To differentiate real market shifts from fake shifts, traders must use top-down analysis by examining higher time frame charts (such as 4-hour and 15-minute charts) to confirm that the market structure is actually ready to reverse. A real shift requires confirmation from higher time frames showing a change in trend (like a failed two or strong number two candle), while fake shifts occur when traders only focus on lower time frame liquidity grabs without verifying the higher time frame trend. The key is to check if the higher time frame is in a downswing or upswing, whether the current price is in premium (expensive) or discount (cheap) territory, and if there is actual displacement and fair value gap formation. Traders should wait for confirmation on the higher time frame before entering trades on lower time frames to avoid getting caught in fake shifts.
Deep Dive
Voraussetzung
- Keine Daten verfügbar.
Nächste Schritte
- Keine Daten verfügbar.
Deep Dive
This Will Be The Only Video You EVER Need On Liquidity (Full Course)Hinzugefügt:
There fellas. In this video, as promised, I'm going to be talking about how you can differentiate between an actual real shift and a fake shift using the Strat. Okay? So, you're going to be using the Strat. You're going to be using those signatures because this is a big issue. I'm telling you, whenever it comes to market circle shifts, if you um if you if you tried to mark circle shift and you were new to it, you probably found yourself in that situation where it's like you just like you just get caught in fake shift after fake shift after fake shift after fake shift and it just and you wonder, you know, you you're wondering to yourself like, what am I doing wrong here, right? I got my liquidity grab cuz I think everybody understands, okay, I need a liquidity grab for a shift. That's like one of the most basic things. It's easy, right?
Like especially um now this is with the strap, but of course I'm com like I'm combining it with some some um ICT stuff. If you don't mess with ICT, that's fine. You know, bear with me here cuz I'm telling you, whenever you whenever you um utilize what I'm going to teach you in this video, like I'm telling you, light bulb moment. It's going to be a light bulb moment for you.
And what you're going to find is your win rate with these shifts is gonna go up substantially.
I promise you. Okay? So, I'm going to give you a gold mine. All right? I'm not going to do too much chitter chatter.
All right? So, psychology talks, all that stuff's important, but I don't want to spend too much time on that this video. I want to get right into the technicals. All right? And we're going to talk about what that looks like, cuz I'm sure everybody's find themselves in that situation. And even myself, like when I was first starting, whenever I was uh focused on shifts, I just found myself like wondering like what the heck am I doing wrong here? Right? What the heck am I doing wrong? Cuz what I noticed not just you know from myself and my past experiences when I was a beginner struggling with this. I also notice it with like whenever I have like new mentees or you know new students make this same mistake right and even myself I make the mistakes so I'm not really say it's a mistake but I noticed it with like some of my higher time frame candle outlook deals last week the time that I'm making this video they kind of had this scenario so I want to break it down all right and what that looks like so we're going to talk about that but we're also if you've been following along on channel, you know what I mean when I say higher time frame candle outlook. If you're new here and you don't know what I mean by that, I'm going to have several links in the video description below after you watch this video. Watch those as well and you're going to know what I'm talking about when I say higher time frame candle outlook. Right? So, let's get right into it though, right?
No chitter chatter. Let's get right into it here. And I'm going to give I'm going to give you guys uh several different examples. I'm going to show you like what a good one looks like. what an actual like really good high probability shift looks like.
But I also want to show you the other side of the coin and show you what one doesn't look like. That's going to really help you because if I just show you the good one, right? If I just show you, oh, there's a really good shift, but I don't show you what the bad one looks like, you don't really get the full picture. So, this is going to do wonders for you. Okay? All right, folks.
So, let's start with here cuz I talked about this on stream. I was talking about this on stream real time with my mentees whenever, you know, this was coming up right here that it was probably going to fold. It was going to get clobbered. But here's what you're going to find. This is a big issue that traders that fail trading shifts make.
The big thing is they're too focused on the lower time frame and they need to zoom out. Okay? because you can have something on the lower time frame, of course, that looks that looks very bullish. All right, what I'm going to do, I'm going go to replay because it'll it'll make it a lot easier so you don't get too caught up on what's happened over here cuz on Friday, this day specifically is on May 15, 2026 for the folks that are watching this later in the future, this thing had a big push up. So, you got to think. I want you to imagine like you're watching this real time and you're just looking at the lower time frame here. Okay, we're coming into the bell. This thing's ramping up. It has volume cuz 9:30 like we're talking about the most volatile time of the day here, folks. It's ramping up. It has volume.
It has momentum. And it's going [ __ ] crazy.
Okay? And I'm going to look at this through the perspective of what a what a beginner trader uh may see. So, a beginner trader may look at this and be like, here's their thought process, okay? Cuz we all been there. We've all been there at one point. They're thinking, "Oh, we came down. We grabbed liquidity right here cuz that's a swing point. That's sell side liquidity, a swing point. There's liquidity beneath that low. And then price came down and it took that low right here where my cursor is pointing. And then what happens after it takes that low?" They so they might be using a 15-minute. They might be using like a 15-minute or a 1 hour to like look for the liquidity pool, but that's not enough, right? They see it come down and then they see, okay, it took out my 15-minute sellside, 1 hour sell side. So, I have my liquidity grab. So, they understand that part. They understand like the very basic number one step, which is I need liquidity. And that is true. You do need liquidity to frame a shift. But if you're just solely focused on liquidity to frame your shift, you're doomed. It ain't happening. You're not going to find consistency because there's other things to consider. And I'm going to explain what that is in this video. All right, notepad out. Get ready cuz you're going to get a lot out of this video. I know I've said this before about like you're going to get more out of this video than you will most courses. And that's facts. That's not me, you know, flexing. That's not me bragging, right?
I'm just giving you the facts. Okay? you know, this information, most people, you know, they're going to like they're going to make you pay thousands for what I'm giving you here.
Thousands of dollars. And you're getting it on a on a platter, folks. On a platter, right? And then there's also a lot of folks just don't on, you know, on YouTube, 90% of the people on YouTube don't know what the heck they're talking about, right? And they're just marketers. But not to get on a tangent, cuz I know I can get on a tangent.
That's what That's what they'll do.
That's what they'll do. But, you know, one more time right here. They see it. If you're familiar with ICT concepts, you'll know like with your shifts, you need to see a few things, right? You need to see your fair value gap that actually like makes it a shift. If it don't have a fair value gap, if you're like utilizing, you know, ICT's uh terminology, then it's not really considered a shift. If it doesn't have a fair value gap, you have one there, you have one here. So, somebody who is focused on that, they will look at this folks and be like, "Oh man, look how explosive it is. Look at this short-term high. We got a strong close. It's ripping up. It's bullish. So, we don't have all that stuff to the right that I had previously cuz, you know, we went back in time here. Real time. This thing does look very bullish when it's first happening." and they're thinking to themselves like, "Oh my gosh, this thing is this is a change in the tide in the structure." But it's not.
But it's not. It's not, folks. So, they'll get in, you know, they'll buy, right? They might wait for they might wait for like a pullback into the discount, right? To get in, okay? And then they say, "Okay, I'm in. My stop is going to be below uh below this low right here. I want to see a continuation." That's what they'll do.
So, they'll be anticipating that that's a 5minute bullish shift because, hey, we had a liquidity run. We had a displacement. It's showing a lot of bullish momentum towards it and dusted.
Dusted. They get handled right there.
They're tagged out and now they're revenge trading. And you guys know the rest. You know where that ends up going, right? So, what went wrong here? And why is this considered at least like right here? Why is that considered? I know it ended up pushing up later, but I'm talking about like for a scalping scenario. Why was there timing off? Why was there timing off? Why did that come down? And why did it take them out the way that it did? So, what I'm going to teach you here is I'm going to cuz you need to zoom out a bit more. This is number one. Write this down. You need to zoom out a bit more. You need to get a little bit more of a higher time frame perspective.
