In authoritarian regimes, internal power struggles among elites combined with economic crises can lead to systemic instability and potential regime change, as demonstrated by the reported conflicts between Russian presidential administration and security services, along with severe economic indicators including regional budget deficits, declining approval ratings, and gold reserve depletion.
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Russian elites have started a war against Putin. Panic in Moscow, the FSB is clashing with the bunker dweller's administration. A coup is being prepared against Putin. A deadly conflict has erupted in the Kremlin.
>> At some point Putin will be overthrown by his own inner circle when he becomes completely inconvenient for them. This is the outcome that awaits him.
War criminal Igor Girkin doesn't mince words and tells it like it is. The front is stalled and the brilliant commanders in his words have already lost any chance of victory. And against this backdrop, there's growing support for Ukraine from the EU. An epic finale for Russia in his version is already being served on a silver platter.
Unfortunately, we are heading towards a military defeat.
That's a fact.
Let's not just accept it, but let's at least acknowledge this unpleasant fact and proceed from the premise that the threat is real and that Ukraine will continue to be supplied with everything necessary while we continue to do nothing truly serious to prevent this threat.
Panic has begun in Moscow. The Kremlin has exploded from within. Russian elites have gone to war against Putin. A coup is in the works. The FSB has clashed with the presidential administration in a deadly struggle. The bunker dweller is being sold out by his own. Russia is on the brink of collapse. Kremlin clans are tearing the country apart. The stench of a bloody purge is in the Kremlin air.
Shock from Moscow. The bloggers have predicted Putin's political death.
Hysteria has gripped the Kremlin. The security forces are demanding total terror. Russia is on the threshold of a new 1991.
>> [music] >> I'll share all the details in just a moment. Greetings. This is Ukraine today. I'm Victoria Perepelitsa and here are the latest events.
>> [music] >> The Kremlin is being torn apart. A fierce war has begun within the Putin regime. The presidential administration has clashed with the FSB. While Russians are told fairy tales about stability, things are already heating up at the top of power. Betrayal and fear are engulfing the Kremlin followed by a total system collapse. Z blogger Remeslo has become a signal of a real split in the Kremlin. After calls to put Putin on trial, the propagandist suddenly ended up in a psychiatric hospital, but then he got out and began speaking publicly about a large-scale mutiny within the system. The scale of discontent is colossal.
I get the impression that part of the system is already starting to work against Putin.
Essentially, it's similar to what happened at the end of the Soviet Union's existence, when people hated the party and did everything to make it cease to exist.
Putin's Russia will follow the same path as the Soviet Union.
Everything is repeating itself.
Rumor has it that behind the scenes a war is raging between Sergey Kiriyenko's team from Putin's administration and the security forces. The intelligence services are demanding a total crackdown and repressions fearing an outbreak of mass protest. But some Kremlin technologists understand the harder they squeeze the people, the faster the regime approaches an explosion.
Opposition figure Mikhail Khodorkovsky has directly stated there's a clear conflict between the presidential administration and the FSB. According to him, the security forces have gained too much power and are already starting to stifle even their own. There is an absolutely clear conflict between the presidential administration and the second service of the FSB.
These guys have been given a lot of power and have started to tighten the screws very hard. The presidential administration is trying to make Putin understand that the lid could blow off this kettle.
In an article, The Washington Post compares what is happening to the chaos of '96 when Kremlin clans fought for control of Russia before Yeltsin's election. Now the situation is even more dangerous. One part of the elite wants to hold the country with propaganda and manipulation, while the other demands an iron fist and total terror. In a sense, the same story is repeating itself.
Kiriyenko and his team are trying to convince Putin that he can maintain control over the situation in the country using political technologies.
And the second service, the FSB, is trying to convince Putin that the only way to stabilize the situation in the country is through harsh methods and tightening the screws.
But the loudest statement came at the end. Remeslo is certain, "Putin will fall not because of external pressure, but from a blow from his own inner circle." And in general, if we're talking about 2 years, then in my deep conviction, already within this 1 year, that is the end of 2026, the beginning of 2027, we will have very global changes. And it's not just me saying this, but also quite systemic people, for example, such as Gennady Zyuganov.
If you do not urgently take financial, economic, and other measures, then by autumn, we will face what happened in '17.
We have no right to repeat this. Yes, you heard that right. Changes are coming. In Russia, their own people are trumpeting from every corner about Putin's political death.
Although, maybe not just political.
Z-blogger Ilya Remeslo gives a forecast that made the walls in the Kremlin shake.
The bifurcation point is already on the horizon. The end of '26, the beginning of '27.
