Severe weather forecasting involves analyzing multiple factors including current radar conditions, precipitation patterns, wind speeds, and atmospheric moisture to predict severe weather events such as thunderstorms, heavy rainfall, and potential tornadoes. Meteorologists use tools like the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlook to assess risk levels, where a yellow slight risk indicates a 5% chance of tornadoes and 15% chance of damaging winds, while a green marginal risk shows a 2% chance of tornadoes and 5% chance of damaging winds. Weather models (GFS and GEFS) help predict rainfall amounts, temperature anomalies, and storm development over time, allowing forecasters to communicate potential hazards to the public and help them prepare for severe weather events.
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Heavy Winds And Heavy Rainfall Is Peaking As We Speak...
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All right.
A very active day today inside of the state of South Carolina. And guess what?
We will have a very active night tonight as we go into the state of South Carolina. And it looks like that it's going to be completely off of the title on the screen which was um there for the for the intro. Heavy winds and heavy rainfall is peaking as we speak. Heavy rainfall and heavy winds are peaking as we speak. And we'll get into all of that and we'll talk about why that is the case um right, you know, once we get into that time. But for right now, um I want to um first off go on and say if you have not hit the like button yet or the subscribe button yet, go on and do so. Um, also hit the share button, share with your friends, your family members, your acquaintances, and people that you don't talk to regularly because it's free and it always will be free, number one. And then number two, um, what is on tap for tonight? What is on tap for tonight? Well, as we start off going into tonight, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorm with strong and severe storms possible as we go into tonight. Drier conditions return as we go into this weekend. return to typical summertime pattern with daily scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms next week and continued unsettled with periodic showers and storms later next week. All of that we're going to go on and talk about. So, starting off, what is going on with your radar right now? Well, currently there is not any major strong to severe storms going on right now, but we definitely have some to our west over here in Milligville.
Also over here near Coan. Hope I'm saying that correctly. And also Eastman inside of Georgia receiving some severe thunderstorm, a severe thunderstorm warning with 60 mile per hour wind gust.
And then there's a tornado warning on the northern side of the storm going into Crooked Creek in Eaton, Georgia. So we have tornado warnings to our west.
And this line will move into the state of South Carolina later on tonight. But for right now, we're looking at nothing severe right now. Nothing severe, nothing um too strong right now. We do have rainfall though going all the way from Lancaster down through Camden, Sumpter, Orangeburg going down into Ridgeville, Somerville, Charleston, Hollywood, South Carolina, Walterboro.
These areas are receiving rainfall as we speak. Now, what about 4-hour rainfall going on throughout the entire US?
What's currently going on? We have some rainfall in Florida. We have some severe weather in Georgia, Alabama getting on some severe weather. We have some flooding going on in areas like Mississippi, Louisiana. We have some more severe weather in North Carolina.
some more rainfall in flooding in Virginia, Kentucky, West Virginia. Up there in the northeast, we have some rainfall and then even some storms going on up there in the north central US. And if you look in the west, west receiving their daily and nightly scattered shower activity from the four corners of the region all the way up into California northward.
Now, cloud cover-wise, I don't think anybody is really shocked that we are really seeing any cloud cover right now.
I don't think anybody's shocked. And it looks like that most of us are covered, if not almost all of us. And I think that this cloud cover will continue as we go more and more into tonight going all the way into tomorrow. Watch as we get into tomorrow here at around 10:00 in the morning. You're still seeing widespread cloud cover. And then watch as we move into tomorrow afternoon, you start to see a little bit of some peaking going on in between the clouds here from the sun to come through. But as we get into the evening hours, we still see major cloud cover over the state. We get into Saturday now.
Saturday morning, Saturday afternoon, some peaks, but still mostly cloudy.
Current temperatures right now, we're talking about 77 in Somerville, 79 in Charleston, as well as 77 in Orangeburg, 77 in Columbia, Sumpter, 80 in Georgetown, 81 in Myrtle Beach, as well as 78 inside of Conway, 76 in York, Rock Hill, Spartanberg, 75 in Clemson, 74 in Greenville. Going and take a look at our air quality for tonight. Looks like that we are in the clear. We're good. We're not seeing any sort of major bad air quality right now statewide. So, it looks like that we're good there. Low temperatures for tonight, talking about 69 in Spartanber, 69 Rockill, 71 in Columbia, Camden, Aken, 72 in Orangeburg in Monks Corner, as well as 77 in Charleston, 75 in Georgetown, and 78 in Hilton Island in Myrtle Beach. You go into your high temperature for tomorrow, bunch of 80s. 88 in Greenville, 87 in Spartanberg, 88 in Orangeburg, 89 Columbia, Charleston, Georgetown, and even 88 in Myrtle Beach.
