XRP's price weakness despite positive news (XRPL upgrades, stablecoin integration, institutional interest) is caused by a combination of retail panic selling, leverage trader liquidations, and broader crypto market weakness, which follows a recurring pattern where the market shakes out investors before major moves; the key indicators to watch are price reclaiming broken levels, Bitcoin's direction, and volume confirmation, while the infrastructure story (regulatory clarity, tokenization, stablecoins) remains strong despite short-term price weakness.
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Deep Dive
WHO Is Really SELLING XRP!! (Its Bad)Added:
Let's keep this real. XRP is again getting hit and I know exactly what people are thinking right now. Why does this keep happening? How can we get so much bullish news from XRPL upgrade, stablecoin integration, SEC letters, institutional talk, and yet the price keeps dropping? Because when you look at the chart, it doesn't feel bullish. It feels frustrating. And every time XRP seems to get a move up, the sellers come straight in. And today, I want to ask one very obvious question that I think most people are trying to avoid. Who actually is selling XRP right now? Is retail giving up? Are whales pushing the price lower? Is leverage traders getting flushed out? And why is the crypto market, is it just dragging everything lower? Or is this the signal that the bottom is in? Or is it one of those classic cycle moments where, look, the bottom is here and the move up is coming? Because, look, we've seen this before. We saw it in 2017, we saw it in 2020, 2021, and we also saw it in the 2022 bear market cycle. And the pattern, it's almost exactly the same. The market doesn't want to make it easy. It shakes people out. It makes the story feel dead and that market asset looks broken. And then, when most people and investors look tired, angry, bored, the market suddenly starts to move without them.
Now, I'm not going to tell you to go and buy XRP today and it's going to pump tomorrow. That's not the point of this video. The point of this video, however, is to separate panic from facts. Cuz if you hold XRP, you need to understand whether this is just a sell-off and a warning sign, or whether it's this kind of shakeout usually comes before the next serious big move in XRP. So, in this video, I'm going to break down exactly what is happening, who is selling, and more importantly, what is big money actually doing? And what comes next for XRP? And trust me, this one matters. So, if you want to hear more, hit the like and subscribe button. Let's do it. So, let's start with the chart.
Because, look, we're not going to pretend that it looks amazing. XRP is under significant pressure, and the price has been pushed down towards the low dollar range. We've seen a clear break down from levels XRP has been holding earlier in the week. We spoke about this on a number of videos and price 110, and what that potentially therefore looks like if we were to lose this level. And this matters because look for investors, especially those that have been holding for months, even years, this is the exact point where emotions start taking over. You start thinking to yourself, should I have sold higher? Is it going back under a dollar?
Is the market telling me something that I'm missing, or has the XRP story now changed? And that's completely normal because watching your portfolio drop while the news still looks very, very strong is one of the most annoying parts of the entire crypto market. But, here is the key point to understand. XRP is not falling into a vacuum. Bitcoin is weak as well. The wider market is under pressure, and liquidity right now is thin. Traders are reducing their risk, and when Bitcoin starts dragging lower, altcoins usually get hit. We said XRP was always a front runner. Well, it feels like it is doing exactly the same as it capitulates down. That's not unique for XRP. It's just how cryptocurrency behaves. In previous cycles, Bitcoin usually controls the first major move, and then capital starts to rotate. Altcoins move later, and often retail moves when it least expects it. We saw this back in 2017 as well. Bitcoin ran first, then altcoins exploded. And again, look forward 2021, the exact same narrative. And XRP has always been one of those assets that frustrates people for a long time. It then moves violently in a very short window. That's why judging XRP just on one red day is dangerous, but ignoring a red chart is also the worst thing you can do. So, the honest answer right now, XRP is technically weak. And by technical weakness, it doesn't automatically mean though that the long-term thesis is dead. This means the market is testing whether holders actually believe the story. And those with the deepest pockets, well, they're trying to get you to sell at a discount.
This is where most people get it wrong.
They think selling means that smart money is leaving the market, but in crypto selling pressure can come from a lot of different places. Sometimes it's the retail panic, sometimes it's leverage traders getting wiped out, and sometimes the market makers hunt liquidity. Sometimes even early buyers that died to get in are taking some profits. It's a culmination in a mixing pot that essentially means price goes down. Another group, when they sell, are always looking for the opportunity to buy, and that's why we need to ask a very obvious question. Not why is XRP red on the day. I think we all kind of know why, but the real question is who is actually selling into this market?
Well, the first group is obviously retail. Now, I don't say that this to be disrespectful, but I say it because we've seen all of this before. Retail usually gets excited near the highs and exhausted near the lows. In fact, from a Bitcoin perspective, the selling has been intense. Short-term holders have capitulated at a loss at a rate we have never seen before. More people are selling their Bitcoin at a loss than in history. That's not the same, however, for XRP. But what we do know is that institutions are kind of doing the same.