The behind-the-scenes party of elites is coming to the fore. The system could crack from within. What Prigozhin wanted to do, a military coup, that won't happen. It will be something very quiet.
Well, you know, like what happened in '53. Political predators are going on the hunt. Their goal is to devour their own leader.
The bunker dweller finds himself at the epicenter of a bloody slaughter for power. And here are the potential successors according to Remeslo: Mikhail Mishustin, Maxim Reshetnikov, and a mysterious modern candidate from the presidential administration, whose name is still kept secret. People from Kiriyenko's orbit are also present. And the scariest thing for Putin is that the elites will only be happy about the changes.
Yes, the bunker dweller certainly doesn't expect that. I know, I just know from talking to various people, including those from the administration and the government, they actually all secretly hate Putin. They just hate him because he took everything away from them. They can't enjoy the benefits they used to enjoy there.
In fact, everything is already decided there for the most part. That is when these contradictions within the system accumulate into such a ball, then that's it. The security forces >> [music] >> Meanwhile, the economy in the Russian Federation is knocked out. Russia's rapidly sliding towards a planned model, which the Kremlin presents as digitalization and automation. Officials report progress, but the reality is a harsh step backward. Internet restrictions are not called a problem, although this is exactly what led to multi-billion dollar losses for businesses. Services are failing, payments are stalling, logistics are collapsing, the system is bursting at the seams. All the details are coming up in the report. The situation with regional budgets is difficult, the Russian Finance Minister admitted at a meeting of the Presidium of the Council of Legislators.
The total gap between regional expenditures and revenues has grown to 1 trillion 900 billion rubles. Federal subjects that used to be donors have become dependent on subsidies. It's all due to the drop in corporate income tax collections. Because of this, regional budgets missed out on 480 billion rubles in revenue.
In the Komi Republic, corporate tax collections plummeted by half, in the Orenburg region by 40%, in the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug by of revenues were lost by the Tyumen region, Ingushetia, Karelia, Arkhangelsk, and Kemerovo regions. By the end of the year, industrial production fell and construction volumes decreased in half of the regions. Every third region recorded a decline in agriculture. The number of regions where investments are shrinking doubled from 23 to 46, and consumer demand slowed down almost everywhere in 80 regions, according to a report by The Moscow Times.
Due to colossal spending on the war, the government lacks money for investments in civilian sectors of the economy.
Even large Russian enterprises are forced to lay off workers or send them on unpaid leave. The crisis has also affected industrial giants. Among them are Russian Railways, GAZ, KamAZ, and AvtoVAZ. The diamond mining company Alrosa reduced the number of personnel not directly involved in mining by 10%, Reuters reports, and companies cannot get out of the crisis on their own.
When these payments drop, local budgets automatically suffer, and the federal center has no way to fill them. There's nothing to fill them with.
So, the Kemerovo region comes and says to the federal center, "Give us money."
And they say, "Well, we don't have any.
Go to Sberbank. Take it at 20 to 25% annually."
We've seen this whole process throughout the entire last year.
And now, at the beginning of the year, it has become even more acute because employment has worsened precisely because of these part-time work days and so on, which they What do they call it? Economists call it hidden unemployment.
At the end of March, overdue wage arrears in the Russian Federation rose to 2 billion 130 million rubles, Rosstat reports. In the summer, many companies will be forced to resort to mass layoffs, the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine predicts.
Currently, some employers are trying to avoid mass layoffs by reducing the work week to 3 or 4 days. However, such measures are temporary and cannot compensate for deep structural problems.
In the absence of economic recovery, businesses will very likely be forced to resort to more radical solutions. An additional negative factor is the seasonal slump in business activity in the summer, which could accelerate a wave of layoffs in various industries.
This creates a risk of rising unemployment in Russia in the coming months. From a publication on the website of the Foreign Intelligence Service of Ukraine, the crisis is also reflected at the federal level. In the first quarter of 2026, the budget deficit rose to 4 trillion 600 billion rubles. Even a temporary increase in energy prices due to the escalation in the Middle East did not save Moscow.
The Russian economy has lost its margin of safety. It is now on the verge of such operational instability when incapacity when you can well, let's say because of your financial operations some problems can start in the production itself. Yes, in the economic process itself. Yes, it can be interrupted because you have problems.
That's why I think that this process will continue further. Of course, the crisis in Iran and the high oil price will give them a little breathing room.
Yes, for another month or a month and a half, but it won't fundamentally change the situation. Believe me.
The government will cover the deficit from the pockets of ordinary citizens.
At the beginning of 2026, amendments to the tax code came into force in Russia and this immediately affected the cost of the consumer basket. In addition, the custom service began to charge additional duties on goods from so-called unfriendly states with rates up to 50%. Clothing, cosmetics, non-food items from more than 50 countries.