Okay? You need a little bit more of a higher time frame perspective.
So, here's a big tip. Um, so I do it all like I I'll go from um I do this every single day on stream with my mentees.
they know like I go from time frame to time frame to time frame to time frame to really get that full picture. Even though like with futures I'm executing on the one minute personally.
Um like I I'll go from like the daily, the 4 hour, the 1 hour to get the full picture. Okay, some of you may think, oh that might be kind of overwhelming though, right? I'm going to I'm going to make it very simple for you. So here's the deal. The very first thing that I was talking about on this particular day with my mentees was look at the 4 hour number one.
Okay, look at the 4 hour. So what do you what does this tell us? Sure, it came down into a discount, but I want you to ignore that right now that it came down to a discount because we want to move away from a predicting mindset and we want to move to a reacting mindset. Unprofitable traders predict, profitable traders react. Okay? Because I don't care who you are, doesn't matter, you know, best trader in the world or whatever, right?
ICT or whatever, anybody that you can name, nobody, nobody knows what Price is going to do next. And I know the IC traders now are like, "Oh my gosh, how could he say that, right? He's used ICT in the past. He's learned stuff from ICT in the past. How could he I'm not bashing them. It's just the truth, right? I'm separating the marketing from, you know, reality. Nobody knows what price is going to do next. But you may know that there's a higher probability of one thing occurring over another. That's a different story. But nobody knows what price is going to do next. So if nobody knows what price is going to do next, what's your best approach to play what is in front of you, right? Stop trading, you know, what you think is going to happen. Trade what the structure is telling you. Trade what the momentum is telling you and stay with that until there's a different story, folks. Stay with that until there's a different story. And guess what? Sometimes you're going to be incorrect and then you're going to have to adapt. Welcome to trading. That's your job. That's what you signed up for.
You got to know how to adapt. If you can't adapt, you're not going to be a trader because good traders, they take it on the chin sometimes and they adapt.
So the point is whenever price is in this downswing, whenever it is in this downswing, what I mean by downswing, what I mean by a downswing, cuz everything, every single downswing starts from what? A swing point. Highest high in the middle where my cursor is pointing, a lower high on the left, a lower high on the right, and look at this. Boom. What's that? Strong number two candle. Okay, if you're familiar with the Strat, you know what a strong number two candle is. It's whenever you have price in a downswing like this.
This is a bearish number two. It closes beneath the previous candle low. Why is that important information? Because in simplest terms, what that means is that this has bearish momentum towards it.
Okay? And I'm going to dig a little bit deeper to what I mean by bearish momentum. Right here is another boom big strong expansion lower. Look at that thing. Look at the body on it. All right. Because guess what? The wicks do the damage, but the body the body tells you the real story. That low displaced beneath. Okay, same thing. Strong number two candle. What this tells us is right now, we're not forecasting the future.
Right [ __ ] now, price is telling us that there is none, not a inkling of indication that it is ready to push up.
Listen to it. Don't predict. Listen to it. It's in that downswing. Look right here. Same deal. See that strong close?
Boom. Another yet again, another strong number two candle. Okay, so here's the point. This is in a downswing. This is strong number two candle. Sometimes you might see a strong number three candle.
Whatever it's in the downswing, bearish momentum. And here's the thing about it, okay? Because what do you think you're going to find when you go to a lower time frame? I want you to think back to my previous videos, okay? If you've been a part of the channel, you know, in the previous channel or in the previous videos, what have I talked about?
like what indicates if we're using like a failed two for example, let's say a bullish failed two, right? What do you want to see for the best results inside of a bullish failed two? What do you want to see for the absolute best results? You want to see a 15minute bullish market structure shift.
The same criteria that I was just talking about on that five minute. Think back earlier, the fair value gap, the strong close. You remember that? That is the criteria that you want to see on a shift.
But if we get a failed two, you want to see that on the 15-minute, a bullish failed two, a 15-minute shift.
That gives you more confirmation that it's actually ready to have a real reversal. But my point is, you don't have any indication in here that it is ready to have that reversal. So, guess what? What do you think you're going to see on the 15-minute now? Now really stay with me here. This is going to be a light bulb moment for you folks trading market structure, understanding market structure. If this is in the downswing and it's printing number two, number two, number two, number two. Such strong momentum towards it. What do you think you're going to see on the 15-minute? It's this simple 15minute bearish market structure, folks. It's going to have 15-minute bearish market structure in that downswing. So the 4 hour is in a downswing. We concluded, right? It has bearish momentum. It's tagging low after low after low because that's its objective. Whenever it's in that downswing like it is on the 4 hour, its objective at that time now that the momentum has switched is just to tag out low after low after low after low. Okay?
And then what you're going to do next is go to a 15-minute because there are certain higher time frames that are better matched with a lower time frame than other. And I'll explain what I mean by that. So for example, you know, like a daily and a 1 hour is good. That's a good match.
Okay, the daily and the 1 hour. The weekly and the 4 hour is a good match.
The 1 hour and the 5 minute's a good match. The 1 hour time frame and the 5m minute. Okay. So 4 hour, 15 minute, good match.
15 minute, 1 minute, good match. So, if I see that the 4 hour is in a downswing, strong number two candle, no indication of it being bullish, then you can bet what's the 15-minute structure. What's the 15-minute structure, folks? It is bearish. It's bearish, folks. That's the structure. Okay? So, I want you to think about this now.
All right? Don't forget what I told you earlier on when I was looking at that five minute cuz now this is going to be a light bulb moment. Stay with me. I'm about to give it to you. All right. I'm about to give it to you.
So, I've talked about dealing ranges in previous videos before, and I'll talk about it here, too. Here's how I measure a dealing range. For the folks that don't know what a dealing range is, you you got to understand that price moves from premium to discount, discount to premium. what a premium is. A premium is in an expensive marketplace and a discount is a cheap marketplace.
So if you understand that the 15-minut structure is bearish cuz we've already established that very simply because we used the 4our and we understand okay the 4 hour is in a downswing right. Correct.
Okay. did the 4 hours in a downswing because it's written number two candle after number two candle and it's not it doesn't have anything like any type of close indicating a bullish scenario that a bullish scenario would be like for example of course a bullish failed two or um a number three candle number two candle that would be like an indication that the tide could be shifting but you don't have that in here you don't have that in here folks so you want to believe that until there's actually something there on that chart to tell you to pivot. That's the point I'm getting at. Okay, so it's still has that story line going into 9:30. Okay, you remember where was that 5minute displacement at the very beginning of the video? And if you got to rewind the video, rewind the video cuz I'm about to connect what I just talked about on the five minute with the 15-minute structure and that 4-hour downswing. Because this is where the vast majority of you that are watching this video that are not having good follow-through consistently with shifts, this is what you're doing wrong. Okay? I'm telling you folks, what I'm giving you here is what most people would charge thousands of dollars for.
Thousands. I'm not just hyping you up.
I'm telling you the [ __ ] truth.
Thousands. And then there's the other group that doesn't even understand this because, well, they're not profit. They don't know what they're doing. They don't have the experience. I'm telling you this from somebody who's been doing this since 2014, full-time trader in 2020, verified millionaire from in 2021, and I'm giving you the recipe here.
Okay? So, lock in, pay attention, no pad out. I'm giving it to you, okay? And all that I ask, all that I ask, cuz this is free information that you're getting here. This is top tier information that you're getting here. The only thing I ask, leave a like. And y'all know the deal. Subscribe and comment below.
Comment what below. Comment below like other stuff, other videos you want to see. That's it. Just comment below other videos that you want to see, other topics to give me a direction to go in.
