This video analyzes how Kenyan political leaders employ strategic manipulation tactics to maintain power, using historical examples from President Moi's era where opposition candidates were covertly supported to win elections before defecting to the ruling party, and examines how fuel price hikes serve as political flashpoints that can trigger civil unrest and regime changes, as demonstrated by historical events in Sri Lanka, Kazakhstan, and Sudan.
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Deep Dive
Dirty Moi Trick Ruto Used To Deal With Gachagua's DCP In Emurua Dikirr By-electionsAdded:
Some very, very strange things happened in Emurua Dikir in the just very recently concluded by-elections. Some of those things you will find hard to believe.
But guess what? I even have photographic evidence.
Now, the results of this constituency by-election were received by Kenyans with a lot of disappointment. The vast majority of optimistic Kenyans expected a DCP win bang inside William Ruto's Rift Valley.
That was going to make their day.
Well, it didn't happen. At least not officially.
But on the ground the sentiments remained the same.
The anti-Ruto venom the anti-UDA venom by mostly the Kipsigis community is still very much alive.
On this show I've prepared for you I'm going to break down everything and I'm going to reveal some very fascinating information that is going to open our eyes to what really happened in Emurua Dikir. Because the truth is UDA is not a winner in that constituency. That is a factual truth.
In fact, the sentiments on the ground with the locals they feel that the person who was elected was not really the choice of the people but was bulldozed into office by the brute force of government.
That is the feeling right across the constituency right there on the ground.
Now, this bad news was followed by other very bad news.
EPRA in their monthly updates of fuel prices have done it again.
They've hit Kenyans very hard yet again.
Because it's only in April that we were complaining that super petrol had risen by 28 shillings and 69 cents and diesel by 40 shillings and 30 cents.
Well, EPRA told us in the last few hours to learn it.
Because petrol prices climbed yet again by a whole 16 shillings and 65 cents.
And then diesel, wait for this one, was hiked by 46 Kenyan shillings.
Before we go into the very, very hot, shocking politics of Amolo decry, please allow me a minute or so to say something about these fuel prices.
Because they're very politically volatile.
But very quickly before we dive into that, please like this video if you're already enjoying it.
Also, consider subscribing if you're not yet a subscriber. And to all those silent visitors who sneak in and out of this channel, I see you. Oh, yes, I do. And thank you so much from the bottom of my heart.
And I have a very, very pleasant surprise for you today better than other days towards the tail end of my video today. So, please stick around. Right.
Now, on to fuel price hikes.
I'm not going to waste your time by repeating what you've already seen in other media.
No way.
I'm going to go directly to the point.
Worldwide, fuel is recognized as a highly volatile political flashpoint.
What does that mean?
Bila kizungu mingi, dramatic rises in fuel are joined at the hip with civil unrest that removes governments.
That's really what it is.
And historically, there are too many examples to count. Let me just give you the very latest. Sri Lanka, in 2022, fuel prices were hiked in a very similar manner to what we're seeing in Kenya.
And theirs came to a total of 90%.
It was too much.
The people said, "No."
And shortly after that, the entire government was forced into exile. And the leader of that country fled to safety.
Also in 2022, Kazakhstan, okay? Change of regime after hikes. In that case, it was on LPG gas.
And then there was Sudan in 2019. Many of us remember that. I did several videos on this channel on the situation in Sudan. Bread and fuel removed a very powerful dictator called al-Bashir from power.
And as we speak, he's behind bars.
In Kenya, we say, usicheze na petroli, meaning that it is a very dangerous fuel to handle, and it can cause a lot of damage if somebody brings a flame anywhere near petrol.
However, in this instance, we also need to know that this also applies to politics.
Usicheze na petroli na siasa.
And it would seem, judging by recent developments, that that particular memo has not reached this clueless regime.
Now, please don't miss my prediction on what I think is going to happen in Kenya at the very end of this video. And now on to what you've all been eagerly waiting for. Emurua Dikirr some very bizarre things happened there.
Things which suggest uh-uh there's something very wrong here. Okay?
And despite these things happening you will notice that right now there is silence. It would seem that even the loser has accepted the results.
Very strange.
But let me start with the voter turnout.
Now traditionally in elections in Kenya when the voter turnout is very high it is usually a red flag for vote stuffing rigging an election. Historically it has always been like that.
Indeed we have had cases where the results from a polling station exceed the number of registered voters.
Yep, that is always a red flag. Even if the numbers do not exceed the registered voters because remember these are by-elections.
Meaning all over the world that the voter turnout is going to be very low.
And because the percentage is low it leaves you with a huge percentage to play around if you want to fiddle with an election.
Not to mention that the results did not tally with what we saw on the ground during the campaigns. Because the DCP campaigns were packed and UDA were campaigning very very quietly. And the reason is obvious.
UDA is not wanted yeah? in Emurua Dikirr by the vast majority of voters.
Now the voter turnout in the just concluded by-election according to the IEBC was wait for this one 66.6% Wow.
Even the general elections of 2022, the voter turnout was 64.77.
Yeah, slightly lower.
And just for your information, guess what the voter turnout was in Baringo where there is a case in court disputing those results.
It was 61%.
Kind of similar to Emurua Dikirr.
But the most telling and disturbing thing for me is portrayed in the image on your screens right now.
Those are the top two candidates in the just concluded by-elections.
UDA's David Kipchumba and DCP's Vincent Rotich.
Now, carefully observe the body language of Bwana Vincent Rotich, the loser of those elections.
Hey.
The body language is that of somebody who has just won the lottery.
What?
Doesn't make sense.
For those who are not aware, there are very few things in this life that are more crushing to a human being than losing an election.
