Severe Storms This Evening

[00:00:10]All right, my friends. Meteorologist Matthew Wine here to talk about the showers and storms that have popped up across Kentucky. And we've got a decent amount of them right now. And we've got more that are going to be coming in later tonight. So, I'll be timing out those as well as talking about the severe weather threat that's presented with both of these rounds today. Uh you guys go ahead and put your comments in the section uh in the comment section. Wherever platform you're on, if you're with us on Facebook, on YouTube, on Twitter, wherever it might be, put it in the comment section. It'll show up over here, and I'll get to your all's questions as we go through this chat.

[00:00:51]But first thing I want to start off with are the showers and storms that are of course out there right now. Um we've got plenty, but there are only or have only been two severe thunderstorm warnings so far this evening. But one severe thunderstorm warning that was over Cordon and I had put out a a little note to you guys on my Facebook and Twitter pages and said, "Hey, some damaging wind gusts could be possible in Cordon." Uh, and then that warning came out less than a minute after that. And now it has been uh pushed further off to the south and east and that would include the Louisville area. So, let me show you especially southwestern Jefferson County. So, let me show you guys exactly what I'm talking about here, uh, with this storm that's now moving across the river. It's sitting right on the river there in 31W, Buen a Vista, Bethany, folks in PRP, and Shively as well getting in on the action here with some of the really heavy rain uh, associated with this shower or excuse me, with this big storm that's moving through. Um, zooming in a little bit closer for you, you can see that there's a lot of lightning with it.

[00:01:58]There's very heavy rain as well, but also it's the gusty winds that we're talking about. Um, and I'm going to bring this up on velocity, it's not quite as intense of a signature that we just had a short time ago. Yeah, if you look at uh right near Seven Springs and Elizabeth, and I'll zoom in on this for you, or excuse me, I'll circle this for you. right in here. That was where we could have had some 50 to maybe 60 mile per hour winds very briefly. Go back another couple of scans. New Middletown.

[00:02:30]Got it. Yeah. Um and then when it passed south of Elizabeth, that's when things started to pick up once again. But the good news is it does look like it has weakened just a tiny tiny bit. Um and I'll take this off the screen for you there. So, it's not it hasn't weakened a ton, but right over Fishtown, Rosewood, Madora, uh, Supio, you guys are all getting in on some of the heaviest of or the the fastest winds right now. That could be upwards of 60 mph. Barlton, you guys will be up here soon. West Point, it may be able to catch you. I think that you'll probably have 40 to 50 mile per hour winds in West Point, but upwards of 60 mph winds definitely possible. Um, so this is our strongest storm. It's our only severe thunderstorm warning. And also, very quickly, let me uh let me bring this up. It's moving southeast at 30 mph, 60 mph winds with maybe uh roughly dimesized hail potentially. So, not severe criteria hail, but dimesized.

[00:03:30]Um, and this this warning goes until I think it's 7:30.

[00:03:37]Yeah. So, we've got another 11 minutes on this severe thunderstorm warning. uh wouldn't surprise me if they did reissue another one down the line. Um but I I don't think I don't think that there's plans to do that just yet. If we go a little bit further off to the west, you can actually see that uh Heth over into New Amsterdam, Alton, you guys just south of Levvenworth, south of Dixie as well central and Dogwood, you guys are getting pounded by this heavy rain moving into Mockport and Brandenburg, you're up next within a couple of minutes. Uh decent very decent rainfall rates associated with that and probably 40 to 50 mile per hour winds as well.

[00:04:16]Let me check a quick source here.

[00:04:20]Yeah, I would say that there's probably upwards of 40 mile per hour winds associated with that one. But the strongest winds are definitely with that severe thunderstorm warning that's in far southwestern Jefferson County moving through Bullet County. Shepherdsville, you guys are going to be up here in about 15 minutes max with the leading edge of the line of storms uh going to be heading into your area right along I 65 within the next 15 minutes or so. So, keep an eye out for that. Uh some folks are already reporting some power outages. Uh Valley Station saying that it's raining really heavy with very high winds as well. And that doesn't surprise me one bit. This is definitely our strongest storm of the evening. It was the one that produced the very fast winds in Coridan. Now moving south and east at 30 mph. So catching the southwestern side of Louisville and Jefferson County into Bullet County here. Uh fortunately this is not widespread severe weather this evening. Not with this round right now. Not with anything else that's going to be coming up here soon. So again, you look further off to the west, we've still got showers and storms in southern Crawford County as well. West Fork, uh the folks in Dittle Mills. Um, you guys are getting that really heavy rain.