Rainfall as we move throughout the next 24 hours. This is some good news right here. Beneficial rainfall statewide.
We're talking about a quarter of an inch upward for everybody throughout the entire state of South Carolina. But obviously when it comes to heavy rainfall, when it comes to beneficial rainfall, flooding becomes another threat that we have to watch out for. So you see the low country not getting much um compared to the upstate. You look at the Grand Train areas, the areas that need it the most, of course, getting the least amount. Then once you move more into the PD, more into the Midlands, you're starting to see around that half an inch to an inch start to be thrown around an inch to an inch and a half in the northern areas. And then you move all the way up into the far upstate. And then we're talking about 2 to 3 in of rainfall throughout the upstate. So that is a good amount. We want to see that rainfall moving through there because we still have a drought up there. Even though it's not the major of major droughts, we still have a drought up there um as of last update. But obviously there was a new update that came in today. That's why we have a poll inside of the chat right now. Go in and vote inside the poll if you have not already. Drought predictions that is inside of the chat because it obviously is Thursday.
Now we go and take a look at the SPC outlook. They completely like almost abandoned this morning's outlook and put a full new outlook out showing now a yellow slight risk. Now that slight risk has since kind of gone down and let me go and show it right here. Here's the new one right here.
that slight risk of severe weather over there in the western parts of Aken going on over into the McCormack County areas over down in close into Allenale counties. We have that slight risk of severe weather there. And you might be asking, well, what's it there for? Why are we seeing this? Um, if you're in the yellow, you have a 5% risk of tornadoes and a 15% chance of damaging winds.
Again, that is a 5% chance of tornadoes and a 15% chance of damaging winds. No threat of hail. And if you're in the green, you have a marginal risk of severe weather. That is a 2% chance of tornadoes and a five uh% risk of damaging winds. Now, not everybody in the state is included in that 2% tornado risk. I know the coastal areas are not included in that tornado risk. Um and the very far upstate is not either, but a good amount of us are. In fact, I'll go on and even show it on the screen right now. Um, here is the SPC outlook for tonight for our tornado activity.
The brown, that's a 5%, the green, that's a 2%. And so, Charleston is not included. Myrtle Beach, Hilton Head Island, but you guys are so close that I would just keep an eye out for it anyway because even though it's a 2% here on the South Carolina Weather Channel, we always take every risk seriously.
Doesn't matter if it's small or very small or very big. It doesn't matter what it is. We take every risk here seriously.
Now, if we want to take a look at tomorrow's risk, tomorrow we have another risk of severe weather in the low country and the Grand Train areas going on into the eastern PDI areas. We have a marginal risk of severe weather here. This is again for a 5% chance of damaging winds, that being the main area of concern. And then the tornado risk not being the biggest. Definitely not being the biggest. Look at the tornado risk as we go into um excuse me one second. There we go. Um watch the tornado risk as we go into tomorrow. Let me go and load that up real quick. Here it is. Oh no. Maybe not. Let me try that one more time. Uh day two is over here. Oops. There we go. All right. So, this is the tornado risk we have for tomorrow. Goes throughout Ory County going throughout Georgetown County. And then over there in the very very far eastern portions of Charleston County, we have a 2% risk of tornadoes for tomorrow over there. So, that is another area of concern. You know, not only just for tonight, but also for tomorrow.
Now, what about day three? Day three, our severe weather risk is done. We could still see some strong storms. It's still summer, so that could still happen. But thunderstorm activity is definitely possible over there in the western areas of the state, the southern parts of the state going on all the low countries included in there. That's for sure. Now, for excessive rainfall, it looks like that we are not in the clear, especially for tonight. Uh you look inside of the upstate, you look in the Midlands, you look over there in the very far western low country and the far western PE areas, you have a slight risk of excessive rainfall. That is a 15% risk of flash flooding in the yellow. And if you're in the green, which is pretty much everybody else, you have a 5% risk of flash flooding. That's for pretty much most of the Low Country, the Southern Midlands, the PD, the Grand Strand areas. These areas have a 5% risk of flash flooding. Now, as you move into tomorrow, tomorrow we have another 5% risk of flash flooding, but this time it goes for again those areas that were kind of in that marginal risk for tonight. That includes the Midlands, that includes the low country, the Grand Tran, the PD areas, those same areas in it again for tomorrow. Saturday though, things calm down. Same thing on Sunday.
