This video discusses the political dynamics surrounding Peter Obi's decision to leave the African Democratic Congress (ADC) and join the New Democratic Coalition (NDC), highlighting how political ambition, party consolidation, and electoral competition shape Nigerian politics. The content explains that political parties often face internal conflicts when ambitious leaders like Atiku Abubakar seek to maintain power, leading to party disintegration. The speaker argues that electoral outcomes depend on factors beyond social media, including party structures, grassroots organization, and the power of incumbency. The video also addresses the challenges of electoral rigging and the importance of fair competition in democratic elections.
Deep Dive
Prerequisite Knowledge
- No data available.
Where to go next
- No data available.
Deep Dive
COALITION DON SCATTER! ADC Regrets as Fayose’s Statement Hit Hard on AtikuAdded:
OB I told you that time OB very serious cancer cancer stage four he has finished both liver kidney hearts of PDP now before now he stop APC2 but he has shot both the eyes the nose everybody everywhere in PDP >> all the vital organs >> if there's any organ left is kakas >> and and you still choose to be a part of a party in the way.
>> Just wait a second. I listen my sister.
>> I am a 62 year old man. I don't beg for relevance.
>> You understand? Yeah. I'm done looking for appointment. I'm not begging you for anything. Those who reject wise council will face a tomorrow like this.
>> Did they make effort to reconcile with Obi before today? Today now they looking for Obi to make sure Obi is the clean man. Obi should not allow them to come and stay in. They should not obese is wearing white. Nigerians are talking OB.
Now today everybody has known what OB is made up of.
>> That was why I said to this OB don't allow don't allow anybody to put stains on your clothes. You have put up a great fight.
>> Yes.
>> A fantastic fight.
I mean pardon me that's >> Yes.
Frogging people.
>> Yes. [clears throat] >> Let's cover that one.
Obi was like a >> a hurricane.
>> God bless you for that language.
>> Peter Obi is the new brand new I've told you this Peter will be anybody who becomes president of Nigeria and does not does not give a right of place. I'm not saying an appointment for Peter Obi Peter will remove that person from office in another election.
Mark my words. So are you saying this same wave >> this same wave repeated >> this same wave this Peter will be the people supporting him the pet will be that I know after this general election they will continue >> even though the next cycle of elections is >> I'm telling you the APC sees now that it has a very serious competition and that's why Felix Mocka speaking for the APC has called Peter a rolling stone.
Mhm.
>> Now okay stone you say he gathers no more but it is within Peter's constitutional right it is within Drango's constitutional right to keep rolling freedom of association freedom of assembly is guaranteed under the constitution and Mr. Peter says well he's not leaving because of any individual but perhaps maybe he has been pushed and he's in another place and he has his army of obedience behind him.
The only caveat to that is that elections as governorani of Kadina state pointed out are not won on social media because Governor Wubasani said well if it is on social media maybe uh Tino will lose but is not social media that determines outcomes. We we saw that also in the United States election. So the days ahead will be very interesting and in the midst of all this uh is the APC panicking the APC is talking tough but I think that they will get a better understanding of with what this emerging dynamics uh means. Meanwhile, President Ba Metubu is playing what the Americans call rose garden politics. Rose Garden politics means when there is turmoil, when there's chaos, you just do as if who are these people? Nothing is happening. You go to the rose garden, you serve red wine, white wine. And that's why, you know, presidentu I just jetted off. He's going to go to France. from France is going to Kenya >> where I hope he will be able to tell president R that well the president of Nigeria is here can you fault my spoken English and then from there he goes to is it Rwanda and all of that all of that is called rose garden politics you can play what you want to play but uh I'm in charge that's what he's saying however our expectation should be met in 2027 and what is the expectation of we the long-suffering uh people of Nigeria one that there should be a playing field two that there should be real competition three that the process must be fair and credible in that regard it seems to me that professor Jo may well be saying that you know he's been vindicated and he will say uh Peter and so they to pot very quickly because of his warning that you people are risking this Zara situation >> you know and but they have acted wisely but let us see how the game uh plays out. The other thing is about the limitation of time >> on all fronts. By May 30, we we should know who the candidates are and that may well be the opening door to another level of the gaming system because this is game games theory at play. Would you resp uh number one I think it's going to be the beginning of more troubles for the NDC because the litigations will begin the litigations as regards even the registration of the NDC >> people that have not gone to court they will go to court >> well there's already one attempt by >> to go to court I know so it will begin because you see as Nigerians the idea here is not OB not being on the ballot. That's the problem. So all the forces will do everything to ensure Obi doesn't get on the ballot.