[00:05:29]Let's see. Uh, Artist Point, too, and just south of Beachwood also seeing the really heavy rain, the gusty winds, but, uh, it's lightning and heavy rain that's the main threat for you guys in southern Crawford County into Perry County and much of southern Harrison County as well. I want to do a quick zoom out and show you guys the movement of these storms. As mentioned before, most of these are moving in a southerntherly and easterly trajectory. So overall, the whole system, and I'll show you that in a second, is moving east. But we've got a southerntherly component to a lot of these groups of storms, clusters of storms that at times have little areas of um of faster moving winds. In fact, uh in the last couple of scans, we've actually seen with this latest one that just came in, a real uptick in winds.

[00:06:15]So, let me go back to that storm in southwestern Jefferson County right along 31W.

[00:06:23]And we're going to pause this for you.

[00:06:25]And I'm going to throw back on the velocity. And I want to zoom in on this storm.

[00:06:35]That's the wrong one. Let me go back for just a second, guys.

[00:06:40]All right.

[00:06:41]So, All right. So, I'm zooming in on this storm to show you the velocity. Not It's not a couplet. It's not a couplet. Let me make that very, very, very clear.

[00:07:00]But an uptick in the wind speeds. There you go. Right over rosewood.

[00:07:05]So, the Rosewood area, you can see that it's kind of this lighter blue color.

[00:07:10]Very, very, it's kind of faint. It's hard to see on the screen here, but moving into uh Stites, I believe. Yes.

[00:07:17]And Katherine, you guys are going to Andio, you mentioned you guys earlier going to be getting in on uh and Cosmos Dale. Actually, that's a that's a a town that I haven't heard of before around here. Don't usually drive down 31W very often um to West Point, but between West Point and Meadow Lawn, right along 31W is where the fastest winds are moving.

[00:07:39]Stites, you guys are going to be getting it along 44 and uh 1526 there in Bulock County. Also going to be getting some of these fastest moving winds. So if you're in that area, I do think that you could easily see 50 to 60 mph wind gusts here.

[00:07:53]Unlikely for it to be any higher than that, but uh some tree damage is probably fairly likely. Some down limbs, some weaker trees will be pushed over.

[00:08:01]Wouldn't be surprised to get some power outages in here. It's not going to be a fun scenario for probably the next 30 minutes or so for you guys over in that direction. Um, also going to try and get up with some of the um some of the comments that you guys are posting in this chat. It'll take me a second here. Uh, but we're going to uh yeah, we'll get it working. There we go.

[00:08:24]Let me see what you guys have put in the chat. Already in Bleven's Gap, no power.

[00:08:29]Wanting to know what it's looking like for Taylor County. We'll get you guys in a little bit. Bridget.

[00:08:34]Um, and yeah, guys, go ahead and tag your friends. Let them know. I see some of you have already done that. If you know they're in these areas, go ahead and tag them and I'll give them the information on what's happening. Um, PRP lost power for just a second, but it's back. That's good.

[00:08:47]Uh, Valley Station folks definitely getting the heavy rain right now. Good news is that it should be improving uh within the next 10 minutes. Etown. Yeah, I think that this storm is going to be heading down your all's direction, but I don't know if the actual severe portion of the storm is going to make it there.

[00:09:04]Uh, so I'm zooming out for you here and uh and just want to say that I do think most of us are going to get through this evening with a storm south of 64. Many of us south of 64 will get a storm over the next couple of hours, but not all of them are going to be severe warned. only a couple of them potentially could be. Um, so that's the good news is that there are just a few instances of damaging winds. In fact, this storm that is severe warn moving into Bulock County is already becoming outflow dominant. So that'll help cool out cool off the air ahead of it, which eventually would send in a negative feedback system to the storm, meaning that it should be weakening soon. Uh, so we like we like to see signs of that. A lot of these storms, even the ones that are further off to the west, are outflow dominant. Let me show you what I'm talking about as I zoom in here.

[00:09:55]I'll do another one more zoom.

[00:10:00]All right.