Hey. In fact, in Kenya, we have an expression for people who did not win an election.
Alianguka. Alisimama lakini alianguka.
He fell.
Almost literally fell to the ground.
But strangely, Bwana Rotich seems to be very happy.
Exceedingly happy.
Like something very good has happened in his life right now.
And yet he has just lost an election, which many people were rooting for him to win.
And many Kenyans were expecting him to win.
Does that make sense to you?
Of course not.
To look into some possible answers, and remember this is a seat that the UDA could not afford to lose. Ruto could not afford to lose this particular parliamentary seat.
He had to win it. Losing it was not an option. Because he has to keep the perception flying that he still has support in his native Rift Valley.
Okay? Amongst other reasons. And of course, the other reason to lose to Gachagua?
Ayayayaya.
Eh? To lose to Gachagua?
How?
Not possible. Not possible. Do everything in your power to ensure that that does not happen. Okay? Anyway, to get some answers, let us dive back into Moi's book of tricks. Many of which have been copied by President Ruto. And I will give you examples.
Now, when multiparty arrived in Kenya against the wishes of Moi, one of the crafty plays he introduced to at the very least retain some perceived influence in opposition strongholds was as follows. KANU hawks would identify the most popular opposition candidate in a particular constituency.
And then they would buy that candidate.
Yeah? He belonged to them.
But then that candidate would remain in the opposition and campaign as the opposition.
And after predictably winning and Kenyans celebrating and being very happy of defeated Moi, one of two things would happen.
They would retain that particular member of parliament to use during voting on the floor of the house of parliament for crucial bills.
Option number two was to wait a few weeks or a few months, and then that particular member of parliament would defect to KANU, the ruling party.
Forcing a by-election, yes, but then a by-election is very easy to control. And in most instances, that MP who had defected would retain his seat on a KANU ticket.
That was Moi's crafty play.
Repeated by William Ruto in numerous occasions. I'll give you an example in 2017. Mohammed Ali, a very popular ODM candidate in Mombasa, Nyali constituency, although Raila and company discovered what was happening, although very late, and the electorate were very angry, and Mohammed Ali still won that seat as an independent in 2017.
But for all intents and purposes, he was Jubilee Party property.
So, I'm not saying anything.
I just gave you a devious trick from the late Moi's book of crafty political moves, okay? You make the decision for yourself.
But what I'm going to do is I am going to try to predict what is going to happen in a Meru by-election next.
But before I do that, let me honor promise I made in this video. Ali on.
Now, the images you see on your screen right now were taken very shortly after the passing on of gallant, patriotic, founder of the nation, Thomas Joseph Odhiambo Mboya, or simply Tom Mboya.
Remember this July 5th, 1969 day was a Saturday, and take it from the son of a cop.
This proves that the state was ready in advance for what happened. They knew what was going to happen before it happened because getting all these policemen on very short notice in those days, they would have had to be on standby.
Remember those days there was no mobile phone to quickly call people and get them to the station dressed and ready for work.
Many years later, long after the passing on of President Jomo Kenyatta, two eyewitnesses who had been terrified initially of coming forward finally came forward and gave some very explosive information actually confirming a theory I had heard for many years because to put together this special documentary to investigate actually who killed Tom Mboya, that was a research that took me, wait for this one, 15 long years to complete.
15 years.
Yes, you heard me right.
And those eyewitnesses confirmed because they were there when the shot was fired.
They were actually what were willing a bunduki on the scene. Two.
Yeah, and one of them is the one who did this thing that changed the course of Kenyan history forever.
That day, July 5th, 1969, impunity, which we are still suffering from in a great way today, won big time. You really can't afford to miss this classic series of mine.
Very detailed that includes the politics, the characters, everything to neatly solve for you this mystery that has hung over our country for decades.
Now, for a very short time, by ordering this classic documentary together with another classic, and ebook dark secrets of the Kenyan presidency and it will cost you only mandazi money Kenyan shillings 499 only when you do this you'll be able to get my valuable golden key which will give you access to all my other highly sensitive videos and information and because this offer is so crazy there is a time limit of only 48 hours strictly 48 hours no extensions that is what we have agreed with with the sponsor you can see all the details you need on your screens right now please act with speed because crazy offers like this do not come every day please use the usual M-Pesa number which you can see on your screens right now which goes to my assistant and please please don't forget to text me your email address immediately after payment alternatively you can shoot me an email using the PayPal email address you see on your screens right now giving me your payment details so that I can send this valuable information to you together with the golden key and all my sensitive information information is power and we're going to need it definitely need it for the third and final liberation of our motherland and that's how the sponsors came in asante sana bwana sponsor for loving your country so much now as promised it is very difficult to see how the recent very very high price hikes of fuel will not shake the country called Kenya politically it is difficult to imagine that there will be no change nothing will happen that is very difficult to imagine because currently Kenyans are going through a lot of hardships. Bottom line, things could happen long before the 2027 presidential elections.
Emurua Dikirr, the sentiments of the people on the ground remain the same.
They have not changed, and they're very unlikely to change. In fact, it is impossible for them to change because of the circumstances. If you've been following the videos I've done previously on this subject, perception can only go so far when the people on the ground are up in arms.
They are very much against you.
It is just a matter of time.
But, let's wait and see what happens.
You will notice that both those two items I've dealt with on my show today are very bad news for UDA.
Emurua Dikirr may appear to be good news, but it could be the trigger that causes very serious backlash in that constituency against this regime.
But, let's wait and see if this particular Kumekucha video will yet again stand the test of time.
Until next time, this is Chris Kirubi Kumekucha.
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