind of thing. So, this is how, you know, Israel is not even remotely uh attempting to follow any ceasefires. They never have.

[00:31:44]I don't think in recent history they never have, and certainly they're not right now in the two existing ceasefires that exist. So um yeah, you can be pretty positive that any ceasefire Donald Trump signs up to on the Lebanon or Hamas or Syria side, not going to happen. Okay, not going to happen. So then what is what does Iran do? What does the uh I mean who is guaranteeing this uh treaty this I should say treaty this this proposed peace deal because the US can't guarantee it. We don't control Israel when it comes to that and we don't want to. I mean, most people in Washington uh support Israel's right to slaughter their neighbors. Okay, we are paying for it. We give them weapons to do it with um and we give them UN top cover. So, we are with them as they violate ceasefires. So, who else can guarantee it? Really, only Well, Pakistan could do it possibly. Um and Iran can do it. And then that's going to look like they broke the agreement because they'll fire on Israel cuz Israel broke the ceasefire and then then what you know they they broke the ceasefire now it's Iran's fault and uh I yeah I think it's a it's a complicated it's a complicated situation.

[00:33:01]>> So I was speaking to his Bullah's lawyer a few weeks ago and what he said was that but this wasn't during the ceasefire this is in the final agreement. He said in the final agreement you could have it where money is put in an escrow account each time US or Israel violates you know money goes to Iran each single time but the problem with that is that would be in the final deal you can't have that in this kind of negotiation that's right now >> so again it's like as you said there's no way of guaranteeing it and this is the problem something like >> no there isn't and unless Israel decides with their new government at the end of the summer decides to uh give the idea a break and pull back and or or accept the see but they don't want to pull back you know the Naftali Bennett and his group who will probably be the next leaders in Israel they uh think very much like Netanyahu and they don't want to give up any land in Gaza they want to kill all the Gazins and they hope they die of disease starvation and malnutrition and bad water no shelter this is their plan to exterminate this is a genocide um they like it they support it they want to continue it until it succeeds and prevails 100%. So that's that's Gaza. In South Lebanon, they have already said publicly government policy, we're not giving anything south of the Latani River. This is our property. We told you guys, we told you Lebanese people, pack up your stuff and go and don't come back. This is ours. Um this is might makes right. Uh you know, the Lebanese government is is really um powerless to do anything. And Hezbollah is small. um it's it's effective, but it's it's no match for uh you know the IDF uh with especially as it's armed and funded by the United States. But there are some internal problems in Israel that this new government might take care of. Um wouldn't be a permanent solution, but they there is big economic problems in Israel. You know, they have a a brain drain, they have a youth drain. uh they still have this huge problem of people not wanting to serve in the IDF uh which is only getting you know a bigger bigger problem and the IDF itself is is a poorly trained and poorly performing military you know I don't know why they got such a great reputation probably propaganda because in reality they their their u ability is shooting people who can't shoot back and that goes for all the way back to the USS Liberty so what do you want I mean you can't keep doing that and say, "Well, look, we win every battle we're in. We're so great." No, it don't work like that. And so, that's been kind of made clear to them in this most recent war because of uh Iran specifically, but also Hezbollah and Hamas, which has three years of of what's been going on, is not dead yet, is not is not beaten yet. So, you know, this is a question that Israelis themselves don't understand.

[00:35:52]They're blaming Netanyahu. Hey, you you said you were going to do all this stuff, but you didn't beat any of these guys. You didn't win anything for us, and our country sucks even worse. Plus, we spend an awful lot of time in bunkers, which we don't like. So, because they haven't had to do that recently. So, the new government could take a breath and I would like to say they would withdraw. I don't think they will withdraw from anything. And this is another huge issue. How do you handle Israel? Not even worrying about any war with Iran or anybody else. How do how does the world handle Israel and how should the United States handle Israel?

