Severe weather forecasting involves analyzing upper-level atmospheric patterns to predict storm movement and intensity, with May being the peak season for severe weather due to higher sun angles, increased daylight, and optimal moisture and heat conditions that recharge the atmosphere daily, creating recurring storm threats across the Central US region.
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Multiday Severe Weather Threat Reloads Over Millions Across Central USAdded:
Ouch. Listen to those storms rolling across the Lone Star State. Uh this video from Sunday showing lightning, hail, wind. And just look at those trees blowing off in the distance. Happened in Alexander, Texas. That's in Central Texas, just outside of DFW. So, uh get ready all because we have more of this on the way. In fact, starting tomorrow, we're going to have a highlighted area where severe storms are possible. And we're going to keep it very close to that area all the way through next Monday cuz we just don't see a lot of change in the upper-level weather pattern to allow us to clear out the storm risk zone. So, as we take a look at the setup, Thursday through Sunday, we're looking at it. Monday, a little more movement to the northeast, which would take the threat zone slightly more to the east. But, this is what we have for tomorrow as we start day one. That bull's-eye right over the I-70 quarter.
But, I want you to focus on the shape of this, but also the placement.
>> Yeah. Cuz you're going to notice the threat zones for tomorrow are also in the threat zones for Friday. Yeah. We just don't see a big movement. No, not at all. It's not till probably like late Sunday, Monday where things start to get kicked out of there. And when you look at this graphic specifically, you can see the days that are highlighted. And then Monday starts to stretch out as that low pressure starts to kick up toward Canada. But, look at So, now we're talking about Friday, right?
There's a severe storm threat level two.
You got a good chunk of Missouri. Also, once we get through Saturday, you're still talking about Missouri, Iowa, portions of Kansas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma City in the threat zone for a good chunk of this. Sunday, has it changed [clears throat] much? Not much, but it has expanded a little bit more. And then notice what happens on Monday. There, you can see the stretch that we experience. And now you can see there's a a bit of a a different shape as it starts to lift out of here. So, it's not really till Monday. And a lot of these storms, by the way, will hold possibly through the overnight hours. This is a great example. I'm glad you mentioned this earlier, Britta, cuz you can see the storm threat in red, the progression of the system right through the week, and the amount of rain and thunderstorms coming down. A lot of heat and humidity and just enough with the moisture coming in and the heat for the atmosphere to recharge each day, day after day. It's that time of year. May, you have higher sun angle, you got more daylight, and this is historically where we have seen most of the activity. May is really the peak of the spring. I mean, we do it again in the fall, but this is the peak for spring. We're likely to have some upgrades on days, so this conversation is really to give you the heads-up. Be on your A-game starting tomorrow. We'll have severe weather coming back into focus, and it will be a part of our daily threat list all the way through the beginning of June.
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