[00:10:03]And position this properly. Bring it to the now time frame. If you see, I love to show this. Love showing outflow boundaries. Stick with me, guys. A little science lesson for you. So, the storm right here over West Point, right? This is this is the storm with the gusty winds, but you can actually see winds right here that are pushing out of the storm. That that's outflow winds that are coming out of the storm.

[00:10:27]Also, right here, this red line, those are winds that are coming out of the storms and and that western portion is really outflow dominant. So, it's falling apart very quickly. If I take this these scans back a few notches, you see those winds coming out of the storms. They're kicking up like dust and little tiny little bitty raindrops being pushed out from the storm. And and so that's the cold air coming up from above the gust front or outflow is what we call it. Cold air coming up from above, smashing into the ground and spreading out. And as it does so, it's picking up little bitty things and throwing them way high up in the sky. But it's a sign of a storm that's usually falling apart.

[00:11:07]And that's what we were expecting, not just with this round, but also the second round that comes back later tonight. Again, we'll bring back up our reflectivity, which shows the heavy rain. Some of these rainfall rates, I'll show you. Not Oh, man. They are torrential.

[00:11:20]Let me see what I can do here with our All right. Right over uh Cosmos Dale. 5 inch per hour rainfall rates. That is torrential rainfall. Like cats and dogs.

[00:11:32]You I mean, you get hit with this when you're on the road. And it's the type that a lot of people pull over for. They throw on their their hazard lights and they pull over to the side of the road.

[00:11:41]I'd say the best thing you can do is try and pull into a parking lot rather than actually parking it on the road or the interstate, wherever you might be. You might be on uh the Jean Snder catching some of these really heavy rainfall rates, the far western side of it. Um you know, for folks that are going to be near West Point and Shephardd'sville, uh let's say Shepard'sville along 65, some of these rainfall rates are going to be moving in there in about 15 or so minutes. And uh and again, if you're going to pull over, take an exit, park in a parking lot. Don't pull over on the side of the road where folks might not be able to see you and uh rear end you unfortunately going too quickly. Um we also just got a new uh special weather statement that came out for a storm to the west of the one that's currently warned. And let me show you which one I'm talking about. I'll zoom into it for you. This one right here. So, we've got the severe thunderstorm warning that's until 7:30 right here for 60 mph winds that you see in the orange box. 60 mph winds for that one. For this one over here to the west, we've got 50 mph winds possible for folks in Mockport and Laconia, Dogwood as well. So, Laconia to Davidson to Rock Haven, Muldraw, West Point. Again, I mean, you're getting fast winds now.

[00:12:53]It's not crazy. You're just outside the storm, but probably around 40 miles hour, 30 miles per hour. you've got another one heading to you that could bring 50 mph winds. So, we'll keep an eye on that one for sure. Uh, one thing I do want to make very clear, and I haven't seen anybody ask about it, we're talking about specifically just straight line winds here. Maybe some small hail, very heavy rain, lightning. One thing that's should not be on the table this evening are going to be tornadoes. Not expecting that whatsoever this evening.

[00:13:24]So, if I can give you some good news here, it's that the storms don't last all evening and also that we don't expect tornadoes. Um, a few instances of damaging winds can't be ruled out and we've got that potential over here with this storm in southwestern Jefferson County, Bullet County. Uh, you guys could see potentially 50 to 60 mph winds briefly with this one. I'll bring back up velocity and see what it looks like.

[00:13:50]It's not quite as strong as it was just about 10 minutes ago.

[00:13:53]Um, so but again worth worth keeping an eye on for sure as as this thing is it's strong and I mean it is severe warn but if you get 60 mph winds it would only be a couple of places that actually manage to catch that with this storm further off to the west Laconia down toward Davidson you guys will catch the potentially uh 50 mile hour winds there.

[00:14:18]Um, so and actually you just saw that severe thunderstorm warning go away, which I pretty much anticipated would happen. As I said, 60 m per hour would be hard, but not impossible. So, here you go. Let's redraw the line of the winds that have actually already flown through Shephardd'sville. So, you've gotten the initial outflow from this storm, but the the highest winds are still uh closer to West Point and folks along 31W or just to the east of it. So, where I've drawn the orange line, that's the outflow from the storms, indicating that the storm is collapsing on itself and it should be weakening. It doesn't die entirely, but it weakens quite a bit. Usually goes sub severe, which is why that severe thunderstorm warning just went away. And then you've got this other this other batch of outflow winds right here coming from what are storms up there. So, I'll throw on reflectivity again.

