An update from the 12News Weather Impact Center

Ajouté : 2026-05-28

[00:00:13]Good Wednesday evening, Southeast Texas.

[00:00:15]Hope you're doing well after a stormy morning with everybody getting rain. Uh we're just seeing a few showers left over tonight with a second disturbance moving on through. It looks like pool weather coming up for tomorrow afternoon. Welcome to 12 News Plus.

[00:00:28]We're going to spend the next 10 minutes diving into your forecast with a detailed look at it. Lots of clouds in Bumont right now. We're watching a few showers on radar off to the west. A few sprinkles possible tonight, but as you could see at Packer Lray, downtown Bulmont at 76 degrees on the roofing 911 Sky Cam network with the clouds and the rain that certainly kept us down into the 70s. I don't think it's going to be the case coming up tomorrow. Yes, we will see clouds coming up tomorrow morning. However, with any luck, we'll see the sun and we'll start warming things up. So, looks like dry weather to me right on through Thursday, Friday, and Saturday as high temperatures start climbing back up to 90°. Uh slight chance coming up on Monday and then scattered showers and storms coming up next Wednesday. That's when it's probably going to be the best chance of shower and thunderstorm activity as we get a surge of moisture coming in off the Gulf. But when you're talking only about a 30 to 40% coverage, not that big a deal. So, like I said, it's going to be a pool day tomorrow. We'll start off with lots of clouds, but by the afternoon, we go mostly sunny and warm things up to 85. Not warm enough for you, well, then we'll be closer to 90 as we work on into Friday and Saturday. If you're going to go chase that little ball tomorrow, looks like dry weather across southeast Texas. We'll go with temperatures rising into the mid 80s as the sun returns across southeast Texas.

[00:01:47]Light wind, so no problems. I just have to work with that wet course across the area. So over the next several days, looks like very low or low, I should say, low to moderate levels on the aches and pains index. Maybe a little higher as we head towards uh say next Wednesday. And as far as the allergy report, looking good. Just some moderate weed pollen out there, but tree pollen, grass pollen, and mold all at low levels uh this afternoon and evening. So here's the look at your forecast over the next seven days. And it looks like our best chance will come in Wednesday. We actually need to go to a 30% coverage, but minor rain chances Sunday, Monday into Tuesday. And that dry stretch of weather expected Thursday, Friday, and Saturday of next week. Normally, we should be around 89 degrees. Tomorrow, because of the clouds during the first half of the day, we'll be about 3 to four degrees cooler than uh normal, which is 89 degrees. So, notice how the bar is not quite up to the red line. Our red line is 89 all the way through Monday. Then Tuesday, the 2nd of June, it goes to 90° as we progressively warm as we head on into summer. We'll be close to normal as we work on into Friday, Saturday, closer there on Sunday. Maybe a little cooler on Monday, but again, it's pretty close to what we need to be this time of year. At least we don't have anything well above normal. So near or slightly below normal high temperatures are expected over the next seven days. Get used to that. I don't think we're going to see a lot of hot, dry weather like we've seen in the last few years because of El Nino. Lots of clouds, rounds of rain. Looks like a wetter, maybe slightly cooler summer across the area. This morning with that line of showers and storms, a little bit slow, but around 4:30 it started moving on into the area. Lightest rainfall amounts were up towards Tyler County where about a half an inch fell.

[00:03:33]Heaviest amounts were over into Orange County where close to two and two and a half inches fell. But the really heavy stuff stayed well off to the east as we expected as this was a fairly progressive system and not stuck. So we'll keep a 30 maybe 40% coverage of evening showers across southeast Texas.

[00:03:50]We can see this last piece of energy uh moving through our area especially in through Chambers County back into Jefferson and Orange. Those are the places that are going to see the best rain this evening. I think most of this should be out of here by 9 uh p.m.

[00:04:05]coming up uh tonight. One thing I want you to notice is look how the temperatures were cooled today because of the clouds and rain. Get out to the west over towards Abalene, Ozona, and back into Midland well into the 80s as they got more sun out that way. But you can see that spin in the upper atmosphere now moving into Oklahoma.

