Oman Better Not Think Of Working With Iran - Or We Gonna Blow Em Up (Says Trump)

Ajouté : 2026-05-31

[00:00:01]Is Oman leaning more towards their northern neighbor, Iran? Could we see some cooperation between this Arab state and the Persian state? Is my hair ever going to get cut? Uh we'll be answering at least some of these questions. Let's talk about it. So yesterday, Trump caught wind that Oman, the Arab nation sitting across the water from Iran, uh you know, across Hormuz, they the Omanis might be considering working with Iran to set up a new reality for the Strait of Hormuz.

[00:00:31]Iran suggested they may charge ships a fee to use the strait and split the money even with Oman. Trump must have turned red or deep orange in frustration because in just the last 24 hours, the US president simply said, quote, "Oman will behave just like everyone else or we'll have to blow them up." End quote. Right, what?

[00:00:54]Omani turbans must have come falling off shoulders after such jarring comments from a friend and ally.

[00:01:01]Oman is within the American sphere of influence, has been for decades. US soldiers rotate through Oman at shared military bases in the country. For the US to make such statements is no doubt going to further the impression of America that is growing across the world uh that this is an unstable and therefore dangerous great power that could do very unexpected things should it not get its way. And Iran prevented America from getting its way, certainly.

[00:01:31]Now Oman is not as affected by the Hormuz uh crisis as the other uh Gulf monarchies, as it were, because they sit on the outside of the Hormuz Strait.

[00:01:44]>> [snorts] >> That doesn't mean they're not affected at all, and that does not mean that they are not in America's sphere of influence. It just means America cared, you could say, about them less when it was in America's geopolitical uh interest uh during Pax Americana, the the last age of American hegemony across the globe, Oman was a smaller concern than securing the alliance and cooperation of other nations like Saudi Arabia and Qatar and Bahrain and Kuwait and the Emirates.

[00:02:18]Um so yeah, Iran's foreign minister, I believe, said back in 2025 before the start of the last war, he said, quote, "Whatever your view of Iran, this is a war not of their making." So America was already kind of like, what kind of neutrality is that?

[00:02:37]Our definition of neutrality is you have to be on my side. Why you not on my side? Oman's like, this is what neutral looks like. What do you mean?

[00:02:43]And they've held their ground. This year, the same foreign minister said America has lost control of its own foreign policy. He said that to The Economist, which I read and many of you might want to consider, but they are very expensive magazines.

[00:03:00]12 pound for a single magazine every week? Brother, how much money do you think I made up?

[00:03:04]In this Economist, I mean economy.

[00:03:06]>> [laughter] >> Okay, so Oman is part of the region, is part of the neighborhood, is not affected as much by Hormuz and therefore it had it had positioned itself at the edge of America's sphere of influence. If any Gulf monarchy was detached from America, none of them are, but if any were, Oman would be one of the first. In terms of ability to detach, I'll say Saudi Arabia and the Emirates, the United Arab Emirates, they have the capability to detach more easily cuz they're larger economies, um unlike Oman, which is a smaller economy, but Oman's already in a position, geopolitically speaking, because of their geographic position on the Arabian Peninsula, they're in a position to sort of leave or pull away from America if they wanted to.

[00:03:53]Now the US working with Israel to plunge the war into this latest conflict was not something whose uh is not is not going how America wanted it to, of course. And Iran uh so not Iran, Oman, which had a position as a mediator, is now having shots fired at it even from, you know, the American president.

[00:04:17]For a president to say, "I'm going to have to blow your country up." Just because you he heard might be cooperating with your neighbor from across the water is crazy work, as the kids would say. I don't know. Do the kids say crazy work anymore as a sort of phrase? I don't know.

[00:04:36]Uh but that's the reality. Iran's uh influence is growing, America's influence is waning, and many countries are going to be caught in the uncomfortable middle ground. Change is not uh welcome by pretty much any country unless they benefit uh spectacularly.

