LIVE at 7:30: Maggye & Caleb are talking regional and local impacts that are ongoing this morning

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[00:00:35]This is [music] Mississippi Live Weather this morning.

[00:00:43]>> Well, good morning, good morning, and welcome in to Mississippi Live Weather this morning. I'm Meteorologist Maggie McCauley, and we are already seeing the impacts of the remnants of Arthur in North Mississippi this morning. We've been seeing it through the state of Mississippi all night long, and now is reaching our area. As you can see here on our Mama Justice Doppler radar out there this morning, rain extending from South Central Mississippi into North Mississippi, and we are starting to see those impacts. Everything currently below severe limits, but definitely some strong storms out there, heavy rainfall, and a lot of lightning as well. Let me show you where some of the heaviest bands are, at least within our area out there this morning. Some of those sitting right on the Tennessee state line, from Noxubee up into Lowndes County, then extended off into Alabama as well. Seeing some heavy pockets right here. If you're headed out of the state along 82 this morning, you're eventually going to be running into those as these are continuing to track off to the north. So, that heavy rainfall sitting just to the west of Carrollton. Again, going to be impacting more along 82 coming up in the next 30 minutes.

[00:01:48]Another heavy band that we've been watching is off in Yazoo City, and I look at this cuz the weather special weather statement was issued for this.

[00:01:56]Again, it is sitting below severe limits. We see special weather statements issued uh when things are just below severe limits. So, this very uh heavy cluster of storms, lots of lightning associated this extending along 49 sitting just to the south of Yazoo City. This is eventually going to be making its way up in the portions of Holmes County, eventually up into Tchula, Belzoni, eventually up into portions of Carroll County. So, I do want to put a storm track on that before we kind of get into our overall broadcast of where uh things are going to be going in the next few hours. Let me go ahead and put this on here.

[00:02:34]Moving this up.

[00:02:36]Hold on just a second. I want to make that a little bit larger so we make sure we get all our towns in here.

[00:02:42]Here we go.

[00:02:44]Move that about 3 mph. So, this again is going to be continuing to push from Yazoo City up closer into our area.

[00:02:50]Again, Tchula, Belzoni impacted by this.

[00:02:52]Norway around 7:03. We skip a little bit further down, Lake City around 7:10, Eden around 7:14, Carter around 7:16, the places like Belle Prairie 7:16, same story. Bee Lake around 7:22, and the places like Lambkin around 7:25, Eulogy around 7:26. So, this is going to be in between Belzoni and Tchula as we head over the next 30 minutes to an hour as this continues to press into the area.

[00:03:19]Again, that's the heaviest one we've been watching so far. Again, still sitting below severe limits, but definitely dumping a lot of rain falling in a short period of time, and flash flooding is our main concern. Again, these are all remnants of what is now post tropical cyclone Arthur. Here's a look at it. It's low pressure system now in between Arkansas and Louisiana, and all those remnants sweeping across the southeast and now impacting us here in north Mississippi. Greater impacts are being felt along the coast, along the coast of Louisiana, southern Louisiana, over into the coast of Mississippi as well. And our meteorologist, Caleb Edelblut, is actually down there in Kenner, Louisiana. Caleb, tell us what things have been like overnight and this morning.

[00:04:11]>> Well, thank you, Maggie. It's definitely been hectic down here on the coastline and here in Kenner, Louisiana. I'm actually in a Walmart parking lot and that's because as I was going out just kind of see what the effects have been waking up bright and early this morning.

[00:04:24]You can tell it's been pretty drastic already. We're seeing flooding. This is a roadway. You're not looking at a creek right now. And we've already had some cars kind of drive on through, try to make their way to work and have unfortunately stalled on out. So, even kind of walking through, you can kind of see some of the waves moving through as some cars have kind of just passed on through. But they continue to get stalled out as we kind of make our way through this road. You can see those cars kind of abandoned. Some leave their hazards on. Tow trucks have come in and out to try to get these cars out of the street. And we can even see some of these cars kind of waiting to go, kind of just waiting patiently until, you know, either they can see a clear path or the water can recede a little bit.

[00:05:01]But as of right now, that is just not the case. So, very flood-like conditions here in Kenner.

[00:05:06]Same thing in the Walmart parking lot.

