Tracking Severe Storms

Added: 2026-04-29

[00:00:20]Hey there, chief meteorologist Matt Lop on alongside our meteorologist Gabe Mayor tracking some showers and thunderstorms still as of about 1:50 in the morning. No severe weather out there. Probably should have changed the titling on that open just a second ago.

[00:00:33]We know we got a lot of folks out there still, you know, kind of watching us on on the different uh the different app in particular. Still have more than 3,000 people on there with us live at this time of the night. So, I figured we'd at least kind of give you an update on how things kind of stand. Again, a lot of lightning out of what we have out there.

[00:00:50]We do still have that uh tornado watch that remains in effect as of coming up on the 2:00 hour, but just kind of looking at the latest here on Mama Justice Doppler radar. There's not really a whole lot to concern out there.

[00:01:02]So, you know, the the atmosphere is showing again again plenty of loud storms, but not severe storms. And there is a difference in this case between those two things. The wind, there's nothing on that that says tornado and anything. I mean, maybe some small hail possible, primarily heavy rainfall out of these storms. Uh again, looking for hail swaths on our True Shield hail tracker. There's just not much out there. And even look at that shear rate that looks at the individual areas where maybe there's some rotation. We look for kind of organized areas where things kind of hold on for a longer period of time. Don't really show much of that there uh for any of the locations here across North Mississippi that we are that we're looking at here on uh on on radar at this point. So I don't really see any significant concerns in that regard uh uh just primarily loud thunderstorms those are causing and have caused you know power disruptions. you know, that being some of the more significant issues uh that we have seen as I pull off kind of again the watches there. Uh the overwhelming majority of locations here uh that can watch us across North Mississippi with at least some kind of power disruption from Kaziesco down there in Itala County. We show Itala County about 14% of the county out of power. 12% Chasaw 11% in uh Lamar 18% in Faget County, Alabama.

[00:02:18]Um and you know obviously in some cases five to 10 percent other locations as well. So we have had a decent number of power outages uh this evening overnight uh as well. I'm looking at individual numbers there in some cases about 1,500 to a thousand seems to be pretty common.

[00:02:36]Uh looking at uh some of those outages across the region. Our total here uh in the state of Mississippi we go a little wider on the shot here for a moment. uh certainly northern part of the state where we've seen kind of the greatest number and it does look like even just a second. You know, when we look at the actual numbers there statewide on the outages at least it's not anything too terribly extreme. Let's compare where we were earlier. We're down actually to 8,000 outages statewide. They're up to 12,500 in Alabama. Uh and then down from most states around us as well. So s about 8,000 outages statewide here across the northern part of Mississippi.

[00:03:13]Let's bring it back into u Mama Justice Stoplo radar. I'm going to bring our meteorologist Gabe Maynor in. Uh and I'm going to let him kind of wrap things up here. Kind of tracking a few thunderstorms. Uh he is in our Tupelo studios now. Uh and Gabe, you know, um obviously you power out is one of the many things we're looking at. Still heavy rainfall out of some of these thunderstorms, but the vast majority of these just very very uh below severe limits. I'm just not sure we're going to see very many more of these as we go throughout tonight.

[00:03:43]>> Yeah, Matt, you know, you're exactly right on that. And I think that while there is still a large number of power out or not power outages, lightning strikes, those could cause a few more of those power outages, but as we saw just a moment ago, those disruptions are still in place. In fact, where we're getting one of those power outages is actually at our uh Birmingham radar site. So, they lost power as you can see that latest scan actually coming. We got a go about 2 hours ago and you can see that there's not a scan up until about you know 12:30 and when you got those strong thunderstorms moving right area ended up knocking the uh knocking that radar down. So haven't gotten a report from there. So we're uh over there in Birmingham we're keeping eyes on it. I was looking at that for my parents over there and uh does look like everything's remaining below severe limits. But >> so I will say we did get a report uh one of the folks on YouTube a minute ago mentioning that about the time that radar went down there. I did get some reports there from Walker County um that as the line moved in, a couple of trees down on structures there in an apartment complex had to evacuate um due to due to that line as that moved through a little bit earlier on. So, not a great time for BMX to go down the one the one comment they made and that's, you know, accurate. Um, but you can't control that kind of stuff. You know, sometimes sometimes things happen. You try to build in as much redundancy as you can.

[00:05:02]>> Yeah.

[00:05:03]>> And, you know, unfortunately, we had we had other, you know, places where we had um, you know, trees on structures, things like that as well. So, unfortunately, it's a it's it's been a night where we've had some sporadic damage. Uh, most of it earlier on, not as much late tonight. Thankfully.

