Political leaders must act decisively to prevent military conflicts because such conflicts can trigger economic cascades including rising oil prices, increased transportation costs, and broader economic instability, which can lead to political defeat.
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Impending Political Turmoil & War's Economic Toll #shorts追加:
Maybe he's looking as far as November, but I even if he does that, even his closest allies can tell him, "It's going to be a bloodbath, man. You're going to You're going to get, you know, slaughtered. It's either going to be a blue wave or a blue tsunami. No It's probably one of those two. There's no scenario where, especially the House of Representatives, stays in Republican hands. I mean, it was razor-thin margin as it is. You're certainly not going to get that as as unpopular as he is.
But if you have a recession rolling in and if you have a If you try If you listen to the Lindsey Graham and et al.
and you try to go back, you're going to have oil prices way higher than they are now, and you can't manipulate those, and you also can't manipulate the price of gasoline, the price of diesel, and therefore everything else in America that's dependent upon transportation to get them to market, any other product, or to produce food, et cetera.
That's why he's got to do what it takes right now to get this war off the table while he still can.
If he doesn't do the walk-away theory, and he does the bombs-away plan instead, all those bad things I said are essentially guaranteed to get profoundly worse, all of them.
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