[00:05:08]Some people have tried to use this as a detour to get on through. A little bit more shallow in the grand scheme of things, but I've also seen people kind of go through, put their reverse lights, kind of turn around, and just notice that it's not a good idea. So, again, that's why we want to keep emphasizing that same old phrase, just turn around, don't drown. It's not worth it on where you're trying to get to this morning, whether that's in Louisiana, on your way here in south Mississippi, and even as that flood and kind of rain potential continues moving into north Mississippi.

[00:05:36]Just want to take this very seriously.

[00:05:37]So, Maggie, there's a lot going on down here. I'll continue to keep my eyes open and work my way back up into north Mississippi as those flooding concerns continue to travel there. But until then, I'm meteorologist Caleb here in Kenner, Louisiana.

[00:05:53]>> Thank you, Caleb. Yeah, that is very not great look over in the Walmart parking lot over in Kenner, Louisiana. Flooding concerns already plaguing some of the Southeast out there, including in Kenner, which is just, you know, outside of the city of New Orleans. And you can see here, he's kind of setting up where that great band was if those reds and purples, yellows indicating potentially upwards of 5, 6, even 7 in close to the city of New Orleans. So, definitely some flash flooding concerns there where he is and definitely Caleb want to be careful as you are making your way back up here North Mississippi.

[00:06:29]And same story for you if you are planning to go to South Mississippi today. I know we've had events go on, things that are going on North Mississippi. Maybe you're watching us and you're traveling down South back home or just for something else. You want to be exceptionally careful today because as the further South that you go, the more the flooding concerns are likely. We're really watching flooding concerns set up in South Mississippi. And again, already picking up close to 7 in. This is kind of picking up this estimated in New Orleans. Already picking up an inch and almost a half over in Hattiesburg. And we have more rainfall that's going to be on the way. So, flooding concerns definitely a top concern out here across the region.

[00:07:13]Again, more in South Mississippi but still extends further off to us as well.

[00:07:17]Here's a look at the flooding potential today that goes from the coastline of Louisiana into central and southern Mississippi. Same story, good portion of Alabama off into Georgia seeing that flooding potential because of the remnants of Arthur. Widespread heavy rainfall, tropical moisture dumping a lot of rain in a short period of time making for these concerns here in the Southeast. The alerts that are going on right now, we are already seeing an aerial flood watch. We saw this put into play yesterday. This is still into play in places like central and southern Mississippi. This goes up right into our main viewing area from Lee County issued in that aerial flood watch until Friday at 7:00 to show the county, Kemper County, Yazoo County going into Madison County included in this as well. You can see that green extends all the way off into again Alabama and Georgia. That aerial flood watch issued for the flooding potential that is ongoing and then a lot of different alerts going on down here in southern Mississippi and Louisiana. Flash flood warnings for them for all of that rainfall and even a tornado watch issued down there and even a confirmed tornado warning off on the coast of Mississippi. So a lot more activity is happening down to the south than it is up here in north Mississippi, but we're still going to be seeing impacts nonetheless. So let's talk about what's going on outside right now.

[00:08:39]Again, we talked about how some of us are seeing rain. Here's a look at one of those places over in Kosciusko. You can see some kind of heavy downpours surrounding the city of Kosciusko. Not necessarily that happening within this camera. Temperatures in the low 70s over there in Attala County. Same story over in Oktibbeha County. You can see some rain that impacted this camera over on the campus of Mississippi State.

[00:08:59]Temperatures in the low 70s there. So as you're waking up with us, some of us waking up with rain and all of us waking up with mild conditions. Temperatures in the 70s across the board. 77 in Houston.

[00:09:09]Same story in Grenada. 75 in Kosciusko.

[00:09:12]75 in Amory. 75 in Holly Springs. Upper 70s from Clarksdale up into Senatobia this morning. For the rest of your day ahead, you can expect temperatures to climb into the 80s again today. We'll be in the low 80s around 11:00, middle 80s into your afternoon hours.