[00:05:19]>> Yeah. And I actually was reading in the chat that National Weather Service in believe it was Jackson was talking about a tree that fell on a structure in Arkansas that ended up uh having an injury. So praying that everything is okay there. But uh just glad the life isn't lost, but we don't even want injuries in this setup. And unfortunately, we do have at least one of those heading into tonight. So >> yeah, there was I believe one in Shannon. There was a a minor head injury to a person in Shannon as a tree fell into a structure there. I think five people were uh were were part of that.

[00:05:49]Um but but as of latest updates, you know, it does not sound like any serious injuries uh related to those. I'm going to let you kind of um talk through what we see out there and wrap things up. For folks at home, I'm going to call it a night here at this point. Um so, uh I'll let Gabe kind of finish things up here on this. Uh but I think the the big headline for a lot of folks, we don't have a ton of folks on social media, about 300 over there. Um, you know, I think most of us were probably in go to sleep mode on this here. All right.

[00:06:18]>> Yeah. Yeah, I would agree. I think that everything is kind of remaining tame in the grand scheme of things. So, that's definitely a good sign heading into the night. Matt, thank you so much. Great job today and um hopefully we can remain pretty tame tomorrow as well. Um, but there is still that level one threat and we'll track that here in just a moment.

[00:06:34]But let's just go ahead and look at the entire overall setup because I saw some folks asking, well, what about Nettleton? What about Chickansaw and Monroe County? There's thunder, lightning, rain. Yes, I know all of that is taking place, but if we compare and we're going to go the overall setup and then we're going to go storm by storm here in just a moment, but you can see that the winds aren't as impressive with this entire setup. And uh it's not getting those brighter returns along those leading edges that was producing some of those stronger winds before. If we look at any of those shear swasts, of course, that system that moved out there towards Alabama stands out. But anything we have here in North Mississippi right now does not really uh show any any immediate concern. Hail not showing up either. So these are just not as intense. It's not going to be as uh much of an unstable environment. In fact, if we look at these storms overhead in North Mississippi right now, we still have those 70s showing up along the river. But where these storms are doesn't exactly have a strengthening um a strengthened atmosphere allowing those to of course increase in strength. But interesting to note that when where those storms are forming out there towards Dumis, Arkansas, that's where we are getting some of those low 70 due points. So the where the due points are the highest, that's where the strengthening takes place. But immediately they come into North Mississippi and either remain at what they're at or just kind of weaken overall. There's still a good bit of lightning all things considered. So that's where power outages, we're not ruling those out. But um here in North Mississippi, we are definitely in a more more favorable environment. I might have just lost access. Let me log back into this because I think I might have lost access to it behind the scenes.

[00:08:10]Want to make sure I can do that so that way we can swap it over from due points and not just look at due points the whole time. There we go. So, as you can see, looking back at those storms, we're going to look at these out there towards Monroe and Chickasaw County because I know that we had some folks in chat that were asking about it and um and I want to make sure that we address it. So, let's go ahead and look at the wind mode. And as you see on that entire batch of wind or the entire batch of storms from Aberdine all the way out here towards the Houston area, I mean, we're maybe getting 10 to 20 mph winds.

[00:08:40]Those are well below severe limits. And we actually do have a camera over there in the Houston area. Let's get back there and take a look at Houston. This is one of our newer cameras that have been added to the network. And you can see with the light shining, the drops there on the lens, you're getting that stratus cloud there in the distance.

[00:08:57]Even a few drops be able to be seen there out of the Houston camera, but nothing standing out right now. A few strikes every 5 to 10 seconds. That might even be a little bit too much or too frequent. So that's what we're dealing with right now in Chasaw County.

[00:09:10]Well below severe limits. In fact, if you look at the due point, 64 degrees, way down from what it was earlier today.

[00:09:17]Earlier today was actually in the low 70s. So that's a limiting factor as well. We can go over there towards Aberdine where they're getting some of those heavy downpours. And yeah, there's a look in Aber and again 64 degrees that's not going to prime a storm to go severe anytime soon. So that's keeping us below severe limits, but the heavy rainfall, that's where the next concern moves into play. And I think that's something what we'll need to look at here in a moment is going to be some of those stronger winds.