Even though there is a little sliver up over here in Clemson, in Wajala, over into Westminster, also down into Koon Falls, um that has that 5% risk of flash flooding. And then as you move into day five, uh which this is Monday, Monday, we have another risk of flash flooding again for the upstate that goes from Greenville to Spartanberg to Rockill going on down to Newbury and Greenwood.
Now, as we take a look at the crazy score for tonight, one of the highest crazy scores that we have seen in a hot minute. 75. 75. That's again one of the highest crazy scores we have seen um for a good while. I think the last one that we saw in the severe category was when it was hot and then also it was um some storms rolling through as well with some severe weather with that marginal risk that came in. So, this was this is I think one of the highest that we've seen of the I don't know if it's been of the year. I'd have to go back and check cuz obviously I don't really keep track completely um of the crazy scores over the past couple of months or years even. Um but I think the highest one that we've ever gotten was up into the 90s. But 75, we're 3/4 of the way there to 100 in terms of the score. So, and honestly, I mean, definitely is proven. I mean, we have that flash flooding risk for tonight. We have that severe thunderstorm risk for tonight. All of that seems to be possible. All of that seems to be possible.
Now, as we go on and take a look at our models, we're going to start off here with the short-term future first here at 9:00 p.m. We go ahead and push this forward, and we see a huge plume of moisture move in from the west, from Georgia over into the state of South Carolina. from around 11:00 p.m. going all the way to 12:00 in the morning, 1:00 in the morning, we're seeing huge, huge plumes of heavy downpours moving into the Midlands now going in to even ports of the Low Country. And if you look over there in the Grand Strand, the PD areas looking a bit dry, not for long. You get a good amount of rainfall as we move later into the morning hours.
Now, as you go into 5 to 6:00 all the way to 7:00 in the morning, we're seeing rainfall from the upstate all the way down towards the coastal area. So, morning rainfall on your morning commute will definitely be there. Definitely will be there. No question about it.
Now, as you continue through to 9 to 10, even all the way to 11:00 a.m., you still see a lot of that rainfall trying to move away. Even by 12:00 p.m., you're still seeing rainfall in the low country. You're still seeing some rainfall in the Grand Tren. But watch as we get into the afternoon, that shower activity starts to move away. It starts to move away. And what do we see?
another plume of that regular everyday thunderstorm activity that starts to pop up. More moisture starts to pop by around 4 to 5:00 p.m. And now we have shower and thunderstorm activity going on from the upstate down all the way into the Midlands and the Low Country.
And it really starts to get going as you get more into the evening, showing more thunderstorm activity as you get to around like 9:00 p.m. tomorrow when I go live uh at Friday evening. You see a good amount of shower and storm activity there. And then as you move into this weekend, Saturday morning going into Saturday afternoon, a huge just bunch of dry air starts to move into the state. So it looks like that we are trying to stay dry at least at least here for Saturday um going into Sunday hopefully.
Now one thing that I do want to go and take a look at is the due points real quick. And I can say, watch as we push this forward into Friday going into uh Friday afternoon, Friday evening. You can see those due points dropping.
That's cooler and drier air moving in.
And now we have due points down to the 40s and 50s as that cold front moves in on Friday. Um mainly Thursday night going into or Friday night, excuse me, going into Saturday morning, we see a good amount of cooler and drier air move into the state.
And if we go and take a look at that map as well, let me go and go to weather.gov real quick so I can go and get this map for the short range, the NDFD here. Um, NDFD has us, you can see the main coldfront right here. We move into Friday um, here Friday morning going into Friday night here going into Saturday and watch how that cold front right there easily easily tries to push throughout the state as we go into Friday night, Saturday morning or so.
So, cooler air, drier air will be trying to take form.
So, let's go on now and take a look at the thunderstorm model here. This just shows us flashes of lightning, seeing what's going on. And I checked this out earlier, and I will say as we move more and more into the nighttime hours, I mean, we could still be seeing shower and thunderstorm activity by like two o'clock in the morning. Um, by five o'clock in the morning, we still could be seeing thunderstorm activity. By 7 o'clock in the morning, going all the way to around nine o'clock in the morning, we still could be seeing thunderstorm activity. During the morning hours when you're going to wherever you're going in the morning, it could still be thunderstorming outside.