[00:36:25]We're not doing it right. I can tell you that. Um but they could you could see some change there and some willingness to accept a pause in this Iran war because and Trump will say well if he does say yes I'm doing this there could be some political benefits to Israel in accepting it even though they're angry right now because they're really not capable of persisting. And if the US um can't 100% protect them, which we can't anymore because we're pretty depleted and pretty worn out ourselves. We've we've done a really we've exposed our weaknesses in many ways. As an American, I I I feel uh uh shame on more than one level because as a military organization, we have exposed our weaknesses to the whole wide world. Now, what that's very unusual. That's not something that in my lifetime I've really seen us do. Uh, so you know, I I don't know what Israel will do. I I would like to think they will abide. They can be talked into it.

[00:37:23]But again, I'm not in the White House. I don't know what they're saying to Trump.

[00:37:27]And Trump loves people to tell him how great he is. He's easy to manipulate.

[00:37:32]He's easy to manipulate. And the Israelis specialize in manipulating American presidents. And Trump has actually been easy because he is an obvious u he has some personality features that um allow him to be easily manipulated and uh >> no doubt no doubt >> and so I totally agree with what you said there. Now another element of the deal is this and so what we understand from the deal is that there's going to be 30 days whereby the United States of America is going to start relieving sanctions from is from Iran. They're gonna uh unfreeze assets. The sanctions are going to be slow. The unfreezing of assets. They're going to be um removing the blockade. Iran's going to open the straight of Hermoose up. The claim about Iran open the state of Hermoose. We're getting kind of bit miss uh sorry mixed information. And what I mean by that is >> from the Iranian side, they seem to suggest that they're going to have control of the straight of Ramoose.

[00:38:30]People are going to have to get permits.

[00:38:32]People are going to have to navigate through the Straight of Moose through the Iranian Omani operation. One thing we don't know or we're not clear about is whether there's going to be a charge for anyone who navigates through the Straight of Hermoose.

[00:38:45]>> Donald Trump claims that the Straight of Hermoose is going to be open and it's going to be in the same manner as before February the 28th.

[00:38:53]>> What's your thoughts on uh and and by the way, the Gulf States obviously want an open straight of Hermoose. What's your thoughts on the straight of Hermoose? Do you think the it's going to be more a deal that goes towards the Iranian side or do you think this is one of the things that the Iranians have kind of given Trump in order to get some kind of deal? I I honestly think that the effort that the Iranians have put in and the planning to developing um their uh you know the Omani uh Iranian I forget what they call it but it's a kind of a a system and they they cuz initially with the closure and the the toll paying or whatever you know it was a little bit um haphazard they were playing you know they were they were doing different things and finding out what worked and what was easier and um what was effective And now they're actually doing it as a kind of a community regional thing which I you know ideally uh Saudi Arabia and others could be involved in this regional construct just for uh passage you know regional transportation group kind of thing. Um so I think they're definitely going to um hold on to their sovereignty and their authority and and it makes sense because I mean I think it's illegal. It's illegal because of the various uh uh laws of the sea and also the treaties that Iran has signed up to.

[00:40:13]This works. It's a very narrow straight.

[00:40:15]Uh the deepest part that you can pass apparently, I've been told is on the uh Iranian side. So, they are uh they have legal right to do it and they it looks like they're planning and and developing uh with their neighbors and that's a good thing cuz you know when you work with your neighbors on stuff you the more you work with them honestly if you're if you're fair and honest you will be less likely to get in a fight with them or steal from them and so I think uh they're going to stick with that and also the US we're in no position to do that this is a halfway around the world for us our ships can't even you our our naval carriers were what? They had to stay six 600 nautical miles or more away from shore and try to conduct a blockade over the vast ocean because we couldn't get in close and we have to refuel our jets because the jets that fly off the carriers can't get back home. We're so far away. That's not how those systems were designed to operate.

[00:41:09]You know, our carriers are supposed to be in not not worried about, you know, it's supposed to be well defended. Well, we can't do that with the way that Iran fights. We can't do that with the modern uh war with the drones and all the other stuff. We can't do it. So, we are in no position to have anything to say about this. We can't because we can't enforce anything which has already been made clear. I mean, you could have you could have looked on paper. You could have mapped it out and said, "Yeah, it's clear this won't work." But Trump actually did it and proved it's clear that it won't work. It will not work.