[00:09:28]And it's really now all the way into about noon when we really start to see an uptick of that activity happening here in north Mississippi. Those uh bands going to continue to push in, bringing more widespread rainfall into the picture as we head over the next few hours. Noon and on, we start to see a decrease in activity. Now, still about a 40% chance into your afternoon, but it starts to decrease going noon and on, and really starting to see more isolated activity the further on we head into your evening. Again, 80s looking to stick around all the way through your 8:00 hour. Here's a look at the remnants of Arthur getting big picture view.

[00:10:01]There's a few things that I want you to see on this. One is the remnants of Arthur right here, bringing that widespread rainfall, some severe weather on the coast, and then there's a front right off to our north. Both of these things are going to be bringing us some rainfall over the next 48 hours. Watch as I put this in the motion. That rain, those bands going to continue to push into North Mississippi as we head over the next few hours. Heaviest of bands, yes, still off to our south, but still seeing some of those heavier uh pockets moving closer into North Mississippi as we head all the way through noon. Going into the afternoon, we'll start to see that shift more off to the east, and then our focus is going to be this right here. That next front that's going to come into play overnight into your Friday, going to cause some isolated showers into Friday morning. Better chances for more widespread heavy downpours that could be on the severe side of things yet again on your Friday afternoon. So, even after today, after the remnants of Arthur get out of the picture, we still have things we need to be paying attention to going into your Friday. So, coming up next, we'll take you all the way through Friday, more of an hour-by-hour look. We'll look at all the threats we're watching for today and tomorrow, and of course, I'll look at your 7-day forecast, all coming up right after this.

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[00:12:17]>> Right now, from the Room to Room Weather Center, here's Meteorologist Maggie McAuley.

[00:12:26]>> Hey, and welcome back into the Room to Room Weather Center. Go ahead and setting up a uh overall storm track from you for the storm we're watching that's about to enter North Mississippi or at least to the counties that we cover.

[00:12:38]This is right now close to Yazoo City.

[00:12:40]Special weather statement issued with this. Again, it is below severe limits, but special weather statement issued by the National Weather Service in Jackson due to winds in excess of 40 mph. So, we see special weather statements issued when storms are just below severe limits. So, this is one of the heaviest that we are tracking. Again, if you are traveling along 49, you're going to be running into some very heavy rainfall out there. These are making a push to the north. They're very slow in nature, about 20 mph. I went and had to double-check what the National Weather Service said this was moving. They said 20 mph. It's very slow, dumping a lot of rainfall as it moves into the area.

[00:13:13]Again, it's going to be tracking up in the places like Holmes County as we head over the next 30 minutes or so. So, I did want to go ahead and put another track on this if you're just now tuning in with us. Again, this is off in the Delta moving into more North Mississippi. This will be in Lake City around 7:20, Eden around 7:25, and Crump around 7:28, Carter around 7:29, places like Belle Prairie around 7:30, Coxburg around 7:36, Pluto around 7:38, the places like Thornton around 7:42, and the places like Stonewall around 7:43 a.m. out there this morning. Again, this is below severe limits, but is a very heavy storm bringing 40 mph winds along with it and very heavy rain that could lead to some flooding concerns if it continues to move slowly and we continue to see rain thereafter. So, definitely something that we are paying very close attention to. That's the heaviest that we're watching that's moving into the area. That doesn't mean others aren't seeing heavy rainfall as you can see here going into Attala County, some very heavy rainfall around the city of Kosciusko right now. Not a lot of lightning with these, I will say.

[00:14:18]Some of them seeing a little bit more.

[00:14:20]This one maybe a strike of lightning, but still some heavy rainfall out there nonetheless around County. Still seeing some very heavy rainfall sitting between Macon and Aliceville closer up near 82.

[00:14:33]I told you if you're traveling along 82, let me go ahead and switch this over to a closer radar site. There you go. I told you if you're traveling along 82 from Lowndes County sitting along 82 into Reform, Alabama, you're going to be running into some heavy rainfall. That's about to cross over 82 at the moment and more lightning associated with that right around Ethelsville right now. So, that's another heavy band we're watching. More heavy bands sitting to the south of us even along 20 and south of that this morning, but still we're going to continue to watch these pushing off to the north. If I let this loop over the past hour, you can see the overall movement of these bands of rainfall.

[00:15:08]They're continuing to make their way up into North Mississippi, and we're going to continue to track them and see our overall coverage increase as we head over the next hour or so. Let's take a look outside, shall we this morning?