Now, it kind of calms down once we get into the afternoon tomorrow because obviously that's when most of that moisture kind of goes away. But as we get more into the evening on that Friday here, we start to see more flashing starting to go on on here on the models.
And that shows more thunderstorm activity tomorrow evening once again going even into tomorrow night.
So, let's go on now and take a look at our um GFS model. This is the long-term future, and we're going to go on and just push this forward. See what happens here. And as we move into this weekend, you can see a good amount of dry air obviously from that cold front moves through and we are getting nice dry conditions. Now, it won't last all weekend. I mean, we have Sunday night where maybe some moisture is trying to um come through as we go into Sunday night, Monday even. And then as you move into Monday evening going on further into the future, you can see rainfall definitely trying to go on. Um, but you can definitely still see not you really can't see too much of a main completely wash out storm system. That's not what we're seeing here at all.
That's not what we're seeing here at all.
We move into Tuesday going all the way into Wednesday going into Thursday. I mean, still not much. Not much at all. Now, as you go all the way into Saturday of next weekend going into Sunday, June the 27th and the 28th, you see some rainfall kind of popping up. And honestly, what this reminds me of is just that normal everyday summertime of uh thunderstorm activity. As you get into, you know, the morning hours, things start to kind of go on a little bit. And as you go even into the afternoon hours, that's when things start to pop up. Then you go into the nighttime hours, things start to calm down. you go into the morning hours, things are calm. You go back into the afternoon, the evening hours, and you're seeing more thunderstorm activity once again. So, that's just what this pattern reminds me of. And that's why I said on what's on tap, um, continues settled unsettled with periodic showers and thunderstorms and return to the typical summertime pattern with daily scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms next week because that pattern continues as we go more and more into next week. So, and even into the week after, I mean, we still could be seeing that.
So again, not a major wash out, not any like major wash out storm systems like we're seeing right now, unless the tropics decides it wants to try and do something again or unless a storm system just decides it wants to try and pop up.
But how much rainfall are we expecting to see? Well, as we move throughout the next 384 hours, we're talking about 2.4 in, maybe a bit less than that. I'm going up to around 3.8, 8 maybe even close to around 4 in of rainfall or so according to the GEFS which is a good amount good amount here. I would love to see this and the European kind of has us around a good 3 in maybe a bit less than that 2.75 going up to around close to 4 in as well. So honestly both are around the same both are around the same showing around a good 2 you know 8 2.9 all the way up to around 4 in of rainfall. I could definitely, you know, I I can definitely dig that 100%.
Definitely could.
Now, let's go on and take a look at the anomalies real quick. We're going to go in and take a look at the temperatures first. And as we go more and more into this tonight, going into tomorrow and the rest into this week, we can obviously see some cooler air trying to take influence just due to that cold front. But as we move later into the weekend, going into early next week, uh we have some more warmer temperatures trying to get going. Um and then as we go into Tuesday afternoon, uh Wednesday or so next week and even in Thursday, you can start to see those temperatures starting to resurge back up towards the warmer side up into Friday. And then Saturday comes along of next weekend, Sunday. And then the week after that, we get into Monday and Tuesday. And it just seemed like a continued battle between warmer and cooler air, which makes sense. That's what June was about. When we talked about the June forecast, we I said that it was going to be a mix between the two. It was kind of an equal chance between the two. And so it just honestly just looks like that that's how we're going to try and play things as we get throughout the rest of June. Now, it doesn't mean we're going to have temperatures down in the 40s and 50s.
Probably not. But um it it does mean those temperatures could definitely get hot. Definitely those temperatures get could get hot.
And um the model's in here on July the 4th. So, we are I mean getting closer and closer to that beginning part of July and the end of June.
Now, as we go in and take a look at the GFS in terms of our uh to actual temperatures real quick, we're going to take a look at this for tomorrow.
Obviously, we're looking up into the 90s. We go into Saturday, more up into the, you know, up into the 90s there.
Going into Sunday and Monday, more upper 90s coming in. And then as we go into Tuesday, uh, Wednesday or so, things start to really get up into the mid 90s.
We get up to the upper 90s. As we get into Thursday, Friday, back up into the upper 90s. And then next weekend, we're trying to maybe flirt with some hundreds potentially as we go into ne not this weekend, but next weekend once again, maybe even earlier than that if conditions allow.