Okay? I know I I had some folks say they want some more forex content. I got that coming. Don't worry, I got that coming.
I added it to the list. Okay? If you want more videos on this topic specifically, then just write something like uh 4hour paired with 15minute or just more market just just give me some type of indication of what you want to see more of. Okay? Cuz I want to help you guys out. Even if you're not in the mentorship and you're not paying me, I still want to help you out. I still want to see you succeed. All right? I know not everybody has this much money. Okay?
I have also a lot of people from, you know, third world countries as well that watch my videos. I want to help all of you out, okay? I want to help you to the best that I can. So, it's not just, you know, to prop up the engagement on the video. You know, I'm not going to BS.
That's part of it. I want, you know, the comments because it helps with the engagement and then that helps it reach the algo. More people get good information, but I also want the feedback because like it makes, you know, it makes it easier for me as a teacher. Okay? Cuz if like I don't get any feedback. Nobody comments anything, right? It's like I don't know what to focus on, right? I have no feedback. I don't know what to focus. I don't know where people are struggling, right? I can't read minds. So that's all I asked.
Okay. Now again, not to get on a tangent. Bring it back.
What did I just tell you?
So, you know, just refresh your memory.
The 4 hours in the downswing.
The 15-minute structure is bearish. All right, we've already established that.
So, the key things so far that we've learned so far and I'm going to bring it all together and we're going to talk about this in here, the five and all that stuff. But just so far, what we have learned to refresh the memory is the 4 hour is in a downswing. Number two after number two after number two candle. So, what that means is because we don't have anything on the close on the 4 hour, what that means is there is nothing. I repeat, there is nothing there indicating an upcoming reversal, a change in the tide. So, if there's nothing there indicating a change in the tide, you need to stay with the tide. I don't care what you think. I don't care if it's cheap. I don't care about none of that. Okay? It can get cheaper. Let me say again, you think, "Oh, it looks cheap. Oh, it can get cheaper." And you can't you can't uh you don't have a crystal ball to forecast a future.
Nobody does. So, listen to it. Don't fight it. and you're going to do way better. Okay. And the 15-minute the 15minut structure is bearish because it's in that downswing. That is how you connect it, right? Because that's another thing people like, I don't know if it's really bullish or it's bearish market structure on the 15-minute, right? Cuz you know, somebody can look at something like this and be like, oh, look, we got a fair value gap. Look at my cursor. Now, this is a very this is this is where you really want to pay attention. you should already have been paying attention. But I'm talking about like really pay attention because somebody might look at this right here and be like, "Oh, fair value gap. Oh, look, Mike. Mike, short-term high, strong close into 7:00." So, they'll see that. Oh, they'll see that and be like, "Oh my gosh, this looks like a 15-minute shift now. This looks like a 15-minute shift." But hold up, it's not. Why isn't it? Why isn't it? I'm going to give you a second. I'm going to give you a second to answer. I want you to answer with what I just told you. Why don't you think that's a 15-minute shift right here? Just think about it, folks. What did I just tell you? Give it a second.
All right. I'm not trying to be ICT. I know. I know ICT does that, too, right?
He'll he'll pause and be like, "Okay, answer." But it actually does. It actually is very useful for, you know, for a learning experience. Okay. So, I want you to answer with what I just told you.
One. I'll give you I'll give you 3 seconds. One. Two. And you can pause it if you want. Three. Because the 4 hour is still in a downswing. Remember this is 7:00. You don't got any close or nothing. You don't got a whole lot of nothing telling you that it wants to have that push up. Nothing, folks.
Nothing. So, you cannot trust that.
Okay. So, if it's still bearish, right?
If it's still bearish, you know, you can't trust that 4 hours bearish. You have fair value.
You got persistence in here. You see this? That becomes a big point of interest for the next leg lower.
You see that? You see how that connects?
And then look what happens. Then it puts in like that swing point. You notice that? And then guess what? It comes down. Strong number two candle. And I'm going to give you something to study.
I'm not going to dig too deep too too deep into this right here. I want to go to 9:30 because I don't want to make the video too long. But I want you to think about something and people that are really paying attention, they're going to know exactly.
It might take you a couple couple video a couple times to watch this, but I want you to think about this. Price is fractal.
Price is fractal. You see a number two candle in the 15-minute. So if you understand, hey, if you understand that price is fractal and you already concluded the 15 minutes bearish 4 down swing, what do you think you could find on the lower time frame in here?
Think about that.
Think about that. And in fact, that actually is another good thing. If you want to comment below what you'll find in there, comment that below and then I will answer your question in the comments. that would be a better way to go about doing this cuz I want to see if y'all are kind of connecting the dots. You know what I'm throwing down here? See if you're picking it up. So, you can comment that below. What do you think you'll find in there at this point on the lower time frame? Like the very lower time frame.
Remember, I talked about the 4 hour and the 15-minute structure. This is a 15-minute candle. What do you think you can look for? What time frame? What would you look in there then? Okay, but it comes down, right? It comes down and it takes out this right here. It it trips out that low.
Okay, trips it out. Done. Finished. So, it trips that out. And then look where my cursor is now. Remember the five minute? We were just talking about it a second ago in here. This is that push up. Look at my cursor very closely. Pay very close attention. All right. Here it is. Here it is on a platter. Light bull moment.
That pushed up right there on the fivem minute. Now ask yourself this question.
Is there anything I repeat is there anything on the 4 hour because a 4 hour is a higher time frame chart right?
Is there anything there telling you that it's ready? Is there anything there telling you that it has like any type of significant reversal? I get it. Like it's in a cheap marketplace on the 4 hour. I don't care. I do not care if it's in a cheap marketplace on the 4 hour. My question is, is there anything there telling me that it's really like respecting the cheap marketplace? That's the thing and that's the trap people get in. They say, "Oh, it's cheap." But hey, hey, is there anything there telling you that it's respecting the cheap area? Get it out of your mind that, okay, it's cheap. It could be true, right? Because it was, but is there anything there? No, there isn't. There isn't anything there at that time on the 4 hour telling you that it is bullish.
So when you go to the 15-minute then because remember 15-minute structure is still bearish because the 4 hour is in a downswing. You use the 4 hour and the 15-minute.
So when you look at the 15-minute here, look at my cursor.
That's a premium. How do I know it's in a premium? This is the next lesson. All right, not out cuz now we're about to use premium and discount and I'm going to teach you how I establish when something's in a premium marketplace.
Okay.
So, um even though that one at first glance, the one I talked about a second ago wasn't uh Oh, no. This one is the one I was talking about. This one technically um wasn't a uh premium. It was still bearish in there. This one was a premium cuz here here's how I draw my here's how I establish a premium. I will take the high that grabbed the previous swing point prior to taking out a low. So, for example, you see where my cursor is pointing? How that took out a previous swing point, a swing high, and then you see how it made a move lower, making a new low right here, because it needs to make a new low. It needs to make a new low like this. It took out the swing point and then it made a new low. That makes this a dealing range. Okay. I didn't always do my dealing ranges like this, but a long time ago, it was a tweak I made a very long time ago because this is going to give you your most accurate dealing range. It won't always come up into like it won't always give you this scenario, but it will on a consistent basis and it's way higher probability. So, you'll take that high to the low of the of the swing of where it pushed lower. That gives you a dealing range. So this is important because 50% look at my cursor 50% of that Fibonacci is where price gets expensive.
So you know the second it gets above 50% it is overpriced.
Stay with me. I'm giving you gold here folks. Absolute gold. All right.
I was about to go another tangent but I'll hold off from the tangent that I was about to go on. I'll save that for later. But it's in a premium marketplace.
It's expensive.