[00:09:43]And my throat is giving out. We have been live for a good bit of the day. Uh let's go ahead and go out here towards Calhoun City, the Calhoun County area and Webster County. And let's look at the winds on this. As we saw earlier, the the hail wasn't exactly jumping off the page. Actually weren't really getting much of anything in our hail returns on that True Shield roofing hail swap. And as you look at those winds, 20 miles an hour, but at this point, we're looking higher aloft. So those winds going to be a little bit more impressive uh higher up in the sky, whereas down at the surface might be a little bit more tame. So that's what we're dealing with right now. We can get a look out of our uh Pittsburgh camera over there in Calhoun County to get a visual on this action. And again, we might see a few lightning strikes with this, but overall, we're remaining below severe limits. Yeah, there's your strikes. Even seeing a few of those drops there on the lens. So, as those move through North Mississippi, that's what we're continuing to deal with is a few of those lightning strikes. Um, but overall, those have come down pretty significantly from where they were at earlier this evening. I'm going to put this on a loop because I think we can track out at least that uh that leading edge because as you see, it kind of has a southeastern movement to it. I want to look at this Aberdine one real quick. So that's forming right along a boundary.

[00:10:53]Um that's where we're getting some of that action there. So that's going to remain kind of linear over Monroe County. What we call a a training setup.

[00:11:00]And the training setup is not good for us because while we do need rainfall, we've gotten quite a bit today. And the more that we add to that total, the higher that likelihood is for some flash flooding concerns. So as I see, you know, let's let's go ahead and look at this. and we have that storm, we have that storm, we have that storm, we have now this next storm right over that same Aberdeene area where it's been already a pretty soggy night and upping those rainfall totals as well. What we can track out is going to be this leading edge right here as it continues to move towards the south and east. So, let's go ahead and do exactly that to give folks a heads up. I am going to do a an updated time frame on this because I know it's been about an hour since we've tracked this and I want to make sure that we have it to the most accurate reading. So, right there going to manually measure that out. So yeah, these moving at about 55 miles an hour.

[00:11:44]They've definitely picked up some steam.

[00:11:45]That front kind of driving it towards the south and east. And let's go ahead and do that storm trunk storm.

[00:11:52]Oh my word. Come on, Gabe. It's 2 o'clock, guys. I don't know if you knew that, but it's 2 o'clock. So, as we drag this out, I'm going to get all these cells even down there towards Acriman.

[00:12:03]And we're going to take this towards, you know, 55 miles an hour is where I'll take it. So, Acriman over you right now.

[00:12:09]Fulture by 202. The Tuskan community 202. Una there by 202. Uh Sturgis, let me actually take down the skycam network. Sturgeis closer to about 205.

[00:12:21]And towards 8 to 10 by 206. We do have a camera there as well. Um so let me actually clear off some of these to make it a little bit more cleaned up.

[00:12:36]So there we go. So Starkville by 212.

[00:12:38]That's over there by the Golden Triangle. Probably getting a few rumbles of thunder there as well. Lewisville 217, West Point 218, Artisia 222, Brooksville 234, Columbus 235, Mon 241, Sugar Lock there by 246, Pickinsville 258 or 252, and Scuba 258. So, still dealing with these rumbles of thunder.

[00:12:59]You know, don't be shocked at all to hear a few rumbles of thunder as this setup moves on through. But the main thing that I would be concerned about right now, we just talked about it with training storms over Abberine. Actually, there's a way that we can look at exactly that. Let me go on a go on a threehour loop and let's get actually out of Monroe County and let me do over the last hour.

[00:13:27]Is that going to show what I want?

[00:13:33]Is this what?

[00:13:40]Okay. So, what we're seeing right here is kind of that initial cell or those initial storms move on through and then additional going on top of it.

[00:13:47]Additional going on top of it. And we're starting to up some of those totals. I I'm trying to make sure I'm trying to see how I can get um that accumulated rainfall total.

[00:13:57]Let's see. This is over the last three hours. Look at the overall. That's a lot of rainfall.

[00:14:05]Let me go more on the um the national output. That's a lot of rain.

[00:14:12]That is a lot of rain. Looking specifically, let me go on the full North Mississippi view real quick. And we're just going to look at this city by city. I mean, this is not going to be affected by the radar site because of course we're going to see some of those higher DBZs right over the radar site.

[00:14:27]So, that would make it show up a little bit more. I use the national composite because that's going to show you know kind of uniform amounts. That's 5.8 inches in Amry. It's still coming down even down there towards Aberdine around that same margin there at 5.5. Columbus 3 and a half min well if we go a little bit south of min different story there.

[00:14:46]Um Lewisville 2.2 let's go right there towards Hickory Flat 5.2 in Hernando 5.1 in Forest City 6.6 6 in guys. This is just today. So a very active setup. So right now, right now as we look at those rainfall totals, that's the concern right now is the flash flooding potential tonight. So one of the things I want to put on here real quick is going to be those flash flood. And I'll I'll try to clean it up.

[00:15:15]Let me clear out.

[00:15:19]Wait a second.

[00:15:26]Won't they do it? Hang on one second.

[00:15:27]Let me make sure I have the chat up behind the scenes. I think the tornado watch just got lifted.

[00:15:36]So, let me pull up chat.