Everything will go up in price by at least 15 to 30%. Among the Kremlin's latest initiatives are the introduction of VAT on foreign goods from marketplaces, the legalization of online casinos with a projected annual income of 100 billion rubles, and a tax increase for property owners. Andrey Dmitrienko for Freedom TV channel.
Meanwhile, Putin is again coming out with reassuring statements for Russians.
He assures that crises are temporary, while Russia, in his words, is eternal.
At the same time, he shifts responsibility to the State Duma, but trust is melting, ratings are falling, and the tension within the system is growing. Details in the report.
Putin, at a meeting of the Council of Legislators in St. Petersburg, addressed the deputies with a demand, I quote, "Not to get hung up on bans and restrictions because they hinder development."
At the same time, he forgot to mention that it is not the State Duma that initiates these very bans and restrictions, but he himself and the FSB. It is the security forces, for example, who are responsible for blocking internet resources, claims the publication The Bell. And although the dictator called on the deputies to deal with the problems in the economy, it is obvious that the main and only cause of the systemic crisis is the war unleashed by Russia against Ukraine. Now, it is already obvious to the majority of the population uh that drop in the standard of living uh that they feel every day when they go to the store.
Uh this drop in the standard of living has an author, uh the person on whom everything in Russia depends today, uh Vladimir Putin, and actually the war he unleashed against Ukraine.
According to the state all-Russian Center for the study of public opinion, Putin's approval rating has been declining for the seventh week in a row.
In mid-April, it fell to 65.6%.
This is the lowest figure since the pre-war period. However, as The Washington Post notes, it is difficult to record the real mood in an authoritarian state. The opposition has either been sent to camps or kicked out of the country, and criticism of Russia's war against Ukraine is a criminal offense. But the fact that even VTsIOM notes a drop in trust in the dictator indicates disillusionment and fatigue in society or a struggle within the Kremlin itself, analysts from the Institute for the Study of War suggest.
The decline in support for Putin is occurring against the backdrop of expanding Kremlin efforts to censor the Russian internet and rising losses in the war. Kremlin groups opposing new censorship restrictions may allow or push state sociological agencies to publish data on declining ratings to put pressure on Putin and force him to speak out against factions supporting the restrictions. From the report of the Institute for the Study of War. Internet blocking has already caused significant losses for Russian companies. The number of complaints is growing not only in the regions, but also in the central cities of Russia. For example, as soon as Putin arrived in St. Petersburg for a meeting of the Council of Legislators, mobile internet was immediately cut off there.
Russian social media pages write that VPN operation is also impossible. By the way, according to the economist, the number of VPN application downloads in Russia has increased 14 fold. From March 2025 to March 2026 inclusive, 35 million 700,000 downloads were recorded in Google Play. The Kremlin explains internet restrictions by security concerns and the fight against terrorism, and VPNs have been declared harmful and hostile. Probably that's why a fee will be charged for its use in Russia.
Mobile operators in Russia will start charging for VPN use if monthly traffic exceeds 15 gigabytes. The new rules could come into effect from May 1st. If this happens, Russia will become the first country in the world where citizens will pay operators for using a VPN. From the Economist publication on Telegram.
Putin is trying to shift responsibility for the problems in the state onto anyone, deputies, officials, or Russians themselves. After a series of strikes on the oil refinery in Tuapse, Krasnodar Krai, large-scale fires and oil rains on April 28th, the dictator's press secretary Peskov mentioned for the first time the need to eliminate the consequences of the attacks. The Kremlin has not responded to numerous appeals from residents of Tuapse. Putin simply doesn't want to be associated with this.
We know that he is afraid of all losses. He doesn't comment on any disasters or any stalemates that happen within the Russian Federation immediately, right away, you know? He always takes a short uh pause, right?
And only then does he appear in the media space so that well, so he isn't standing right next to that news.
It passes, the dust settles, then he appears and starts to comment on it. So, that's why I think it's a rather um difficult and quite a scary time for the regime right now.
Since Kremlin sociology can't be relied upon, the marker of the mood in Russia can be seen in the dynamics of Russians internet search queries. The number of queries related to possible immigration from Russia in March 2024 reached 88 points out of 100, the highest in 3 years. Compared to the start of the year, such queries have doubled from 19 and 1/2 thousand in January to 40,000 in March. Maria Jelenchenko for the Freedom TV channel. Shock, the Russian Federation is selling off gold while Putin tries to save the federal treasury. The system has cracked, Western pressure is mounting, sanctions are choking the economy, and gold is going under the hammer. Zelenskyy is calling on allies to increase the pressure to force the Kremlin to end the war. Sweden has detained a sanctioned tanker in the Baltic Sea. Swedish Civil Defense Minister Carl-Oskar Bohlin stated that the vessel is suspected of belonging to Russia's shadow fleet. It was sailing under a Syrian flag and its destination is unknown. This was reported by the Swedish Coast Guard.