And if we go in and take a look at the heat index temperatures real quick or the heat index values so we can see what those feel like temperatures actually will be at. Go all the way through um Sunday, Monday, I mean we're already looking at high 90s. We go over into Tuesday, we're already looking at some hundreds. I mean, what is that? 103 right there already next week on Tuesday, Wednesday. Uh Thursday, still up into the hundreds and some is in some spots. And then as we move into Friday going into Saturday of next week, it looks like more hundreds are coming back in terms of feel like temperatures. Now, let's take a look at the GEFS for um for temperatures here because usually once you get about 200 hours out, things start to look a little bit more inaccurate there um just because you're going further out into the future. But we can definitely look at patterns here.
And I can definitely say that as we move more and more throughout the end of the month, I've been saying this prediction for the past couple of days now. It looks like we're going to be trying to get cooler um or excuse me, not cooler, warmer as we get throughout the rest of the month. Trying to get as we get into the late parts of June, going into the early parts of July, we're going to try and warm up. And I and I mean, you just saw the deterministic.
That's definitely trying to happen.
Definitely that's trying to happen. Now, averages are around, you know, like the mid 90s um in like the Midlands. You know, you see like the high 80s in the upstate. You see the low country areas in the mid 90s. So things are pretty hot as we go throughout the end of the month which makes sense. It is June. I mean about to be um um astronomical June or or astronomical June um astronomical like summer not meteorological summer on next no this Sunday. this Sunday. I always just base the base the official seasons off of the first day of the three months. So, that's at least that's just what I've been doing. December, um March, and then also June, and then going into um those last the last month.
We have all of at least all of those months. I try to just start the season at the beginning of the month and then going all the way into until we get into the first of the third or the fourth month after that. So that's what I'm just that's just what I've just been accustomed to.
But that's pretty much all that I can say here in terms of our models here for the future.
And honestly, I mean, I think that that pretty much explains what I was meaning when I was saying that, um, heavy winds, heavy rainfall, it's definitely peaking.
Um, we're going to see that tonight. Um, and then obviously in terms of winds, I mean, we I already saw some pretty gusty winds today at my house. Let me see. The highest wind gust I got today was around I mean, on the ground, it was around 20.
That was on the ground.
Now, up in the air, obviously, you know, the difference just because my weather station is more a bit more closer to the ground level. Um, it's still pretty high, but it's not quite, you know, as high as maybe most professional um, weather stations have theirs at. So, mine is more lower. So, it's going to maybe show a little bit more of a lower wind reading. So, it probably was higher than 20, probably around 30 or 40 or so.
And those wind gusts will continue peaking as we go into tomorrow. Um, if you go on if I go in real quick, um, before we go in and talk about the drought monitor right now and just see what the official wind gust look like for the next, honestly throughout like the next 3 days or so, it's not going to seem that high.
Really, it's not going to seem that high. But also, you got to also think about it in terms of rain um in terms of rainfall. And as those storm activity and as that storm activity continues to move throughout the state, that's when you're going to really start seeing a lot of those wind gust um start to move through. And so these right here are wind gusts without storms, without storms, without showers, just regular wind gust that you're going to see. And it's going to be up to around 30, 35 near the coastal areas, 40. But then in the update, you see it start to take a little bit of a step back. So again, without storms here.
But that's all that I have to say here.
But it's drought monitor time. If you have no idea what the drought monitor is, it is a prediction. It is a prediction um that we go on and see what the US drought monitor put for the drought for the month or not for the month, but for the week. Um, and so we participated in it and for right now it looks like as we go and take a look at the drought predictions now around 12% thinks that the drought has expanded.
I'm going be honest. I mean because you also got to take into account um we are not we are not counting we are not counting today's like later on rainfall just because the drought monitor updates in the morning. So it does not get that afternoon type rainfall. So that's something to keep into mind there um if you did vote off of that. But 12% thinks that the drought has expanded. 88% thinks that the drought has shrunk stayed the same. And so I'm going to make my prediction right now. Again, this is just a prediction that we go in and see what the drought monitor did, what the US drought monitor decided to put out in terms of a forecast. And honestly, I don't know. I haven't checked it. I'm making my prediction right now as we speak. And if I go in and take a look at the observed precipitation over the next or over the past seven days, I should say, what I'm seeing right now is around a good inch or so in the low country. I'm seeing that in the Midlands, the Pey areas. cuz I'm seeing Grand Tren areas around an inch or so. Upstate not getting too much though. So, I think I'm going to have to be with the majority here. We're going to go and end the poll right now. I'm going to be with the majority. I think that the drought has shrunk um slash stay the same. Honestly, just thinking about how much rainfall we got for the past couple of days, you know, with some thunderstorms rolling through.