So when you see this, there's a there's a couple things happening. Let's bring it all back together. The 4 hours in a downswing. It's 15-minute bearish market structure. And I understand that this is expensive because I understand I got my deal in range right here. What what is happening in here? That's where you got the fivem minute. So, this is the problem that folks that have a lot of get caught in a lot of fake shifts, they'll make. And don't just take my word for it. I want you to go back and I want you to study your if you're if you're failing, if you're getting like stopped out after stopped out after stopped out on shifts, I want you to go back and study this in your trades. And folks, I'm telling you, chances are for the vast majority of you, you're going to find this is the case. It does obviously doesn't look exactly like this because you know different pairs or different um ES or like whatever the day is whatever you know setup is but I'm telling you it has the same signatures in price the same patterns in price that had the 5minute displacement that caught a lot of people's attention into the bell big influx of volume comes into the 930 so think about this it's 9:30 right and sure NASDAQ has a big gap down so you know all the normie traders They're like, "Oh, a big gap down. You know, it's um it is um oversolded, right? That's going through their head.
Oh, it's oversold. Big gap down."
They're just buying it up, buying up, buying it up, buying it up. But you understand because you're informed now that that's expensive currently. And sure, it pushed up later, but I'm talking about this from like a scalping scenario. At this point, it's expensive within bearish market structure. You see where I'm getting at? It's expensive.
So, you know that, hey, that ain't a valid 5m minutee bullish shift because of the tide. You know, it's going against the tide in here. It's going against a 15-minute market structure cuz it's bearish.
Okay. It's it's expensive cuz it's in a 15-minute premium. The 4 hours in a down swing, you see. And yeah, sure. Like also like the 1 hour market structure was bearish, too.
everything is bearish on it and it folds as a result. So, that's an example of a losing scenario and what you can take away from it because you had the tide going against you. And I'm not going to spend too much time on the one minute in this example, but I just want to give you some food for thought.
This is going to be another light bulb moment for some of you and how you can use even a lower time frame to really get some smooth scalping scenarios. So, I want you to cuz think about the Strat and what I've taught you in regards to the Strat. If you understand all that, right, and you understand that it's expensive and it's going against the tide in here, you you can come to the the conclusion that that's probably what it's probably a fake shift. It's probably a fake shift because I'm telling you that baited in a lot of people because of how explosive it was. And then if you want to get even more in depth with it, look, here's what you can do. You can utilize what I've taught you with the strat. Whenever price comes up into like a premium like that, so like say it comes up and it gets expensive in a premium, you've already concluded like the 15-minute market structure is bearish. It's in that downswing on the higher time frame.
There's no indication.
Sorry, I had a [ __ ] um had a [ __ ] anima screen.
And right here, see this?
What's that right there? It's expensive on the four, you know, on the 15 minute 1 hour downswing. What's that right there? Off, I repeat, off an expensive marketplace. What is that?
That is what you call a number three candle.
Okay. And what does a number three candle indicate?
A number three candle, it took out that high, and then you see how it took out that low, engulfed that low. That's what you call a number three candle. What a number three candle indicates to you is a continuation. This is a bearish This is a bearish number three candle. Okay?
And that tells you that, hey, it's lost its steam. It's expensive. And think of that like it just started up the engine.
It starts up the engine. It's collected, you know, the proper, you know, liquidity, right? So, think like it stops at the gas station, right?
Say you have a destination you want to reach. All right? Say, you know, you have this destination you want to reach, but your tank is running on empty. Okay?
So, look at my cursor. This is you going to the gas station. All right? You're coming up. You're going to the gas station, right? You're grabbing liquidity in the, you know, you're grabbing liquidity. your inexpensive area that you you come up to get gas.
You got to go you got to go get gas before you can reach your destination down here. And then this right here, that number three candle, think of that as like you starting up the engine. All right, you start up the engine, you know, vroom vroom, right? And then um it ends up giving you this. That's starting up the engine. And now this is your destination down here, these lows.
Okay? And then there you go. smooth selling all the way down to the lows because we did all the work. We do top down analysis because top down analysis is important for this very reason. And people that are strictly focused on the lower time frame are doomed to be unprofitable traders because of this reason right here because you need you need to do that to have the full picture. Even if you're a scalper, you need the full picture and then you could scalp it down to those lows.
So then that is an example right there of capitalizing on a fake shift. So I gave you like a couple things there. Actually I told you like how you can avoid a fake shift but then how you can also take the other end of the deal and capitalize on the move down into the lows because you know there's a lot of sellside right there.
Equal lows down there too. Look equal lows down there. You know, everybody stops down there for that tried to play the fi the fake fiveminute bullish shift. But with what I taught you, you said, "Okay, I know their stops are down there. That gives me a good target to shoot for." You see, and then it gets voted.
Goat on a platter. I'm telling you, goat on a platter that I just gave you right there. And I'm going to go over even more examples. All right? Like, I'm going to go over even more examples for you cuz that's an example of a fake shift, but I want to give you an example of a real shift, too. and what that looks like. All right, I don't want to leave you hanging on that scenario cuz we want to do both and we want to compare it. But I'm telling you, like right there, folks, that should have been like a light bulb moment. If it's not a light bulb moment for you, then I recommend watching it again and again.
If and go into your charts and look for it, cuz don't just watch it. Like, you need to actually go into your charts and look for it as well. That's how you really learn. That's how you build those connections in your brain. Especially like if you're like a brand new trader, like if you've been a part of the game for a minute, you've like watched a lot of my videos, you probably going to catch on a lot quicker to what I'm showing you right here. But I understand like if you're a brand new trader watching this or a fairly new trader watching this, this is still going to be a lot for you to take in. And that's normal because you're new. But I'm telling you folks, I promise you folks, that's gold on a platter. And when it comes to like your shifts and you getting caught in fake out or fake out, I'm telling you, it's this scenario that's getting you. you need to do top down analysis and get that full picture.
So that's a fake shift. And then you can then capitalize on the on that to then take it down to the lows where the fake shift was. And then you could just right there, sniper shot. Boom. You're done.
Okay. So now we did that and I want to go over what a real shift looks like now. Okay. Let's go over a real shift.
Okay. So in this example, I'm going to talk about a five minute shift. All right. So, I want you to pay very close attention again cuz I'm going to teach you something new in this. I'm going to teach you this like the same criteria. Yes, I'm going to show you what like a what a good valid shift looks like, but I also want to show you like a little bit of a different condition.
Okay? And I I'll explain what I mean by a different condition because, you know, like not every single price chart looks the same because what happens later, what's this right here? Well, that technically is a strong number two candle above the high. You see that?
So then you might be wondering to yourself, oh, so considering what you said in the first lesson down here, because it was weak weak weak weak weak weak, right? 15-minute bearish market structure. And what you said, Mike, was like we need something bullish on that 4 hour to tell us that it's had a real shift, right? Wasn't that what you said?
And so this is a bullish signature at this time. So wouldn't that indicate that this is a potential 15-minute shift? And guess what? It could very well be.
But there's a few other things to consider and I'll break that down because I figured, you know, on Friday, we talked about it on stream on Friday, you know, with the mentees that it was probably going to struggle to make it past this up here because look at all the resistance. I mean, you had previous days lows pivot in there, that imbalance in there, and it was expensive in there.
All right, so I figured it wasn't going to make it past that on Friday.
But now, again, I repeat, pay close attention because this one might be a little bit more it can confuse some people. It's it's simple and I'm going to break it down as simple as I can, but I understand how this one maybe is a little bit more advanced.
So, cuz you can look at that and it has a strong close. Okay. And the 15-minute is, you know, putting in that work at the time, right? But we also see like what's happening right here and it's expensive.
So, you see I had like a big expansion, but it had a big expansion up into an expensive area with an imbalance. Previous days, lows, resistance. It has a lot in there to work off of. So, let's take a peek at the 15-minute because I'm on a 1 hour. I mean, a 4 hour. So when you look at the 15minute, it does have like that type of criteria, right? Even though there was no uh failed two or anything, it's still in an upswing now.