[00:41:39]So, we won't be involved in that. And like Trump says, he has an out with this. He says, "Well, we don't really need Persian Gulf oil." you know, we don't need it. We have all the oil. We we're pumping Venezuela dry. We don't need uh you guys. You guys take care of it. So, I think that I think they will.

[00:41:56]And uh you know, this this is about sovereignty and it's about a multipolar world. It's about respect for sovereignty. Iran has stood up for it, but also Russia and China who who back Iran in principle also are talking about this.

[00:42:14]So, do we want to go up against all of them? You know, we're not capable of it.

[00:42:18]Does Trump really want to do that? I don't think so. So, um I see this is u if if they can get to an agreement and and stop fighting, but again, you always have the Israel problem.

[00:42:28]>> I don't know how you solve that. I do not know how you solve >> this is the problem, right? cuz we're always like okay this deal can be made like these the deal on the straight of Hermoose the deal on the nuclear which we're going to talk about next the deal on various things they can be made like you can have adults get in the room you can come to some kind of agreement one gives away a little bit one gives away a little bit and you get peace but then we think guess what that's logically makes sense but then you always have to take in the Israeli fact into consideration I remember before this war I was speaking to Scott Ra and Scott R said there's not going to be a war I said Scott there's going to be a war and he said look think biologically it makes no sense for Trump to go to war. He's going to lose his support. He lose the midterms. I said, "Scott, but you're not taking into consideration the Israeli factor.

[00:43:11]There's going to be a war." He said, "No, no, no. They won't." And there was a war because of the Israeli factor. And that's the factor you have to always take into consideration when you try and decide whether something's going to happen or not. But >> well, there's a reason there's a reason Israel is so interested in our politics and our Congress and and our foreign policy because they it's part of their defense and they work that very hard. So um that's always a factor. It's yeah >> until we until until that changes it's always going to be a factor.

[00:43:37]>> No doubt. No doubt. Now another part or a big part of what the claim is about this war was always the nuclear enriched uranium. Now this deal doesn't have the nuclear uranium. What it says is this deal will be implemented for 30 to 60 days which we need to find out which one of those two it is but during that period of time then the nuclear enrichment will be discussed. Now, in terms of the nuclear enrichment, first of all, that that's a big concession.

[00:44:03]Trump is willing to end the war and have this cessation before the nuclear is agreed. Then they're going to discuss the nuclear. Now, I'm hearing reports that Trump again is willing to move on the nuclear. He's no longer going the Israeli demands of 0%. He wants he's looking at maybe 3.6%.

[00:44:21]similar to the JCPOA.

[00:44:23]Iran on the other hand obviously they I think they've always been amiable to 3% although they would prefer a higher percentage because it helps with medical isotopes and various other things in terms of the nuclear deal because one of the one of the sticking points is Iran came out today cuz there were some reports saying that Trump said that part of the nuclear will be a 10-year freeze and Iran said this is false. We will never agree to a 10-year freeze. Another part of the disagreement is the where the enriched uranium will be diluted.

[00:44:52]Will it be diluted in Iran? Will it be diluted in the United States of America, Russia, and Ukraine? What's your thoughts on the disagreements in terms of the nuclear enriched uranium?

[00:45:00]>> Yeah. Well, I think I think it relates to Iranian sovereignty and I don't know for sure how much everything is true that you hear, but um much kam he said it stays. It stays, you know, it's it's Iranian. We did the work. It's ours. and um and and they're willing to abide as they were with the JCPOA as they are with the NPT which they are signitories to. So they're used to um compliance with global standards and desires when it comes to that thing. And I think that's all you're going to get. I think that's all the US is going to get is the NPT. And also how come how come uh NPT is not uh made mandatory for Israel?