[00:15:19]That's a look at our Mama Justice Doppler radar. Here's a look in the city of Fulton that got in on some of that rain activity and you can see here wet roadways already ongoing looking at 22 in the city of Fulton in these in dot traffic cameras. Already wet roadways, more rain on the way. Again, flooding is one of our top concerns out there today.

[00:15:39]So, I encourage you if you are getting out on the roadways and they're already wet this morning, don't be in a rush.

[00:15:43]Take it slow out there and also for your evening commute, you want to do the same. And I just encourage you no matter where you are in North Mississippi, even if you're not going to get in on a lot of rainfall closer to the Tennessee state line, just go ahead and avoid those roadways you know are easily flooded. You know your local roadways better than us that are easily flooded.

[00:16:02]Tell your kiddos, tell your folks around you, don't go on so and so roadway.

[00:16:06]We're going to be getting a lot of rain today just to be on the safe side of things. Temperatures in the middle 70s over in Fulton. Let's take another live look out there as this continues shift over in Pontotoc. Now, not seeing a lot of rain within the county of Pontotoc or within the city as well, but a lot of cloud cover off in the distance. That's where a lot of us are waking up this morning.

[00:16:27]Even if you're not seeing a lot of rain out there, you're seeing a lot of cloud cover out the door this morning. Middle 70s over in Pontotoc. As we head hour by hour, temperatures eventually climbing into the upper 70s 9:00 to 10:00 a.m.

[00:16:38]80s out there before noon today and you can see that coverage just continuing to increase. Again, these bands continuing to push in causing our coverage to increase before noon today. So, even if you're not headed out until 9:00, 10:00, 11:00, still likely to see some heavy rainfall in the mix. High temperatures today in the middle 80s for the most part. 84 in Starkville, 85 in Bruce.

[00:16:59]Some upper 80s closer off to Northwest Mississippi that's going to be getting in on less clouds and less rain out there today. 87 in Senatobia, 88 Tunica, 88 in Clarksdale, 82 up in Booneville, 83 over in Amory. Still sitting below average for this time of year. Let's take you hour by hour of what you can expect. These remnants are already in the area. They're going to continue to push in as we head over the next few hours. So, here is what that's going to look like for the rest of your day.

[00:17:25]Going now through noon, we're going to continue to see scattered showers, bands of heavy rainfall through North Mississippi, especially through Northeast Mississippi. So, east of 55 and 51, more getting in on this rainfall out there today. And really watching Winston and Noxubee County to get in on the heaviest of bands consistently. So, this is really where we're watching some very heavy bands continuing to set up leading to the potential of some flooding concerns. So, that's the area we're watching. Again, you can see that continues right there. Lowndes County, Pickens County, Noxubee, Winston County continuing to get in on a lot of heavy rainfall even through Thursday at 3:00, even through this afternoon where a lot of us are just seeing some isolated downpours. Still looking at heavy rainfall sitting right there here in North Mississippi. So, continue to keep our eye on that as we head into the evening. I think we'll overall see our coverage decrease. Majority of that heavy rainfall will be shifting off into Alabama, but we're not done like I said. Then we have something else to deal with. It's not remnants of a tropical system, it's this front that's going to be pushing in as we head overnight into your Friday morning. I will say yesterday this was looking a little bit more ominous on your Friday morning. Now just looking at some isolated downpours out there to start off your Friday. More likely if seeing some stronger storms in the mix as we head noon and on. This front will continue to shift off to the south bringing some heavy rainfall into the afternoon for folks that are south of 82. I'm thinking south of Greenville, Belzoni, Holmes County, Attala, Winston, and Noxubee County as we head into your Friday afternoon. These storms that do come with that front could be on the stronger side as well. So, yet again watching the potential tomorrow afternoon for flooding concerns and also some potential for damaging wind gusts as that continues to make its way through the area, going into the back half of your Friday. So, not for everybody, but especially for the southern half of our area, looking at the potential again for some strong storms out there on Friday. Going off into the evening and overnight hours, we'll see that threat diminish and maybe just some isolated downpours sticking around. The threats though, let's talk about it for today and tomorrow. Let's start with today. What are we looking at? I know everyone wants to know, is there a tornado threat? Is there this or that? This is what we're looking at on our confidence level and our peak impacts. One thing you want to know is we there is possible for a brief spin-up today. We're watching the potential for rotation out of these bands as they make their way through. It's not impossible.