It's still in an upswing and it has a fair value gap up here, you know, later on. Strong close right there. So you may look at that now and be like, "Oh, this Mike, this right here is a 15minute bullish shift. So now it's ready." And it could actually. It actually could, but that's not what I'm, you know, focused on setupwise, right? It could come down, trip out this right here, and then push up and have that next leg up higher now that it's in that 4hour upswing.
Okay, the daily chart actually put in a bearish signature on Friday, like a new swing point, but I'm not going to get too deep into that cuz I know that that'll like really confuse people.
What I want to what I like right now at least what I want you to focus on is how you approach this for a scalping scenario because I'm I'm right now I'm teaching more for a scalping scenario because we did have a real shift in here.
But how can you navigate that whenever you have something like this happen?
So, what I said was, you know, the 4hour candle and the 15-minute market structure shift or 15-minute marker structure.
That's a good pair to use.
All right, for a shift, what do you think you'd use for a fivem minute shift? I told you earlier, a five minute shift, you use a 1 hour.
Okay, think about what I told you in the 4 hour. Now I want you to take that same thought process to you know a five minute shift and the 1 hour.
So you got to consider what happened right here. Okay, this is why top down analysis is important. So what I want you to do next is I want you just we're not going to spend a lot of time on the 4 hour but I want you to be aware of where 50% is.
Okay, it to it could take out the lows, but at the same time, you know, it's going to fight off this 50% area or it very well could. Why?
Well, it had a strong close. The 15 minutes been bullish. So, the thing is with that 15-minute now, at that point, you're coming down into a cheap area.
You can get a bearish deal on it, but you also need to understand if you see a strong close like this on your on your 4hour chart. You need to understand where it's going to get cheap within that. Remember, 4hour strong close means possibly, not guaranteed, but possibly you could have a real 15-minute shift happening in there cuz now the tide has changed a bit. All right? Even if it came up into a premium, still the tide.
That's a lot of conviction on that thing. So, you don't want to ignore that. So, I just marked it on to show you where 50% is of that range.
Okay?
See, there's 50%, and you got like the sell side down to 50% that it comes down into for some support.
What I want you to do next is this, because as I'm sure you noticed, it cleaned out the high before our candle, came up to this resistance.
Look right here.
So, here's a very important point. All right, stay with me. Pay very close attention. We used the 4our. We got the strong close. And it does have 15-minute displacement. So, it wouldn't be wise personally, like it wouldn't be wise if you want a low hanging objective target to like to shoot for these lows down here. That wouldn't be the best deal because it very well could find some short-term support off this discount.
And as a scalper, we're trying to be in and out of this stuff pretty quickly.
So, that right there is what we call what?
Let me just kind of remove uh this right here for a second.
What's this right here?
That's what you call a bearish a bearish failed two.
Okay. So, what do you find inside of a bearish failed two? Like, what do you want to hunt for in there? You see how it took out the high, filled the displayplace. It didn't take out that low either. So, whenever you have this type of scenario where it takes out the high, doesn't take out the low like that, and it fills the displayplace.
That makes that a failed two. And it's a bonus. Of course, this is another thing too that I want to point out. Yes, it's a big bonus if you're filled two closes weak.
Just like when we talk about like a strong number two candle, number three candle, it wants that conviction, right?
Like we just talked about a 4 hour the 4 hour number two previously having that having that strong close to give it the conviction. So we're talking about it could be a potential you know 15-minute shift.
Same concept applies with failed twos.
If it has like a super like a bearish close like this you just know your shift is going to be more explosive in there.
And what follows that a more explosive shift more momentum typically better follow through. So we had a bearish close. It took off that high, filled the displace.
So 1 hour failed two. What do you hunt for?
You hunt for a 5m minute bearish shift inside of that. Just like the 4-hour failed two would be a 15-minute shift.
Remember, you're going to hunt for a 5m minute shift in there into 3:00. You got to wait for 3:00 for it to actually confirm. You do not, I repeat, you do not want to jump the gun because when you jump the gun, you get caught in the scenario that I talked about previously over here. You don't want to do that.
The close tells you everything. So 3:00, you go in there and see, do I have the criteria? What is the criteria? And what you're going to notice is it's the same criteria that I talked about over here, but the only difference is you actually have something on the higher time frame to tell you that it's ready. Let me say that again. This right here has the same criteria for a high probability shift, the fair value gap, the strong close right there. Big displacement. And then here is 3:00. Look at my cursor. Look at my cursor right here.
That's 3:00. You can enter. 3:00. Boom.
You're good to go. You can literally enter right there at 3:00 playing a 5m minute shift. So you I want you to really understand why that right there why that right there and that right there are completely different bullish shift bearish shift criteria on the five minute chart. But the only difference here is when you had it right here you didn't have that higher time frame story line to back you and right here you do.
Right here you do folks. Okay, remember the uh 4hour right here? It was bearish. And I know some of you when I say that the initial thing that pops into your head is, "Oh, but it was bullish up here, so you just contradicted yourself." No, I'm going to explain what I mean and why that's different.
Okay?
But yes, the 4 hour it was bearish.
Okay? And the 1 hour was the 1 hour.
Now, think about this. the 1 hour because we're talking about five minute shift that was at when 9:35 gives you a pullback to a discount. That gave you a pullback into a discount at 9:35. Okay, so that happened in this candle cuz this candle was at 10. So that setup was before 10, remember?
Now another light bulb moment. Light bull moment, folks. All right, pay very close attention, please. I said it many times because I think this I'm not just hyping it up. I've said it before like, "Oh, this might be the best video I've ever made." No, I think this is the best video that I made in regards to market structure, market structure shifts, you know, in uh liquidity, okay? Cuz I'm giving you like this is basically a [ __ ] course. This is a course that like you could charge thousands thousands of dollars for, okay? And all that I ask, leave a like, leave a comment, get this in the algo because it's going to help a lot of people that are struggling with this issue. Okay, that's all that I ask. All right.
Now, 5 minute that was at what like it was it was like around uh 9:30 9:35 where you had the fivem minute displacement at the bell.
Remember? But whenever you're looking for a 5m minute shift, what do you want? Something on the 1 hour, right? I know I used the 4 hour earlier, but again, that's just why I like using different time frames like the 4 hour, the the 4 hour, the 15 minute, cuz it still gives me that uh bigger picture, but a good higher time frame when it comes to shifts to use is the 1 hour. Okay? Okay. So, you want something on the 1 hour to indicate that, you know, it's um that it's ready, that it's ready to have the reversal.
What that would be, for example, like uh a failed two, a bullish failed two, a bullish number three candle at times can be the case, a bullish number two candle. But what's this in?
You know, this is in a downswing, right?
And then that's where you got the push up in and here. Look at that. Look at my cursor. You see that wick right there where my cursor is pointing? That's where you got that fivem minute push up.
But remember what happened previously in the eight. That opened at 8, closed at 9. What's that right there, folks?
That's a strong number two candle.
So, think about this. The tide is weak and it's bearish.
It's weak and it's bearish. And you're fighting that tide.
Okay? You see where I'm getting at with this and why that wouldn't be a good deal. And that's the problem that a lot of you guys are facing. If you break it down, you really dig into what I'm telling you, you're going to find this is the signature that that you got happening. It's because you're not using these higher time frames enough.
So then your timing is just so off on it cuz that's how you get caught. That's how you get caught in fake outs because technically you're you're fighting the tide and you're getting swept underneath the tide. But you see the big difference. What about this? Oh, now we got a different story, right? Now we got a failed two on the one hour chart.
Now you got a failed two on the one hour chart right here going into three.
