Severe weather forecasting involves analyzing atmospheric conditions such as heat, humidity, and moisture levels to predict storm development timing and intensity; when these conditions combine with other factors like cold fronts, they create optimal environments for severe storms including hail, strong winds, and potentially tornadoes, with peak danger typically occurring in evening and overnight hours.
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Iowa weather: Spring heat will bring back the severe weatherAdded:
JUST BONDING THE GENERATIONS THERE AND GOOD LESSONS BEYOND READING.
548 WE’RE REALLY GOING TO HAVE TO WATCH THE DAY BECAUSE YES, A LOT OF IT’S GOING TO BE HOT, BUT THEN THOSE STORMS START FIRING.
EXACTLY.
SO IF YOU WANT TO DO ANYTHING OUTDOORS THIS MORNING, THAT’S GOING TO BE THE BEST FOR YOU, NOT JUST YOU’RE NOT DEALING WITH HEAT AND HUMIDITY, BUT THE STORMS ARE CLIMBING.
AS WE GO DEEPER INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
AS WE START OFF DRY FROM OUR DOWNTOWN SKYCAM, YOU CAN SEE THAT GOING INTO THE HEADLINES NOW.
WE’LL SEE MORE OF THAT HEAT AND HUMIDITY RETURN LATER ON TODAY.
MOISTURE IS BACK WITH US.
YOU HAVE THAT STICKY FEELING, SCATTERED STRONG STORMS LATER ON THIS EVENING, ADDITIONAL POWERFUL STORM CHANCES AS WE GO THROUGHOUT THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND.
SO MUGGY METER IT IS HIGH AS WE GO.
NOT JUST TODAY, BUT THE ENTIRE WEEKEND AHEAD.
BUT IT DOES SEEM LIKE TODAY, POSSIBLY ON SUNDAY, BEING EQUALLY HOT, NEAR 90 DEGREES BOTH DAYS.
WE TALK ABOUT FUTURE TRACK FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW WE WILL SEE CLEAR SKIES FOR THE MORNING.
WE’RE NOT REALLY GOING TO DEAL WITH ANY CLOUDS, EVEN AS WE GO DEEPER INTO THE AFTERNOON, BUT THAT’S ALSO WHEN SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL START TO SPARK UP, ESPECIALLY AROUND 7 P.M. THEY’LL START TO ORGANIZE, AND THEN THEY’LL SWEEP ACROSS THE STATE, MAINLY WHEN THEY START TO FIRE UP, WE ARE GOING TO SEE THAT HAIL THREAT AT ITS HIGHEST, AND THEN EXPECT TO ORGANIZE INTO A LINE OF STORMS PASSING OVER.
THEN THAT HAIL THREAT.
PRIMARY THREAT TURNS INTO A PRIMARILY STRONG WIND THREAT.
AS WE GO INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
AND THEN AROUND 1 A.M., THAT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT DIPS OFF.
STILL A CHANCE FOR SOME STORMS, BUT THE STRONG ONES ARE BEHIND US AT THAT POINT.
AS WE GO THROUGHOUT SATURDAY, WE ARE GOING TO START OFF DRY SOME CLOUDS INTO THE MIX.
WE STILL HAVE THAT STICKY FEELING, OF COURSE, AND THEN GOING INTO THE AFTERNOON AROUND 5:00.
OPEN UP THAT RADAR, CHECK IT BECAUSE WE’RE GOING TO START SEEING THESE STORMS BUBBLE UP.
AND THEN THEY’RE GOING TO ORGANIZE, STRENGTHEN.
AND THAT’S WHENEVER WE ARE EXPECTING THE NEXT ROUND OF STRONG STORMS.
IT’S GOING TO BE DEEPER INTO THE EVENING HOURS AND PERSISTENT OVERNIGHT THOUGH THIS IS 1:00 AM, STILL PLENTY OF ACTION OVER THE STATE, AND THAT’S EXPECTED TO BLEED INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
NOW KIND OF GOING BACK A BIT.
THIS IS FOR TODAY.
THAT THREE OUT OF FIVE CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER.
IT’S OVER US FOR LATER ON THIS EVENING.
WE ARE THE FOCUS OF THIS SYSTEM.
AS YOU CAN TELL, IT’S ABOUT HALF OF THE STATE A LITTLE BIT LESS THAN THAT.
BUT AS FAR AS THE TIMING, IT IS THE EVENING HOURS GOING INTO OVERNIGHT AFTER ABOUT MIDNIGHT TO 1 A.M., THAT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT DROPS OFF STRONG WINDS.
AND WE ARE STILL DEALING WITH THAT LARGE HAIL THREAT.
NOW, THAT IS GOING TO BE THE HIGHEST THREAT THOUGH, IS THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTING AROUND 60 TO 80 MILE PER HOUR GUSTS.
AND AS FAR AS THE HAILSTONES, THEY CAN BE IN THAT 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE.
BUT THOSE STRONGER ONES SHOULD BE MORE ON THE ISOLATED SIDE.
AS FAR AS THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK FOR SATURDAY.
NOW ON THE SCREEN, TWO OUT OF FIVE CHANCE IT IS GOING TO BE FOR THE AFTERNOON, EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LARGE HAIL THREAT, STRONG GUSTS.
THAT TORNADO THREAT, IT TAKES UP JUST A BIT.
SO WE ARE GOING TO SEE THAT POSSIBLE.
BUT IT’S NOT AS LIKELY AS WHAT WE HAVE DOWN THE ROAD AS WE GO THROUGHOUT SUNDAY.
NOW, STARTING OFF WITH THOSE STORMS LINGERING AROUND A BIT THROUGH THE MORNING, THOSE TAPER OFF.
AND THEN AS WE GO INTO THE EARLY EVENING OVERNIGHT, WE’LL KEEP AN EYE ON A SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST.
AND THAT COULD BRING OUR NEXT ROUND OF THE STRONGER STORMS PUSHING ON IN AND THEN WRAPPING UP DEEPER INTO MONDAY MORNING, BUT STILL HOLDING THAT TWO OUT OF FIVE CHANCE OVER MOST OF THE STATE AS FARTHER WEST FOR SUNDAY.
THAT’S THE MAIN FOCUS.
WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN IOWA, SEEING THE CHANCE FOR THOSE STRONGER STORMS.
BUT AS FAR AS WHAT TO EXPECT ON MONDAY, I GOT TO TALK ABOUT THIS BECAUSE THIS IS LOOKING LIKE THE STRONGEST STORM SET UP.
AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES OVER US, WE ARE GOING TO SEE A LOT OF THESE STORM ENERGY STILL OVER.
SO PUTTING THOSE TWO TOGETHER IS JUST ENOUGH TO REALLY HAVE THE HIGHEST SEVERE WEATHER RISK, ESPECIALLY ALONG THAT COLD FRONT, AS IT MAKES ITS WAY OVER US.
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SO WE’RE LOOKING AT A STRETCH OF THESE STRONG STORMS.
AFTER MONDAY.
WE ARE COOLING THINGS DOWN AND
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