Economic performance, particularly inflation and fuel prices, serves as the primary determinant of electoral outcomes in midterm elections, with poor economic conditions leading to significant shifts in voter support even among the president's own party. When economic indicators like the Consumer Price Index rise above campaign promises and voters experience daily hardships such as elevated grocery and gas prices, voter sentiment can shift dramatically, potentially causing a president to lose support within their own party and enabling opposition parties to gain electoral advantages.
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GOP PANIC: Trump’s Economy Problem Just Got MUCH WorseAdded:
What's going on everyone? Welcome back to the show. So, you've heard this midterm election is going to be about the economy, the economy, and then the economy. That's what it's going to be about. And today, I'm going to react to a video. This is Harry Anton. He's going to be talking about the economy and how Republican voters are now sour to this current administration. So, we're going to take a look at that. But first off, you guys can do me a favor. Please like the video. And if you're watching this video and you want to see more content like this, please consider subscribing to the channel. So, I've said this before. When it comes to this midterm election, this midterm election is going to be a referendum on the president. So, if the current administration is not doing well, if the president is not doing well with his uh policies, that is going to impact some of the Republicans that are currently running. Why?
Because they need to defend this record and if the record isn't good, if the economy isn't good, if we're looking at inflation on the rise, that is all going to play a part in this midterm election.
And we're already seeing it. We're already seeing politicians have to answer to the current situation. Gas prices, people are being asked. They're going to town halls now. I mean, if you're if you're running in a campaign, you're going to have to do public appearances. You're going to have to do town halls. And we're seeing voters out there saying, "Look, what's going on?
Why aren't you protecting us? Why aren't you trying to help us?" And so, that's what they're asking these different politicians. And if these politicians can't come up with a a good answer, then guess what? They're probably going to lose their seat. Even if they have an advantage, they could have a 10-point advantage right now, but they still could potentially lose their seat if they can't answer the simple question, why are grocery prices high? Why are gas prices high?
When are they coming down? And if they don't see any results before the midterm election, then they're probably going to struggle and they could lose in November. So, let's go and take a look at Harry En's going to be talking. He's going to run the numbers and show us a little bit more information. And so, we'll take a look at this and then we'll talk a little bit about it as we watch it. Here we go. And what are we talking about? We're talking about a complete collapse of the floor. Look at this. Republicans net approval of Trump on inflation. You know, you go back when he was running for reelection back in 2024 for term number one. Look at that net approval rating. It was plus 68 points. Now, this is among this is the GOP. Okay? So, we're talking about Republicans.
We're not talking about all voters. So, that's that's important to to understand. Ju these are just Republicans. This is how they feel in terms of how they viewed Republicans viewed inflation in Trump in term number one. Look at this. Look at this collapse minus five points. Now, this is just the Ipsos polling I will note. But look at this. Even in Fox, he was at minus two points. So, it's not alone. He is on the wrong side of the ledger. And this is not voters overall. Let me remind you this is Republican voters. That call absolutely coming from inside the House on the key issue of inflation. There are now multiple polls showing that Donald John Trump is underwater within his own Republican party. and and so what what could we see as a result of this? So you have Republicans that showing, you know, when we're looking at inflation, he's underwater now. So some of those voters just might not show up for the midterm election. They might say, you know what, things aren't the way that I thought they were going to be. I'm not going to vote for a Democrat, but I'm just not going to show up. And if they don't show up and we see low voter turnout across the board when it comes to Republicans and you see Democrats energized for change, then guess what? You're going to see some Democrats win some seats that they wouldn't have normally won if the economy wasn't in the situation that it is right now. And so that is why this is crucial when we're looking at numbers like this. When you're looking at that plus 68, that was in in 2024. Now we're looking at it at minus5. And these are Republican voters. You see voter the voter sentiment has changed. You see that voters now they're not they're not happy with the current situation. Now he did say that this is just one poll. That was the Ipsis poll, but he did uh have a poll down below the Fox News poll and it's still showing that Trump is underwater. So Trump is minus5 with Ipsis and then minus2 with a with the Fox poll. That's a 73 point swing. I just did the math right now. That is 70 and three. And I actually drew that pretty gosh darn well.
All right, Harry, the phone is ringing. Hello. And someone's calling about gas prices. Who's calling and what are they saying? It's Republicans who are calling again and they are saying that they are underwater again when it comes to this particular issue. Look at gas prices. Okay, GOP Trump met approval on fuel and gas prices. You go back to last summer. Look at this. It was plus 51. Look at I mean plus 51. You have to understand the these numbers that we're looking at here. I mean plus 51. That was in June. So that was just a year ago. It was plus 21. Now he's showing it at minus4. It now minus4. Again, what are we talking about here? We're talking about a 55 point shift away from the president of the United States on a key issue of gas prices. So on again something that is impacting Americans dayto-day inflation. A part of that is gas prices. Of course, the inflation on gas prices have been out of control. The president of the United States is underwater on the key issue of gas prices. This isn't just something about the center of the electorate.