I mean, just today, I think I got around8 inches of rainfall.
And just looking at it now, uh, this is I'm going to have to check, but I'm pretty sure, if I'm not mistaken, I'm pretty sure that this is a a decretion here. So, I think that the majority of us got it correct. Um, but I'm going to go on real quick. I'm going to go on real quick um, and check and see the last drop monitor, which I can see.
Uh, where's it at? Right here. So, this is the current drop monitor. This is what we currently see right now in terms of the drought. And this right here was the last one.
And so I will say one thing. Um there was definitely a decreasion in terms of like areas over inside of um these counties down here towards the towards the south almost. But if you want to look at the drought monitor here, you can see a good amount of it starts to go away in Orangeburg County. Orangeburg County got a a lot um taken away from it in terms of the drought. I see Greenville County, like pretty much almost all of Greenville County was included. Now it's really only like half. All of Spartanberg County was included. Now it's like only just a little bit now. Um you look over into Cherokee County, they were all included.
Um York County is almost completely gone. Um Okone County, I mean even Anderson County, a little sliver up there in the D2 now inside the D1. Um which by the way, the D1 is the least of the droughts. The D2, that's the severe drought, and that's what most of us are in. But one area that I'm seeing that we even talked about yesterday is up here in northern Marlboro counties and northeastern Chesterfield counties where there is now a D3 that has popped up.
Um in terms of the D3 down here inside of the low country inside the Grand Strand areas for the drought. It does look like that they have not shifted at all. Looks like that everything is still the same. Nothing has shifted. Um we just got just enough rainfall just to where it wasn't able to grow but not enough to where it couldn't go away either.
And so that's pretty much all that I have to say here in terms of the drought monitor for tonight. So congratulations to me and the 88% of people who said that the drought monitor stayed the same or shrunk.
Also the D0 the abnormally dry the non drought area um did expand as well. Oh, you can see it more inside of Barnwell County. A lot more over a little bit inside of Orangeburg County now and even inside of northern Bamber County. So, that's also something good to look at.
Um, no earthquake at all. Um, as we went throughout today, so we are good to go.
Let's go in and talk with the audience.
If you want to be a part of the audience, you can by joining us here at 9:00 p.m. Eastern time. Let's see what the audience has to say for tonight.
Starting off with my aunt Lula, who was here first tonight. She says, "Good evening, everyone. and I pray that everyone had a great day. Well, thank you so much for that. My aunt Lula says, or no, Mr. Anthony says, "Good evening everyone. Good evening to you." Then my aunt Lula comes back and says, "Today in Georgetown, a high was around 91.
Currently, it's around 81. I was hoping for some rain today, but no clouds in sight." No clouds in sight at all.
I mean, I'm seeing a good amount of cloud cover here on the map, but I mean, maybe I don't know, maybe just the time that you went outside or something like that. There was no clouds. I cuz honestly I mean it was cloudy at my house. What like almost well it wasn't completely like 100% cloudy all day. I will say that. But every time I looked out I saw some cloud cover going through. Maybe like some peaks of sun coming through but it definitely was mostly cloudy where I was.
Um hopefully the upcoming rain will help out the drought. Absolutely. Mr. Chris says, "Good evening everyone. Going through a rough time right now. Please pray for the wife and I." Absolutely we will. Mr. Michael then says, "Good evening all." Um, good evening to you.
Hopefully everyone enjoyed a great day.
Then my aunt Louis says, "Our local news reported about 100% chance of rainfall on Friday." Makes sense. Then my cousin Cheryl says, "Good evening everyone.
Good evening, weatherman. Hope all is well." It rained a little bit in Philadelphia today, just a little. Hope everyone is good. Have a um good J teeth tomorrow. Do your thing, weatherman.
Well, thank you so much for that.
Appreciate that. And then Mr. Daniel says, "Enjoying the off andon showers."