[00:04:25]And again, that is an upper level disturbance. You can see it right there spinning. See it right there? That's the upper level disturbance. Kind of a disturbance right along the coastline right now. And that's what is causing the showers, the second pulse of rainfall. But this is going to be moving off to the east and we will see better weather. In fact, I'll show you that real quick. See the disturbance off towards our west that's pushing this on off to the east as it continues to push on off to the east. The rains will continue moving off. So, looks like a fairly quiet forecast the next three days. Few showers coming up tonight, particularly in the triangle. Not so much the lakes here, I don't think, as this then moves off into southwest Louisiana. A lot of clouds coming up tonight. We'll drop into the mid and upper 60s across the board. And then for tomorrow, lot of clouds in the morning.

[00:05:11]It's going to be a dreary morning, but look what happens as we head on into the afternoon hours. The clouds move out and we see sun, lots of it coming up tomorrow afternoon. Hard to even get a 10% coverage tomorrow. We'll go with highs into the mid maybe upper 80s depending upon when those clouds move out tomorrow across southeast Texas. But regardless, it looks dry across our area. So, here's the disturbance. You can see it in the upper levels of the atmosphere. The per first piece of energy is off to the north. Another little piece of energy rotating around and that's what's causing the showers in through southeast Texas. But now, as we work on in uh to Friday and Saturday, here's the camel's hump. See the ridge of high pressure over our area that is going to help to allow us to see dry weather with warming temperatures probably into the upper 80s to maybe low 90s up in the lakes area. We'll go with 89 at this point, but don't be surprised if we even here in Bowmont could get around 90°. Most of the disturbances should stay well off to the north. Now, that begins to change as this ridge of high pressure begins to break down uh over the weekend and we start getting more of an onshore flow. Right now, it looks like maybe Wednesday of next week, we'll go with about a 30% coverage. On the Gulf, we're looking at slightly choppy seas around 2 feet tomorrow with a south and east wind about five knots.

[00:06:33]Looks pretty light across uh the coastal waters and bays. 85 degree water temperatures. So, tonight we'll go with the best chances of light rain, sprinkles here in the triangle. Lower chances up in the lakes area. Low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 60s. Lots of gray out there tomorrow.

[00:06:51]Half of the day will probably be gray and then tomorrow afternoon the clouds will lift. We'll see lots of sun coming up tomorrow afternoon as high temperatures reach the mid possibly upper 80s in spots. But uh again, a lot of water on the ground and so that typically keeps the temperature down uh into the mid 80s. We'll see that tomorrow. And as you can see, northerly winds tomorrow afternoon, northwesterly, real light, but uh that will help to further keep rain chances out of the forecast. Taking a look at your weather impact 7-day forecast. So, you know about Thursday as we'll see clouds in the morning, sun in the afternoon in the mid 80s. Friday and Saturday, that ridge of high pressure will be over the area.

[00:07:34]And that means that uh high temperatures could climb to very close to 90 degrees across southeast Texas. And notice the lows go back into the 70s. So lots of humidity with lots of sun. We'll call it mostly sunny, hot, humid, and dry.

[00:07:49]All right, now we begin on Sunday. It's a small chance, but what's happening is is that we get more of a of a southeast wind off the Gulf. it becomes a little stronger that will begin bringing in moisture. So, we'll see a little more in the way of chances of rainfall, maybe a couple disturbances on Monday as uh the moisture will continue to increase in the atmosphere. Remember, clouds like moisture and if you don't have a lot of moisture and the atmosphere is dry, then it's hard to produce shower and thunderstorm activity like what we'll see on Friday and Saturday. The atmosphere dries out with high pressure over us that causes sinking air. Clouds don't like to sink. They like to build upwards. And if you don't have enough moisture as they build upwards, then they tend to fizzle producing showers and storms. So, as you can see, we'll go with just a 20% coverage on Monday.

[00:08:37]Maybe Tuesday could see a weak front trying to move on into the area. But right now, it does not look like that will bring it much of any cooling across southeast Texas. By next Wednesday, we'll go with about a 30 maybe 40% coverage of scattered showers and thunderstorms. The issue is mostly cloudy skies are expected and we get a surge of moisture particularly around 10,000 ft to come in off the Gulf and that gives us more of an impetus no capping and a little bit of instability to give us about a 30 to 40% coverage.

[00:09:12]Looks like kind of a seabbzy kind of day. So, uh, again about a 30