Peter Lynch argues that attempting to predict the stock market, interest rates, or economic conditions is a waste of time because no one can consistently do so; instead, investors should focus on finding great businesses and maintaining patience, as demonstrated by the 1981-1982 recession where even well-prepared experts failed to predict the worst economic downturn since the Depression.
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"Predicting the market is a waste of time" - Peter LynchHinzugefügt:
People get too carried away.
And first of all, they try to predict the stock market.
That is a total waste of time.
No one can predict the stock market.
They try to predict interest rates.
I mean, this is a If anybody predict interest rates right three times in a row, they'd be a billionaire.
Considering there's not that many billionaires on the planet, it's very you know, I took I had logic so I had a syllogism in the study of these when I was at Boston College.
There can't be that many people who can predict interest rates because there'd be lots of billionaires.
And no one can predict the economy.
I know a lot of people in this room were around in 1981 and '82 when we had a 20% prime rate, with double-digit inflation, double-digit digit unemployment. I don't remember anybody telling me in 1981 about it. I didn't read I studied all this stuff. I don't remember anybody telling me we're going to have the worst recession since the depression.
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