Weather forecasting involves tracking storm systems using radar and meteorological models to predict severe weather potential, with forecasters assessing factors like atmospheric instability, sunlight, and wind patterns to determine the likelihood of storms and their potential impacts on specific regions.
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5/18 Tracking rounds of rain and storms across SEWI追加:
SENIOR SHOUT OUTS, AND WATCH FOR MORE STUDENTS IN EVERY NEWSCAST.
THIS WEEKEND.
OBVIOUSLY, A LOT OF COMMENCEMENT CELEBRATIONS SUNDAY.
NOT AS BEAUTIFUL AS SATURDAY, BUT OVERALL IT WAS A PRETTY DECENT WEEKEND.
SATURDAY.
DEFINITELY THE PICK DAY MADE IT UP INTO THE MID 80S.
YEAH, BEAUTIFUL.
LIKE SUMMER ACROSS SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.
AND NOW WE’RE TRACKING SOME AREAS OF RAIN AND STORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ROUNDS OF STORMS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
SO I JUST WANT TO START WITH THE SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK.
WE’RE AT A LEVEL TWO OUT OF FIVE.
THIS IS MAINLY FOR OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY.
WE ALSO HAVE SOME RAIN THAT WE’RE TRACKING CURRENTLY JUST TO THE WEST OF US FROM MADISON AND OVER NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS AND OUT TOWARD IOWA.
THAT’S ALL TRACKING UP TO THE NORTH AND EAST AS WE GO TO OUR FUTURE RADAR.
SO WE’LL PUT THE RADAR INTO MOTION THROUGH THE 5:00 HOUR STORM.
STAY TO THE WEST, THROUGH THE 6:00 HOUR.
I THINK STORMS MAINLY OUT TOWARD DANE COUNTY AND RIGHT ALONG 39 OUT TOWARD THE WISCONSIN DELLS.
WE’RE NOT EXPECTING ANY OF THOSE TO BE STRONG OR SEVERE, BUT SOME RUMBLES OF THUNDER POSSIBLE AND SOME AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN.
THAT’S MAINLY FOR ABOUT 8 TO 9:00.
SO WE’RE GOING TO SEE A FIRST ROUND OF RAIN FROM THE MID TO LATE MORNING.
SOME OF THAT COULD LINGER INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
AND THEN WE SEE A BREAK WITH SOME SUNSHINE, A LOT OF WARMTH.
TODAY WE’RE BACK UP TO 84 DEGREES AFTER WE HIT THE MID 80S ON SATURDAY.
WITH OUR WINDS NOW COMING IN FROM THE SOUTH THROUGHOUT YOUR MONDAY.
SO LET’S TALK ABOUT THAT SEVERE POTENTIAL AS WELL.
SO THIS IS THE FIRST ROUND NON-SEVERE MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.
THIS IS RIGHT AROUND 10 A.M.
AND THEN SO FOR THE MID TO LATE MORNING, EARLY AFTERNOON, WE’VE GOT THIS ROUND OF RAIN.
THEN WE DRY OUT.
NOW WE NEED TO WATCH AND SEE HOW MUCH SUNSHINE WE GET THIS AFTERNOON.
BECAUSE IF WE GET ENOUGH SUN, ENOUGH INSTABILITY THAT COULD FIRE OFF AT LEAST A COUPLE OF ISOLATED STORMS.
BUT THIS IS SORT OF THE MAIN EVENT.
IF YOU LOOK BACK TO THE WEST OF US AGAIN, WE’RE TRACKING A LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
THIS IS AROUND 2:00 IN THE MORNING.
AND ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS, IT’S POSSIBLE TO GET SOME STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
BUT THE OTHER QUESTION IS HOW WELL IS THIS ABLE TO HOLD TOGETHER?
SOME OF THE MODELS ACTUALLY HAVE THIS DECAYING PRETTY QUICKLY.
ONCE IT MAKES IT CLOSER TO LAKE MICHIGAN, BUT WE’LL WANT TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THIS JUST IN CASE IT DOES STAY A BIT MORE INTACT, AND THAT CAN PRODUCE SOME SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.
SO MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A GOOD WAY TO GET WEATHER ALERTS AND WEATHER WARNINGS.
AS WE LOOK AT THE IMPACTS FOR THE OVERNIGHT HAIL, THAT’S VERY LOW.
THE MAIN THING WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.
THAT’S THE MODERATE IMPACT LEVEL.
TORNADOES CAN NEVER COMPLETELY RULE THOSE OUT, BUT THOSE ARE ON THE LOW SIDE AS WELL AS THE FLOOD THREAT.
AND THEN AFTER ANOTHER DAY OF 80S IN THE FORECAST TOMORROW, WE COOL OFF A BIT WITH OUR DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S, WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY, FRIDAY, THEN BACK IN THE 70S FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
SO HIGHS TODAY.
I THINK A LOT OF US WILL ENJOY THIS OUTSIDE OF SOME OF THAT MORNING RAIN MID 80S FOR MILWAUKEE.
WAUKESHA OCONOMOWOC UP TO 84 DEGREES.
AND IT’S GOING TO BE PRETTY WINDY.
DAY TO GUSTS UP CLOSER TO 30MPH, PERHAPS EVEN NEAR 40MPH IN SOME SPOTS.
AND THEN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, WE’VE GOT SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SOME OF THOSE COULD BE STRONG RAIN, MAINLY AROUND MIDNIGHT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY.
AND THEN WE FINALLY START TO DRY OUT BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
SO HERE’S A LOOK AT YOUR SEVEN DAY FORECAST AGAIN.
TODAY IS AN IMPACT DAY 84 INLAND, 84 CLOSER TO THE LAKESHORE.
WE’RE TRACKING THAT STORM CHANCE.
AND THEN A WARM AND WINDY AFTERNOON.
I DON’T THINK WE’RE GOING TO SEE A LOT OF STORMS OUT THERE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
SO WHEN YOU SEE THAT SEVERE THREAT THAT WE SHOWED YOU, LEVEL TWO OUT OF FIVE, THAT’S MAINLY FOR OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
SO NOTHING REALLY TO WORRY ABOUT THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS TODAY.
AND THEN WE’RE GOING TO HIT A COOL STRETCH WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY, FRIDAY THE WEEKEND.
HEY, BACK IN THE 70S
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