Redistricting legislation can significantly alter electoral outcomes by changing the relationship between popular vote and seat control; Alabama's new primary election bills demonstrate how states may create backup plans to maintain political power even when courts rule against discriminatory maps, with analysts estimating that such changes could require Democrats to win the national House vote by 3-4 points rather than less than 1 point to secure House control.
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Alabama Governor Drops Election BOMBSHELL As Redistricting Scheme EscalatesAdded:
After already redrawing the congressional maps in their favor, Alabama Governor K. Ivy signed legislation that would set up new, totally new primary elections if the courts allow Republicans to change their congressional and state Senate map. So, they've got this little backup plan going. Alabama's primaries are currently set to take place under its current maps on May 19th, so in a little bit more than one week. But the legislation, the Republican controlled legislature approved on Friday gives Ivy the ability to schedule separate special primary elections for affected districts if redrawn maps are put into place. Iivey said Alabama knows our state, our people, and our districts best. And by Alabama, she means those who are currently in power who want to make sure that they're always the ones in power and those that are out of power never have a chance of gaining any power.
That's what that means. You'll notice they always talk about the people on the right when doing this. They never ever ever ever ever put it to the people for a vote. Weird that. But anyway, here's where we are when it comes to overall redistricting. As of May 2026, four states had congressional district maps that were subject to change before the 2026 election. Eight states, California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah had new congressional maps. Virginia's new map was blocked from certification by court order. though the ruling could be appealed and three states had congressional maps that were subject to change due to litigation. Before 2025, only two states had conducted voluntary mid decade redistricting since 1970.
Obviously, we are in radical times.
Something obviously has to be done, but as of right now, the Republicans like it. They think that they can rig themselves into permanent majority status. We'll have to see about that.
And importantly, the Democrats, whether it ends up being allowed by courts or not, they always go to the people. They always let the people weigh in and the people support what they're doing. The Republicans don't. And also, the Republicans just generally, even if the courts rule against them, they just ignore the courts. Maybe that's something the Democrats should get in the habit of doing. But that said, with the recent developments, particularly in Virginia, you might be getting a little bit angst angsty about the midterms.
Here is Harry Anton to break down the Democrat's chances.
>> We can best see this in terms of what we think Democrats will need to win the national house vote by in order to win control come November. You know, under the current lines, what we'd essentially think is they'd have to win the national house popular vote by less than a point.
Basically, you win the national house vote and then you win control of the US House. That's what we would think under the current lines. But under the redistricting lines, right, the redistriced lines. Well, now with Virginia, Florida, Tennessee, the Supreme Court ruling, we think that Democrats would have to win the national house vote by, let's say, between three and four points in order to win House control come November. But there is good news for Democrats, and that is you see this three to four point margin right here. And what do they lead right now by in the National House Vote Polls? Well, their average lead, well, it's about six points, which you don't have to be a mathematical genius to know that six points is significantly wider than, well, 3 to four points.
Uh, so look, I think that should make people feel a little bit better about it. You know, only so much. It sucks to see what's happening and what's being allowed to happen around the country.
And obviously, something needs to change. Now, we know that Virginia is probably going to appeal the decision.
They can appeal to the Supreme Court, which I mean, based on the merits of the case and what the the Supreme Court has already allowed, like in Louisiana, it would be maddeningly partisan for them to allow the Republicans to in a racist fashion re redistrict however they want and not allow Virginia to do it even after they got the consent of the voters. But that's the Supreme Court, J.R., I I bet they would be perfectly comfortable weighing in in that partisan fashion, but what do you make of all that?
>> Yeah. And and in no ways of having to answer for this, you know, you know, I've said this many times, uh things like the Supreme Court where they have um you know, there's no term limits, there's no elections for whatever. Once you're on, you're on until you leave or die. Um it's supposed to be something where it allowed people to avoid any of the partisanship. Now it's allowed as a shield for these folks to have their partisansship and not be held accountable for it like at all to then after it happens and after everyone argues around the basis for these decisions uh for them to thumb their nose at us and go whatever who cares I don't have to talk to you it's like above uh above any responsibility to the American people who obviously are up in arms about this whole thing which maybe has led to that whole difference in the plus six that they're uh that they predict that Democrats will have which is still cover it. But if we uh can understand if Harry in has that information, I'm pretty sure these fascists that are looking to do anything they can also have that kind of information. And this is not the only thing they're going to do. As you mentioned earlier, we know that things like them sending out folks to intimidate people at polling locations.
I'm willing to believe that they'll go as far as to eliminating people's ballots even afterwards. I mean, they're doing it in the middle of it already, just through this semiofficial way with all these governors of these conservative states doing anything they want and calling it the American people's will. They just talk, bro. So, the action on the response to it has to be as direct and honestly as radical as the action that they're going against this or else you're just losing some ground in any kind of way for the whole purpose of having some kind of moral high ground when you already got it. The argument's been won. They just don't care about the logic behind the argument being won. They're just, you know, they're anti-American is literally the definition of it.
>> Yeah. No, 100%. Like, and and again, that's why I point out to mock it. They always pretend that this has anything to do with the people when all of it is designed to help fix the problem fundamentally, which is that they can't convince the people to actually vote for them. And they've had a problem doing that for decades now. At this point, it is always been tough for the Republicans to get people to genuinely support them.
So, they have to rig things. You know what TYT has always been about? taking on the corrupt, greedy establishment.
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