Absolutely. Um right now today um because I did not talk about my conditions um at my house currently it is around 72 degrees. We got around.76 ines of rainfall today and um our high temperature today was around 89. So it was pretty warm pretty warm out there and that's all that I can see here. So let's go and do top fan of the night for tonight. If you have no idea what the what top fan of the night of is, it is pretty much a thing that we go in and do and see who was paying attention, who was paying attention to the to the stream tonight. And if you get the question correct that I asked, you will be top fan of the Night for Night and you will have that crown until either you either, you know, until tomorrow or until somebody takes it. Um, being, you know, the next couple of nights. So, you can definitely keep your streak going.
We've had, you know, some people have their streaks for about 3 to four days in a row um where nobody has taken it.
So, we're going to go on right now and see who um can answer this question. And so, uh we're going to see we're going to see and I'm going to say I'm going to say this. I'm going to say this.
What area? And I'll make this even a two-part question. So, maybe we can have two top fans of the night for tonight.
Maybe we'll see. We'll see. Real quick for the SPC outlook. I said that tonight um there was two areas there was two areas that were not included in the um tornado risk, but I said that they should still be watching anyway because here on the South Carolina Weather Channel, we take every risk seriously.
What were those two areas? If you can name one of them, you get top fan. And if somebody else can name the other one, um they can also win top fan of the night for tonight. Again, and you have to be specific. I have to see some specific wording up in there. So, make sure um that you um make sure that that is the case. Make sure that that's the case.
So, that's it for the live audience here. We'll come back. or no. My aunt Louis says, "Yes, um, nephew, I didn't get a chance to see the clouds busy indoors." Oh, okay. Okay, that makes sense. Now then, let's go on and talk about the four areas outside of South Carolina.
You might be asking, four areas. What am I talking about? I'm talking about San Antonio, Texas, Raleigh, North Carolina, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, as well as Duncan, Oklahoma. The reason why we talk about these four areas because we have people from these areas who tune in almost nightly. And because they tune in almost nightly, we can go in and give them their forecast for them. Starting off with San Antonio first. You have low temperatures tonight at 80. High temperatures for tomorrow at 93 and then low temperatures tomorrow night at 78.
Yes, you see those low temperatures for tonight correctly that is 80°. Now, tomorrow looks like you're going to be kind of active. I mean, you have a slight chance of thunderstorms tomorrow during the day and then tomorrow night you have another chance of thunderstorm activity there tomorrow night. So, make sure that you're paying attention.
Severe weather not expected for you at this time. And then in terms of excessive rainfall, it looks like that you are not in the clear. Um, tomorrow you have a slight risk of excessive rainfall. That's a 15% risk of of excessive rainfall or flash flooding as you go into tomorrow. And then on Saturday you have a 5% risk of flash flooding. So all of that needs to be taken into account um and make sure that you know your plan just in case that flash flood warning comes towards you. Now, for your future temperature- wise, looks like you're going to continue to stay hot. I mean, as you go into midweek next week, you're going to be up into the mid 90s, maybe even the upper 90s as you move into next week.
And it's also going to be breezy, also going to be breezy as you move into this weekend, going into early next week.
Precipitation wise, look like you're going to continue to stay active until around Saturday or so. And then after that, I mean, Sunday going all the way into the late week next week, you look dry.
Now for Raleigh, North Carolina, you have low temperatures tonight at 72.
High temperatures for tomorrow at around 88 and then low temperatures tomorrow night at 66. No precipitation is expected for tomorrow night. But tonight you have showers um that are going to be expected and then tomorrow thunderstorms are expected. So you're going to be active nonetheless. And luckily for you, it does look like that as you get after Friday, Saturday, Sunday looks pretty dry. But as you get back into Monday and the week next week, except for Wednesday, it looks like you have a chance of rainfall every single day.
Now, temperature- wise, you're going to continue to be up into the 90s. Um, you're going to see maybe um some of those temperatures start to drop a little bit because you're going to see like some mid90s on like Sunday, Monday, but then it's going to drop to the lower 90s. Now, as you go on and take a look at your excessive rainfall, your severe weather, you have a risk of excessive rainfall for tonight and tomorrow. for isolated flash flooding is the main concern. And then on Monday, um you have another risk of isolated flash flooding.
Now, as you take a look at uh Philadelphia, cuz I still do not see any answers inside the chat. Again, the question was um what were the two areas that I said were not under a tornado risk for tonight, but should still watch out anyway because we should we still take every risk seriously even though they're not technically in the risk.
They're right on the border. So again, that was the question for tonight.
We're going to start off with Philadelphia though. Low temperatures tonight at 69. High temperatures for tomorrow at 83. And then low temperatures tomorrow night at 64.