[00:19:49]It's a lower confidence level, but it is still on the table out there today. If it happens, they'll most likely be weak and pretty brief. So, that makes them hard to warn for. National Weather Service is going to be keeping a close eye on that. If they warn any storm, we will be right here, back live with you tracking that out. Secondary thing we're really watching for some strong wind gusts. That is a higher confidence level. We're already seeing that coming into play today. Things below severe limits, but still some special weather statements being issued for some strong wind gusts. So, that is something we're definitely taking our close eye on. Hail is unlikely, and then this is our main threat today, even into tomorrow. I think the main thing that we are concerned with here in North Mississippi and across the state of Mississippi, is the potential for some flooding concerns. Isolated totals here in North Mississippi, yes, could it exceed four, maybe five inches?

[00:20:42]And that causes for some serious flooding concerns out there. Take a look at what that looks like more regionally.

[00:20:48]Here's look at your forecast totals over the next few days. Yes, more of a concern is in southern Mississippi and southern Alabama. From Hattiesburg over into Mobile, we could see some areas pick up anywhere between five, six, seven, maybe even double-digit rain totals over the next 48 hours. We already saw it over in New Orleans. They picked up in excess of 6 in overnight.

[00:21:11]So definitely that is possible more in southern Mississippi and southern Alabama. What about here at home? We're still looking to pick up a good amount of rainfall depending on where you are.

[00:21:20]The further north you go, the less rain you're looking to see. If you're touching the Tennessee state line, I'm not necessarily concerned with some flooding potential for you. The further south you are, yes, I am. South of 82 from Holmes County all the way over in Winston and Noxubee County and south of that, those are the areas locally that could pick up in excess of three, four, maybe even five inches. I know this is only saying two here, but we're talking about locally that gets continually under some of those heavy bands. Yes, could pick up a good amount of rainfall over the next few days. So those are the areas that we're watching here in North Mississippi. Of course, like I said, the greater concern is to our south with even a high threat for flash flooding in Hattiesburg and Mobile, Alabama. And you do not see this issued very often. So definitely concerning for folks down there. You're traveling down south, you want to be exceptionally careful out there for your day ahead and also for tomorrow. Like I said with that front coming through on Friday, we also have a severe weather risk for Friday. You can see this extends from Oklahoma, Texas, Louisiana here across the Magnolia state that kind of splits North Mississippi in half. I showed you that front and more concerned with those storms right along our southern counties from Holmes, Attala, Noxubee, and Winston Winston County and those sitting to the south of that out there on Friday. So even after we're done with the storms today, we got to have a awareness going into your Friday afternoon as well. Here's look at your 7-day forecast. 80s over your next few days. Rain chances stick around elevated through through your Friday.

[00:22:48]Less rain chances on Saturday, but as you can see here, rain chances are still in the mix.

[00:22:55]There's more rain coming Sunday into Monday, more widespread rain, and even seeing rain chances sticking around through a good portion or at least the middle of your next upcoming work week.

[00:23:05]So, all the rain that falls over the next 48 hours, we're not looking at a large relief, a good sunny day where we can see some relief from the pounding and potential flooding that takes place.

[00:23:16]So, that's one thing to know. We're going to be tracking the potential for more rain coming as we head over the next 7 days ahead. So, a lot of rain in the forecast. 80s stick around with all the rain and clouds, temperatures do stay below 90, which is our normal high for this time of year. For that's full look at your 7-day forecast.

[00:23:36]Reading all your comments, just making sure that we're answering any questions you guys have. Sir, somebody said just heard thunder at Hobo Station. Raining hard in Monroe and Chickasaw County Line Road. There's definitely some heavy rain out there this morning and that seems to be our main impact as of right now. But, again, that's a look at your full 7-day forecast. We'll be live again coming up in the next 10 minutes. One more time this morning. It's 7:30. Of course, if anything turns strong to severe, we'll be live through the day, but our next live broadcast this morning is coming up in the next 10 minutes at 7:30. We'll see you guys then.

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[00:25:19]>> Mhm.