Not because retail investors are stupid, but because the market is designed to test your patience. Most normal people are not sitting there with huge hedge funds, massive capital software, exchange flow dashboards, or team of analysts trying to work out what the market is. They're watching their portfolio. They're looking at red candles. They're reading social media, and they're seeing people say XRP is finished. And eventually, well, they think, "I'm done. I've held for so long." That's usually when crypto becomes its most dangerous, because look, when sentiment gets negative, it often means a lot of weaker hands have already sold. Think back to the last cycles after the 2018 crash, and most people wanted nothing to do with crypto.
Bitcoin was dead, Ethereum was dead, XRP was also on the move down. And actually in 2020, when the pandemic crashed, lots of people thought that the market was entirely finished, and that we couldn't go any lower. And then 2022, FTX collapsed, and people said exactly the same. Bitcoin recovered, ETFs arrived, institutions came in, and the same people that mocked the market then suddenly started buying again, just at a much bigger level. That is the crypto market. Now, the market doesn't reward comfort, it rewards people who can separate emotion from structure. It doesn't mean that every dip should be bought. And also, these are how people get wrecked. It also means that you shouldn't make emotional decisions just because the chart looks ugly for a few days. Because if retail starting to become the main seller, that can actually be fuel for the next move. The market needs sellers in to create bottoms, and it needs fear. It needs frustration, and it needs people to give up. And right now, XRP sentiment definitely feels frustrating. And that brings us to the second group of people, leverage traders. Now, these are important because, look, when you see fast moves down, you see capitulation in the market, and suddenly the price is collapsing, this is exactly those long-term holders dumping their bags.
And at the same time, those people in leverage positions getting liquidated.
It's all a big game of cat and mouse.
They open huge longs, price moves against them, or market makers deliberately try and take them out of the market. Their stops then get hit, liquidations trigger, market makers push price to obvious levels, and then, look, you get a sharp wick down that looks worse on the long-term demand. That's why crypto can damage, and, you know, completely wreck people, but at the same time, can also recover quickly as well.
Exaggerates things on the way up, and it also makes the fear most mainly bigger on the way down. And XRP is one of those coins that attracts massive leverage speculation, because, look, people want to know when it moves, it can move hard, it can move unprecedented, and also, it can also make the market look frustrating. But, we all know that market makers love liquidating longs, and that's exactly what happened across previous cycles. Before big rallies, the market often clears out massive over-leveraged positions. It takes out the obvious support, and it makes everyone think that breakdowns are confirmed, then it reverses. Markets pump back to the upside, and the same rinse and repeat happens. Again, I'm not saying that that's exactly what's going to happen, but if XRP starts reclaiming broken levels with strong volume, you've got to kind of think about the first sign here is a liquidity flush rather than a full trend reversal. So, for me, key levels right now matter. They matter specifically on the chart. And if XRP loses the recent low and can't recover, that's a warning. But if XRP starts reclaiming the breakdown zone and volume comes back in, just be mindful of what that's actually meaning, because the broader market right now is in max fear.
So, the question that everybody wants answering, is big money loading up on XRP while this price continues to go down? And the honest answer is, look, it's not as simple as a yes or no. The fact of the matter is, are institutions buying XRP? Yes. But that would just be lazy content. What we need to kind of understand are the conditions that big money needs being built, and that's a very different way of looking at this market. Ripple's pushing for regulatory clarity. XRP upgrades are coming. Our USD's expanding. And more importantly, tokenization is starting to become part of the trad fi narrative. You've got ETFs and regulated products becoming part of the wider crypto conversation and are still netting inflows. But you still have retail sentiment that's frustrated. That's usually the zone where serious investors start paying attention, not when everything feels easy, and not when every thumbnail says XRP is going to be a thousand dollars, but when assets are hated, the chart's ugly, and actually infrastructure keeps improving, but price keeps going down.
That's where opportunity can form.
Again, not guaranteed but this is why I think the question is not, is XRP dead?
The better question is, is XRP building and therefore is going to be repriced on the next phase of this market? Because if the answer to all of that is yes, then today's price weakness could look very different in hindsight as we move through this cycle. Take for example, 2017. XRP had one of the most violent moves in crypto history, but before the move, most people didn't believe it, and suddenly everybody wanted in. By January in 2018, XRP had reached all-time high region. That came at a brutal bear market. Most people left and then in 2020 and 2021, XRP moved again even with the SEC case hanging over it. And look, that's important because XRP didn't have the perfect conditions in 2021. It had legal uncertainty, it had exchange issues, and it also had constant negative headlines. And yet, when the issues were here, the fact of the matter is the cycle completely turned around.