Breezy conditions tonight and tomorrow.
Breezy conditions tonight and tomorrow.
Now, we're not really looking for too much in terms of rainfall activity until next week. And still, even once it reaches to next week, once you get to midweek, things start to kind of fizzle out a little bit. So, we'll see how that kind of develops, but for right now, you look pretty dry. I mean, all the way through into Sunday. Temperature- wise, you're going to continue to stay up into the 80s. You're not really going to leave that. And then excessive rainfall wise, you have a chance for some excessive rainfall on Monday, which is kind of odd because if I'm not mist, let me go in and check this again real quick just to make sure I'm not losing my mind. Um, no, you do have a chance of rainfall on Monday. I do take that back. Okay. Um, no. So, I was losing my mind.
So, um, no severe weather for you.
You're not looking for that. And then severe weather for Raleigh, I forgot to cover that. You do have a risk of severe weather for tonight, 2% risk of tornadoes, and a 2% risk of damaging winds. And then tomorrow, you're in the clear there for Raleigh. Um, but for Philadelphia, no severe weather for you.
And then finally for Duncan, Oklahoma being the final location, usually the more active one, but it's not tonight.
um with low temperatures tonight at 67, high temperatures for tomorrow at 84 and then low temperatures tomorrow night at 70. Actually, it may be. Um showers are expected tonight and then tomorrow, showers are likely tomorrow night.
There's another chance of thunderstorms there. Now, for severe weather, you do have a risk of severe weather for tonight. Isolated damaging winds and isolated damaging hail of up to an inch in diameter is possible for you as you go into tonight. And then in terms of excessive rainfall, we move all the way back over here. Um you have a 15% risk of damaging winds or 15% risk of flash flooding for tonight. Tomorrow a 5% and then on Sunday you have another 5%.
Monday you have another 5% of flash flooding. So a lot of things going on there and just a lot of of things just to watch for as you move throughout the next couple of days here.
So, what's going on right now throughout the entire US weather news wise?
Potential life-threatening flash flooding across the northern Gulf Coast states um as the remnants of Arthur track across the area.
Remember, turnaround don't drown. In addition, severe thunderstorms with tornadoes are possible with the circulation of the storm, especially over here in the Carolinas. The threat for more severe thunderstorms will occur across ports of the Northeast, the Mid-Atlantic, and the Central Appalachins.
We also have some extreme heat going on down there in Texas and also Louisiana.
And then we also have some red flag warnings for some fire concerns over there in Nevada, the entire state, um parts of northern California, southern Oregon, southwestern Idaho, and western Utah and Arizona.
And then flooding just continues and I don't see really anything else maybe except for uh something else up there along the coast. I think that's beach hazard statements up there um in New York.
But that's all that I can see here throughout the entire um nation here. I only have two answers and one of them or and one of them technically is correct even though it's not exactly exactly what I'm looking for. Um, North Walter Bro, that's not correct. But Ory and Georgetown County is a bit too broad. A bit too broad. But since, you know, we going about to wrap this up and I don't see any other answers.
Um, the answers was the coastal areas, which technically is or in Georgetown counties, and then the very far far upstate. Um, that was the answer for tonight. So, um, because nobody else answered, I'll just go and give it to you for tonight. Um, so my aunt Lula does win the top fan of the night for tonight.
Congratulations to you. I think this is your second night in a row. That's what I'm saying. Um about how some people can keep it um for a couple of days, not losing their streak.
And that's all they have to say here for tonight. Make sure you hit the like button, hit the subscribe button. I've been loving the growth that we've been seeing, getting, you know, subscribers every single day. So, let's keep let's keep on seeing that happen. Let's get more shares out. Let's get more people involved because obviously, as we know, the work never stops. Work never stops.
We got to keep going. And uh we are right now 45 away. 45 away from uh that main goal of 800. And then we are less than a quarter of a way to a th00and. So, we are getting closer and closer and closer.
Make sure you hit the like button, hit the subscribe button if you have not already, and I'll be back tomorrow morning for your Friday morning forecast update. And make sure you're there for that. Also, tomorrow evening uh for your Friday evening forecast update. I don't think No, I did not get any emails tonight, so we're good there. Make sure you hit those two buttons before you leave if you're new.
Down feel.
Hey. Hey. Hey. Heat. Heat.
Heat.
Heat.
Heat. Heat.
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