[00:15:21]Here are the storms obviously, right?

[00:15:24]And there is this little bitty green line on radar, but it shows up kind of red on re on uh on velocity.

[00:15:31]Little bitty green line that I've now outlined with an orange line. That is the outflow from the storms indicating that they should overall be on a weakening trend. All right, that's enough with the storms that we have right I mean, I will hit back on those in just a little bit because I know that's some of you all's main primary concern, but we've got more storms than that. So, here's the overall view. And I hinted at this earlier. We're not the only ones getting showers and storms around uh the US. Much of the eastern half of the country from the northeast down to the mid-Atlantic states, the southeastern US, all across the Ohio River Valley.

[00:16:05]These things came out of the Great Lakes earlier today. Lots of showers and storms. but a main band that I've got circled here in white. And to make it easier for you to see, I'll do it again in orange.

[00:16:18]This broken line of storms is what's moving south this evening and through the overnight hours. um that this one is the main threat for us today that the Storm Prediction Center and we've talked about this past couple days, Storm Prediction Center has put out a slight risk for damaging winds for some of our area, for much of the Ohio River Valley. Um but then you look up in the orange in the Northeast, the Mid-Atlantic states, some of the Great Lakes in that area is where they've got the tornado threat, the higher uh hail threat, and the really high wind threats as well. That's where we saw most of our warnings on that last map. But again, about a third of our area is underneath a slight risk tonight for damaging wind gusts, vivid lightning, heavy rain.

[00:17:04]Those aren't severe um impacts, but heavy rain, maybe some brief flooding issues on roadways. Uh not long-term flooding, but we're talking the ponding, the hydroplaning type of issues, and maybe some of the ditches fill up fairly quickly, the streams start to rise a little. That's what I think we could see briefly. Uh, but not a big scenario tonight for flooding, vivid lightning. You know, we just I can't remember where it was, but I just read an article about a lightning death. A little girl that was outside and and I saw where someone else said that there was a storm that was far off in the distance and it struck somebody.

[00:17:38]Those bolts from the blue. When you hear thunder, we always say thunder roars, head indoors. When thunder roars, head indoors. It really could save your life.

[00:17:46]Damaging winds are the most likely scenario with this. Maybe some small hail, but not severe criteria. And then tornadoes, we just don't anticipate them to be on the table tonight, but we'll watch it closely. Um, with that that warning that I was talking about earlier, the severe thunderstorm warning that uh expired at 7:30, they did just put out a new special weather statement for the next 11 minutes for 50 mph winds with that storm. So, um, the 10 10ish minute window where Fort Knox, Radcliffe, Mold Draw, West Point, Shepard'sville down toward Lebanon Junction could see upwards of 50 mph winds. But that storm is really, really starting to fall apart. Here is that wind threat that I was talking about.

[00:18:30]Just about anybody that gets storms tonight has an extremely low damaging wind threat of, you know, 58 miles per hour or higher. The most likely scenario is that these storms are falling apart as they move in. That's what we want to hear. Um, so I would say 40 to 50 mile per hour winds are more likely, significantly more likely than any 60 mph wind gust around here with the storms that come in later tonight. Your rainfall risk or excessive rainfall risk, uh, where again you could have some very minor flooding issues, it's minimal. Um, again, we've got the heavy rain out there now. So, more storms later tonight already on saturated ground could cause some issues. Now, I've got this model that we're using.

[00:19:13]It's uh I don't think this is the her model. I think this is our in-house graph, I believe. I could be wrong on that, but um it doesn't show exactly where all the storms are right now, right? It's not perfect. Never will be.

[00:19:24]When it doesn't initialize perfectly, sometimes you have to take the rest of it with a grain of salt. uh meaning that later tonight it's it may not pan out exactly like this model says. I do still think it's on the same trend as many of the uh other high resolution models are.

[00:19:40]So I do think that sometime around 10:00 it starts to move into our southern Indiana counties, meaning Lawrence, Jackson, and Jennings. Uh maybe even Jefferson County at that point. Then it's approaching the I64 corridor around 1:00 a.m. But you can already see that it is falling apart and it should.