[00:04:54]This was a symbol to show that the America uh the the economy would rise, maybe, or their geopolitical uh capab- um their geopolitical position might [snorts] rise, then yes, change is uncomfortable, but comes with benefits.

[00:05:07]But the Gulf monarchies right now don't know that it will come with benefits.

[00:05:11]So, they're uncomfortable, including Oman.

[00:05:14]Anyway, that's the news. Now, here's the analysis. I'm going to remind you guys just today and tomorrow, and that's it.

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[00:05:47]Okay, so here's the analysis.

[00:05:50]To use my family analogy, which I do for the Gulf monarchy a lot of the time, you had you may have seen it in previous videos. Sorry, I keep having to push my glasses up. It's because I actually broke my last glasses and these ones, yo, these ones are super like loose and my nose is the bridge of my nose is quite sweaty.

[00:06:09]Uh if you cared, maybe TMI, too much information. But anyway, sorry.

[00:06:13]To use the analogy for the Gulf monarchy, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, they're like the big brothers of the Gulf.

[00:06:19]Let's say they're 17 years old and 15 years old, okay? And Big Daddy America's off on a mad one and they're sort of growing up and realizing that dad is moving a bit mad these days.

[00:06:29]The little brothers in my analogy are usually Qatar, Kuwait, and Bahrain.

[00:06:33]Oman is like the middle child and just like in real life, the middle child is often forgotten. And Oman being outside of Hormuz has always been strategically less important to the United United States, as I mentioned earlier. There's no Camp Arifjan here, like in Kuwait. There's no central command for the United States uh military, like there is in Qatar.

[00:06:54]There's no massive naval base here for the Americans, like in Bahrain. Oman, even before this conflict, was the Gulf monarchy at the closest uh edge of America's sphere of influence. Sorry, not at the closest, at the edge of America's sphere of influence, just at the edge of the bubble, right? If the situation in the Gulf changes with regards to America's security relationships with every uh nation or any of the nations, i.e. the protectorate protector relationship uh between America and the Gulf states, Oman may be the one that cuts loose first because they're already so distant. They don't want to be an Iranian proxy, mind you, but Iran would settle for the Gulf states not being Iran's proxies or America's proxies.

[00:07:36]That would be a win. It any any distancing of the Gulf monarchies from America now would be a net gain for Iran even if they don't go straight into Iran's sphere of influence.

[00:07:47]Anyway, Iran's not built to project power like America is.

[00:07:51]Iran's built to be really resilient on the defensive.

[00:07:55]Iran, rhetoric-wise at least, they they say be your own sovereign states. I don't want me to dominate you.

[00:08:03]I'm not I'm not calling for me to dominate you. You come into, you know, under my wing. I'm saying get out from under America's wing and they're attacking me so I'm going to bring assault into this mess so you can reconsider your life choices. I don't know why I'm stumbling over my words.

[00:08:16]Sorry, guys.

[00:08:18]To [snorts] to ease the fears of Iranian power projection cuz the Gulf monarchies, you have to remember the administration level, they've been under America's wing for time. They the the all the wealth basically comes from being under America's sphere of influence, relying on them for military, and having economic cooperation with the Western block of nations which is the economically speaking, has been at least, the leading block of nations. Now that is changing of course because the China China led global south is rising really fast.

[00:08:47]But this is all the Gulf administrations know, safety under America. So Iran's reassuring them. They're saying, "Listen, the old order is kaput as the Germans would say. But that's not to say that we can't live peacefully." Iran is telling their neighbors in the Gulf, "Let's jointly set up a security situation that doesn't rely on outsiders. But we maintain the borders of our countries as they are. I'm not looking to sort of expand into here, there, every which way."

[00:09:13]The first test or the first demonstration potentially of an expanded Gulf Iran cooperation could be Oman Iran cooperation.

[00:09:24]That is if there's an Oman left after Trump blows it up.

[00:09:28]Hooray!

[00:09:28]For the unbiased news and analysis without the Western spin. God, sorry.

[00:09:33]Amaf fultalukta, aka News Baba.

[00:09:39]And I'll see you on the next one.