[00:45:41]Because you know, and you've probably had talked about this before, but our our aid that we give to Israel is illegal right now because if if you have if you're a nuclear country that is not part of the MPT, has not signed up and hasn't disclosed and has open inspections and all that, uh you you cannot receive US mil, you can't receive any type of US aid, but we give Israel lots and lots of aid and they have a well-known and well acknowledged uh nuclear program. Um, so if they join the NPT, then all the aid we've given them can be say it's retroactively it's legal and it's legal into the future. But Israel doesn't want that and we don't push them because we don't make our our Israeli policy is made in Tel Aviv or West Jerusalem. We don't, you know, we don't make Israeli policy. They make it for us. Um, but I would I'm surprised that that's not being, you know, an issue. um that that's not something that's there. And actually, that would be something that um would be a a give a give to Israel. Okay, we're not going to push this issue. You can just go ahead and and kind of play this ambiguous game about your nuclear weapons.

[00:46:50]>> Yeah. Yeah. Guys, if you can like this video, would appreciate it. Let's get the likes up to at least 5600. Right. Um now, the nuclear is another element. The other element is the unfreezing of Iranian assets which apparently is anything from 12 to uh 20 billion.

[00:47:09]Trump again attacked Obama for the very first thing. He said Obama uh sorry Biden he basically uh you know emptied the banks in the United States of America in DC to send the money to Iran.

[00:47:23]How how effective can it be? How much can he make that deal? What's your thoughts? Um, honestly I I'm not an expert on how all this money thing works, but I do know that we don't have a lot of money in this country. We have this huge debt. Everything that we spend and of course like the war has cost us probably 50 or 60 billion just in our expenditures, not aid to Israel, which has also gone up uh to fight this thing.

[00:47:49]And we borrow all that, you know, we don't um this was not a fun a preunded war. It's not even a war declared by Congress. So they just we borrow everything. So this idea that we have funds that somehow got kept in a safe place that we can release, I don't buy that. I don't think we have any funds.

[00:48:07]You know, Americans uh learned a long time ago that our social security money is really not sitting anywhere. It got spent years before we ever paid into it.

[00:48:16]It's it's this revolving thing. So Trump would may be hardressed to um you know to do that to to cough up the money. Um because it's not like it's the same way when we give you know Germany asks for their gold back and we say well how about in 10 years we give it back to you. Well that's nuts. If you are hold if we're holding German gold in our bank we it should be shipped back to them immediately right but it's but see it's not that simple because we use things we do different things with that money. So I'm not sure. I think that's something that Iran would be lucky to get.

[00:48:50]Honestly, I think this is something that in uh detailed negotiations they will have to give. It's okay if he has it in in his bank account. But um you know, he that would be a failure to him. That would become and and the Israelis and the pro uh the pro-war folk in America would definitely beat him over the head if he gave any money to to Iran, even if it was their money. I I know it's their money. It's it's the just thing to do, but it's it would be hard for Trump, I think, to to do that. So, that may be something they can negotiate or deal with. Um, I would be shocked if he gave any money. I just first off, we we're not this country that has tons of money. Well, we do print it. Maybe he'll just print some. But in terms of I don't know. I I don't I think Iran knows how money how it works. And that will be a give. I think that will be a give. And also, um, I'm curious about the removal of troops. How what the detail is on that. Are they just talking about the blockade or are they saying no troops in the Gulf? Um, >> well, they've been specific. So, in terms of the freezing assets, from my understanding, they're going to be freezing the assets that is already Iran's money held in various banks, whether it's in Asia, Korea, Japan.

[00:50:04]>> Well, it's really there and it's not in the Federal Reserve.

[00:50:07]>> Yeah, >> maybe there's maybe they can get action on that. If it's in the Federal Reserve, if the US because you know Iran, we get all of Iran's oil money, we put it in a Federal Reserve bank account marked marked Iraqi oil revenue and then we dole it back to them if they do what we tell us. So that doesn't strike me as fair and I I just don't I don't know. I don't see how but if it's held elsewhere and it's legitimately accessible, um I think global pressure would help a great deal and they could get some of that back.