Now, compare that to today. The market's still pretty volatile, prices frustrating, but the legal institutional environment is very, very different. The SEC crypto task force is taking written inputs, stablecoins are being discussed, and tokenization, well, it's no longer just a fringe idea. Doesn't mean that XRP automatically wins, but it does mean that the setup is completely different from the old bear market. So, people can say XRP is dead because the price is down. I think that's too simple. Crypto cycles are never that clean. In every cycle, the market tries to convince people that the move is over before starts. The question here is whether XRP can reclaim some key levels and prove that demand is still there. And look, this is what I'm watching right now, and it's easy to start talking about what are some of the key levels. But look, for me, there are three things to understand. Number one, price reclaim.
XRP needs to stop just bleeding and start reclaiming some levels. If XRP can get back above recent breakdown areas and hold, that tells us that the buyers are stepping back in. We expect Bitcoin to give a countertrend rally based on historical patterns. And look, that could be a key sign that XRP may give a little bit up. If it keeps falling though, expect the market lows to come in. It's probably a little bit early, but definitely could enter as that way.
Number two would be the Bitcoin direction. It's massive because look, Bitcoin essentially defines what the market's doing right now. Bitcoin's selling off, XRP's going to struggle, and that's just the truth here. It doesn't matter how much money's coming into it, the macro pressures are going to be a problem. And finally, number three is all about real confirmation from volume and news, not just headlines and hype, but I want to see volume coming back into the market. XRPL upgrades, for example, clarity around the Ripple SEC proposal, as well as our USD and tokenization. What do the moves happen? What is actually going on behind the scenes? And these are all key things to very much keep plugged in for. There is an easier way, however, to keep plugged into the market, and that is to head over to dubaicrypto.com. Join my trading group by simply clicking the link up here. You get some of the most exclusive offers, and it's only $12 a month. AI trade bots, entries, exits, as well as all our trading materials. It is some of the best value out there. You get our free pulse indicator that you can put on your charts to support your trading. And while you're here, don't forget check out Weeks and Bit Unix.
Simply click on these buttons. We have some of the best examples of how you can make it work in crypto. 50% rebates with Bit Unix, and also deposit bonuses with Weeks as well. So, I highly recommend getting over to dubaicrypto.com, checking both of those links. And if you're an avid trader in this market, do consider joining our trading group. We would love to see you in there. So, here's the real talk. Let's talk about XRP, and specifically what's the kind of things we're looking for to happen next.
These are the moments that are sent to test you. Not when the charts are green, because that's easy, but these are when the markets are down, portfolios are struggling, and the sentiment is dropping through the floor. But you need to ask yourself one very simple question. Have you made the same mistake prior? What happened in 2021? What happened in 2025?
Have a plan. Know what proves you wrong, and also what confirms strength. Because XRP can still go lower. Let's be honest about that. But if support breaks, Bitcoin can fail. XRP can absolutely see more downside movement here. But this is why these areas matter. It's why understanding the tech, understanding the structure behind it is important.
Because look, this shakeout will only last for a period of time. Then we're going to see a reversal, and the bottom of the market will come in. So, who is really selling XRP? Well, my view is this. Retail is panicking. Leverage traders are getting flushed and broader crypto is weak and profit taking from people who bought the low is now happening. That doesn't mean that all days are going to be complete selling, but it does mean that XRP probably comes further down. It's not dead. It is just taking a break. The infrastructure story is still strong. XRP is still upgrading and Ripple is pushing for regulatory clarity. Stablecoins and tokenization are becoming bigger narratives and institutions are loading up as much as people might not want you to know that.
This feels uncomfortable, it feels boring, and it feels frustrating in this market, but right now these are the most critical moments that you can be looking at these assets. And when you peel the curtain back and you understand that institutions are buying, Ripple's building, stablecoins are coming, and hopefully the Clarity Act is right around the corner, this starts to give us a clue as to exactly what is coming next because that's when you know that supply and exchanges is drying up.
That's when you know that people are starting to shift their narrative and starting to buy into this. So, look, the reality here is we are heading to the bottom of the market. In my opinion, there's a little bit further to go, but we're not far away. So, let me know what you guys think in the comments down below. Is this the bottom? $1.10 or are we going lower? And as always, if you want the next XRP update, make sure you hit that subscribe button because we bring you XRP content every single day and it isn't just some random hype video trying to get you to watch a video telling you XRP is going to $3,000 tomorrow. All right, guys. Thank you so much for watching. Check out those links over at twobits.com and as always, we'll see you in the next one. Bye-bye.
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