[00:19:58]That's just about how every single model trends for the overnight hours. It I I still think that showers and storms are fairly likely for folks in South Central Kentucky. But it's falling apart so rapidly. It's moving so far away and so far ahead of the actual cold front, which you now see approaching the Ohio River at 4:00 Sunday morning, that by that point, they're so far removed, they uh they're losing their steam, they're losing their energy. Uh those will move out by Sunday morning. A lot of us, if not all of us, are bone dry for the start of the day. You're walking outside. It's still a little bit muggy out there and uh and but showers and storms have very likely come to an end.

[00:20:37]So, if you're heading to church, I think you're dry to start the day Sunday. Then that boundary kind of slows down over South Central Kentucky. Sunday afternoon, it still doesn't show any showers and storms yet, but late afternoon through the evening hours, pop-up showers and storms in South Central Kentucky are much more likely.

[00:20:54]They'll form right where that boundary sits. It's most likely scenario. Um that means many of us should top out in the middle to upper 80s to around 90 degrees with good sunshine. But a northerly breeze is dragging in some drier air for a short time. So much of our area is dry on Sunday.

[00:21:13]And the same can be said for into Monday as well. Etown right now you're sitting at 87 degrees.

[00:21:20]Let's look over at Seymour.

[00:21:23]You guys had some rain nearby earlier, but um I think you're actually still pretty hot. Yeah, you're sitting at 89, due point of 75.

[00:21:33]And if we were to go to and it may take me a second here to find it, but I might be able to find one of our four panels so I can show you the showers and storms across the area.

[00:21:45]Give me just a second.

[00:21:48]Actually, let's go to Cordon.

[00:21:53]Yeah, you can see the lightning off in the distance there in Cordon. Pretty cool. And guess what? You had that rain cooled air. So, you have dropped out of the 80s and you're sitting at 74. That's some sweet relief from those low 90s that you were sitting in earlier today.

[00:22:05]So, we'll keep watching that camera from Cordon. Uh, I want to try and pull up one from Louisville here in just a second and give you guys a look there. I know a lot of folks were downtown. I was out there earlier going to get some food.

[00:22:18]And uh and it does look like there's a little bit of rain just inside the waters, but not directly over downtown right now.

[00:22:27]But we did Oh man, we I mean downtown barely got missed. Just a couple of little bitty bitty raindrops fell there and and it didn't I really don't think that it messed up any of the plans with everything going on downtown. There's just so much going on uh with all the food trucks and everything down there.

[00:22:44]That's not Louisville. That is probably Etown again. Um, let me see if I can get the the right one up for you guys.

[00:22:57]Oh, we might be able to pull up Bardstown for just a second. Yeah, Bardstown, you look good. You got some good sunshine.

[00:23:05]Don't be deceived, though. Showers and storms are just on the horizon for you.

[00:23:09]And we're going downtown now.

[00:23:12]And again, it didn't pull up. What a shame.

[00:23:16]Let's see if this one will work. There we go. There's a downtown view. Not too bad. You look across the river there, you can see that we've got some clearing skies, which is good news. Uh for folks that have some evening plans here in downtown Louisville, I think you've probably got a couple of hours where you're going to have dry time uh across Louisville after we get these showers out of here that are currently sitting over southern Jefferson County, especially along and south of um of 264.

[00:23:44]So, let me uh let me throw up radar so you guys can see that play out. I'll zoom in on these storms for you so you can see where they're at and where they're going. No severe thunderstorm warnings out there right now, but we do have some special weather statements for some stronger storms of 50 mph wind potential moving out of Harrison County into me, northern Harden County, Etown.

[00:24:07]You'll probably get this in about 30 minutes or less. Um they're not super fastmoving storms. and move about 30 miles per hour. So, maybe 30 to 45 minutes at most down in Etown, I think, is when this uh this could get to you.

[00:24:21]All right, we're going to go up and we're going to check out some of these comments that you guys have put in here.

[00:24:30]Uh lots of lightning and thunder in Shepharddsville. Yeah, you guys have been hit a couple times today, Alyssa Myers, uh over there in in uh Shephardd'sville. Let's see. Karen wants to know about tomorrow. I talked about that earlier and you I don't know if you were here for that, but there are showers and storms in South Central Kentucky most likely tomorrow. Um we'll give it about a 20% chance for rain, but that cold front will have pushed far enough south that we probably won't have too many issues on Sunday, especially in the morning. Um if you're going out to church in the morning or running some errands early in the day, I think you're dry. Most of the afternoon dry. probably not until the evening that that front can spark off more storms in South Central Kentucky specifically. And sorry about that. Let me uh let me move this up for you. There you go. So you guys can see it a little bit better. Uh let's see.