A preliminary investigation has been launched into the detained ship's unseaworthiness as it's on several sanctions lists, including the EU, Ukraine, and the UK. This year, Sweden took action by detaining a total of five different vessels, all on suspicion of a variety of different offenses, including but not limited to oil spills, as well as sailing under a foreign flag. In addition to these detentions, authorities also opened a criminal case against some of the crew members who were involved in these incidents.
The Swedish Coast Guard has reason to suspect the vessel is sailing under a false flag as there are significant uncertainties regarding its official flag status and it does not meet the seaworthiness requirements set by international norms.
From a statement on the Swedish Coast Guard website.
Ukraine is calling for stronger sanctions against Russia's shadow fleet.
For an effective blockade, another 200 to 400 vessels need to be blocked, experts note, as well as synchronizing strikes on the Kremlin's defense sector.
Such a step should cut off Moscow's access to 400 billion in foreign exchange earnings and deprive it of technologies for weapons production.
This is the place where we need to apply pressure first and foremost. If we talk about the size of Russia's shadow fleet, we're talking about 20% of the entire tanker fleet in the world. Russia is constantly changing flags, vessel registrations, their crews, names, and so on. There is a need to constantly monitor and track the number of these tankers, which is quite difficult. Ihor Koptyuk, head of the analytical department of the NTS network.
The importance of strengthening European sanctions was emphasized by the President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, during his speech at the European Political Community Summit in Yerevan. According to him, the goals of the Ukrainian side remain unchanged. To bring about a dignified end to the war, strengthen Ukraine's air defense and energy support, and accelerate the implementation of a European loan of 90 billion euros.
This summer will be that very time, that very moment, when Putin decides what to do next. Continue the war or turn to diplomacy. And we will push him toward diplomacy. It was announced that the May 9th parade in Moscow will be held without a military hardware procession.
If this happens, it will be the first time in many, many years that they won't be able to afford to roll out equipment for the parade. And the fact that our drones can buzz over Red Square shows our strength, and we must continue to pressure them with sanctions. While Ukraine is building up its defense against Russian aggression, the Kremlin is suffering from sanctions and is trying to fill the holes in its budget.
To this end, Russian dictator Putin signed a law creating a sixth gambling zone to fill the budget system with taxes from gambling, reports The Moscow Times.
New casinos will be located in the Altai Republic on the territory of a ski resort. The initiative came at the end of last year from the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation. They argued that the casinos would help develop the region and create jobs. Last year, the federal treasury had a deficit of more than 8 trillion rubles, and in the first quarter of 2026, the deficit exceeded 4 trillion 600 billion rubles.
In 3 months, they already have a deficit larger than they planned for all 12 months of this 2026 year.
Well, and another objective criterion is the state of regional budgets in Russia, these parts of the Federation, where we see that there is no money even for the most important things, where there is always a concept of a reserve fund in the budget system to quickly eliminate the consequences of some force majeure events.
So, as we can clearly see, there is simply no money available, not even enough funds to actually eliminate or address the consequences and aftermath in in Dagestan uh of those extremely heavy and intense rains that fell there recently and uh uh well, ultimately caused these significant and devastating natural disasters.
Trying to save the federal treasury, Russia is selling off gold it has been buying for 20 years, reports the foreign intelligence service of Ukraine. The first sales of the gold reserve began in November 2025.
The Central Bank has started selling gold directly to domestic buyers for the first time, banks, state companies, and specific investment firms.
This is not an immediate catastrophe, but the signal is important. A country that for years showcased its accumulation of reserves as a sign of power is now spending them. Budgetary maneuver is narrowing and the very shift to selling highlights what Moscow would prefer to keep quiet about. The system's financial stability has vanished. From a statement on the website of the foreign intelligence service of Ukraine.
The seizure of shadow fleet tankers, tightening sanctions, and financial pressure are gradually narrowing the Kremlin's ability to bypass restrictions. And while Moscow tries to patch the budget by selling gold and seeking new schemes, international pressure only intensifies, bringing closer the moment when economic resources to continue the war become critically limited. Karina Leloyan for Freedom TV channel. And what do you think about the latest events? We look forward to your comments. [music] More to come. Stay informed on the main news and don't forget to like. Wishing you a peaceful sky overhead.
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