This is with Donald Trump's base as well. This is a huge ship. He's underwater again. the floor completely collapsing under. So these are terrible numbers for the Republicans. I mean, this doesn't look good when it comes to voter sentiment. And like I said, are these voters going to show up?
They might not show up. They might be so irritated with this whole situation. And as I stated, these are just Republicans. But when you start adding in independents, when you start adding in Democrats, you see that Democrats, there's a reason why we're looking at the generic ballot, Democrats have an advantage. We'll take a look at that in a second. But the reason why they have an advantage is because of the situation that we're in. It's because of the economy. The economy is not doing well. If the economy was doing well, then we would probably see a generic ballot that was showing us that it was, you know, pretty much a dead heat. It was pretty much dead even between Democrats and Republicans. But we're not seeing that because of the economy. And right now, we don't really see a pathway to change that when it comes to gas prices and and the price of groceries and all that. We don't see it. All last year when we're looking at grocery prices all last year grocery prices were elevated and now they're even more elevated as a result of this war in Iran. Now even when you know if we get to this point where they resolve the situation in Iran we have some type of peace deal or you know they're talking right now about the 60-day ceasefire and all of that. It's still going to take some time for that to actually for us to actually feel that gas prices will still be elevated. They'll come down a little bit, but they're still going to be elevated and they're going to be higher than they were the beginning of this year. And we also have to remember we're moving into the summer. So, in the summertime, more people are out traveling and doing things like that. And so, they're going to I mean, the demand for fuel is going to increase. And that's when people are really going to feel it the most because if they want to do that road trip now, when they have to put all that gas in their tank, they're going to say, "Wow, this is crazy." Or if they want to take a flight somewhere, they're going to see because jet fuel has increased as well. they're going to see that the cost of of, you know, airline tickets is more expensive. So, this is not good news. This is really not good news for the Republicans that are running uh in this midterm election. And let me show you the generic ballot, too, because this is changing every day. It looks like it's changing. And so, this is Real Clear Politics. What they do is they average the polls. And when we're looking at the current polling, let's zoom in just a little bit more here so you can see it. If you see at the top there, that yellow bar, it says, uh, what does it say? Democrats plus 8.1. This is the first time that Democrats have been over 8%. Okay? And I I'll go down below to confirm that, but I believe this is the first time they've been over 8%. And so we look at Republicans here at 40.7, Democrats at 48.8. Okay. And when we're looking at some of the latest polling, you see here, uh, this big data poll is showing Democrats plus 13. Emerson poll is showing Democrats plus N. The economist yuggov poll is is showing Democrats at plus five.
And as we move down, I just want to show you. You can see here, and I went over this just just a few days ago, if not yesterday. And just look at the path here. We started in January, right after President Trump came into office. They were in the positive. Republicans were in the positive. And then there was a switch there in February, like February 16th, we started to see the, you know, that was it was pretty much a tossup between Democrats and Republicans. Remember, when we're looking at this generic vote, this congressional generic vote, all people are asked is who who are you more inclined to vote for, a Democrat or a Republican? That's all that they're asked. And so, you see here, we started to see some change. That was in March of uh 2025. And then as you move through, you just see the the pattern here. You see that Democrats have stayed above and they've continued to increase. And their highest point is right now at 8%. Okay, at 8% that's their highest point. And if you look right below that, you look at this bar right below that, you see the momentum here. You see the momentum building. If you want to say the blue wave, that's what you're seeing down here. You're seeing that Democrats continue to increase their lead, continue to increase their lead. They continue to be on the uptick. When it comes to Republicans, you see down below there, I mean, they they've they took a huge dip here May 7th, from that point down, that's just a straight pathway down there. And so, the Republicans have a huge problem. Their problem is the economy.
What are you going to do about the economy? If the economy does not improve in the next, I'd say next 3 months, then we will see a blue wave. Democrats will be even even with all the redistricting and all of that talk, Democrats are still going to be able to take back control of the House and they could potentially be able to take back control of the Senate just because of the economy. Because remember, when President Trump won, when President Trump won in 2024, he ran on the economy. That's all you heard him talking about. I'm going to fix this. This is a problem. The economy is terrible. This, this, that. I'm going to improve it. We're seeing inflation at all-time highs and all this stuff that he was talking about, right? but he didn't do anything to improve it. And now it's worse. It's worse than when he started. The CPI, the consumer price index was at 3% when he started. The consumer price index right now is at 3.8%. And the anticipation is it's going to get even worse before it gets better. So now I want to hand this off to you. What do you guys think about this? What do you think about the economy? Do you think that's the reason why Democrats are doing so well in the latest polling? Let me know your comments below. If you like this video, please give me a thumbs up. Please subscribe for more. And remember, stay informed, stay engaged, and I'll talk to you in the next one. Bye. So, that's all we have for this video. Make sure if you guys want to send me an email, you can do that. davidthecshow.com. Like the video, subscribe for more, and check out these videos over here for some more great content. Talk to you later. Bye.
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