In international negotiations, parties with greater patience and fewer immediate constraints can strategically delay agreements to gain leverage, as demonstrated by Iran's approach of waiting out the US administration's timeline for a peace deal while maintaining military operations and diplomatic flexibility.
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Trump’s Iran Deal Fantasy Is Falling Apart | Strategy Session with Rick Wilson
Added:So, uh Joe, we are uh we're speaking of more consequential matters. We are now on uh on definite positively going to have a peace deal with Iran number 37.
Um as of today, Trump's like, "It's any minute now. It's around the corner."
Um uh I mean I I find this I Joe, how much longer are the markets going to buy this this this garbage for me?
>> Well, they can't they can't buy it for much longer because we're literally just a few weeks to maybe a month away from >> Yep.
>> the reserves being, you know >> Mhm.
>> June 27th is the date I'm hearing.
>> Yeah, it yeah, there's just at some point all the stuff that they're doing to um you know, dumping reserves, etc., trying to uh keep the prices low as they can keep it and it's still over $4.
But they're out of that. They're going to run out of room there uh within a within a few weeks. I mean, like you said, if it's the towards the end of June, you know, you're talking days away, 15 16 days away uh until the supply is just gone the ships are all empty and um and the it you know, and the the you know, the barrel price is going to go up like a hockey stick at that point and so will gas prices and everything else.
Aluminum and copper >> you think Iran has every motivation in the world to delay past that point? To break >> Well, yeah, I mean you know, and you know this, the the guys that were negotiating with the Taliban in Afghanistan, they kept going into the meetings talking about how we had all these weapons and all these people and we were going to come in and they would say, "Yeah, and you've got all those weapons and you have all those people and we have time. That's what we have. We have time. And uh I that's what's been going on with in Iran from the minute he launched this thing and I think the reality is you know, they're looking over there, they're looking at their watch and they're going like gosh I think we could hold out for two or three more weeks.
>> Yeah.
>> By the way, when is that November election in the United States? Can we can hold back off to that? So it it was never he's just never dealt with the reality of what he created in the and the mess and you know, now you have the chopper that was shot down >> Right.
>> by the Iranians and Trump is saying well now I've got to respond and we've have to respond. So I don't see how you know, there's not a can yeah, we're we're we're just around the corner but we're about to attack him again. I >> Any second now.
>> yeah, nothing yet makes no sense.
Like nothing about it's made sense but >> Yeah, let's play this clip about from Vance who also has a different timeline than Donald Trump does even.
>> It's a very close. How soon could the deal happen before the midterm elections?
>> Oh, absolutely. No, I I I think we're going to know a lot before the midterm elections. Look I I I think that the deal could happen in the next week. But the deal could also happen months from now.
>> Iranians stringing President Trump along in your view?
>> No, I don't think so again. I I think their system takes a long time to reach consensus.
>> [laughter] >> Oh, I think they've reached a consensus about Donald Trump. I think they know exactly what they're doing about Donald Trump.
>> Yeah, they're just going to wait him out. I mean that's I mean they've decided that a long time ago and uh you know, Bibi's not cooperating. The Iranian the Iranians have have a decision point too and uh and Trump never had any control over this.
>> No, and I Joe, one of the things that that that, you know, Trump keeps saying the Iranians military's been decimated.
They're they're firing missiles into Israel tonight. They're firing missiles into Kuwait this week. They're firing missiles at American forces in the Gulf this week.
This war is still going on with no matter whether Donald Trump thinks it's over or not.
>> Well, and his his own intelligence agencies are telling him that that that they still have 50, 60% of their capacity or what you know, >> blows my mind.
That's what blows my mind. I
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