So now you do have something on the higher time frame telling you that this wants lower prices because in simplest terms like that's what a failed two is telling you. It's indicating that it is ready for a reversal. It tried higher prices and it failed off higher prices on into the close. If you've been around long enough, you've heard the saying, the wicks do the damage and the body tells you the story. The wicks do the damage, the body tells you the story.
So, if the body tells you the story and it closes like that, you have all the information you need. That's confirmation.
You didn't have confirmation down here, hence you get faked out. You do have confirmation here. Hence, you get an expansion lower because the tide has changed.
Okay. Now, the other part of the equation that I know some people are getting tripped up on, right, is the 4 hour.
Okay.
So, if you have a scenario like that on the 4 hour where it's strong technically cuz it was it had a strong number two.
This is going to be the missing piece for a lot of you because I know this is on some people's minds because you're because you're still kind of caught up on you're you're you're probably still kind of caught up on though like oh but the 4 hour had a strong close higher right here going into uh 2:00 2:00 p.m.
Eastern time. So wouldn't that kind of scare you away though even if you got the 1 hour because Mike I've heard you say before that the higher time frame is more important right? So if a 4 hour is given a bullish signature while the 1 hour gives a bearish signature, wouldn't that kind of scare you away?
Wouldn't you put more emphasis on what's happening here? So it is true that you need to pay attention to this.
But there also is a such thing as premium and discount.
So I've already concluded I got this resistance up in here.
And let's just say let's imagine that this really is a 15-minute shift, even though it may not be. and it might just get crushed.
We still got to consider that possibility because it had this strong close. Even if it isn't, you got to consider the possibility if we want like a low hanging objective target.
So, what you do in this scenario is you measure it like I did a second ago.
Now, think back. Now, pay close attention. This is where I'm going to connect it. Think back. Where did the 1 hour fail to confirm?
It did. It did at 3:00, right? Where's 3:00 at? Look at my cursor. I'm on a 15-minute, right? Cuz I'm talking about this could be, even though it may not be. It still could be. There's a possibility a 15-minute bullish shift because of the 4 hour strong close.
4hour strong close, 15-minute push.
But remember, it cleaned out the 4-hour candle high imbalance resistance, pivot resistance, and then what happens? Here's 3:00. Look at my cursor very closely. There's my cursor pointing. Is that in a premium or a discount in the 15-minute answer to yourselves with what I taught you cuz there's 50%.
Remember, it gets below 50%, it's riskier. It's in cheap area now. It's in a cheap area below 50%. But I'm talking about at 3 because at 3:00 is where you got what? 3:00 is where you got the 1 hour bearish failed to.
See where I'm getting at, folks? So, yes, the 4 hour can have that bullish signature. It cleaned out the high, which is also a requirement for me. It cleaned out the four candle high so I don't got to worry about that liquidity.
And then it gives a failed two in a premium.
So, how you want to approach this specific scenario where that happens, where you have something on the 4 hours telling you it's bullish, but then you have something on the 1 hour telling you it's bearish, you need to measure the displacement range on the 15minute, find your premium or find your discount depending where it's a bullish or bearish scenario and then mark that out where it's going to get cheap because you don't want to like try to look for to take out these lows. If you want to conserve a PT as a scalper, what you want to do is though now that you got the 1 hour failed two, you go, you went in there and you confirmed, hey, I have what I have all the criteria for a shift, which is the fair value gap, which is the strong close the short-term low right in here.
That is all the criteria.
And then what you're going to do next after that happens is you're going to target the liquidity and the discount. So you see how you have 50% here and look how you have sell side down here that you can target.
Whether you want to target this right here or the 15-minute sell side obviously like your best low hanging objective target would be like this if you're playing the 5minute shift that is would be to target like this right here cuz that's like right when you get down to the discount of the 15-minute range.
So you understand like it could find some short-term support there, which it did momentarily.
So here's how you frame a setup around this. What you do next is you get in immediately at three and there's your target 1 one stop. If you do it like I do it, if you do it like I do, it' be 1 one. You could risk a high technically and get a little over one, but one one just to keep it simple, right?
Right above the high. Boom. That's a valid deal. So, you see the big difference there, folks? You see the difference between that shift and that right here, the fake shift, because there's actually something on the higher time frame to guide you to confirm that this is real. While this one didn't have anything 4hour, 1 hour, nothing. Bearish across the board, tied bearish across the board, had nothing. And you, some of you may still get caught up on the fact that Oh, but hold up though. This isn't a discount though. This is in a discount, Mike. And you you said up here like um but here's the thing. Yes, it's in a discount. I get that. But there was nothing on the 4 hour or even the 1 hour or even the 1 hour telling you that it was ready. So, you don't want to fight that scenario. You want something to guide you on the higher time frame and tell you that it's ready.
Okay? That's that's the point that I'm making here, folks. All right.
Now, I'm going to go over a couple different examples from earlier in the week of what you know kind of, you know, is isn't the best uh shift scenario cuz we concluded like inside the fail two, you want to see what for the best results. You want to see a shift inside there. And it's kind of tripped me up at times too, you know, with full transparency because in my back testing, when it comes to like higher time frame candle outlook, I still got positive results with my back testing. Even if like my higher time frame candle, like say for example, I get like a a higher time frame failed too. whether it be a bearish or bullish failed two. Even if like my higher time frame candle has that failed two, but let's imagine that my one hour failed two doesn't have a five minute shift like this type of criteria inside of it.
In my back test and I still got positive results as long as I had the the uh I had the like I had my higher time frame candle. had the fair to displace like I had the failed two even if it didn't have like the displacement the fail 2 results were still positive but I'm seeing a pretty uh night and day difference here just from my experience and it is something that I'm tracking a little bit more extensively too in my data collection but here's the thing folks I know cuz you know I've so far the data that I've collected with you know this type of scenario with higher time from candle outlook it's it it makes a big From what I've collected so far, it makes a big difference. So, even though my results were positive before with higher time frame candle outlook without the shift inside the higher time frame candle, this is making a big difference so far.
So, it could be a tweak I make in the near future. Not right now cuz I still want some more data cuz you want to make uh decisions off of, you know, rational decisions.
But I can just tell you from my experience, I see it. I see this repeat week in week out. Like the follow through, even the follow through is just much quicker. Like it's much smoother and it makes sense because you actually have a real structure shift in there.
Okay. So, I talked about a fake shift right there. A real shift right there.
And I also want to go over a couple more examples from earlier in the week. All right. I don't want to make this video too long, but I feel like it's already been pretty long, but um I want to go over a couple more to really solidify it. All right, so I want to talk about this right here. So, you see NASDAQ came up and you see how it failed to displace like it took out, you know, it took out that high right there. It took out this high right here cuz for it to be considered, you know, that failed too for me. It needs to fill this place to this high. But clearly, there's a lot of green on that candle still. So, the thing about it is, you see how like there's a night and day difference between that um that last thing that I talked about and this right here. Cuz you remember the last one had what? It had that weak close, right? That bearish close. This had that bullish close. Now, full transparency, I actually took this, but I said it on stream with my mentees.
It's like I was a little bit hesitant off rip because I understood that reality. But as I said, even this type of scenario for higher time frame candle outlook for me historically when I did my back testing, it had positive results still considering I have everything else execution-wise, right? I have like what I need on the 15-minute to 1 minute.
