The stalemate between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz is unsustainable because the American public has lost its appetite for military action, with two-thirds already opposing the war, and the current pause in hostilities has made resumption of conflict politically difficult; this stalemate will likely end through either a negotiated peace deal or a decisive military victory that allows the US to claim a clear win.
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Geraldo Rivera: Strait of Hormuz stalemate between Iran and US not sustainableAdded:
But we do begin the hour with the president and the supreme leader today.
They're two very different visions for the future of the Strait of Hormuz. Two leaders seemingly disinterested in bringing an end to what looks like a military stalemate. Well, the president says that Iran is dying to make a deal.
So, for the daily take here in studio, the great Geraldo Rivera joins us.
Well, I hope they make a deal. Do you think they're dying to make one though, Iran?
>> the dying is on on hold, but the dying will recommence as soon as they recommence hostilities, which is obviously what will happen if they don't make a deal.
>> Got the Ayatollah, you know, Mojtaba, the Ayatollah Jr. partial post here from social media. It was his social media account was really active today.
Foreigners from thousands of kilometers away who are greedily carrying out transgressions in the Gulf of the Sea of Oman have no place here except for the bottom of its waters. I mean, who knows if >> the prose was very florid.
>> Yeah, if it didn't >> I wonder who who actually did it.
>> Right.
>> You know, is it is it him or is it chatbot? Yeah. I mean, you think he's alive? We don't even know for sure.
>> I I don't know. You think he may be in some way really severely injured, limbs missing. We've heard that before. Something with the face.
Maybe they're sustaining him in some artificial >> Here's Trump's point like we don't know who's in charge, so we don't know who we're talking to.
>> Well, I I get that. But it just seems to me that we never knew who was in charge the whole time.
>> Right.
>> And you know, what what he has done, I think right now is paused long enough so the American public has lost its appetite totally for resumption of hostilities. I don't think people so many people are against the war already. Two-thirds of the people are against the war. When you pause something, it's just like a a street fight. It's like to get it going again.
They'll know not this again.
>> So, the numbers would go down no matter what you think public.
>> think that the only way to get the numbers up is for the president to proceed with some kind of peace plan.
Either that or you know, the the final blow against the Ayatollah's regime.
>> Yeah, because he wants to be able to call this a win. I mean, you could sense, I mean, you know him, the frustration in his voice at the end.
He's going off on the media coverage and all that stuff.
>> the sense. I I think when when we grew up around here. When you read the New York Times on a daily basis, you want to kill yourself. It's such a depressing take on everything.
You know, if if there is a the slightest aberration in a in a you know, a decimation of nuclear material, for example, some very then they'll go with the variation. They'll go with the exception rather than the rule. It just seems to me that they're Yeah. I like when they got an ombudsman years ago. I don't know if they still have it at the New York Times, but you remember they they said something was wrong and they and they they they would come out with a report that was pretty objective. I know once they they had a some phony thing about me and Hurricane Katrina. They had they took it back after, you know, and I think that the if if Trump is correct, and and I believe he is, that he is more right than wrong in these grand pronouncements. His problem is he's not disciplined in this term as he was before for a short time. He's not on message. He does these rambling How many different things I >> Wait, he almost said it himself. He says, "I'm going off on a tangent.
They're going to say I'm going [clears throat] off on a tangent." But I know I get your point.
>> I get your point about the coverage, but I do also think there's a difference between, you know, how you define winning and losing. It's not as simple.
We've talked about this. It's oh, you hit a bunch of targets. Our military is phenomenal. No one's saying they're not, but that does not mean, Geraldo, I don't think it does, that you're strategically winning the war necessarily.
>> and the fact that we can sit here with the freedom to say anything we want about the state of the war, and it it seems to us that Trump is correct when he says that they wiped out the anti-aircraft capacity, the navy's at the bottom of the of the sea, the the enriched uranium is obliterated. You know, the things he says factually, I think are correct. The problem is when you have all all this truth, >> Right. where are we? How do you get out of here? This is No one want No one believes that this stalemate is sustainable.
>> Right, they're going to play for time.
>> Right. And this guy's coming on next hour. He's got some data to back it up.
They claim he he thinks they can hold it for 6 weeks or maybe even 8 weeks. He, you know, by moving their oil around and all If they do that, our gas prices stay higher or maybe even move higher than 430, and then I like I said earlier, then we go back to the hoop blinks first again. But you see here how he is teasing a solution to the problem. Which is?
>> And it it doesn't matter that he he says it's it's we've won the war. It's almost over. We the fact that he doesn't know that it is is my point because at a at a certain point, people will just be so impatient that he won't be able to do what he's doing brilliantly now. When you see these numbers at 4:00, it's very strategic.
These These The president is hyping the stock market. He's hyping the financial market. He is He's making people wealthy by by just rapping. You know, oh, yeah, it's great. It's great. Straight forward. Space force. We got the aliens on the run.
>> [laughter] >> I don't think he has as much influence, to be fair, on the market as he did a few weeks ago. I agree with that that he's trying to do it, but a lot of There's a lot of AI in this. There's a lot of AI spending in this, too. But you might be right. I mean, you might be right.
>> Yeah, no.
>> I I I hope he's right right for the sake of the country. Thank you for watching.
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