I do a lot of political mapping and I know people that do political mapping.
The ADC, APC, all the political parties have done political mapping. The only person that can give President Inobu some push in this election is Obi. The first strategy is to ensure Obi doesn't get on the ballot. The crisis in the ADAC was just because of that. Secondly, the point of um OB is always pivoting to other political parties. Let us go back to what history says.
Exactly what happened in PDP, why be pivoted, that's what exactly happened in the ADC.
Artiku [snorts] was not willing to ensure that the rotation convention comes to pass.
Artiku was not supposed to run in the 2020 election after he had run in the last term of the northern part election in 2019.
And that was why the likes of Wiki went up in arms. And that's why sometimes even if I blame Wiki for not being a party man, he had some justifications in his actions.
And that was why Obi left. Obi kept on saying that if you zone it to the south, I'll fight for it. So it's not that he doesn't like the fight.
In the case of the ADC, the article camp had already hijacked most of the structure in the ADC. The state chairman we're talking about, we already hijacked by the article camp.
Over the weekend, I walked the phone lines for my sources. I mean, we're political journalists. We we walk our sources phone line. Most of it was already a fair complaint. So there was no way [clears throat] Obi was going to be able to thrive or get a fair situation in this election process.
That's why he left. Yes, I know he tried to be cute about it by saying my elder brother Tiku is because of the court case. Peter Gregory Obi, you and I know that it is not because of the court case that you left. It is because you were already boxed into a corner. You can write a statement to deny what I said.
It's your prerogative and you know you already boxed into a corner and because agreements were not listened to part of what I heard was discussed in the B consensus by one of my sources I might be wrong was that there was a conversation about the scandi coming from the south but people reneged against it the article team reneged against it these are the things I'm walking the phone lines that my sources are saying so I know the article camp will come out and debunk all the things I've said.
It's for you to deny. It's for you to debunk. I mean, mine is for me to speak my truth and you to rebot.
So once that did not fall through and the consolidation has started, Obi had to leave because Obi wanted to be on the ballot. Yes, you might make an argument and say why is he moving all around and everything. Him has an ambition. For those that argue, why is Obi moving around? Why is Aiko still running as at 20 from 1993 up till now?
And some people are saying um article this might be his last lap. This is not going to be his lapl lap. If article is in good health, he will run in 2013.
Mark that down. He has his ambition.
Yes.
You know, former Liverpool coach Bill Shankley famously said, "People think football is about life and death, but they are wrong. It's more than life and death." For politicians, politics is more than life and death. Atiku Abboka's ambition is to become the president of Nigeria. As long as he's in good health, he will keep running until he get that ambition uh that aspiration and it's his goal.
Secondly, what will this do? The first winner will be President Tinubu.
But anyway, I had always known that they were going to disintegrate because there was no way they were going to agree in the first place because the ambition of artaka was more palpable than stepping down. And when people kept on seeing the elder statesman, President Tinubu will make a lot of inroads. Yes. Also because he's also running with state might at this point in time. The power of incumbency.
So it's not going to be as easy. And this is not a Bhari that allows things wrong. So the votes Obi said he got the votes OB got in the last election, he might not get as much because there will be many factors.
The other argument I would like to make in the southeast, you see, President Tinubu, they can tell you that they will give you votes in the southeast. I'm not sure Nigeria's politics is so mature to the level that people in the southeast will see OB on the ticket and see you on the ticket and decide to vote you over OB. It will be a miracle if Nigerian politics has gotten to that level. So, as regards the size, I see seen a lot of inros. the south south is kind split and all of that. But I think what will her elections even more that we should be careful about are the things about the electoral laws that have made it pretty much to rig.
