The bottom just DROPPED OUT for Trump

Added: 2026-05-26

[00:00:00]The bottom has dropped out for Donald Trump. Analysts are shocked at the numbers and Trump has dramatically lost a group of voters that got him elected.

[00:00:14]This you have to see. remember that after the uh 2024 election, we had a remarkable situation, which was that Latino voters voted for Trump to a degree we have not seen for a Republican candidate ever?

[00:00:33]And there was a question, is the Latino population moving towards the Republican party for good? Are they now Republicans? And I have some thoughts on that, but we have some new data. Harry Anton uh actually tweeted about this. He said, quote, "The bottom has completely fallen out for Trump with Latino voters after winning a record share for a GOP nominee in 2024. Just 28% of Latinos approve of Trump. Now, the drop with Latino men is even more dramatic. He won him by 10 in 2024. His net approval is now minus41 points. Let's listen to this report.

[00:01:14]>> Yeah. Where are we now? What a different world. O ve if I'm the president of the United States because just take a look here. Okay. Latino voters on Trump. He won a record share for a Republican presidential nominee. 46% of that vote going all the way back since we had the advent of exit polls back in 1972.

[00:01:33]And look at where he is today. His job approval rating in an average of CNN polls this year 28%. That is an 18 point drop. The bottom has completely fallen out when it comes to Donald Trump and Latino voters. He won record numbers of him back in 2024 and they have abandoned him with the utmost just dislike of what he is doing so far. Just 28% a drop of 18 points. Now among Latinos, it was Latino men who were driving this movement toward him in 2024. Where are they now? Yeah, you think that this movement is a lot. What about Latino men? Oh my goodness gracious. Okay, Latino male voters in the 2024 election versus Kla Harris. Look at this. Trump won him by 10 points. Look at the net approval rating now minus 41 points.

[00:02:20]That is a movement of 51 points. A shift away from the president of the United States. Latino male voters supercharged that record performance that Donald Trump had with Latino voters. And they like Latino women, Latinas are moving against the president of the United States.

[00:02:36]>> All right, you get the point. Latino men, Latino women, everybody's moving against Trump after record numbers with Latino voters, especially Latino men in 2024. There were a lot of pundits in 2024 who were convinced this is permanent and this is an ideological conversion. Latino men in particular have become more right-wing and now they are voting for Republicans. That was never true. And I suspected this at the time because of the conversations I was having with Latino voters. As many of you know, I'm I'm a Hispanic immigrant from Argentina to the United States. I'm constantly in touch with voters, many voters who vote and uh primarily are engaging with Spanish language content, interestingly enough, rather than English language content. and it seemed extraordinarily narrow and personal uh uh personalitydriven rather than ideologically driven. In legacy and corporate media, you often hear them talk about Latino voters as if they have shifted ideologically and are a single unified block. The reality seems to be that there was a group of Latino voters, particularly Latino men, who did not feel that the four years of Biden, were particularly good for them. And they decided this time around we're going to take a chance on something different than what we normally choose. And that is Donald Trump. And now they've looked and they've evaluated the outcomes and they've seen, okay, here's his promises on gas prices. What actually happened with gas prices? Here were his promises on food prices. What's actually going on with food prices? They are skyhigh. What about job creation? Job creation is down. What about the promises to get housing costs under control and get rent down? That didn't happen. Housing costs and rent are up. Those realities hit everybody. The reason that you're seeing such a backlash with Latino voters and Latino men in general was they had moved out of equilibrium towards Trump. It was an anomaly, even an anomaly. By the way, both pronunciations totally perfect and accepted. It was an unusual thing that happened. And so when you have a regression to the mean after these Latino voters go, okay, we tried that.