Historically, it's done well, but I'm always trying to be better. I'm always trying to improve. So, if I continue to see this, right, and my data reflects it, then I may start to be a little bit more selective, but I don't go off a few days of like where I just uh see like cuz this is what got me. Y'all know like um I said it in the last video and I'm going to be releasing this I'm going to be releasing this video I'm making this on the 17th, right? I'm making this on the 17th, but I'll release it next weekend. So, I'm not sure what next week will hold for us, what the what the follow through will be, but last week, but it's it's not even just like last week. It's like um when it comes to the close, like this isn't anything new that I it's not like a new discovery for me. I kind of already knew that off rip cuz it's just it's really common sense, right? It's kind of common sense. It's like if your failed two closes weak and it closes bearish, you know, like the shift that you're going to have inside that failed two is going to be more explosive. It's going to have like a lot more to it, right? It's going to it has more momentum towards it.
That's it's literally telling you that with the close, it closes red, it closes weak, there's a better chance you're going to get that reversal. And I just say that from experience of seeing it.
I've said it with my mentees many times.
It's a bonus. It's a bonus. Even though it's valid for uh because it filled the displays, it's a bonus if I get a weak close. Abso freakingutely, it's a bonus.
But this fails to displace.
All right. So, this is what I used on this particular day on Thursday that I took an L on. This is what I used for higher time frame candle outlook. What's the 4 hour doing too to get the full picture? Right. Well, the 4 hour obviously structures bullish, but it cleaned out these highs up here, right?
And this doesn't close until 2:00.
It doesn't close until 2:00, folks.
Okay?
But it's like the tide's bullish on it, 100%. The tide's bullish and um you see the 15 minutes bullish, too. Like there's no shift on the 15-minute either. So, it's like I already had that in the back of my head on this day. It's like, okay, I know I'm fighting the tide if I'm shorting this thing. I'm going against that. Like, I was completely aware of it. My mind frame was, okay, I'm fighting the tide, but I'm really just trying to scalp like a little short-term retracement into the range, which is much more difficult than if you're just flowing with the trend.
Forex is more forgiving in that aspect than futures. It's actually like way more forgiving in that aspect. Like counter trend deals and forex are way better, way better. With futures, it can be a little bit um more difficult, especially if it's like been in the environment that it's been off the new highs, but not to get too much off track there cuz I know sometimes I do that right here.
Fails to displace. So, for the best results, what do you want to see inside that? Think back to the previous lesson.
If I have a 1 hour failed two, what do you think you want to see in there? best results. What do you want to see, folks?
Five minute displacement that opens at 10, closes at 11. So now the question is, do I have a fiveminute displacement?
You don't got [ __ ] Look at it. There's nothing in there. So you see how it fell to displace technically for me, but it's like, okay, it's just a pullback. It's literally a pullback into an imbalance coming off of brand new highs. So you can see why I was kind of hesitant on that because I can see the trend, folks.
Like I'm not blind. I can see the trend.
I can see the support and I can see the pullback and there's like no no shift in there at all. Nothing. But it's still higher time for a candle outlook. Okay?
And my rules matter more than anything cuz I always tell I go I go off the rules, not what I see. But at the same time, I do see a bullish trend. Okay? So don't don't let that go over your head cuz like I said, I may make a tweak. But this is what we had. So then I had like this right here. Look, you see how that fells to this place in there? That's a 15-minute bearish failed, too. And you might be thinking, "Oh, but it has like that weak close you talked about, Mike. It has the weak close you talked about in there." So, it has it. So, why wouldn't that be good?
Cuz remember the 1 hour? It's valid for me, but remember the 1 hour? It's not a surprise why it pushed up. Like, it's it wasn't a surprise to me at all why it pushed up because of this. I have the failed two in there, right? So then you go in there 10:45 to 11 and sure you have the 1 minute displacement inside the field too. So it did have that criteria that I just talked about, you know, from like the 1 hour and 5 minute and the 4 hour and the 15-minute. It has that same criteria. Fair value gap, strong close, 15-minute failed two. And that is correct. With a 15-minute failed two, you want to see a one minute shift inside the failed two. And you do got it. But your the thing that really did it in is what? Not a mystery. It's not a mystery.
There was no type of like tide change.
I'll put it like that. There was no type of change in the tide for my higher time frame. So even though I had higher time frame candle outlook right here, you see that? Even though I had that right there, there was really no there was no structure shift.
All right, so that's really the big takeaway here. And I that that's what like really did me in on this particular week. That's what did me in because it's like I got set up like I got technically higher time frame candle outlook higher time frame candle outlook higher time for candle outlook but it kind of just stuck me with these f you know these scenarios. So, I was kind of stuck with it and took it on the chin.
Even though like the back of my head, it's like knowing what I know from experience because I've been doing this a long time. And then I see like I I I like I I can see the follow through. I can see the difference between, you know, the uh when it has like a weak close versus something like this.
That's why like even though I took it on the chin, I was hesitant on these deals.
I was just hesitant because I I I could see that reality, right?
So then when you have that happen and you don't have anything on the higher time frame actually telling you that it's pivoting, especially with futures coming off these highs like this, that's where you get caught fake out after fake out after fake out after fake out. See where I'm getting at, folks? And that was the case. You know, that was the case.
And lastly, I want to point out something else to you.
And this connects with everything that we said, right? This is going to really seal the deal for it.
You see the difference?
I'll go over this too, right? Cuz I know you might say, "Oh, bullish fell, too."
But I want to bring your focus right here, right now. Okay?
You see this right here? Do you see the difference? I think everybody can see the clear difference between something like this, where my cursor is pointing, and something like this.
See how that closed bullish?
You see how it closed bullish indecision and you see how that slammed off that high and closed red. There's clearly more momentum towards it right here.
I mean, that's a night and day difference. There's no debate about the close that it had. So, both of these failed to displace, sure, but this one closed very weak off these highs.
And remember, that one didn't have a 5minute displacement.
What about this one that opens at 12, closes at 1. Because we're looking at a 1 hour failed two, right? What do you want to see inside a 1 hour failed two?
A 5m minute shift. Just like a 15-minute failed two, you look for a 1 minute shift. Just like a 4 hour failed two, you look for a 15-minute shift. Just like a daily failed two, you look for a 1 hour shift. All right. So even though like yeah you could play the five minute shift on it or if like if you're executing on the one minute like me the key thing that I'm trying to get across here is even if you're not executing on the five minute and you're using like the 1 hour for higher time from candle outlook it's still you're you're going to get your best results is whenever it has the five minute displacement inside of that like the five minute shift. It didn't have it over here but it did have it right here from 12 to 1. Okay. So, you see how it actually has like a real change in the tide in here going into 1:00.
You see how it has that tide being what you want to see inside of it is a fair value gap in there. And you got the strong close that low right there. You see? So, you see how there's actually like a real change in that tide in there verse compare that compare that verse that I mean it doesn't take a rocking scientist, you know, to see the difference there, folks.
Okay.
And that should give you a lot of insight.
So even if you don't trade the fivem minute shift, which you could technically, it's actually valid for a fivem minute shift, but that's like the same type of area where you would go in if you're using like the 15-minute fil like I like and the one minute shift. It's the same area where you would then look for that and then piggyback it down into the discount. What do I mean by discount?
Well, this is the next piece and the final piece before I before I wrap this up. Even though in this scenario technically I didn't give it to you.
That's fine. That's absolutely fine.
I'm gonna explain what I mean by that because I talked about a one hour, right? But what's the 4 hour still telling you at that time?
What's the 4 hour telling you at that time, folks? remember what I said earlier that um even though that like 1 hour higher time frame candle outlook in that scenario, you still can't ignore like what's happening on the 4hour chart in here cuz I mean the thing about it is the thing about it is it's bullish structure that had like a strong number two candle later but you'll notice how like this right here even though it did show in indecision I know off that high it cleaned out that low too. It cleaned out that high. It cleaned out that low in there. So that opens at 6 and it closes at 10. Go to the 15minute.
There's 6:00 and then there is 10:00. I repeat, there is 6:00. Look at my cursor. Look at my cursor. There's 6:00 where my cursor is pointing. And then there is 10:00.