[00:50:36]>> No doubt. Now another question I have for you is um pertaining to um the you you mentioned about the deal and you mentioned how um you know you're you're not too sure whether the deal will be agreed upon. I guess the other element of the question is do you think that this stays and what I mean by that is do you think we get a scenario where the war resumes again or do you think that this is it now we will get a deal?

[00:51:04]Well, I'd like to think that we're going to get a deal and it's not going to resume again and we will go back to whatever kind of relationship we had before except without sanctions or with fewer sanctions uh you know a more respect more respectful relation more productive uh relationship. That's what I would like to think. But when you look at this administration and our Congress, which is very much um owned by APEC, which uh pushes Israel's government's interest, uh they want war and they want to weaken Iran. And they see that if this war stops for any reason, if it stops from a for a ceasefire, it just dies out or we have some sort of real uh peace agreement, Israel sees that as temporary. It's always temporary. There will always be uh a threat. And plus, Israel does not see this deal as as good for their own safety and security. So, is until you deal with the Israel problem, this is not going to go away. There will be another war at another time. Uh we we we had the so-called 12-day war. Um quite expensive. Uh then we had this one. Very very expensive and costly to not just ourselves and Iran and and Israel, but to the whole world. um once we recover from this, if we don't solve the root causes uh of this hostility that Israel has and other countries react to, I think um then it's not going to be solved. Uh if you can't get Israel to abide by a ceasefire that is part of this because it this thing includes this deal includes Lebanon and Gaza so and Yemen. So, if you can't get Israel to honor that, then it's not going to work and it's not going to solve anything. In fact, you're not going to have peace in the Middle East until you solve Israel.

[00:52:58]And this peace agreement doesn't even address Israel. So, >> yeah, except the fact that they need to have peace in Lebanon. But Karen, thank you so much for taking your time out to join us. Always appreciate you coming on. Where can people find you? I I have a Substack and I put articles and try to I try to link uh videos like this, you know, interviews and and share the information out. But yeah, I just have a Substack. People are invited. It's free.

[00:53:21]I don't charge for anything. Um if if I've if I send it out, everybody gets it as soon as I send it out.

[00:53:27]>> Awesome. Awesome. Everyone should be following a Substack. Karen, thank you so much for joining us. I really appreciate you coming on.

[00:53:32]>> Yeah. Well, thank you for having me.

[00:53:34]>> Thank you. That was um Lieutenant Colonel Karen. Make sure you're following her on um Substack. Uh and make sure you're following her work.

[00:53:42]Guys, make sure you like this video.

[00:53:44]Make sure you share this video. Make sure you uh comment in the main section.

[00:53:50]What's your thoughts? I know some people were having some comments. But I guess the question is I don't even know what they were talking about. So, let me know your thoughts in the comments and then I will reply to you. Like, comment, and subscribe. Guys, we're going to have another interview. So, the uh mods are going to put the link in for the next interview. The next interview is about Russia uh major attacks on Ukraine right now. So, we're going to have a guest in at the moment. It's going to be Ethan Holmes. So, just make sure you like, comment, and subscribe. And the link is going to be in the chat uh and we'll go across there for you. So, um yeah, just come across guys if the link is there. I'm just waiting for the link to be posted and then we'll move across. But what do you think about it?

[00:54:36]Uh what in terms of the deal? I was seeing some people were complaining but look the position is simple. There is conversations happening. There is a deal. Now the question is will the deal be upheld? Highly unlikely in my view but this is what the conversations are about. So you can see the link there. If everyone comes across to there we're going to be starting immediately. But appreciate you guys. Like, comment, and subscribe. Subscribe, subscribe, subscribe. I just want to thank Lake Vakum with the super chat. Really appreciate you. And also SS Wolfstein for the level one membership. Welcome to the moral resistance. I'm going to see you on the link and see you guys there.

[00:55:21]This going to be another great interview. Uh so check you there at the link.