[00:04:59]It didn't work. The promises were not kept to. he failed us on all of the things that he told us he was going to do. Now you're seeing a regression to the mean and beyond because every group is saying I don't really think Trump's doing a particularly good job. And that's how you end up with minus 41 Latino male voters on Trump relative to how they voted in 2024. Now let's get back to this whole like unified block thing. If I said to you something like, "Americans don't like Trump," we all would intuitively say, "Okay, but what does that really mean? We've got a very regional country. The Northeast and the West Coast really don't like Trump. The Deep South likes Trump a lot more." Or we might say, "Hey, you know what? Women like Trump significantly less than men in the United States." Or we might say white men in the United States do uh support Trump to a greater degree. We intuitively know that when we say Americans believe X or Y that that encompasses a lot of different types of people in a geographically very large country. It's the same way with Latino voters. Now there have been some shifts.

[00:06:07]Historically the Latino vote was very left-wing with two exceptions. Cubanameans and Venezuelan Americans. Why? Th this is sort of an oversimplification, but the idea is that those Cubanameans and Venezuelan Americans, many of whom escaped regimes in Cuba and Venezuela, strong men authoritarian regimes that postulated as being on the left.

[00:06:33]Authoritarianism is authoritarianism at the end of the day. They saw or see the Republican party as stronger rejectors of what they fled in Cuba and Venezuela.

[00:06:45]So historically, that is why Cuban and Venezuelan Americans have tended to be more right-wing. All other Latino voters tended to be quite left-wing. We saw a little bit of that change in 2024 where you saw more Mexicans and Salvadorans and Argentinians and these are relatively smaller groups in the United States of course say maybe some of them saying maybe I'll take a chance with Trump. Now not a lot of them. Trump didn't win with them, but he had more share of that. And that's all reversing.

[00:07:15]And interestingly, I was just I was just in Argentina, spoke to a lot of family and friends there. Um have recently met a group of of Salvadorans and spoke to them about in the United States, their views on Trump, and it all is much more sour on Trump. Now, in fact, I I remember uh having an Uber driver from El Salvador in Vegas during the runup to the 2024 election, and he was into Trump, and he said, "No, I I like what Trump is offering. I'm sick of these Democrats and all this stuff." So, we're seeing a reversal in general, but it's important to remember that these are also discreet groups. Now, Trump has a movement that screws so many people that it's the type of movement that needs to expand who they can market their grievances to because you make promises to one group and you fail on those promises. So, you start to hemorrhage that group. You've got to find someone new. And Trump came up with enough grievance scapegoating during 2024 that it convinced a portion of Latino Americans to vote for him. Now, what I think is really, really funny, kind of ironic, is that Republicans have spent over a decade claiming that the Democrats are the party of identity politics, but they are the ones now kind of panicking over this demographic erosion. They look at the gender uh splits, they look at the racial splits, they look at the uh educational splits, they look all the and they are seeing the problems. and now they are doing a lot of the very identity politics stuff that they criticized the left for doing um for for about a decade. So I am reassured by this reversal that we are seeing to a degree. But there's also a lesson for Democrats in this thing which is you can't simply wait for Trump to fail. If voters come back after this, if Latino voters come back to Democrats, but still feel economically abandoned, which is what got them to say, let's try Trump to begin with, um, they are going to just repeat the cycle again, and then it'll be 2028 or whenever, and they'll go, maybe we try JD Vans. I don't know.

[00:09:32]I don't feel like the Democratic party is necessarily giving me what I want.

[00:09:35]So, there's a broader story here. That story is modern political loyalty isn't nearly as as uh strong as some people might think. It is very unstable. Voters are more movable the more economic anxiety there is. That's what you know men and women's sports as I've said many times is not likely to make people switch or consider switching party lines to a significant degree. But if you feel that one party is either screwing you economically or doesn't care about you economically, that is going to make you curious about trying the other party. Uh Trump's coalition was always a contradictory coalition. You know, anti-war voters who vote for a guy that clearly supports escalations and then he does the escalations and then they're like, "Well, this escalation I guess is good."

[00:10:26]workingclass voters saying, "I want Trump's tariffs even though they're going to screw my small business and make everything more expensive." We've always had those contradictions. The Latino voters said, "Let's try it." And then it failed miserably and now they are very quickly coming back. The question is, can Democrats actually keep them? Now, thanks for watching. Check out another one of our videos and make sure to subscribe so YouTube keeps our content in your feed. And if you prefer audio, subscribe to the podcast on Spotify or