[00:25:23]Some of y'all's comments are goofy. It is coming down on Highway 44 towards West Point getting hammered with wind and rain. Yeah, Kenny, you're right. Um, let's see.

[00:25:39]Jonel Wagner thinks that they probably got 50 to 60 m per hour winds in the PRP area. You may have been right on the edge of that severe thunderstorm warning. Lights flickered a lot, but powered stayed on. Thanks. Thank goodness. Still raining, but not as hard. It says that sirens were going off for a short time. Interesting. and Jonal Wagner. I'll have to look into that because they shouldn't have been going off for a severe thunderstorm warning and we did not have a tornado warning with that storm. So, I'm going to look into that one for you. Um, lots of lightning and thunder and mold draw. I believe it.

[00:26:13]We have to mow the grass in Jtown in the morning. Do you think it will be dry enough to get it done? Sandra, I think that you will have enough dry time uh, you know, when the storms get to Louisville, it'll pro tonight, it'll probably be somewhere between midnight and 2:00 a.m. and then you've got about 6 to 7 hours, uh, I guess before you probably get out there and mow the lawn.

[00:26:33]Any earlier than that on Sunday, it's disrespectful. Okay. Any earlier than 8:00 a.m. I think it's disrespectful on a Sunday to wake folks up with the mower. But you've probably got enough dry time that um as long as your grass isn't super duper long, it probably hasn't some of that moisture is probably evaporated by that point. But it just kind of depends on how much you got. In fact, in Jtown, if you look at this map right now, it really looks like a majority of that rain missed. So, at least you didn't get much from this initial round, but more showers and storms are coming our way in the evening. Don Smith saying it's getting ready to hit Radcliffe. You're absolutely right. Less than uh 20 minutes and it'll be in the Radcliffe area. Etown 30 to 40 minutes or so. Um, and folks saying that it's raining in Ekran right now. Um, doing a quick check on my phone. Still not seeing any rotation whatsoever with these storms.

[00:27:21]That's what we want to hear. No rotation. They're outflow dominant, so they should be weakening overall, but they'll keep their strength of 40 to maybe upwards of 60 mile per hour winds at times. When is it going to stop in Louisville? Mitchell wants to know when is it going to stop in Louisville? Um, well, Naz, uh, I think if you're talking downtown Louisville, you've got a lot of dry time right now. There are showers and storms that are forming along US 150, you see them rolling, getting ready to head, well, moving across Lost River and then into Poli here in Orange County in probably about 10 minutes. Um, so Polioli folks, heads up. Quick downpour coming your way. Doesn't last long.

[00:28:00]Super skinny little thing. Um, and it it won't hang out it won't hang out for you too long. Um, but that batch of rain could make it back to Louisville within an hour and a half if it manages to hold together. But you'd be hardressed to see it do that. I think that if you're talking southern Louisville, like let's say uh between Wat and the Jean Snyder, you're only going to have another 10 minutes of light rain and then it comes to an end. South of the Jean Snider, light rain lasts a little bit longer, but the heaviest of it is out of Louisville for the next hour and a half or so. We're just watching what's traveling along US 150 up in Orange County. Um, anyone else got some questions? Lots of rumbles and pouring rain in Brandenburg. Believe it.

[00:28:46]Hodgegenville, Kentucky. Um, let me double check down here just how far away you guys are.

[00:28:56]Yeah. So, because you're southeast of uh of Etown, I think it gets to Etown, this batch of storms, Etown and Boston and Bardstown, and it may clip Bstown, not get all of you, but Boston to Etown uh within the next 30 minutes. And that gives Hajinville another 10 minutes or so. So, about 40 minutes until it gets to Hajenville should be weakening very likely subvere 40 to 50 mph winds, briefly possible, heavy rain, frequent lightning. That's the most likely scenario for you. Cassidy Ann White wants to know about the storms overnight. Let me show you again.

[00:29:30]Uh again, I I'll start off with the overall system. Here you go. Tons of showers and storms all across the US, the eastern half or eastern third at least. Um then you can see a line of storms that I've circled in white there that's crossing over what is that? I can't remember.