So, do you notice how it has like this fair value gap? It has this strong close in here. You see that? And you see how that's also a Dylan range? Because if you were paying attention earlier about our lesson on Dylan ranges, we take the we take the low to the high, right?
Measure a Dylan range because in this context, even though it failed to displace with the context, it can be considered a number three candle.
All right? Right? Don't let that go over your head because you got to think like it's it's making new highs. You can look at that and be like, "Oh, this thing this thing um let me kind of clear this back off. This thing cleaned out both sides. It failed to displace so failed too." But we've already concluded it didn't respect the highs now, did it?
It's bullish structure and it clobbered it. It ramped up through it. So, it already tells us like it wasn't respecting this as like a level of resistance.
You see where I'm getting at? And the structure is still bullish because it has the criteria for that being the fair value gap to strong close. So it has the 15-minute structure bullish. It had technically again in this context even though it didn't have a strong close in this context. The context being what I just described a number three.
And you know when you have like a number three you're going to find a dealing range within that number three.
So, if you were to take the Fibonacci from this low to this high, where's a discount?
It's the same thing that I just did a second ago. If you remember where we had the strong number two candle on the 4 hour because the 4 hour had a bullish story line, right? It did. And this 4 hour also has a bullish story line, right? It does. So, you can't ignore the 4 hour, but you just got to understand whether it's expensive or cheap.
That's the thing. That's the key here.
This is the takeaway here. Is it expensive or cheap? So, you had the higher time frame candle outlook in here in a premium at the time. And that's the point. So, you can still frame a short deal even though it's bullish, but you need to have something in there on the 1 hour like the uh failed two or number three or number two, something up there saying, "Hey, we're bearish." Now, if you're playing like strictly a fivem minute bearish shift or a bullish shift, then yes, you want to see the failed two for the best results. I'll say number three as well is pretty good. And sure, number two is still like a change in momentum, but I'm talking about like if you're like doing what like how I like to do it with like failed twos, you would hunt for u for a failed two and then a 5m minute shift and then take down to the discount. Or if you're doing the one minute like I do with futures uh 1 minute execution 15-minute filled two it's the same like you would you would use that 1 hour as higher time frame candle outlook you have your 5m minute bearish shift and then you would just hunt for the 1 minute cuz price is fractal remember price is fractal you would look for the one minute within that but you got to understand that the second it comes down below 50% stay away stay away from it because you're still fighting a higher time frame tide. Okay.
So, like once it does that and it comes down right here, it's now has even though it could sell off, which it did later on, that is it still has support.
It's cheap in this area. And as a scalper, you want to be in and out of this stuff pretty swiftly, right? You got to be aware of this. See how that works? You see how smooth that is, too?
Look, cuz there was 1:00. That's where you got it. You got it at 1:00, folks.
And then look what it does. Smooth like butter all the way down to the discount, right? It didn't really like it had like this imbalance you could shoot for, of course, or um the disc. It didn't quite reach for this right here. It almost did. Oh, yeah. It did. It did. And basic equal lows with it. But you get the gist, right? You would go down there, hunt for your target discount area in here, and then that's that's how you would play the five minute, folks. Just like that. And then you're done with it because now it's in a cheap area within that higher time frame range.
So, the takeaway, the takeaway is because we went over several examples.
Fake shift. Look, I went over a fake shift, a real shift, and then earlier in the video, I did the same thing for you.
That's the big takeaway. And that was the case this week. So, it's like um that's how you could be more selective.
So, it's a combination of that, right?
You need to see the higher time frame candle outlook, but then you need to see an actual shift within it, right? Within the higher time frame candle.
And you can play the five minute, but even if you're playing the five minute, you got to be aware of what's happening on your higher time frame, 4 hour two in that story line because you can't you can't be too aggressive with your target cuz then it's a it's the same problem, right? It's the same problem. Even if you got like that conviction in there, if you're being too aggressive fighting a 4-hour chart, the second it comes down in a cheap area, you're still getting caught in fake out again. So, you need to understand where you are in the higher time frame picture to set your target. And that's the point, folks.
Again, all I ask, right? Because this is gold on a platter. All right? It's gold on a platter that I'm telling you here.
And if you made it throughout this video, you are the 1%. Okay? Cuz I know again like my videos, they typically are pretty long, but cuz I put a lot of information into them. They're not your typical um YouTube video where it's like five minutes of just, you know, pattern trading trying to get views to sell a course because that that tends to do best. Short videos do cuz most people's attention spans are absolutely fried, right? If you're if you've been this far into the video and I'm not just hyping you up, you're ahead of most people because it actually shows that you're serious, that you're actually putting in the work. And I'll actually do a little quiz cuz this will be interesting to see cuz I mean I can see the numbers. I can see the retention on my videos. So I already kind of know like most people give up early on in the video. Just comment below.
Just comment below and let me know if you made it this far. It really gives me a clear picture because there ain't going to be very many. It'll just be interesting to see. Comment below if you actually made it this far into the video and you watch this entire video. Just let me know in the comments and we'll go we'll go in there. I'll see I'll see how many people are actually here.
I'll see how many people are actually here.
And then like I said earlier, let me know as well some more video topics that you want. I had I had some individuals or an individual in the last video said he wants some more forks. uh CC type of deals, I got you. Don't worry, I got that coming. I got that covered. I um I listen to all the input. I write it down to keep track of it and I make future videos on it. So, it's not just, you know, try to boost my engagement on my video to get more views. It does help.
It helps push it in the algorithm, which helps more people find good information like this in this cesspool of garbage pedal by marketers on here, right?
Because most 99% of people on here are just marketers.
This is real information that you can act on. And that's very rare on YouTube.
Not hyping myself up. It's just facts.
It's just facts. This is real information on here. You don't see me marketing [ __ ] Sure. Like I promote I promote my mentorship on here on a lot of videos, right? But I don't spend that much time on it. I don't force you like I don't really push it on you. If you want to partake in mentorship, which we do this type of stuff every single day on stream. All right. So, if you want to kind of bump up the frequency from like one time a week, because I do usually usually one video a week, you get this every single day on stream. This type of stuff, this type of stuff every single day during live streams. All recorded, right? So, it ain't like if you can't if you can't make it, which I know is a lot of people, it's all recorded, plugged afterwards, so you can go back and watch it.
All right? So, it's there if you want to partake. If you don't, that's fine as well. I want to help everybody, not just people that pay me. I want to help the free people as well.
And that's what I did here.
Gold mine on a platter that you can use today that's better than 99.9% of the stuff out there. All right. All that I ask, like the video, subscribe to the channel, and then give me feedback.
That's all I ask. All right. I'll see youall next week.
Ähnliche Videos
JPMorgan CEO JUST NUKED Mamdani... as NYC's Middle Class COLLAPSES
Englishman-In-NewYork
7K views•2026-05-30
Why Canadians can no longer afford to survive #canada #inflation #shorts
TrueNorthInvestor-v4j
131 views•2026-06-01
The Hidden Difference Between Breakouts & Real Moves #trading #orderflow
SmartMoneyFutures
272 views•2026-06-02
What has a broader economic impact, corporate downsizing or ecological collapse?
theratracejournal
1K views•2026-05-29
China Is Quietly Buying Gold, the Iran Deal Is Frozen, and Silver Is Heating Up
RichardHolloway0
694 views•2026-05-31
Uranium Isn’t Priced Like Other Metals
vricmedia
929 views•2026-06-02
I Think Oil Futures Dropped Before Trump’s Iran Statement — And Here’s Why
bradicemancolbert
709 views•2026-06-02
After waiting 90 minutes, CA mom and baby leave ER before treatment. Then came a $4.9K bill.
abc7news
290 views•2026-06-04