[00:15:42]Cancels the tornado watch.

[00:15:45]Cancels the tornado watch. Round of applause, everybody.

[00:15:51]We did it. So now the concern is flash flooding. So we go from one threat to another and that flash flood warning still in effect for Monroe County because we're getting a ton of rainfall still dumped in that general area and even up here towards a Lee County, Shannon, Tupelo still seeing that. I wouldn't be shocked at all. You know, there's still some of those storms that will work through the area overnight. If we look at that latest radar uh radar output, then um uh then of course that's where what we're watching. But um yeah, more rainfall is going to add to those totals up to 6 in in some spots today and those will hopefully work their way south. And as we look heading into our Wednesday, I want to pull up that going to be day one right there and I will have to lift off these warnings. There's that level one threat for south of Highway 82. So there is a chance for more storms tomorrow.

[00:16:42]That cold front pushing things south.

[00:16:43]So, the overall outlook for North Mississippi remains pretty calm, but down there south of Highway 82, we could see some of those storms ramp up in intensity just a bit, but I'm not going to keep you guys here much longer. You heard my stomach rumble right there. It's dinner time. Um, but we're going to keep eyes on this behind the scenes. I'm not impressed by it.

[00:17:05]Matt wasn't impressed by it. the whole team looking at it now because I think Maggie's awake at this point.

[00:17:14]Yeah, even Maggie's not impressed by it.

[00:17:16]Getting the whole team involved. So, that's a great sign for things heading into the overnight hours and a consensus here, not just with the Mississippi Live weather crew, but also the National Weather Service offices cancelling out that tornado watch. So, um now we transition our thoughts to flash flooding potential. But I s saw someone asking in the chat. I want to make sure that I I get up to that cuz it was about um Adrian was asking I'm asking if they can if they can go to bed in Batesville without worrying about being in a tornado. They live in a trailer unfortunately and have been in a car all day and night. Go to bed.

[00:17:52]That's what we've reached tonight. We We can go to bed. Um these have died down well below severe limits. Let me take one look at that storm out there towards Dwit, Arkansas. But one of the things that we were talking about with these cells is they're going to initialize right along the river, then just fall apart once they reach into North Mississippi, remaining well below severe limits. So, we are going to keep eyes on this for sure. Um, but I don't expect us having to come back on here for uh a tornado or anything like that overnight.

[00:18:22]Our potential is just very, very, very low. So, um, yes, all watches have expired. That is definitely a great sign. I will take it over to the BAM real quick because I do want to at least show those latest model outputs. And oh, I lowered the table earlier so you guys can see the behind the scenes work. Um, I was in a chair over here working, so that's why it's a little bit lower. And I want to pull up the latest on those models. And there we go. And as I pull up those models, we have the 6Z run coming out.

[00:18:56]And this will help us for at least the next couple of hours. So, let me pull this up behind me. And there's your visual. Let's just walk through this overnight.

[00:19:06]Yeah, a few rumbles still possible. Um, and we can also look at some of those rotation tracks, but this might even be overdoing it. And I I'm pretty sure it will try to overdo it. It still has that spot right there through the Loun County area, but if we're talking about those due points, let me see how those line up because I'm sure it's overdoing it.

[00:19:30]Has a little bit more of a convective environment. So, it's enough to keep eyes on. But like right there, 68 69 degrees by your Wednesday morning.

[00:19:37]That's at 400 a.m. Right now, it's in the it was 64 in Monroe County. So, I'm not sold on it. I think it's overconvective.

[00:19:50]So, that's why it has those storms doing that. So, we'll keep eyes on it. We'll be awake watching it. But for you at home, I think it it's it's time to go to bed. So, um we'll keep eyes on it. We'll be live as needed. And of course, you guys are welcome to join us here in the room weather center. But, um I think I'm going to wrap things up and I hopefully won't see you guys hopefully I won't see you guys until tomorrow evening. But our meteorologist Maggie McCauley will be live coming up at 6:3,7 and 7:30. She's looking at things behind the scenes right now. Of course, we'll keep eyes on it, but make sure to keep it here for the very latest and we will keep you guys updated as anything uh comes up, but hopefully we won't see you till tomorrow morning. So, have a great night. Appreciate all you guys supporting us, but I try and get some sleep tonight. So, we'll see you bright and early on your Wednesday.

[00:20:35]Have a good night.

[00:20:38]Let me see if this will advance so late into the night. technology might not want to cooperate. Maybe now we'll see you tonight or tomorrow. Is it this morning?

[00:20:49]There we go. Live shows coming up at 6:30, 7, and 7:30 with our meteorologist Maggie McCauley. And our evening shows 569 and 10 right here in the room weather center. We'll see you there.

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