[00:29:52]70. Yeah, I think it's interstate 70 across southern Indiana or uh central Indiana through Indianapolis. So those storms are crossing the interstate in central Indiana moving through Indianapolis and they have not most of them have not been severe warned throughout the evening. So that chance for a damaging wind gust exists especially as the storms are initially moving into Kentucky but it is a really low chance. I think that they will probably get to Jackson and Jennings counties around 10 o'clock uh 15 minutes later or so for Lawrence County just because of how you're positioned and then down to Jefferson County, Indiana a little bit after that. And it's it will be moving across I64 probably sometime around 1:00 a.m. Uh but it's overall slow moving most likely. They probably only move about 30 miles per hour.

[00:30:44]That's why it'll take it a while to get to Louisville and I 64. Heavy rain, vivid lightning, and damaging winds are the most likely scenario. That's why we have a slight risk is for the damaging wind potential. Um hail really not on the board, not damaging hail. Maybe we're talking like dimes sized. And tornadoes, we just we have what we call unidirectional winds. They're all moving in the same direction from the bottom to the top of the atmosphere for the most part. So there's not enough spin in the lower levels to rotate these storms. So we shouldn't get any tornadoes. Uh marginal risk for excessive rainfall. We don't have a flash flood watch or anything like that. No flood watches, no warnings, nothing. No advisories out there right now, but I think that we could see an advisory with a couple of these overnight, meaning that some of the ditches start to fill a little bit, that there's hydroplaning on the roads from the really intense rainfall rates that have been upwards of 5 in per hour.

[00:31:36]They only last over your area for 15 minutes. So, you get a quick inch of rain, but 5 in per hour is torrential rainfall for sure. Um, here are the storms moving in at around 10 o'clock, as I mentioned before, into our southern Indiana counties. They're heading toward I 64 around 1:00 a.m. and then they're really falling apart after that very quickly. In fact, already falling apart as they approach Louisville. So, that's why after midnight tonight when Louisville gets these storms, I just don't think that we're going to have a lot of severe potential there. They're well far ahead of the actual cold front which will cross 64 tomorrow morning and then move into South Central Kentucky in the afternoon and then boom during daytime heating where that boundary is you'll see showers and storms pop up especially along and south of it. Uh behind it drier air has moved in. We've got more sunshine for us and temperatures in the upper 80s maybe close to 90 degrees in a couple spots but middle to upper 80s. fairly nice day uh with most of us staying dry. It's just the further south you are south of Etown probably the better chance for rain that you have. And then this boundary and I don't have it drawn on here uh but I will later tonight. This boundary will actually retreat back northward and then shift well east that way shifting east. As it does so uh it's transitioning over to a warm front and we'll see warmer air return for Monday.

[00:33:02]We'll probably have some 90s on the board and then we'll be set up with a new cold front that comes in now from the west on Tuesday. That brings with it its own severe weather scenario that we're going to have to talk about tonight on WDRB and and it will blow through uh one fell swoop most likely and I think that we're dry probably Wednesday, the second half of next week. Much a lot of dry time in there and much much cooler air. Some of the models are saying that places might not even get past like 82 or 83 degrees. It'll be really comfortable at that point. Um, Cassidy Anne saying that it is sleeping weather with those storms tonight. I think you're right. I think you're right. It will be good sleeping weather because the uh the severe weather threat is low. So, this isn't one that you have to stay up for. For those with storm anxiety overnight tonight, again, I'll show you the severe risk.

[00:33:52]A damaging a couple of damaging wind gusts can't be ruled out. Vivid lightning, heavy rain. You'll hear it on the rooftop. It is the type I think that might you hear some booms of thunder and it wakes you up. I don't want you running to your phone thinking, "Okay, there's a tornado warning." That's not going to be the scenario tonight. Um, we just really don't have the right things in play to do this. Um, all right. So, again, you guys are awesome. Appreciate you guys tuning in. We're going to get all cleaned up and ready to go for the show and uh and that severe weather threat tonight. I'll hit more details on it. I'll put out another quick little video, not live, but another quick video on the app to talk about the severe weather potential and things that have developed over the next hour or so. And then I'll also be doing uh of course live TV 10:00, 11:00 until 11:30 and talking about the storms, analyzing them as they're moving in. So you guys are awesome. Thank you guys so much for your goodness. Have a great rest of the evening. Stay safe out there and and make sure you tune in to the newscast tonight to get that latest information.