So it's going to be an election that correct me if I'm wrong and I I pray I'm wrong on this. There might be a lot of rigging across board. President Inubu will retain most of his southwestern states and it will be even split. But with this that they've been able to do I think they just open the door for a president second term easier than ever which is a sad reality of things as we speak today because they can't come together. But let me even posit it further by arguing that if they were even together in the first place, would they have been able to beat an incumbent that knows how to use power? No, let's stop being delusional. I mean, Dr. Let me let me let me punch you this morning.
President Jonathan.
[laughter] >> All right.
>> So now before you speak, I would like you to speak to one the rise of Syriak Dixon.
>> Yeah. He just registered this special purpose vehicle which has now be become the big deal. And then as for comparison with 2023 uh general elections, no the objective conditions are different.
>> You know, [clears throat] Tinubu has had four years or more or less of being the incumbent. Maybe the incumbency will be an issue here. And as for structures, Peter has structures in the southeast and on social media and uh Quagwanso also has structures. So the NDC is not as if they will be coming empty and >> they just said that social media does not vote. There is a structure.
>> No, but there is a structure there and there's also a structure on the ground in the southeast. Yeah, there is.
>> If you can interro correction, somebody sent me this. I'm a leader in the NDC. The NDC registration started from 2017 and I have all the correspondent from INC from 2017 to 2019 till date before it was registered.
>> But they were officially registered in 201 recognized. So everybody has moved into it. Maybe some people from PDP will still join and the over 9 million membership of such that I quoted will even be more they can even get to 14 million. That's less so you have two minutes to sum up your thoughts.
>> Very interesting perspective. You brought a whole lot of questions and I would have loved to you know have more time but I have two minutes >> very okay very clearly [laughter] uh the the NDC and I told Senator Sriaki Dixon on the day of this launch of this party I was there I mean I left everything I was doing at the office to specifically be at that launch to hear what the vision for the party was and it was a very good um you know outing for them.
Now the NDC though they may want to deny it is actually built after one of the first Republican political parties the Niger Delta Congress. The Niger Delta Congress was formed by the late Chief Harold Dapa Bir who used to be in the NCNC and he eventually left the NCNC by Aziku and joined action group by Chief Abafawa.
But then when you know the movement and the crisis in the action group you know started coming up he then formed this Niger data congress and he's been known as the father of minority rights in Nigeria. Don't forget there was a willink commission he was one of those yes he was one of those who actually pushed for that commission to be put in place because a whole lot of minorities in Nigerians were angry and were afraid for the future as the country was going through independence in 1960. So he championed this party NDC and he used it to get into an alliance with the NPC and then of course uh in 1964 1965 election you will see that the NPC has some good showing despite the allegations of rigging and all of that. Now coming in to this fourth republic and this party being brought in place. Originally the idea of bringing this party was not to actually make it look national the way they are trying to make it look national but to have a political party that advances the rights of the Niger Delta people through minority rights and all of that the resource oil resource allocation battle and all of that and Chief Sriaka Dixon having seen the challenges that were happening >> countryman >> countryman as he likes to like to call himself having seen the challenges in the uh PDP saw a loophole ble to actually revive this and bring together.
Moreover, uh Senator Saraki himself was uh is a proteéé of Chief Harold Dabir himself. He had worked with him and all of that and so having seen this clear opportunity that presented himself he sought for the registration and there was a court in local actually gave this until you know the likes of Dr. Omar Ado came to came up saying that look this party was not properly registered and that's why that person is talking to you that they sent some of the registration materials to INX since but that wasn't registered but now the party has been put together now there's that view from some sections of the north that are we not going into a Niger Delta party but then what has been the political alliance between the Niger Delta and the north for example they've always had very good political alliance very good political alliance going back to this NDC that I talked about and then the likes of uh you know the late Amado you know sponsoring a whole lot of you know people from the southside south going to school at the ABU and all of that. So this is a very good opportunity for them to come together and then look at the prospects. The prospects are there that if Peter Obi is able to, you know, uh do the hard work because that's where the actual situation lies. You can't just move into a party that is new and just be dominant. You have to go down to the grassroots right from the polling unit to the W to the zonal congresses and do the real work which is registering members and ensuring that these people on social media translate to actual members who have PVCs and who are registered members. In a nutshell as I tried to conclude >> uh President Tunobu had actually you know one of the analysis I made here was that it was a bad strategy for President Tunu to allow all these people to come together in one political party. Now that they've been disorganized, he's going to be the biggest beneficiary of this because I think like you have said should have known clearly that this is the time of the south and for Peter OB too. Peter Obi is seen as if this is his last shot too because if there's a window for the south to actually uh provide a president and that window will expire in 2031, Peter OB is going to be 70 years in 2031. If he well then it will go to the north and then you have another 8 years. Will he be 78 when he comes back to the south for him?
>> Ateu Abubakar is in his uh uh 70s.
>> He's about to turn 80.
>> Yes. Going to 80. So that would actually eliminate. So you see Atiku fighting very well because the constitution allows it. There's nothing that's wrong with him coming out to do that. But Obito is also being cut off by age and Quano is 69. He's going to be 73.
age is a thing of grace.
>> Yeah. Well, it's a thing of grace. But look at the people who are powering the obedient movement and and Peter will be their own young people who are actually saying that look this is this should even be the last set of Nigerians that in their 60s or 70s that should govern this nation.
>> A 60y old man is a [laughter] very young >> so well I mean so it's a very difficult it's a very it's a very difficult time for Nigerian politics. It's a very difficult time for Nigerian politics.
The the youth population in this country want a total change including this political party. The ideology when I question Senator Syria K Dixon he said they going to hand over this party to young people and women are going to have you know tickets that be given freely but these things are always told us when APC was being formed in 2014. Isn't this the reason why a whole lot of journalists to you know felt enthused to be able to support this party because the PDP had become arrogant with power but now what happens is that once they get into power they become the conservative the status quo even Peter Obi if we don't hold him and scrutinize him assuming he does win it's going to be the conservative most of the promises that they are saying they won't >> keep we need to go I think a good point there because we have a young population >> yeah we need to question the manifesto Nigerian blinded by a tactical move. These are the realities.
I mean, if you were Peter, you would want to be on the ballot.
>> Why is Peter is is an article better than Peter?
>> Is Peter Obi better than But the reality is that the Nigerian politics is changing and women should take advantage of the NDC saying that they going to give free ticket. Don't be afraid. They said it's for women, young people. So I think maybe >> if they do give the ticket freely, the joker card.
>> Yeah. If they do sell the forms freely, women should get into the party, build this new movement and maybe in five to 8 years push the older generation away.
>> I'll campaign for you.
Related Videos
US-Iran War LIVE: US Launches New Strikes On Iranian Military Site Near Bandar Abbas | WION Live
WION
6K views•2026-05-28
Guess Which Country Trump Is Threatening To Bomb Next! w/ Chris Hedges
thejimmydoreshow
5K views•2026-05-30
TRUMP LIVE | POTUS makes massive announcement on Iran nuke deal in high-stakes cabinet meeting
TheEconomicTimes
536 views•2026-05-28
The Silence Around Alex Coughlan | #80
RealEddieHobbs
2K views•2026-05-28
Did China Get to Marco Rubio?
ChinaUnscripted
1K views•2026-05-28
Sonko Is Now Speaker. But Who Are the Two Men Who Made His Return Possible?
djbwakali
11K views•2026-05-28
Why Was There No Mention of Israel or Gaza in The DNC's Autopsy Report
wearefindout
227 views•2026-05-29
Trump Just Got HUMILIATED... And It's Going VIRAL
harryjsisson
46K views•2026-05-29











